Josh Bostick — OGILVIE

Josh Bostick P Eugene Emeralds

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 226 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.9 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%21.8%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	4	2	5	21	7	2	0	50%	1.2	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	0.0%	3.86	1.49	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	4	2	5	21	7	2	0	50%	1.2	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	0.0%	3.86	1.49	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	4	2	5	21	7	2	0	50%	1.2	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	0.0%	3.86	1.39	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.2%	4.78	4.65	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.2%	4.78	4.65	—
2024	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	26.0%	9.5%	16.6%	2.4%	4.78	3.41	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	5.4%	3.71	5.40	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	5.4%	3.71	5.40	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	28.2%	7.9%	20.3%	4.3%	3.71	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	SF	2	2	11	46	10	4	2	100%	5.5	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	3.7%	4.82	4.82	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	24	24	141	594	132	52	21	100%	5.9	22.2%	8.7%	13.6%	3.6%	4.71	4.67	+0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	23	23	141	594	133	51	21	100%	6.1	22.4%	8.6%	13.9%	3.5%	4.64	4.62	+0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	23	23	139	585	131	50	21	100%	6.0	22.4%	8.6%	13.8%	3.6%	4.63	4.64	+0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	22	22	134	567	126	49	21	100%	6.1	22.3%	8.7%	13.5%	3.7%	4.67	4.71	+0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	21	21	128	542	119	49	21	100%	6.1	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	3.8%	4.77	4.84	+0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	SF	20	20	121	510	110	47	20	100%	6.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.4%	4.0%	4.92	5.02	-0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	SF	19	19	113	475	101	46	20	100%	5.9	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	4.2%	5.10	5.22	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	10	10	61	258	57	22	9	100%	6.1	22.2%	8.7%	13.6%	3.3%	4.56	4.52	+0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	16	16	93	393	88	34	13	100%	5.8	22.4%	8.6%	13.9%	3.3%	4.49	4.47	+0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	18	18	107	452	101	39	15	100%	5.9	22.4%	8.6%	13.8%	3.3%	4.48	4.49	+0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	19	19	113	477	106	42	16	100%	5.9	22.3%	8.7%	13.5%	3.4%	4.52	4.56	+0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	19	19	112	473	104	42	17	100%	5.9	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	3.5%	4.61	4.68	+0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	SF	18	18	108	456	99	42	17	100%	6.0	21.7%	9.2%	12.4%	3.7%	4.76	4.86	-0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	SF	17	17	103	435	93	42	17	100%	6.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.7%	3.9%	4.93	5.05	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	117	698	2948	649	263	103	100%	6.0	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	3.5%	4.63	4.29	+5.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	186	75	30	100%	6.0	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	3.5%	4.63	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		54	48	231	979	204	99	42	89%	4.3	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	4.3%	4.21	4.96	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	42	200	848	176	86	36	89%	4.3	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	4.3%	4.21	4.96	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Bostick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	21.8%	9.2%	3.7%	—	4.64	22.3%	13.7%	420	-0.18	—	—	—
Will Warren R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SP	4.11	22.3%	10.1%	2.9%	.287	4.00	23.6%	15.4%	437	-0.11	3.82	695	90
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.87	20.6%	11.1%	207	+0.35	4.52	448	85
Gavin Stone R 2023 · 4.48 FIP	24	SP-	4.48	20.9%	9.3%	3.6%	.309	3.85	20.0%	13.6%	140	-0.63	2.39	485	85
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	84
Austin Love R 2022 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP	4.34	20.6%	10.6%	3.0%	.358	3.58	22.1%	9.7%	56	-0.76	3.58	236	84
Edison Frias R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	24	SP-	4.90	18.1%	7.5%	4.3%	.318	4.19	13.7%	3.5%	166	-0.71	4.14	279	83
Justin Armbruester R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SP	4.44	17.3%	9.6%	2.9%	.271	5.30	20.4%	9.9%	135	+0.86	1.49	373	82
Carson Ragsdale R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.29	24.8%	14.4%	148	+0.08	2.00	352	82
Thomas Harrington R 2023 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	21.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.317	4.48	18.7%	11.9%	314	+0.41	3.33	441	82
Ben Gross R 2021 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	23.0%	8.8%	3.2%	.359	4.85	17.6%	2.0%	22	+0.80	4.05	118	82
Dom Hamel R 2023 · 3.94 FIP	24	SP	3.94	24.6%	10.2%	2.9%	.314	5.16	17.5%	7.3%	304	+1.22	3.61	547	81
Mason Black R 2023 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP	4.27	24.8%	10.0%	3.6%	.284	5.15	17.4%	7.7%	331	+0.88	3.95	567	81
Tanner Gordon R 2022 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	20.8%	8.0%	4.3%	.330	4.58	17.1%	11.7%	363	-0.14	3.83	709	81
Connor McCullough R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SP	4.66	21.8%	6.4%	4.7%	.280	4.09	19.9%	12.5%	148	-0.57	3.68	261	81
Michael Kelly R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SP-	4.22	19.6%	10.9%	2.5%	.297	6.36	14.6%	-9.6%	67	+2.14	2.77	666	81
Chad Kuhl R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	24	SP	4.03	20.9%	9.6%	2.7%	.311	4.88	21.9%	11.3%	131	+0.85	3.92	983	81
Emerson Hancock R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	21.1%	10.2%	3.1%	.288	4.33	18.3%	11.3%	428	+0.03	3.24	669	80
Osmer Morales R 2017 · 5.22 FIP	24	SP	5.22	18.9%	10.1%	4.4%	.294	5.33	16.9%	4.5%	102	+0.11	3.14	429	80
Félix Peña R 2015 · 3.73 FIP	25	SP	3.73	21.0%	9.8%	2.1%	.296	3.83	24.0%	15.6%	263	+0.10	2.79	615	80
Luke Weaver R 2018 · 4.35 FIP	24	SP	4.35	19.9%	8.5%	3.4%	.314	3.85	24.1%	18.0%	182	-0.50	2.54	1,038	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.3	132	22.0%	8.9%	1.45	4.77
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38