Josh Bostick
P
Eugene Emeralds
+0.7
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 226 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2028
ERA4.83
FIP4.83
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.7%
IP115
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2028
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.86 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 26 | 23 | 107 | 465 | 121 | 44 | 11 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.71 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 23 | 119 | 493 | 139 | 39 | 21 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.71 | 5.41 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SF | 21 | 21 | 115 | 486 | 107 | 46 | 18 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 4.83 | 4.83 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 23 | 23 | 128 | 543 | 122 | 49 | 20 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 136 | 572 | 129 | 51 | 20 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 4.67 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 138 | 585 | 132 | 52 | 21 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.63 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 138 | 584 | 132 | 52 | 21 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.65 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 135 | 571 | 128 | 51 | 21 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.67 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | SF | 24 | 24 | 131 | 554 | 123 | 50 | 20 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 4.72 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | SF | 23 | 23 | 127 | 535 | 118 | 49 | 20 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.83 | +0.7 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | SF | 22 | 22 | 122 | 513 | 111 | 48 | 20 | 21.7% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.87 | 4.92 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | SF | 21 | 21 | 116 | 490 | 105 | 46 | 19 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 4.96 | 5.02 | +0.4 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | SF | 20 | 20 | 110 | 465 | 98 | 45 | 19 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 5.13 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | SF | 19 | 19 | 104 | 439 | 91 | 43 | 18 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 5.17 | 5.25 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | SF | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 83 | 42 | 17 | 20.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 5.30 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 48 | 231 | 979 | 204 | 99 | 42 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 4.21 | 4.99 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 42 | 200 | 848 | 177 | 86 | 36 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 4.21 | 4.99 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Bostick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% | — | 4.66 | 22.6% | 13.7% | 402 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .279 | 4.35 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.28 | 4.35 | 254 | 93 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 93 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .264 | 3.71 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 155 | 89 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .359 | 4.85 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.83 | 4.02 | 118 | 88 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .298 | 4.96 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.41 | 416 | 88 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 88 |
| Brian Edgington R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .321 | 5.23 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.26 | 3.97 | 171 | 87 |
| Edison Frias R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 18.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .318 | 4.18 | 13.7% | 3.5% | 166 | -0.72 | 4.14 | 279 | 87 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.66 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | .261 | 4.22 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.44 | 3.50 | 368 | 87 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.21 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 194 | 87 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.19 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .287 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 15.7% | 313 | -0.17 | 3.31 | 571 | 87 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 87 |
| Alex FaGalde R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.79 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | .266 | 4.98 | 16.1% | 6.4% | 162 | +1.19 | 3.79 | 279 | 87 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .288 | 4.37 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 313 | +0.06 | 2.50 | 554 | 87 |
| Martin Agosta R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.29 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | .340 | 4.59 | 12.3% | 5.7% | 40 | +0.30 | 4.29 | 146 | 86 |
| Brett Sears R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.63 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 111 | 86 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.13 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | .327 | 3.98 | 23.2% | 13.0% | 155 | -1.15 | 2.65 | 315 | 86 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.35 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.13 | 2.01 | 352 | 86 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.92 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .277 | 4.93 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 274 | +0.01 | 4.04 | 448 | 86 |
| Aaron Brown R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.08 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .337 | 5.97 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 186 | +1.89 | 4.08 | 418 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | -$0.4M |
| Totals | $9M | $25M | +$16M | ||