Josh Bostick
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 226 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.9 · 2030
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%21.8%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP137
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 9.5% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 1.49 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 9.5% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 1.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 26 | 23 | 107 | 465 | 121 | 44 | 11 | 88% | 4.1 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.73 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 26 | 23 | 107 | 465 | 121 | 44 | 11 | 88% | 4.1 | 26.0% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 4.78 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 23 | 119 | 493 | 139 | 39 | 21 | 96% | 5.0 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 3.71 | 5.46 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 23 | 119 | 493 | 139 | 39 | 21 | 96% | 5.0 | 28.2% | 7.9% | 20.3% | 4.3% | 3.71 | 4.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 139 | 587 | 128 | 53 | 22 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.82 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 24 | 24 | 141 | 594 | 132 | 51 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.67 | +1.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 23 | 23 | 141 | 594 | 133 | 50 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.62 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 23 | 23 | 139 | 585 | 131 | 49 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.63 | 4.64 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 22 | 22 | 134 | 567 | 126 | 49 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.7% | 4.68 | 4.71 | +1.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 21 | 21 | 128 | 542 | 119 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 4.78 | 4.84 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 57 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 88 | 33 | 14 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.54 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 101 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.56 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 106 | 41 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.60 | 4.63 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 19 | 19 | 112 | 473 | 104 | 42 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 4.70 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 81 | 81 | 487 | 2055 | 457 | 176 | 73 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.61 | 4.24 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 72 | 30 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.61 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 48 | 231 | 979 | 204 | 99 | 43 | 89% | 4.3 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 4.21 | 5.03 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 42 | 200 | 848 | 176 | 86 | 37 | 89% | 4.3 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 4.21 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Bostick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 21.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% | — | 4.64 | 22.3% | 13.9% | 420 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.02 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 5.06 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 160 | +0.04 | 5.01 | 282 | 87 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.16 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .287 | 4.01 | 23.9% | 15.4% | 393 | -0.15 | 3.80 | 651 | 86 |
| Gavin Stone R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .309 | 4.02 | 20.0% | 13.6% | 140 | -0.59 | 2.39 | 485 | 84 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.83 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 3.8% | .304 | 5.34 | 18.0% | 6.5% | 170 | +0.51 | 3.81 | 527 | 83 |
| Brett Sears R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 83 |
| Edison Frias R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | .318 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 3.5% | 166 | -0.81 | 4.15 | 279 | 83 |
| Luke Weaver R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .314 | 3.66 | 24.1% | 18.0% | 182 | -0.56 | 2.26 | 1,022 | 83 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.19 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .291 | 5.46 | 18.2% | 4.6% | 163 | +1.27 | 4.19 | 285 | 83 |
| Austin Love R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.19 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .358 | 3.51 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 56 | -0.68 | 3.51 | 220 | 82 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 82 |
| Brian Edgington R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.81 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .321 | 5.05 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.24 | 3.81 | 171 | 82 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .359 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.67 | 4.20 | 118 | 82 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.20 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.07 | 1.96 | 352 | 82 |
| Dom Hamel R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.08 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 3.2% | .314 | 5.13 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 271 | +1.05 | 3.65 | 514 | 82 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.43 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .271 | 5.94 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 119 | +1.51 | 4.43 | 358 | 81 |
| Jeff Bain R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.91 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | .303 | 4.46 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 124 | -0.45 | 3.37 | 475 | 81 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.85 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.63 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 79 | -0.22 | 3.48 | 331 | 81 |
| Chad Kuhl R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.93 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.73 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 131 | +0.80 | 3.93 | 983 | 81 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.53 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .278 | 5.41 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.96 | 260 | 81 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.65 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .280 | 6.01 | 18.9% | 5.5% | 56 | +2.36 | 3.65 | 287 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 137 | 22.2% | 8.6% | 1.42 | 4.71 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Aníbal Sánchez ('22) | 7 | 120 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 1.56 | 4.80 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |