Darren Bowen — OGILVIE

Darren Bowen P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.09

FIP6.09

K%11.7%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%-0.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	19	15	56	230	59	25	2	79%	2.9	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	1.3%	3.88	3.82	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	19	15	56	230	59	25	2	79%	2.9	19.0%	12.8%	6.2%	1.3%	3.88	3.82	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	19	15	56	230	59	25	2	79%	2.9	25.7%	10.9%	14.8%	0.9%	3.88	2.79	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	18	17	73	328	71	26	7	94%	4.0	16.7%	9.1%	7.6%	2.2%	6.07	4.08	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	18	17	73	328	71	26	7	94%	4.0	16.7%	9.1%	7.6%	2.2%	6.07	4.08	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	18	17	73	328	71	26	7	94%	4.0	21.6%	7.9%	13.7%	2.1%	6.07	3.47	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	27	16	84	373	58	38	17	59%	3.1	12.6%	11.2%	1.4%	5.5%	5.14	6.50	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	27	16	84	373	58	38	17	59%	3.1	12.6%	11.2%	1.4%	5.5%	5.14	6.50	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	27	16	84	373	58	38	17	59%	3.1	15.5%	10.2%	5.4%	4.6%	5.14	5.71	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	66	298	61	34	10	0%	1.6	16.6%	12.6%	4.0%	4.0%	6.14	5.50	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	66	298	61	34	10	0%	1.6	16.6%	12.6%	4.0%	4.0%	6.14	5.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	MIN	40	0	66	298	61	34	10	0%	1.6	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	3.4%	6.14	4.66	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	3	3	1	0%	1.1	11.7%	12.6%	-0.9%	3.7%	6.09	6.09	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	72	325	64	37	11	—	—	19.7%	11.5%	8.2%	3.4%	6.13	5.55	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	72	0	76	319	45	39	11	0%	1.0	14.0%	12.2%	1.8%	3.6%	5.86	5.82	-1.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	71	0	74	315	46	38	11	0%	1.0	14.7%	12.0%	2.6%	3.6%	5.74	5.74	-1.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	69	0	72	305	46	37	11	0%	1.0	15.0%	12.0%	2.9%	3.7%	5.72	5.75	-0.9
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIN	66	0	69	291	44	36	11	0%	1.0	14.9%	12.2%	2.7%	3.8%	5.78	5.85	-1.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIN	62	0	65	274	40	34	11	0%	1.0	14.6%	12.5%	2.1%	4.0%	5.93	6.03	-1.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	31	0	33	139	19	17	5	0%	1.1	14.0%	12.2%	1.8%	3.6%	5.86	5.82	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	45	0	47	198	29	24	7	0%	1.0	14.7%	12.0%	2.6%	3.6%	5.74	5.74	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	52	0	55	232	35	28	9	0%	1.1	15.0%	12.0%	2.9%	3.7%	5.72	5.75	-0.7
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53	0	56	236	35	29	9	0%	1.1	14.9%	12.2%	2.7%	3.8%	5.78	5.85	-0.8
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53	0	56	236	34	30	9	0%	1.1	14.6%	12.5%	2.1%	4.0%	5.93	6.03	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		235	0	247	1044	153	127	39	0%	1.1	14.7%	12.2%	2.5%	3.7%	5.80	5.46	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	124	103	32	0%	1.1	14.7%	12.2%	2.5%	3.7%	5.80	5.46	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		104	48	278	1229	195	139	43	46%	2.7	15.8%	11.3%	4.6%	3.5%	5.37	5.11	-5.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	34	200	883	140	100	31	46%	2.7	15.8%	11.3%	4.6%	3.5%	5.37	5.11	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darren Bowen (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.09	11.7%	12.6%	3.7%	—	5.77	14.5%	2.4%	222	-0.32	—	—	—
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	86
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	84
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	81
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	80
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	80
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	80
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	79
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	78
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	78
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	77
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	77
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	77
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	76
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	76
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	76
John Kuchno R 2016 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	10.2%	8.6%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	162	75
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	75
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	74
Jacob Dahlstrand R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	25	SW	5.73	8.6%	13.8%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	119	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	71	14.1%	12.3%	1.44	5.85
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86