Darren Bowen
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 137
ERA6.10
FIP6.10
K%11.7%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%-1.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 119 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 19 | 15 | 56 | 230 | 59 | 25 | 2 | 79% | 2.9 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 3.88 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 19 | 15 | 56 | 230 | 59 | 25 | 2 | 79% | 2.9 | 25.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 0.9% | 3.88 | 2.79 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 17 | 73 | 328 | 71 | 26 | 7 | 94% | 4.0 | 16.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 6.07 | 3.91 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 17 | 73 | 328 | 71 | 26 | 7 | 94% | 4.0 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 6.07 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 27 | 16 | 84 | 373 | 58 | 38 | 17 | 59% | 3.1 | 12.6% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 5.6% | 5.14 | 6.54 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 27 | 16 | 84 | 373 | 58 | 38 | 17 | 59% | 3.1 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.14 | 5.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 26 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.25 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 34 | 37 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.7% | 12.7% | -1.0% | 3.7% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.7% | 12.7% | -1.0% | 3.7% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 119 | 504 | 79 | 57 | 18 | — | — | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.34 | 5.72 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 11.7% | 12.7% | -1.0% | 3.7% | 6.10 | 5.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.86 | 5.82 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 43 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.75 | 5.75 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 42 | 34 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.73 | 5.76 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.86 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.75 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.73 | 5.76 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 534 | 78 | 65 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.77 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 123 | 103 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.77 | 5.40 | +0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 48 | 261 | 1139 | 182 | 123 | 39 | 53% | 2.9 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.01 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 37 | 200 | 873 | 139 | 94 | 30 | 53% | 2.9 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Darren Bowen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.10 | 11.7% | 12.7% | 3.7% | — | 5.78 | 14.5% | 2.4% | 206 | -0.32 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 86 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 81 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 81 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 79 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 78 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 77 |
| LJ Brewster R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 77 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2026 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 76 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 76 |
| Michael Ross R 2025 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 75 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 75 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 75 |
| Dane Myers R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.39 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 125 | 75 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 6.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.51 | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.6% | .337 | 4.61 | 11.6% | 1.4% | 110 | -1.90 | 4.41 | 210 | 74 |
| Dillon McNamara R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .229 | 2.98 | 21.2% | 12.3% | 69 | -2.39 | 1.73 | 244 | 73 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.19 | 17.9% | 11.0% | 4.0% | .267 | 3.90 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 112 | -1.29 | 3.53 | 383 | 73 |
| Jacob Dahlstrand R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.70 | 8.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 119 | 73 |
| Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 1.40 | 5.86 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |