Andrew Bash
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%16.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%5.7%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 155 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Angels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 2.81 | 3.87 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Angels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.5% | 7.4% | 19.1% | 1.5% | 2.81 | 2.60 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 4 | 56 | 242 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 25% | 3.5 | 15.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.50 | 5.24 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 4 | 56 | 242 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 25% | 3.5 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 5.50 | 3.84 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 96 | 405 | 72 | 37 | 4 | 15% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 4.23 | 3.77 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 96 | 405 | 72 | 37 | 4 | 15% | 2.8 | 17.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 1.0% | 4.23 | 3.30 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 11 | 89 | 372 | 80 | 47 | 8 | 31% | 2.5 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.52 | 4.81 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 11 | 89 | 372 | 80 | 47 | 8 | 31% | 2.5 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 2.52 | 4.05 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 16 | 80 | 335 | 77 | 35 | 4 | 57% | 2.9 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 2.91 | 3.64 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 16 | 80 | 335 | 77 | 35 | 4 | 57% | 2.9 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 1.2% | 2.91 | 3.14 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 40 | 5 | 84 | 365 | 72 | 36 | 4 | 12% | 2.1 | 17.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 2.57 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 40 | 5 | 84 | 365 | 72 | 36 | 4 | 12% | 2.1 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 2.57 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 40 | 14 | 86 | 420 | 79 | 55 | 15 | 35% | 2.1 | 16.6% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.97 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 49 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 155 | 710 | 128 | 87 | 22 | — | — | 18.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.43 | 5.22 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 46 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.57 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 97 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 208 | 55 | 507 | 2207 | 374 | 255 | 53 | 26% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.83 | 4.46 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 22 | 200 | 871 | 147 | 101 | 21 | 26% | 2.4 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.83 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Bash (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 2.3% | — | 4.96 | 17.2% | 5.8% | 125 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 85 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 84 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 83 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 81 |
| Vin Mazzaro R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 1.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 126 | 80 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Drew Hayes R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 77 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 77 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 76 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 76 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.92 | 14.1% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 256 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 75 |
| Alex Caldera R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 75 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 75 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 74 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 74 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.83 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |