Andrew Bash
P
St. Paul Saints
+0.6
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.9 · 2027
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.4%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%9.0%
IP81
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2027
STUF4040
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Angels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 2.81 | 3.87 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 16 | 4 | 56 | 242 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 15.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.50 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 34 | 5 | 96 | 405 | 72 | 37 | 4 | 14.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 4.23 | 3.75 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 36 | 11 | 89 | 372 | 80 | 47 | 8 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 2.52 | 4.72 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 28 | 16 | 80 | 335 | 77 | 35 | 4 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 2.91 | 3.63 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 40 | 5 | 84 | 365 | 72 | 36 | 4 | 17.4% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 2.57 | 3.74 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 4 | 3 | 14 | 64 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 13.8% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIN | 15 | 15 | 81 | 343 | 63 | 37 | 8 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 95 | 407 | 73 | 43 | 9 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 4.43 | 4.47 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 14 | 14 | 79 | 333 | 68 | 33 | 8 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.29 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 14 | 14 | 76 | 321 | 65 | 32 | 8 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 63 | 31 | 8 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 4.45 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 59 | 30 | 8 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.55 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 55 | 29 | 8 | 19.7% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 51 | 28 | 8 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 47 | 27 | 7 | 18.9% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 172 | 44 | 435 | 1851 | 313 | 204 | 35 | 16.9% | 11.0% | 1.9% | 3.41 | 4.12 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 20 | 200 | 851 | 144 | 94 | 16 | 16.9% | 11.0% | 1.9% | 3.41 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Bash (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 2.2% | — | 4.37 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 228 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Felipe Paulino R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 87 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.09 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.04 | 4.09 | 165 | 86 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 85 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.40 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .289 | 4.45 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.05 | 4.33 | 221 | 84 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 83 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 83 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 82 |
| Ramon Ramirez R 2029 · 3.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.56 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .310 | 5.29 | 9.2% | -4.9% | 29 | +1.73 | 3.56 | 155 | 82 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.00 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .316 | 3.75 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.25 | 3.14 | 593 | 82 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 82 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 81 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.07 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.58 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.49 | 3.58 | 139 | 81 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 81 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 81 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.00 | 15.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | .278 | 5.36 | 18.3% | 7.5% | 102 | +0.36 | 4.13 | 265 | 80 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 80 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 79 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.95 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.69 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.74 | 3.69 | 283 | 79 |
| Scott McGregor R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 78 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.