Ryan Bergert
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.3
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.0 · 2027
ERA4.16
FIP4.50
xFIP4.68
SIERA4.62
K%21.5%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%11.6%
IP113
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2027
K†5050
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p4023.9%
K%
p5222.6%
xwOBA vs
p410.322
FB+5.2 (49%)
SL+3.5 (43%)
SI (7%)
CH-3.5 (7%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 7 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 24 | 24 | 103 | 472 | 129 | 42 | 18 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 5.84 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 23 | 20 | 106 | 431 | 126 | 46 | 4 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 2.73 | 3.40 | +2.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 23 | 23 | 98 | 417 | 87 | 33 | 7 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 4.78 | 3.94 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 26 | 121 | 518 | 117 | 52 | 15 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 3.79 | 4.30 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 3 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.79 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 55 | 232 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 3.92 | 3.76 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 116 | 489 | 103 | 48 | 14 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.55 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 116 | 490 | 103 | 47 | 15 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.55 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 21 | 21 | 114 | 479 | 99 | 46 | 14 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.61 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 110 | 465 | 94 | 45 | 14 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.69 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | KC | 19 | 19 | 106 | 448 | 88 | 44 | 14 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.80 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | KC | 19 | 19 | 102 | 431 | 82 | 43 | 14 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.84 | 4.91 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | KC | 18 | 18 | 97 | 411 | 75 | 42 | 14 | 18.3% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.04 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | KC | 17 | 17 | 92 | 391 | 69 | 40 | 13 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.09 | 5.18 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | KC | 16 | 16 | 87 | 368 | 62 | 39 | 13 | 16.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | KC | 15 | 15 | 82 | 344 | 55 | 37 | 13 | 16.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 110 | 99 | 449 | 1917 | 405 | 194 | 56 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.21 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 44 | 200 | 855 | 181 | 86 | 25 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.21 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Bergert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.57 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 345 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 83 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 83 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 82 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 82 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 82 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 81 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 81 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 81 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 81 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 81 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .289 | 4.21 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 181 | 81 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 80 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 80 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 80 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 80 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 80 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 80 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 80 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2031
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.8M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.0 | $8M | +$7M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $2M | +1.0 | $8M | +$7M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $3M | +0.9 | $4M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.3M |
| Totals | $9M | $26M | +$17M | ||