Ryan Bergert
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.4 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.52
FIP4.77
K%20.1%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p4023.9%
K%
p5222.6%
xwOBA vs
p410.322
FB+5.2 (49%)
SL+3.5 (43%)
SI (7%)
CH-3.5 (7%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 7 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 43% | 1.6 | 37.8% | 0.0% | 37.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.10 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 7 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 43% | 1.6 | 37.8% | 0.0% | 37.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.55 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 24 | 24 | 103 | 472 | 129 | 42 | 18 | 100% | 4.3 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 5.84 | 5.73 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 24 | 24 | 103 | 472 | 129 | 42 | 18 | 100% | 4.3 | 27.3% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 3.8% | 5.84 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 106 | 431 | 126 | 46 | 4 | 87% | 4.6 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 2.73 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 106 | 431 | 126 | 46 | 4 | 87% | 4.6 | 29.2% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 0.9% | 2.73 | 2.51 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 23 | 23 | 98 | 417 | 87 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 4.3 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 4.78 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 23 | 23 | 98 | 417 | 87 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 4.3 | 20.9% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 1.7% | 4.78 | 3.26 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 121 | 518 | 117 | 52 | 15 | 87% | 4.0 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 3.79 | 4.33 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 121 | 518 | 117 | 52 | 15 | 87% | 4.0 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 3.79 | 4.07 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 3 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.2 | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 55 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 74 | 316 | 65 | 35 | 9 | — | — | 20.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.15 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 36 | 150 | 30 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 20.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 25 | 25 | 153 | 645 | 131 | 68 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.76 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 25 | 25 | 153 | 645 | 131 | 68 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.80 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 24 | 24 | 146 | 616 | 122 | 65 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.94 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 92 | 48 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 122 | 515 | 105 | 54 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.74 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 103 | 55 | 16 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.88 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 83 | 464 | 1961 | 403 | 207 | 57 | 95% | 5.3 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.31 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 845 | 174 | 89 | 25 | 95% | 5.4 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 99 | 449 | 1917 | 405 | 194 | 61 | 90% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.11 | 4.35 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 44 | 200 | 855 | 180 | 87 | 27 | 90% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.11 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Bergert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.83 | 20.1% | 9.6% | 451 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 80 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 80 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 78 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 78 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 78 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 78 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 76 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 76 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 76 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 75 |
| Kevin Abel R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.47 | 17.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.41 | 17.8% | 2.5% | 82 | +0.94 | 4.41 | 421 | 75 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 74 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.19 | 4.25 | 412 | 74 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.46 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .254 | 3.50 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 67 | -1.96 | 3.50 | 395 | 74 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 74 |
| Hunter Dobbins R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 463 | 74 |
| Trace Bright R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 4.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 373 | 74 |
| Ben Meyer R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.32 | 19.4% | 13.1% | 4.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27 | 387 | 74 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 73 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 138 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 1.20 | 4.69 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |