Jeremy Lee
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
+0.0
WAR
Age 24
RHP
5'11" / 203 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.0%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%8.7%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF2525
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†4045
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 21 | 17 | 79 | 352 | 78 | 35 | 6 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 4.42 | 4.20 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 19 | 6 | 46 | 226 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 11.2% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 7.88 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 33 | 25 | 6 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 18.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 29 | 21 | 6 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 5.30 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 38 | — | 38 | 161 | 27 | 20 | 5 | 16.9% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 5.40 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 16.5% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 5.52 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 16.1% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 5.64 | 5.73 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 43 | 23 | 129 | 598 | 91 | 71 | 13 | 15.2% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 5.51 | 4.55 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 36 | 200 | 927 | 141 | 110 | 20 | 15.2% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 5.51 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeremy Lee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.03 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 147 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .309 | 4.63 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.36 | 4.27 | 328 | 92 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.29 | 15.8% | 12.8% | 3.5% | .351 | 4.15 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 114 | -1.14 | 3.64 | 162 | 91 |
| Roberto Espinosa R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 15.1% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.58 | 14.5% | -1.1% | 35 | +0.26 | 4.32 | 117 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.62 | 13.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | .284 | 3.37 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 51 | -1.25 | 3.37 | 134 | 89 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.7% | .319 | 4.82 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.11 | 4.56 | 132 | 89 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.4% | .263 | 4.28 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.12 | 3.77 | 108 | 89 |
| Davison Palermo R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.28 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.75 | 19.6% | 8.2% | 68 | -0.53 | 4.30 | 151 | 89 |
| Logan Boyer R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 17.0% | 12.7% | 4.3% | .306 | 3.70 | 25.0% | 12.7% | 27 | -1.92 | 3.70 | 121 | 88 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 88 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.17 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.50 | 17.0% | 5.3% | 107 | -0.67 | 3.85 | 189 | 88 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.3% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 88 |
| Josh Uhen R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 16.1% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .303 | 4.01 | 15.6% | 1.2% | 82 | -0.09 | 3.16 | 185 | 87 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.48 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.53 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -0.95 | 1.94 | 131 | 87 |
| J.B. Olson R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.02 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .328 | 4.29 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 109 | -0.73 | 3.83 | 212 | 87 |
| Nick Belzer R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.51 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.28 | 4.23 | 112 | 86 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 14.6% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .254 | 3.99 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 190 | -0.54 | 3.07 | 211 | 86 |
| Tanner Duncan R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.38 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 3.4% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 123 | 86 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 86 |
| Armando Ruiz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.22 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 113 | 86 |
| Brooks Pounders R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.42 | 13.1% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .250 | 4.00 | 22.6% | 14.4% | 201 | -0.42 | 3.42 | 307 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.