Jeremy Lee P Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 203 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.85
FIP5.85
K%10.9%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%-2.6%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
K: -5.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-6KBB: -3.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -1.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.87 (57 IP)-0.9WAR
-0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF2525
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202321MIX2 levels304206400%1.330.0%20.0%10.0%0.0%0.003.10
202321MIX2 levels304206400%1.330.0%20.0%10.0%0.0%0.003.10
202422MIX2 levels2117793527835681%3.816.8%11.5%5.3%1.7%4.424.06
202422MIX2 levels2117793527835681%3.822.2%9.9%12.2%1.7%4.423.44
202523A+Cedar Rapids Kernels196462263323532%2.411.2%11.7%-0.5%3.0%7.885.28
202523A+Cedar Rapids Kernels196462263323532%2.414.6%10.2%4.4%2.2%7.884.59
▸ 2026 Season
202624MLBMIN54057241263370%1.110.9%13.6%-2.6%2.9%5.855.85-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBMIN55058244333170%1.113.6%12.7%0.9%2.9%5.585.51-0.6
202826MLBMIN55058244373070%1.115.2%12.4%2.8%2.9%5.405.34-0.5
202927MLBMIN54057240373070%1.115.6%12.3%3.3%2.9%5.345.33-0.5
203028MLBMIN53055233372970%1.015.7%12.4%3.3%3.0%5.365.39-0.5
202725MLBMIN24025106141330%1.013.6%12.7%0.9%2.9%5.585.51-0.3
202826MLBMIN36038160242050%1.115.2%12.4%2.8%2.9%5.405.34-0.4
202927MLBMIN42044186292350%1.015.6%12.3%3.3%2.9%5.345.33-0.4
203028MLBMIN44046194302460%1.015.7%12.4%3.3%3.0%5.365.39-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career14601546499981190%1.115.2%12.4%2.8%2.9%5.405.00+0.7
/ 200 IP1900200844129105250%1.115.2%12.4%2.8%2.9%5.405.00+0.9
Career432312959891711353%3.015.2%11.9%3.3%2.1%5.514.49+1.4
/ 200 IP67362009271401102053%3.015.2%11.9%3.3%2.1%5.514.49+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeremy Lee (OGILVIE) 5.85 10.9%13.6%2.9% 5.39 14.8%2.3%172 -0.46
Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 24 SW 5.36 10.7%13.4%2.7%.316 4.42 12.3%3.5%179 -0.94 4.24 238 93
Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP 24 SW 5.13 14.3%15.1%2.4%.309 7.73 17.8%2.4%17 +2.60 4.17 152 85
Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP 23 SW 5.54 12.1%13.0%3.3%.314 3.57 156 84
LJ Brewster R 2025 · 4.90 FIP 23 SW 4.90 9.4%11.0%2.2%.266 4.25 143 82
Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 82
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP 24 SP- 5.27 16.4%12.9%3.5%.321 4.42 23.3%12.6%51 -0.85 4.42 102 80
Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP 24 SW 5.35 13.0%12.2%3.3%.275 3.92 22.5%11.6%118 -1.43 2.99 197 79
Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 79
Ted Stuka R 2026 · 5.78 FIP 24 SW 5.78 12.4%23.4%1.4%.262 6.34 15.9%-13.1%41 +0.56 5.51 105 79
Dane Myers R 2025 · 5.39 FIP 23 SW 5.39 12.2%11.5%3.4%.287 4.34 125 78
Zach Willeman R 2025 · 5.55 FIP 23 SW 5.55 10.8%15.0%2.6%.296 5.10 21.3%7.8%108 -0.45 4.15 264 78
Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 24 SW 4.88 14.2%12.1%2.6%.330 3.68 148 78
Kyle Miller R 2025 · 4.76 FIP 23 SW 4.76 12.1%12.0%2.1%.294 2.83 164 77
Oscar Verdugo R 2027 · 6.84 FIP 25 SP- 6.84 10.5%13.9%5.2%.241 6.16 10.8%-1.8%74 -0.68 5.39 144 76
Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP 25 SP- 5.21 11.3%13.9%2.4%.337 4.78 10.9%4.8%132 -0.43 4.78 227 76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2029 · 4.81 FIP 27 SP- 4.81 12.5%9.1%2.9%.346 4.97 14.0%5.3%138 +0.16 4.54 224 76
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 5.31 FIP 22 SP- 5.31 12.9%12.3%3.2%.288 5.31 112 75
Parker Bridwell R 2026 · 5.29 FIP 24 SW 5.29 12.4%12.4%3.0%.278 4.96 15.5%7.8%269 -0.33 3.64 422 75
Braxton Hyde R 2026 · 5.67 FIP 24 SW 5.67 14.0%12.3%4.0%.345 3.90 198 75
Holt Jones R 2026 · 5.30 FIP 24 SP- 5.30 16.1%17.9%2.4%.285 4.38 20.9%5.2%137 -0.92 4.13 217 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION55714.2%12.7%1.135.51
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82