Jeremy Lee — OGILVIE

Jeremy Lee P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 203 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 128

ERA5.87

FIP5.87

K%11.3%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%-2.3%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	0	4	20	6	4	0	0%	1.3	30.0%	20.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	0	4	20	6	4	0	0%	1.3	30.0%	20.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	79	352	78	35	6	81%	3.8	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	1.9%	4.42	4.17	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	79	352	78	35	6	81%	3.8	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	1.9%	4.42	4.17	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	79	352	78	35	6	81%	3.8	22.2%	9.9%	12.2%	1.7%	4.42	3.44	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	19	6	46	226	33	23	5	32%	2.4	11.2%	11.7%	-0.5%	2.9%	7.88	5.21	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	19	6	46	226	33	23	5	32%	2.4	11.2%	11.7%	-0.5%	2.9%	7.88	5.21	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	19	6	46	226	33	23	5	32%	2.4	14.6%	10.2%	4.4%	2.2%	7.88	4.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	10	10	60	253	29	34	7	100%	6.0	11.3%	13.6%	-2.3%	2.9%	5.87	5.87	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	10	10	60	251	34	33	7	100%	6.0	13.7%	13.1%	0.6%	3.0%	5.65	5.60	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	10	10	59	247	36	32	7	100%	5.9	14.4%	12.9%	1.5%	3.0%	5.55	5.55	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	4	4	26	110	15	14	3	100%	6.5	13.7%	13.1%	0.6%	3.0%	5.65	5.60	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	6	6	37	156	22	20	5	100%	6.2	14.4%	12.9%	1.5%	3.0%	5.55	5.55	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	62	264	37	34	8	100%	6.2	14.1%	13.0%	1.1%	3.0%	5.59	5.19	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	118	109	26	100%	6.0	14.1%	13.0%	1.1%	3.0%	5.59	5.19	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		43	23	129	598	91	71	13	53%	3.0	15.2%	11.9%	3.3%	2.2%	5.51	4.53	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	36	200	927	140	110	20	53%	3.0	15.2%	11.9%	3.3%	2.2%	5.51	4.53	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeremy Lee (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.87	11.3%	13.6%	2.9%	—	5.58	14.0%	1.0%	118	-0.29	—	—	—
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	85
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	82
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	82
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	80
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	80
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	79
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	78
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	78
Dane Myers R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	23	SW	5.32	12.2%	11.5%	3.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	125	77
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	76
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	75
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	75
Octavio Acosta R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	25	SP-	5.42	13.8%	16.1%	2.6%	.328	4.03	16.2%	7.5%	245	-1.39	3.88	333	75
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	75
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	74
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	74
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	13.1%	13.2%	1.15	5.69
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27