Trent Palmer
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%21.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 16 | 16 | 63 | 266 | 83 | 42 | 0 | 100% | 3.9 | 23.1% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 16 | 16 | 63 | 266 | 83 | 42 | 0 | 100% | 3.9 | 31.2% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 2.47 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 55 | 248 | 69 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 3.90 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 55 | 248 | 69 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 27.8% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 3.2% | 3.90 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 75% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 75% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 5 | 27 | 143 | 25 | 31 | 0 | 33% | 1.8 | 12.8% | 22.2% | -9.4% | 0.0% | 9.88 | 4.83 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 5 | 27 | 143 | 25 | 31 | 0 | 33% | 1.8 | 17.5% | 21.7% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 9.88 | 4.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 7.5 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 106 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.27 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 48 | 37 | 153 | 691 | 142 | 114 | 10 | 77% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 16.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 4.52 | 4.27 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 48 | 200 | 901 | 185 | 149 | 13 | 77% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 16.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 4.52 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trent Palmer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.65 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 81 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 73 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 72 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 72 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 71 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 71 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 71 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 70 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 70 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 68 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 68 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 68 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 68 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 67 |
| Kyle Wright R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .354 | 5.32 | 20.2% | 4.7% | 13 | +0.91 | 3.32 | 669 | 67 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.49 | 19.6% | 13.6% | 4.2% | .330 | 6.70 | 15.2% | 5.2% | 69 | +1.21 | 3.69 | 333 | 67 |
| Matt Frisbee R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.36 | 18.3% | 14.3% | 1.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 463 | 67 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 66 |
| Darien Smith R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.67 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 102 | 66 |