Trent Palmer — OGILVIE

Trent Palmer P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%18.0%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%1.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	16	16	63	266	83	42	0	100%	3.9	23.1%	18.6%	4.5%	0.0%	3.00	3.51	—
2021	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	16	16	63	266	83	42	0	100%	3.9	31.2%	15.8%	15.4%	0.0%	3.00	2.47	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	55	248	69	23	8	100%	4.3	22.0%	10.4%	11.6%	4.1%	3.90	4.79	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	55	248	69	23	8	100%	4.3	27.8%	9.3%	18.5%	3.2%	3.90	3.73	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	3	8	34	8	7	0	75%	1.9	23.5%	20.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.72	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	3	8	34	8	7	0	75%	1.9	23.5%	20.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.72	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	3	8	34	8	7	0	75%	1.9	23.5%	20.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.75	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	12.8%	22.2%	-9.4%	0.0%	9.88	4.83	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	12.8%	22.2%	-9.4%	0.0%	9.88	4.83	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	17.5%	21.7%	-4.2%	0.0%	9.88	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	TOR	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	18.0%	16.3%	1.7%	2.8%	5.55	5.55	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TOR	3	3	20	84	16	13	2	100%	6.7	18.4%	15.7%	2.7%	2.9%	5.48	5.51	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	TOR	1	1	8	34	6	5	1	100%	8.0	18.4%	15.7%	2.7%	2.9%	5.48	5.51	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	8	32	6	5	1	100%	7.5	18.4%	15.7%	2.7%	2.9%	5.48	5.13	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	133	27	100%	6.0	18.4%	15.7%	2.7%	2.9%	5.48	5.13	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		48	37	153	691	142	114	10	77%	3.2	20.6%	16.5%	4.1%	1.5%	4.52	4.25	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	48	200	901	185	149	13	77%	3.2	20.6%	16.5%	4.1%	1.5%	4.52	4.25	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trent Palmer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	18.0%	16.3%	2.8%	—	5.51	18.4%	2.7%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	76
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	74
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	73
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	69
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	66
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	65
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	64
Marcel Rentería R 2022 · 6.43 FIP	27	SP	6.43	20.6%	17.3%	5.3%	.450	3.91	15.9%	3.7%	28	-2.52	3.91	194	64
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	64
Noah Bremer R 2023 · 5.82 FIP	27	SP	5.82	13.1%	11.9%	4.2%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	271	63
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	63
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	62
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	62
Riley Thompson R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	27	SP-	5.81	17.8%	12.9%	4.7%	.284	4.53	17.0%	8.1%	107	-1.28	4.53	340	62
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	62
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	61
Jayden Murray R 2023 · 5.97 FIP	26	SP-	5.97	16.4%	13.6%	4.6%	.385	3.87	20.2%	9.7%	122	-2.10	3.80	363	61
Cody Deason R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP-	4.38	16.1%	13.9%	1.6%	.358	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	178	61
Mason Erla R 2023 · 6.22 FIP	25	SP	6.22	13.2%	12.5%	4.8%	.350	4.03	15.7%	7.9%	75	-2.19	3.11	206	61