Troy Miller — OGILVIE

Troy Miller P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%19.8%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	23	22	103	463	75	50	10	96%	4.5	12.0%	12.7%	-0.8%	2.5%	4.81	5.09	—
2019	22	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	23	22	103	463	75	50	10	96%	4.5	16.2%	10.8%	5.4%	2.2%	4.81	4.36	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	8	45	191	44	17	7	89%	5.0	18.3%	10.0%	8.3%	4.5%	5.00	5.30	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	8	45	191	44	17	7	89%	5.0	23.0%	8.9%	14.1%	3.7%	5.00	4.30	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	1	1	4	17	4	3	1	100%	3.7	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	5.9%	7.36	6.58	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	1	1	4	17	4	3	1	100%	3.7	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	5.9%	7.36	6.58	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	1	1	4	17	4	3	1	100%	3.7	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	5.9%	7.36	6.92	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	23	108	20	13	6	75%	2.8	15.3%	11.0%	4.3%	4.8%	7.94	5.83	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	23	108	20	13	6	75%	2.8	15.3%	11.0%	4.3%	4.8%	7.94	5.83	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	6	23	108	20	13	6	75%	2.8	18.5%	12.0%	6.5%	5.6%	7.94	6.50	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	NYM	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.1%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	NYM	3	3	20	84	17	9	3	100%	6.7	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	NYM	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	6.0	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	3	1	100%	6.3	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.85	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	96	32	100%	6.0	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.85	4.54	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		41	37	174	779	111	93	26	90%	4.3	14.2%	11.9%	2.3%	3.4%	5.32	5.27	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	42	200	894	127	107	30	90%	4.3	14.2%	11.9%	2.3%	3.4%	5.32	5.27	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Troy Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	19.8%	10.1%	3.1%	—	4.92	19.8%	9.5%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	80
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	76
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	73
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	70
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	70
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	68
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	67
Tyler Herron R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	29	SP	4.40	13.4%	6.9%	2.9%	.389	4.02	16.4%	7.7%	60	-0.38	4.02	117	67
Hector Ambriz R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	32	SP	3.63	16.0%	6.4%	2.0%	.273	6.40	10.4%	2.9%	91	+2.77	3.63	155	66
Jorge Reyes R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	29	SP	3.61	13.4%	9.4%	0.8%	.326	8.46	6.8%	-0.1%	19	+4.85	3.39	227	66
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	66
Cody Anderson R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	28	SP	4.33	18.9%	7.5%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	279	66
Cole Johnson R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	27	SP	3.61	14.0%	4.8%	2.0%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	101	65
Dennis O'Grady R 2019 · 3.62 FIP	30	SP	3.62	17.2%	8.1%	1.7%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	65
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	65
Alfredo Aceves R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	32	SP	4.98	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.93	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.05	4.78	160	65
Andrew Triggs R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP	4.68	23.6%	9.9%	4.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	1.66	242	64
Randall Delgado R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP	4.82	17.3%	7.5%	4.1%	.342	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	290	64
Tim Lincecum R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SP	4.20	18.0%	10.8%	2.3%	.296	5.02	17.4%	6.3%	89	+0.82	4.20	166	63
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	63