Chris Kachmar
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 118
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
K%19.5%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 40.0% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.41 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 40.0% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.60 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 10 | 10 | 45 | 201 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 5.84 | 4.39 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 10 | 10 | 45 | 201 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 1.5% | 5.84 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 50% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.75 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 50% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.75 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 11 | 67 | 296 | 75 | 21 | 12 | 44% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 4.84 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 25 | 11 | 67 | 296 | 75 | 21 | 12 | 44% | 2.7 | 25.3% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 4.1% | 4.84 | 4.13 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 20 | 107 | 458 | 94 | 45 | 9 | 74% | 4.0 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.69 | 4.79 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 20 | 107 | 458 | 94 | 45 | 9 | 74% | 4.0 | 20.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.69 | 3.70 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 112 | 489 | 120 | 58 | 15 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 112 | 489 | 120 | 58 | 15 | 100% | 4.7 | 24.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 5.22 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 8 | 6 | 25 | 112 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 75% | 3.1 | 14.1% | 15.9% | -1.8% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 53 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 90 | 386 | 71 | 51 | 12 | — | — | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.28 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 6 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 36 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 267 | 52 | 33 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 10 | 59 | 247 | 47 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.48 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.48 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 86 | 56 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.09 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 106 | 32 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 74 | 373 | 1622 | 309 | 180 | 54 | 71% | 3.6 | 19.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 40 | 200 | 870 | 166 | 97 | 29 | 71% | 3.6 | 19.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Kachmar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 3.3% | — | 5.45 | 19.4% | 6.8% | 190 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 77 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 76 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 75 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 74 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 74 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 74 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 72 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 72 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 72 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.64 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.42 | 3.64 | 139 | 71 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 70 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 70 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 70 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 69 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 69 |
| Scott McGregor R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 67 |
| Mark Appel R 2027 · 5.85 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.85 | 15.6% | 15.6% | 3.8% | .260 | 4.17 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 40 | -1.68 | 4.17 | 363 | 67 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 67 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 67 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 1.38 | 5.32 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |