Chris Kachmar — OGILVIE

Chris Kachmar P Norfolk Tides

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%19.1%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	8	30	12	4	0	0%	2.0	40.0%	13.3%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.41	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	4	0	8	30	12	4	0	0%	2.0	40.0%	13.3%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.60	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	10	10	45	201	42	20	3	100%	4.5	16.1%	11.4%	4.6%	2.0%	5.84	4.29	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	10	10	45	201	42	20	3	100%	4.5	20.9%	10.0%	10.9%	1.5%	5.84	3.44	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	3	9	36	9	5	0	50%	1.4	25.0%	13.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.75	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	3	9	36	9	5	0	50%	1.4	25.0%	13.9%	11.1%	0.0%	2.08	2.75	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	11	67	296	75	21	12	44%	2.7	20.5%	7.8%	12.7%	4.5%	4.84	4.82	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	25	11	67	296	75	21	12	44%	2.7	20.5%	7.8%	12.7%	4.5%	4.84	4.82	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	25	11	67	296	75	21	12	44%	2.7	25.3%	7.1%	18.2%	4.1%	4.84	4.13	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.4%	2.9%	3.69	4.47	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.4%	2.9%	3.69	4.47	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	20	107	458	94	45	9	74%	4.0	20.5%	9.8%	10.7%	2.0%	3.69	3.70	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.6%	5.22	4.86	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.6%	5.22	4.86	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	112	489	120	58	15	100%	4.7	24.5%	11.9%	12.7%	3.1%	5.22	4.25	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	15.0%	12.5%	2.5%	2.3%	5.74	4.68	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	15.0%	12.5%	2.5%	2.3%	5.74	4.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	BAL	10	7	31	144	26	20	3	70%	3.1	18.1%	13.9%	4.2%	2.1%	5.74	4.48	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	BAL	1	1	6	26	5	3	1	100%	6.1	19.1%	11.3%	7.7%	3.2%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	37	170	31	23	4	—	—	18.2%	13.5%	4.7%	2.3%	5.64	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	68	287	55	33	10	100%	6.2	19.1%	11.4%	7.7%	3.4%	5.11	5.19	-0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	63	267	51	31	10	100%	5.8	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.6%	5.21	5.32	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	BAL	4	4	25	106	20	12	4	100%	6.2	19.1%	11.4%	7.7%	3.4%	5.11	5.19	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	BAL	6	6	35	148	28	17	5	100%	5.8	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.6%	5.21	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	60	255	49	29	9	100%	6.0	19.1%	11.5%	7.6%	3.5%	5.17	4.88	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	162	96	30	100%	6.0	19.1%	11.5%	7.6%	3.5%	5.17	4.88	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		106	75	379	1654	312	176	51	71%	3.6	18.9%	10.6%	8.3%	3.1%	4.70	4.55	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	40	200	873	165	93	27	71%	3.6	18.9%	10.6%	8.3%	3.1%	4.70	4.55	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Kachmar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	19.1%	11.3%	3.2%	—	5.25	19.1%	7.6%	131	+0.16	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	81
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	80
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	76
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	76
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	75
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	75
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	74
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	73
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	73
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	73
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	73
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	72
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	71
Lucas Harrell R 2016 · 4.07 FIP	31	SP	4.07	15.7%	12.9%	1.2%	.310	3.57	16.2%	5.7%	30	-0.50	3.57	139	71
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	71
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	70
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	69
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	69
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	69
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	19.1%	11.4%	1.32	5.13
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21