Cade Kuehler
P
Rome Emperors
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%20.2%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%8.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 138 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 2 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 3.5 | 30.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.45 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 2 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 3.5 | 30.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.53 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 53 | 231 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 15.5% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 3.74 | 4.21 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 12 | 53 | 231 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 1.7% | 3.74 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 17 | 16 | 73 | 324 | 61 | 34 | 16 | 94% | 4.3 | 14.5% | 12.1% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 5.28 | 6.79 | -1.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 55 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.81 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 138 | 598 | 116 | 65 | 24 | — | — | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 5.86 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 19 | 109 | 461 | 100 | 49 | 13 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.59 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 20 | 20 | 121 | 511 | 116 | 53 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.49 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 20 | 20 | 119 | 504 | 114 | 52 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.51 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 19 | 116 | 489 | 110 | 51 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.59 | +1.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 18 | 110 | 467 | 104 | 50 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +0.9 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 43 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 80 | 338 | 77 | 35 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.49 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 15 | 92 | 388 | 88 | 40 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.51 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 92 | 43 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.59 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 91 | 44 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 69 | 414 | 1748 | 393 | 183 | 53 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.20 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 88 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 30 | 133 | 581 | 91 | 69 | 24 | 97% | 4.3 | 15.6% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.39 | 5.57 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 45 | 200 | 872 | 136 | 104 | 36 | 97% | 4.3 | 15.6% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.39 | 5.57 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Kuehler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.53 | 22.4% | 12.0% | 350 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 90 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 86 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 86 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.43 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .271 | 5.94 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 119 | +1.51 | 4.43 | 358 | 86 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 86 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.65 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | .288 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 389 | -0.37 | 3.21 | 630 | 85 |
| Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 85 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.85 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.63 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 79 | -0.22 | 3.48 | 331 | 84 |
| Yoel Tejeda Jr. R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.66 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 1.5% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 158 | 84 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.83 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 3.8% | .304 | 5.34 | 18.0% | 6.5% | 170 | +0.51 | 3.81 | 527 | 83 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 83 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.16 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .287 | 4.01 | 23.9% | 15.4% | 393 | -0.15 | 3.80 | 651 | 83 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 83 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.19 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .291 | 5.46 | 18.2% | 4.6% | 163 | +1.27 | 4.19 | 285 | 83 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 83 |
| Austin Love R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.19 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .358 | 3.51 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 56 | -0.68 | 3.51 | 220 | 82 |
| Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .317 | 4.33 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.33 | 3.61 | 428 | 82 |
| Ian Mejia R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.36 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.88 | 16.1% | 7.3% | 157 | +0.52 | 4.04 | 402 | 82 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.65 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .280 | 6.01 | 18.9% | 5.5% | 56 | +2.36 | 3.65 | 287 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 111 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 1.17 | 4.62 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |