Cade Kuehler

P Rome Emperors

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	AATL	2	2	7	0.00	2.53	30.8%	15.4%	—	K 30.8% · BB 15.4% · FIP 2.45
2024	22	MIX2 levels	12	12	53	3.74	3.63	20.8%	10.4%	—	K 15.5% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.22
2026	24	A+ATL	25	24	109	6.34	6.35	15.8%	12.6%	—	K 12.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 7.37
2027PROJ	25	MLBATL	1	1	1	6.39	6.39	13.4%	14.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBATL	7	7	41	6.10	6.05	15.7%	14.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBATL	8	8	51	5.96	5.95	16.1%	13.6%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJake Bockenstedt (age 24) · Drew Gagnon (age 25) · Junior Mendez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154146vR 138

ERA6.39

FIP6.39

K%13.4%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP129

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 129 IP

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	7	26	8	4	0	100%	3.5	30.8%	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	0.00	2.45	—
2023	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	7	26	8	4	0	100%	3.5	30.8%	15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	0.00	2.53	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	53	231	48	24	4	100%	4.4	15.5%	11.2%	4.3%	1.8%	3.74	4.22	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	53	231	48	24	4	100%	4.4	15.5%	11.2%	4.3%	1.8%	3.74	4.22	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	12	53	231	48	24	4	100%	4.4	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	1.7%	3.74	3.63	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	25	24	109	494	78	62	25	96%	4.4	12.2%	14.4%	-2.3%	6.3%	6.34	7.37	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	25	24	109	494	78	62	25	96%	4.4	12.2%	14.4%	-2.3%	6.3%	6.34	7.37	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	25	24	109	494	78	62	25	96%	4.4	15.8%	12.6%	3.2%	5.1%	6.34	6.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ATL	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	13.4%	14.7%	-1.3%	4.0%	6.39	6.39	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	16	16	95	400	63	56	15	100%	5.9	15.7%	14.0%	1.7%	3.9%	6.10	6.05	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	81	342	55	47	13	100%	5.8	16.1%	13.6%	2.5%	3.8%	5.96	5.95	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	74	314	51	42	12	100%	6.2	16.3%	13.4%	2.8%	3.9%	5.92	5.95	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	69	291	47	39	12	100%	5.8	16.2%	13.5%	2.7%	4.0%	5.98	6.04	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	ATL	11	11	64	269	43	37	11	100%	5.8	15.8%	13.8%	2.0%	4.2%	6.12	6.22	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	7	7	41	173	27	24	7	100%	5.9	15.7%	14.0%	1.7%	3.9%	6.10	6.05	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	ATL	8	8	51	215	35	29	8	100%	6.4	16.1%	13.6%	2.5%	3.8%	5.96	5.95	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	56	236	39	32	9	100%	6.2	16.3%	13.4%	2.8%	3.9%	5.92	5.95	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	56	236	38	32	10	100%	6.2	16.2%	13.5%	2.7%	4.0%	5.98	6.04	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	55	232	37	32	10	100%	6.1	15.8%	13.8%	2.0%	4.2%	6.12	6.22	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	43	258	1091	175	149	43	100%	6.0	16.0%	13.7%	2.4%	4.0%	6.01	5.66	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	135	115	33	100%	6.0	16.0%	13.7%	2.4%	4.0%	6.01	5.66	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		39	38	169	751	104	101	35	97%	4.3	13.8%	13.5%	0.3%	4.7%	5.26	6.23	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	45	200	887	123	120	42	97%	4.3	13.8%	13.5%	0.3%	4.7%	5.26	6.23	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 109 IPFIP 6.13 → 7.37 (+1.24)K% 15.8% → 12.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.79%	—	×0.770	12.16%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.55%	—	×1.150	14.43%
HR / BF /BF	5.06%	÷1.000	×1.250	6.33%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 6.13 → 7.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 50 IPFIP 3.32 → 4.22 (+0.90)K% 21.0% → 15.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.95%	—	×0.740	15.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.52%	—	×1.180	11.24%
HR / BF /BF	1.43%	÷1.010	×1.300	1.84%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 3.32 → 4.22, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Rome Emperors · 3 IPFIP 6.52 → 8.57 (+2.05)K% 19.0% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.05%	—	×0.770	14.67%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	19.05%	—	×1.150	21.90%
HR / BF /BF	4.76%	÷0.831	×1.250	7.16%

Result: FIP 6.52 → 8.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAugusta GreenJackets · 7 IPFIP 2.45 → 3.48 (+1.03)K% 30.8% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.77%	—	×0.740	22.77%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.38%	—	×1.180	18.15%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.976	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.45 → 3.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cade Kuehler (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	4.0%	—	5.99	16.0%	2.3%	250	-0.40	—	—	—
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	80
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	78
Junior Mendez R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	22	SP	5.67	9.1%	10.6%	3.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	131	78
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	77
Thomas Farr R 2024 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP	5.38	12.6%	9.3%	4.0%	.295	5.61	10.6%	1.2%	83	+0.23	5.05	423	76
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	75
Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SP	5.42	16.7%	11.0%	4.3%	.256	5.72	11.7%	-3.6%	23	+0.30	4.31	315	75
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	75
Victor Mederos R 2024 · 5.51 FIP	23	SP	5.51	13.4%	12.6%	3.5%	.322	3.93	17.6%	8.4%	198	-1.58	3.73	394	75
Reid Birlingmair R 2021 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP	5.68	14.6%	13.5%	3.8%	.255	4.65	19.7%	7.9%	82	-1.03	2.49	326	74
Dom Hamel R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	25	SP	5.31	18.3%	11.9%	4.1%	.330	4.96	17.9%	8.8%	180	-0.35	3.61	547	74
Juan Carlos Sulbaran R 2015 · 6.02 FIP	25	SP-	6.02	14.1%	9.1%	5.4%	.298	4.65	15.0%	6.1%	146	-1.37	4.65	278	74
Nick Nastrini R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	24	SP	5.76	19.5%	14.6%	4.5%	.276	6.44	18.0%	-1.2%	47	+0.68	4.02	412	73
Johendí Jiminian R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP	5.25	14.0%	11.4%	3.5%	.282	4.41	13.9%	4.4%	94	-0.84	4.01	419	73
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	73
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	72
Paul Rigdon R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP	5.34	13.6%	11.1%	3.6%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	5.29	167	72
Osmer Morales R 2018 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP	5.33	16.9%	12.4%	3.8%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	429	71
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	71
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	85	15.3%	13.9%	1.53	6.11
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46
Wayne Franklin ('06)	1.6	81	14.8%	11.5%	1.59	5.54
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Lowell Palmer ('69-'74, -4 WAR*)	1.6	79	21.9%*	13.3%*	1.59*	6.09*
Jim Duckworth ('63-'66, -4 WAR*)	1.3	67	23.1%*	12.4%*	1.43*	6.15*