Reid Birlingmair
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 29
RHP
5'10" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
K%21.7%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 8 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 25% | 2.3 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 1.45 | 2.49 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 8 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 25% | 2.3 | 31.6% | 7.6% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 1.45 | 1.39 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | 24 | 21 | 123 | 520 | 120 | 50 | 12 | 88% | 5.1 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 4.70 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | 24 | 21 | 123 | 520 | 120 | 50 | 12 | 88% | 5.1 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 2.3% | 4.02 | 3.64 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 21 | 103 | 443 | 84 | 52 | 13 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.6% | 13.5% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 4.54 | 5.77 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 21 | 103 | 443 | 84 | 52 | 13 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.62 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 1.7 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 37.5% | 6.2% | 10.80 | 3.36 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 1.7 | 37.5% | 0.0% | 37.5% | 6.2% | 10.80 | 3.40 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 2.68 | 4.18 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.0% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 1.8% | 2.68 | 2.85 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 58 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 14.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.77 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 58 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 5.77 | 4.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.53 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 105 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 45 | 341 | 1484 | 261 | 179 | 47 | 37% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.90 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 26 | 200 | 870 | 153 | 105 | 28 | 37% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.90 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reid Birlingmair (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.91 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 30 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 73 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 72 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 72 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 71 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 70 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 70 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 69 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 69 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 69 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 68 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 68 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 67 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 66 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 66 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 66 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 66 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 65 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 65 |
| David Lebron R 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 31 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 1.23 | 4.81 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |