Reid Birlingmair
P
Frisco RoughRiders
+0.1
WAR
Age 29
RHP
5'10" / 210 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%10.4%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 8 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 1.45 | 2.49 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | 24 | 21 | 123 | 520 | 120 | 50 | 12 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 4.71 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 21 | 21 | 103 | 443 | 84 | 52 | 13 | 14.6% | 13.5% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | 10.80 | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 25 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 2.68 | 4.14 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 41 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 58 | 35 | 7 | 18.7% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 5.77 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 21.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 21.6% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 21.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 5.25 | 5.33 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 45 | 341 | 1484 | 261 | 179 | 47 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.86 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 26 | 200 | 870 | 153 | 105 | 28 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.86 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reid Birlingmair (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.83 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 129 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 88 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 83 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 81 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 81 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 80 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 80 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 79 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 79 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 78 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 78 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.