Thomas Farr
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 203 lbs
AA
ERA5.02
FIP5.02
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%16.7%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%7.5%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 4 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.90 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 22 | 20 | 99 | 436 | 102 | 37 | 15 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 4.80 | 5.04 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 25 | 115 | 496 | 82 | 43 | 15 | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 5.56 | 5.33 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 26 | 26 | 126 | 558 | 87 | 47 | 20 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 5.56 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 10.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 3.29 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 4 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | — | — | — | 9.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 44 | 24 | 9 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 69 | 289 | 50 | 24 | 12 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 5.45 | 4.53 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 45 | 24 | 8 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 44 | 23 | 8 | 17.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 39 | 22 | 8 | 17.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.09 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 37 | 21 | 8 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 16.7% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 16.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 15.9% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 5.53 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 74 | 398 | 1728 | 250 | 160 | 67 | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 5.08 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 37 | 200 | 868 | 126 | 80 | 34 | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 5.08 | 5.19 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Farr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 3.3% | — | 4.98 | 17.6% | 8.3% | 178 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 94 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 94 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 89 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 89 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.95 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.80 | 3.95 | 297 | 87 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 87 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.46 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 125 | 86 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.80 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .301 | 3.96 | 26.2% | 21.8% | 50 | -0.84 | 3.31 | 213 | 86 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 86 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 85 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.14 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 104 | 85 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.39 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 109 | 85 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 84 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 84 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 84 |
| Eder Llamas R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 83 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 83 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 83 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.52 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 169 | 83 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.87 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.27 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.40 | 3.27 | 313 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.