Thomas Farr
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 203 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%16.7%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 4 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 75% | 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.6% | 33.3% | 2.6% | 0.90 | 1.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 4 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 75% | 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.6% | 33.3% | 2.6% | 0.90 | 1.90 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 22 | 20 | 99 | 436 | 102 | 37 | 15 | 91% | 4.5 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 4.80 | 4.93 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 22 | 20 | 99 | 436 | 102 | 37 | 15 | 91% | 4.5 | 23.4% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 115 | 496 | 82 | 43 | 15 | 100% | 4.6 | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.56 | 5.35 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 115 | 496 | 82 | 43 | 15 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 5.56 | 4.49 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 26 | 26 | 126 | 558 | 87 | 47 | 20 | 100% | 4.9 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.56 | 5.21 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 26 | 26 | 126 | 558 | 87 | 47 | 20 | 100% | 4.9 | 15.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.56 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 10.2% | 9.7% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 3.29 | 5.04 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.29 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 20 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 9.5% | 12.9% | -3.4% | 4.0% | 6.11 | 6.15 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 71 | 302 | 45 | 31 | 10 | — | — | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.42 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.62 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 84 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 74 | 420 | 1819 | 256 | 176 | 67 | 61% | 3.4 | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 5.15 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 35 | 200 | 867 | 122 | 84 | 32 | 61% | 3.4 | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Farr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 3.2% | — | 5.00 | 17.2% | 7.9% | 42 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 83 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 82 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 80 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 80 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 80 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 79 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 78 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 77 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 77 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 76 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 76 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 76 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 75 |
| Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.27 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 345 | 75 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 75 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 1.25 | 4.98 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |