Kumar Rocker
P
Texas Rangers
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 245 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.17
K%21.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 150 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4894.4
Whiff%
p5025.2%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
SL+1.0 (38%)
CH (6%)
SI (31%)
FB (42%)
CT-1.1 (15%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 6 | 6 | 28 | 111 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 29.1% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 2.94 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 6 | 6 | 28 | 111 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 37.8% | 6.3% | 31.5% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 1.78 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 13 | 12 | 48 | 194 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 92% | 3.7 | 29.8% | 7.4% | 22.4% | 0.8% | 2.42 | 1.95 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 13 | 12 | 48 | 194 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 92% | 3.7 | 35.6% | 5.7% | 29.9% | 1.5% | 2.42 | 1.73 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 362 | 74 | 26 | 13 | 100% | 4.4 | 19.7% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 5.18 | 4.47 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 362 | 74 | 26 | 13 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 4.29 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 18 | 16 | 90 | 390 | 80 | 34 | 12 | 89% | 5.0 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.16 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 53 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 4.17 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 53 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.34 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 150 | 643 | 133 | 55 | 20 | — | — | 20.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.17 | +2.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 150 | 633 | 133 | 55 | 20 | — | — | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.38 | 4.19 | +2.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 68 | 286 | 60 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 66 | 278 | 58 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.66 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 63 | 265 | 54 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 49 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.92 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 57 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.60 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 56 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.67 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 52 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.77 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 84 | 469 | 2010 | 413 | 174 | 68 | 98% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.33 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 858 | 176 | 74 | 29 | 98% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 53 | 250 | 1057 | 241 | 83 | 30 | 95% | 4.5 | 22.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 3.73 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 42 | 200 | 847 | 193 | 67 | 24 | 95% | 4.5 | 22.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kumar Rocker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | — | 4.68 | 20.8% | 12.1% | 196 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 81 |
| Zack Wheeler R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.75 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .327 | 3.09 | 23.0% | 16.8% | 449 | -1.66 | 2.31 | 1,536 | 80 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 78 |
| Hunter Dobbins R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 463 | 76 |
| Andy Ferguson R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .262 | 3.13 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 33 | -0.44 | 3.13 | 137 | 76 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2024 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 76 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 75 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 75 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 75 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 74 |
| Jason Forjet R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.39 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 197 | 74 |
| Alex Williams R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.23 | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 322 | 74 |
| Caleb Kilian R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.78 | 16.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | .290 | 3.57 | 22.0% | 13.2% | 95 | -1.21 | 2.38 | 434 | 74 |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 74 |
| Mat Latos R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 74 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 74 |
| Joe Wieland R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.50 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 270 | 73 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .264 | 3.82 | 24.9% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.30 | 3.12 | 187 | 73 |
| Tim Atherton R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.73 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 101 | 73 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 65 | 20.8% | 8.6% | 1.34 | 4.71 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |