Zach Plesac — OGILVIE

Zach Plesac P Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA5.56

FIP6.06

K%13.3%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.2

Whiff%

p1018.8%

p109.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.421

CH (24%)

CU (5%)

SL-0.9 (26%)

FB-2.5 (44%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	A MLE	Lake County Captains	6	6	25	102	19	6	2	100%	4.2	13.8%	6.9%	6.8%	2.3%	3.60	4.05	—
2017	22	A RAW	Lake County Captains	6	6	25	102	19	6	2	100%	4.2	18.6%	5.9%	12.7%	2.0%	3.60	3.34	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	145	597	132	37	9	100%	5.6	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	2.0%	3.79	3.63	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	145	597	132	37	9	100%	5.6	22.1%	6.2%	15.9%	1.5%	3.79	2.85	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	31	179	713	153	49	21	100%	5.8	20.0%	7.0%	13.1%	3.0%	3.06	3.93	+2.1
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	31	179	713	153	49	21	100%	5.8	21.5%	6.9%	14.6%	2.9%	3.06	3.74	+2.5
2020	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	8	8	55	206	57	6	8	100%	6.9	27.7%	2.9%	24.8%	3.9%	2.28	3.27	+1.1
2020	25	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	8	8	55	206	57	6	8	100%	6.9	27.7%	2.9%	24.8%	3.9%	2.28	3.24	+1.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	147	618	106	35	24	100%	5.5	16.7%	5.5%	11.2%	3.9%	4.70	4.50	+0.7
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	147	618	106	35	24	100%	5.5	17.2%	5.7%	11.5%	3.9%	4.70	4.49	+0.7
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	137	585	105	38	19	96%	5.3	17.6%	6.7%	10.9%	3.4%	4.15	4.30	+1.0
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	137	585	105	38	19	96%	5.3	17.9%	6.5%	11.5%	3.2%	4.15	4.20	+1.1
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	116	514	85	47	33	96%	4.8	14.2%	8.3%	5.9%	6.8%	6.36	6.68	-2.2
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	116	514	85	47	33	96%	4.8	14.2%	8.3%	5.9%	6.8%	6.36	6.68	-2.2
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	116	514	85	47	33	96%	4.8	16.5%	9.1%	7.4%	6.4%	6.36	6.55	-2.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	112	487	70	40	23	95%	5.3	12.1%	7.5%	4.6%	5.6%	5.96	6.13	-1.5
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	112	487	70	40	23	95%	5.3	12.1%	7.5%	4.6%	5.6%	5.96	6.13	-1.5
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	20	112	487	70	40	23	95%	5.3	14.4%	8.2%	6.2%	4.7%	5.96	5.60	-0.9
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	15	14	59	268	47	31	13	93%	3.9	14.6%	10.4%	4.1%	6.1%	7.67	6.56	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	15	14	59	268	47	31	13	93%	3.9	14.6%	10.4%	4.1%	6.1%	7.67	6.56	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	15	14	59	268	47	31	13	93%	3.9	17.5%	11.6%	6.0%	4.9%	7.67	5.96	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			87	86	479	2006	364	129	76	99%	5.5	18.1%	6.4%	11.7%	3.8%	4.31	4.45	+2.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	STL	1	1	4	17	2	2	1	100%	4.0	13.3%	9.0%	4.3%	4.7%	5.56	6.06	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	STL	9	9	51	217	27	20	11	100%	5.7	12.5%	9.4%	3.1%	4.9%	6.01	6.31	-0.8
2028	33	MLB MLE	STL	8	8	47	199	23	20	10	100%	5.9	11.7%	9.8%	1.8%	5.2%	6.36	6.59	-0.9
2029	34	MLB MLE	STL	7	7	43	181	19	19	10	100%	6.1	10.8%	10.3%	0.4%	5.5%	6.68	6.90	-0.9
2027	32	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	51	215	27	20	11	100%	6.4	12.5%	9.4%	3.1%	4.9%	6.01	6.31	-0.8
2028	33	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	47	198	23	20	10	100%	5.9	11.7%	9.8%	1.8%	5.2%	6.36	6.59	-0.8
2029	34	MLB CTX	STL	7	7	43	182	20	19	10	100%	6.1	10.8%	10.3%	0.4%	5.5%	6.68	6.90	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	110	620	2603	434	188	107	99%	5.6	16.7%	7.2%	9.5%	4.1%	4.77	4.86	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	35	200	840	140	61	35	99%	5.6	16.7%	7.2%	9.5%	4.1%	4.77	4.86	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		184	180	975	4090	694	286	166	98%	5.3	17.0%	7.0%	10.0%	4.0%	4.54	4.78	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		38	37	200	839	142	59	34	98%	5.3	17.0%	7.0%	10.0%	4.0%	4.54	4.78	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Plesac (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.06	13.3%	9.0%	4.7%	—	6.58	11.7%	1.9%	141	+0.52	—	—	—
Alfredo Aceves R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	32	SP	4.98	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.93	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.05	4.78	160	79
André Rienzo R 2019 · 5.33 FIP	31	SP	5.33	17.9%	11.8%	4.1%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	200	75
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	74
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	72
Scott Carroll R 2016 · 4.94 FIP	31	SP	4.94	10.5%	8.6%	3.0%	.289	5.71	14.4%	5.8%	22	+0.77	3.92	248	71
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2016 · 4.92 FIP	31	SP-	4.92	14.9%	7.2%	4.0%	.277	5.19	16.3%	8.8%	259	+0.27	3.97	567	69
Cody Mincey R 2022 · 5.56 FIP	30	SP	5.56	13.9%	8.4%	4.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	147	68
Chris Heston R 2017 · 5.88 FIP	29	SP-	5.88	13.6%	10.0%	4.9%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	321	67
Elih Villanueva R 2017 · 5.48 FIP	31	SP	5.48	14.1%	6.0%	5.1%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	225	66
Mat Latos R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	29	SP	5.66	16.8%	11.2%	4.7%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	244	66
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	64
Justin De Fratus R 2019 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP	4.90	13.3%	6.4%	3.8%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	500	64
Adrian Garza R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	31	SP	5.18	9.7%	5.6%	4.0%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	229	63
A.J. Griffin R 2017 · 5.75 FIP	29	SP	5.75	18.0%	8.3%	5.7%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	5.35	196	61
Sean O'Sullivan R 2017 · 5.76 FIP	29	SP-	5.76	11.9%	11.7%	4.0%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	290	61
Jerad Eickhoff R 2021 · 5.76 FIP	31	SP	5.76	19.0%	6.7%	6.2%	.292	4.98	16.5%	8.9%	182	-0.78	3.87	875	60
Shawn Haviland R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	31	SP-	5.00	16.3%	8.1%	4.1%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	283	60
David Martinez R 2017 · 4.88 FIP	29	SP	4.88	15.0%	8.2%	3.7%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	297	60
Bryan Evans R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	31	SP	4.87	18.7%	4.7%	5.0%	.294	3.89	18.7%	8.3%	25	-0.98	3.89	231	59
Manny Barreda R 2019 · 5.21 FIP	30	SP	5.21	18.1%	9.5%	4.4%	.317	3.34	20.1%	12.9%	40	-1.87	3.30	376	58

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	12.1%	9.6%	1.95	6.11
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Adam Plutko ('21)	1.4	68	17.0%	7.2%	2.17	5.37
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
David Hess ('21)	1.0	68	17.4%	8.5%	2.66	6.24
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44