Zach Plesac
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 165 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 161152vR 143
ERA5.75
FIP6.37
K%14.0%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%3.8%
ROS IP165
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.2
Whiff%
p1018.8%
K%
p109.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.421
CH (24%)
CU (5%)
SL-0.9 (26%)
FB-2.5 (44%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | 6 | 6 | 25 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 3.93 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | 6 | 6 | 25 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.6% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 3.34 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 597 | 132 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 3.79 | 3.70 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 597 | 132 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 1.5% | 3.79 | 2.85 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 179 | 713 | 153 | 49 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.0% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 3.06 | 3.94 | +3.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 179 | 713 | 153 | 49 | 21 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 3.06 | 3.74 | +3.5 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 8 | 8 | 55 | 206 | 57 | 6 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.7% | 2.9% | 24.8% | 3.9% | 2.28 | 3.27 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 8 | 8 | 55 | 206 | 57 | 6 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 27.7% | 2.9% | 24.8% | 3.9% | 2.28 | 3.24 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 147 | 618 | 106 | 35 | 24 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.7% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.70 | 4.51 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 147 | 618 | 106 | 35 | 24 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.2% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 4.70 | 4.49 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 137 | 585 | 105 | 38 | 19 | 96% | 5.3 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.15 | 4.31 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 137 | 585 | 105 | 38 | 19 | 96% | 5.3 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.15 | 4.20 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 116 | 514 | 85 | 47 | 33 | 96% | 4.8 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.36 | 6.66 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 116 | 514 | 85 | 47 | 33 | 96% | 4.8 | 16.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.36 | 6.55 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 112 | 487 | 70 | 40 | 23 | 95% | 5.3 | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.96 | 6.62 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 112 | 487 | 70 | 40 | 23 | 95% | 5.3 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.96 | 5.60 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 15 | 14 | 59 | 268 | 47 | 31 | 13 | 93% | 3.9 | 15.4% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 7.67 | 7.31 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 15 | 14 | 59 | 268 | 47 | 31 | 13 | 93% | 3.9 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.67 | 5.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | STL | 26 | 26 | 154 | 648 | 90 | 66 | 33 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.75 | 6.37 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 79 | 63 | 32 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.28 | 6.63 | -2.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 550 | 68 | 61 | 31 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.3% | 5.6% | 6.66 | 6.91 | -2.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 79 | 63 | 32 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.28 | 6.63 | -2.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 68 | 61 | 31 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.3% | 5.6% | 6.66 | 6.91 | -2.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 132 | 131 | 751 | 3156 | 511 | 253 | 139 | 99% | 5.7 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 5.09 | 5.16 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 840 | 136 | 67 | 37 | 99% | 5.7 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 5.09 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 184 | 180 | 975 | 4090 | 703 | 302 | 172 | 98% | 5.3 | 17.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 4.54 | 4.89 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 37 | 200 | 839 | 144 | 62 | 35 | 98% | 5.3 | 17.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 4.54 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Plesac (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.37 | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | — | 6.76 | 12.7% | 1.9% | 272 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.37 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 4.4% | .283 | 4.35 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 144 | -1.02 | 3.91 | 577 | 79 |
| Scott Carroll R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.25 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .289 | 6.06 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 22 | +0.81 | 3.78 | 248 | 71 |
| Cody Mincey R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.46 | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 147 | 71 |
| David Fletcher R 2025 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 71 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.58 | 9.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 229 | 64 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.43 | 14.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | .277 | 5.21 | 16.3% | 8.8% | 259 | -0.22 | 3.84 | 567 | 62 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.72 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.5% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 569 | 59 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.39 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | .301 | 4.21 | 17.2% | 7.2% | 112 | -1.18 | 3.79 | 887 | 59 |
| Jerad Eickhoff R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.68 | 19.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | .292 | 4.98 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 182 | -0.70 | 3.92 | 875 | 58 |
| Chris Heston R 2024 · 6.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.01 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 321 | 57 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.44 | 10.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.44 | 117 | 56 |
| Nick Tepesch R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.38 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 276 | 55 |
| A.J. Griffin R 2024 · 5.79 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.79 | 18.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 196 | 55 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 31 | SP | 6.04 | 16.6% | 12.9% | 4.9% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.60 | 529 | 53 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.43 | 14.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 225 | 52 |
| Mat Latos R 2024 · 5.79 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.79 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 244 | 51 |
| Randy Wynne R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.58 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | .283 | 7.08 | 11.0% | 6.9% | 60 | +1.50 | 4.52 | 461 | 51 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.29 | 16.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | .288 | 3.73 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 126 | -1.56 | 3.73 | 550 | 50 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 50 |
| Chris Tillman R 2025 · 5.88 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.88 | 8.5% | 12.3% | 3.5% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 489 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 142 | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.05 | 6.21 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Jered Weaver ('17) | 3 | 126 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.83 | 5.15 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |