Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 15 | 14 | 69 | 298 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 93% | 4.6 | 13.9% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 4.02 | 3.49 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 15 | 14 | 69 | 298 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 93% | 4.6 | 20.5% | 3.4% | 17.1% | 1.3% | 4.02 | 2.52 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Burlington Bees | 25 | 25 | 117 | 501 | 78 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 11.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 3.85 | 3.30 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Burlington Bees | 25 | 25 | 117 | 501 | 78 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 15.6% | 4.2% | 11.4% | 1.2% | 3.85 | 2.97 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 142 | 576 | 117 | 31 | 14 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 2.80 | 4.35 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 142 | 576 | 117 | 31 | 14 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.3% | 5.4% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 2.80 | 3.39 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 147 | 615 | 117 | 52 | 19 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 3.42 | 4.39 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 147 | 615 | 117 | 52 | 19 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 3.42 | 4.25 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 23 | 131 | 592 | 119 | 37 | 40 | 79% | 4.5 | 19.2% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 7.63 | 6.05 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 23 | 131 | 592 | 119 | 37 | 40 | 79% | 4.5 | 20.1% | 6.2% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 7.63 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 7 | 5 | 32 | 132 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 71% | 4.6 | 20.5% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 3.62 | 3.43 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 7 | 5 | 32 | 132 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 71% | 4.6 | 20.5% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 2.3% | 3.62 | 3.38 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 106 | 460 | 69 | 27 | 18 | 91% | 4.6 | 14.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.51 | 5.27 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 106 | 460 | 69 | 27 | 18 | 91% | 4.6 | 15.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 4.51 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 35 | 1 | 79 | 316 | 54 | 19 | 11 | 3% | 2.3 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 2.61 | 4.40 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 35 | 1 | 79 | 316 | 54 | 19 | 11 | 3% | 2.3 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 2.61 | 4.26 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 34 | 6 | 82 | 362 | 62 | 24 | 20 | 18% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 5.68 | 5.64 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 34 | 6 | 82 | 362 | 62 | 24 | 20 | 18% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 5.68 | 5.63 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 13 | 1 | 24 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 1.9 | 24.7% | 6.6% | 18.2% | 2.0% | 4.81 | 2.96 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 13 | 1 | 24 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 1.9 | 28.1% | 6.2% | 21.9% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 2.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 80 | 337 | 72 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.56 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 74 | 315 | 65 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 57 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 64 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 57 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 158 | 86 | 606 | 2567 | 473 | 196 | 105 | 54% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 4.48 | 4.77 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 28 | 200 | 847 | 156 | 65 | 35 | 54% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 4.48 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 238 | 153 | 930 | 3948 | 653 | 246 | 150 | 64% | 3.9 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 4.31 | 4.58 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 33 | 200 | 849 | 140 | 53 | 32 | 64% | 3.9 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 4.31 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaime Barria (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | — | 4.91 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 143 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 78 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 78 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 77 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 77 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 76 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 72 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 72 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 71 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 71 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 71 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 69 |
| Jerome Williams R 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 69 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.07 | 16.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | .302 | 3.88 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 127 | -1.19 | 3.62 | 380 | 68 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 68 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 67 |
| Dylan Axelrod R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.75 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .304 | 4.43 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 133 | -0.32 | 4.43 | 251 | 66 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 66 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 74 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.39 | 4.74 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |