Jaime Barria P Columbus Clippers
Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.61
FIP4.56
K%21.3%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
K: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -3.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +7.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: +0.39 (79 IP)+0.4WAR
0.40.1-0.22628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP50
STUF6060
CTRL7070
CMD7070
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2993.0
Whiff%
p3322.9%
K%
p1517.1%
xwOBA vs
p160.352
SL+2.1
CH+1.2
FB-14.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201519ROKOrem Owlz1514692986110493%4.613.9%4.2%9.7%1.9%4.023.49
201519ROKOrem Owlz1514692986110493%4.620.5%3.4%17.1%1.3%4.022.52
201620ABurlington Bees252511750178216100%4.711.5%4.9%6.6%1.0%3.853.30
201620ABurlington Bees252511750178216100%4.715.6%4.2%11.4%1.2%3.852.97
201721MIX3 levels26261425761173114100%5.416.2%6.0%10.2%3.4%2.804.35
201721MIX3 levels26261425761173114100%5.420.3%5.4%14.9%2.4%2.803.39
201822MIX2 levels31311476151175219100%4.818.7%8.5%10.2%3.3%3.424.39+1.7
201822MIX2 levels31311476151175219100%4.819.0%8.5%10.6%3.1%3.424.25+2.0
201923MIX2 levels2923131592119374079%4.519.2%6.3%12.9%6.9%7.636.05-1.0
201923MIX2 levels2923131592119374079%4.520.1%6.2%13.9%6.8%7.636.10-1.1
202024MLBLos Angeles Angels7532132278371%4.620.5%6.1%14.4%2.4%3.623.43+0.4
202024MLBLos Angeles Angels7532132278371%4.620.5%6.1%14.4%2.3%3.623.38+0.4
202125MIX2 levels232110646069271891%4.614.1%6.0%8.2%4.7%4.515.27+0.2
202125MIX2 levels232110646069271891%4.615.0%5.9%9.1%3.9%4.514.78+0.8
202226MLBLos Angeles Angels351793165419113%2.317.1%6.0%11.1%3.6%2.614.40+0.5
202226MLBLos Angeles Angels351793165419113%2.317.1%6.0%11.1%3.5%2.614.26+0.7
202327MLBLos Angeles Angels3468236262242018%2.417.1%6.6%10.5%5.7%5.685.64-0.6
202327MLBLos Angeles Angels3468236262242018%2.417.1%6.6%10.5%5.5%5.685.63-0.6
202428AAAColumbus Clippers131249627628%1.924.7%6.6%18.2%2.0%4.812.96
202428AAAColumbus Clippers131249627628%1.928.1%6.2%21.9%2.1%4.812.69
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBCLE131380337722711100%6.121.3%8.1%13.2%3.4%4.614.56+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBCLE121274315652711100%6.220.5%8.5%12.1%3.6%4.724.79+0.1
202832MLBCLE111169291572611100%6.319.7%8.9%10.9%3.8%4.915.04-0.2
202731MLBCLE121274312642611100%6.220.5%8.5%12.1%3.6%4.724.79+0.0
202832MLBCLE111169291572611100%6.319.7%8.9%10.9%3.8%4.915.04-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career15886606256747319610554%3.818.4%7.6%10.8%4.1%4.484.77+4.5
/ 200 IP5228200847156653554%3.818.4%7.6%10.8%4.1%4.484.77+1.5
Career238153930394865324615064%3.916.5%6.2%10.3%3.8%4.314.58+9.0
/ 200 IP5133200849140533264%3.916.5%6.2%10.3%3.8%4.314.58+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jaime Barria (OGILVIE) 4.56 21.3%8.1%3.4% 4.91 20.1%11.5%143 +0.35
Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP 31 SP- 3.95 17.8%5.8%2.9%.312 5.48 15.2%11.6%35 +1.53 3.95 133 78
Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 78
Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 78
Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 30 SP- 4.30 17.0%8.5%2.9%.323 3.16 158 77
Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 30 SP- 3.37 21.4%8.2%1.9%.341 4.49 14.3%6.2%78 +1.12 3.37 205 77
Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 30 SP- 4.90 17.1%6.8%4.3%.296 4.88 15.2%7.6%214 -0.02 4.83 294 76
Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP 29 SP- 5.42 20.3%9.4%5.2%.276 4.57 22.8%15.0%117 -0.85 3.61 605 72
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 30 SP 3.84 17.4%7.1%2.4%.315 5.10 15.9%8.7%305 +1.26 3.84 567 72
David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 30 SP- 4.17 15.4%7.5%2.6%.299 3.66 17.1%11.3%114 -0.51 3.26 493 71
Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 30 SP- 4.76 20.9%9.8%4.0%.291 3.31 24.6%19.0%112 -1.45 2.75 902 71
Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 30 SP- 4.06 18.2%10.5%2.1%.307 3.76 17.3%6.4%196 -0.30 3.51 269 71
Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP 31 SW 4.69 13.5%6.6%3.5%.315 4.31 11.5%3.2%106 -0.38 4.31 219 69
Jerome Williams R 2029 · 4.79 FIP 33 SP- 4.79 13.4%5.6%3.8%.326 5.94 11.7%5.6%74 +1.15 4.79 195 69
Dillon Gee R 2026 · 5.07 FIP 30 SW 5.07 16.2%6.2%4.7%.302 3.88 18.0%12.1%127 -1.19 3.62 380 68
Kohei Arihara R 2025 · 4.67 FIP 29 SP- 4.67 16.4%7.2%3.7%.333 4.67 135 68
Daniel McCutchen R 2028 · 4.47 FIP 32 SP- 4.47 13.9%4.4%3.6%.268 4.60 10.8%4.9%155 +0.13 4.47 287 68
Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP 32 SP 5.00 15.0%8.3%3.8%.314 3.41 20.2%14.3%39 -1.59 3.41 144 67
Dylan Axelrod R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 30 SP- 4.75 14.1%6.6%3.6%.304 4.43 13.7%7.4%133 -0.32 4.43 251 66
Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.2%9.4%3.1%.317 3.55 327 66
Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 30 SP- 4.58 16.0%6.8%3.6%.293 5.01 17.2%9.8%170 +0.43 3.89 250 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37420.5%8.5%1.394.74
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20