Chase Anderson — OGILVIE

Chase Anderson P Texas Rangers

Age 38 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA5.00

FIP5.18

K%16.7%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3793.6

Whiff%

p4023.8%

p1116.5%

xwOBA vs

p330.332

CH+1.7 (30%)

SL+0.7 (15%)

SI (2%)

CU (4%)

CT-4.2 (34%)

FB-5.2 (17%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	157	656	114	38	18	100%	5.6	17.3%	5.9%	11.4%	2.8%	4.19	3.92	+1.8
2015	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	157	656	114	38	18	100%	5.6	17.4%	5.8%	11.6%	2.7%	4.19	3.87	+1.9
2016	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	31	30	152	647	120	53	28	97%	4.9	18.5%	8.2%	10.4%	4.1%	4.39	4.83	+0.1
2016	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	31	30	152	647	120	53	28	97%	4.9	18.5%	8.2%	10.4%	4.3%	4.39	4.97	-0.1
2017	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	149	600	138	42	15	100%	5.5	23.4%	7.0%	16.3%	2.3%	2.90	3.30	+2.9
2017	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	149	600	138	42	15	100%	5.5	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.5%	2.90	3.40	+2.7
2018	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	30	30	158	644	128	57	30	100%	5.3	19.9%	8.9%	11.0%	4.4%	3.93	4.98	-0.1
2018	30	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	30	30	158	644	128	57	30	100%	5.3	19.9%	8.9%	11.0%	4.7%	3.93	5.03	-0.2
2019	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	28	143	607	130	48	24	85%	4.3	20.9%	8.1%	12.8%	3.7%	4.22	4.39	+0.9
2019	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	28	143	607	130	48	24	85%	4.3	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	4.0%	4.22	4.47	+0.7
2020	32	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	10	7	34	154	38	10	11	70%	3.4	24.7%	6.5%	18.2%	7.1%	7.22	5.76	-0.3
2020	32	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	10	7	34	154	38	10	11	70%	3.4	24.7%	6.5%	18.2%	7.1%	7.22	5.98	-0.4
2021	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	80	358	63	32	17	71%	3.3	16.7%	9.1%	7.5%	4.8%	6.05	5.51	-0.6
2021	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	17	80	358	63	32	17	71%	3.3	17.6%	8.9%	8.7%	4.7%	6.05	5.48	-0.5
2022	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	23	104	448	95	44	19	64%	2.9	19.3%	10.1%	9.1%	4.4%	4.93	5.18	-0.3
2022	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	23	104	448	95	44	19	64%	2.9	21.2%	9.8%	11.4%	4.2%	4.93	4.92	-0.0
2023	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	115	499	85	51	22	92%	4.4	16.3%	9.9%	6.5%	4.1%	5.17	5.20	-0.4
2023	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	115	499	85	51	22	92%	4.4	16.3%	9.9%	6.5%	4.1%	5.17	5.20	-0.4
2023	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	115	499	85	51	22	92%	4.4	17.0%	10.2%	6.8%	4.4%	5.17	5.44	-0.7
2024	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	5	70	312	54	25	15	15%	2.1	16.7%	7.9%	8.8%	4.7%	5.66	5.28	-0.6
2024	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	5	70	312	54	25	15	15%	2.1	16.7%	7.9%	8.8%	4.7%	5.66	5.28	-0.6
2024	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	5	70	312	54	25	15	15%	2.1	17.3%	8.0%	9.3%	4.8%	5.66	5.41	-0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			226	180	993	4191	818	333	166	80%	4.4	19.5%	7.9%	11.6%	4.0%	4.45	4.63	+3.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	38	MLB	TEX	1	1	4	17	3	1	1	100%	4.0	16.7%	8.7%	8.0%	3.6%	5.00	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	39	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	46	196	31	18	8	100%	5.8	15.6%	9.4%	6.2%	4.1%	5.36	5.61	-0.4
2028	40	MLB MLE	TEX	7	7	40	168	24	17	8	100%	5.7	14.4%	10.1%	4.3%	4.5%	5.77	6.04	-0.5
2027	39	MLB CTX	TEX	8	8	46	194	30	18	9	100%	5.8	15.6%	9.4%	6.2%	4.4%	5.53	5.78	-0.4
2028	40	MLB CTX	TEX	7	7	40	169	24	17	8	100%	5.7	14.4%	10.1%	4.3%	4.9%	5.96	6.23	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		240	194	1079	4555	873	369	183	81%	4.5	19.2%	8.1%	11.1%	4.0%	4.55	4.71	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		45	36	200	844	162	68	34	81%	4.5	19.2%	8.1%	11.1%	4.0%	4.55	4.71	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		278	219	1161	4925	947	402	193	79%	4.2	19.2%	8.2%	11.1%	3.9%	4.49	4.66	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	38	200	848	163	69	33	79%	4.2	19.2%	8.2%	11.1%	3.9%	4.49	4.66	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chase Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	16.7%	8.7%	3.6%	—	5.81	15.0%	5.3%	86	+0.63	—	—	—
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	69
Logan Ondrusek R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	36	SP	4.34	19.2%	7.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	138	68
Ryan Vogelsong R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	38	SP-	4.45	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	.295	4.79	16.7%	6.3%	82	+0.34	4.45	217	66
Jeremy Guthrie R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	37	SP	4.85	11.6%	8.6%	3.0%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	235	62
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	59
Kyle Lohse R 2016 · 4.97 FIP	37	SP	4.97	14.8%	6.0%	4.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	211	59
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	59
Sergio Mitre R 2019 · 4.54 FIP	38	SP	4.54	11.8%	6.5%	2.9%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	156	59
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	55
Chris Smith R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	36	SP-	5.08	15.6%	7.5%	4.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	413	54
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	54
J.D. Martin R 2019 · 5.89 FIP	36	SP	5.89	13.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	289	53
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2017 · 6.31 FIP	36	SP	6.31	12.5%	9.4%	5.6%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	360	53
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	53
Colby Lewis R 2016 · 4.67 FIP	36	SP	4.67	15.5%	5.9%	3.9%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	321	49
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	46
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	42
Adam Wainwright R 2020 · 4.11 FIP	38	SP	4.11	20.6%	5.7%	3.7%	.245	3.99	17.8%	11.2%	499	-0.12	2.03	1,127	42
John Lackey R 2017 · 5.05 FIP	38	SP	5.05	20.4%	6.8%	5.1%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	577	40
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	36

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	15.7%	9.4%	1.57	5.34
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14