Chase Anderson
P
Texas Rangers
+0.0
WAR
Age 38
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
MLB
ERA5.20
FIP5.05
xFIP5.53
SIERA4.83
K%19.0%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%10.1%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4545
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
CH+1.7 (30%)
SL+0.7 (15%)
SI (2%)
CU (4%)
CT-4.2 (34%)
FB-5.2 (17%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 157 | 656 | 114 | 38 | 18 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.19 | 4.07 | +2.2 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 31 | 30 | 152 | 647 | 120 | 53 | 28 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 4.39 | 4.89 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 27 | 27 | 149 | 600 | 138 | 42 | 15 | 23.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 2.90 | 3.30 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 158 | 644 | 128 | 57 | 30 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 3.93 | 4.91 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 33 | 28 | 143 | 607 | 130 | 48 | 24 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 4.22 | 4.46 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 10 | 7 | 34 | 154 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 24.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.22 | 5.71 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 24 | 17 | 80 | 358 | 63 | 32 | 17 | 16.7% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 6.05 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 36 | 23 | 104 | 448 | 95 | 44 | 19 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 4.93 | 5.22 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 26 | 24 | 115 | 499 | 85 | 51 | 22 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 5.17 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 33 | 5 | 70 | 312 | 54 | 25 | 15 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.66 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | MIL | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 42 | 20 | 8 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | MIL | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 8 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 278 | 219 | 1161 | 4925 | 948 | 406 | 198 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.49 | 4.72 | +7.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 38 | 200 | 848 | 163 | 70 | 34 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.49 | 4.72 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 3.7% | — | 5.28 | 17.6% | 8.4% | 50 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 81 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 38 | SW | 5.44 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 225 | 79 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 71 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.32 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 720 | 70 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 69 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 69 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 68 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.56 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 183 | 67 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.33 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 174 | 67 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 66 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.22 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 394 | 63 |
| Joe Blanton R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 240 | 63 |
| Seunghwan Oh R 2025 · 5.68 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.68 | 18.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | .383 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.80 | 226 | 61 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.16 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 219 | 59 |
| Adam Wainwright R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.99 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .245 | 3.91 | 17.8% | 11.2% | 499 | -0.08 | 2.03 | 1,127 | 59 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 59 |
| Chris Young R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.54 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 242 | 58 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma R 2024 · 6.12 FIP | 36 | SU | 6.12 | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 360 | 57 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2024 · 5.58 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.58 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | .150 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.89 | 174 | 56 |
| Pat Neshek R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.41 | 11.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.56 | 206 | 56 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.