Chase Anderson
P
Texas Rangers
Age 38
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA5.00
FIP5.19
K%16.9%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
CH+1.7 (30%)
SL+0.7 (15%)
SI (2%)
CU (4%)
CT-4.2 (34%)
FB-5.2 (17%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 157 | 656 | 114 | 38 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 3.86 | +2.8 |
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 157 | 656 | 114 | 38 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.4% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 3.87 | +2.8 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 31 | 30 | 152 | 647 | 120 | 53 | 28 | 97% | 4.9 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 4.39 | 5.05 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 31 | 30 | 152 | 647 | 120 | 53 | 28 | 97% | 4.9 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 4.39 | 4.97 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 600 | 138 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.4% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 2.90 | 3.42 | +3.4 |
| 2017 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 149 | 600 | 138 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.0% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 2.5% | 2.90 | 3.40 | +3.5 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 158 | 644 | 128 | 57 | 30 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.93 | 5.21 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 30 | 158 | 644 | 128 | 57 | 30 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 3.93 | 5.03 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 28 | 143 | 607 | 130 | 48 | 24 | 85% | 4.3 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 4.22 | 4.58 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 28 | 143 | 607 | 130 | 48 | 24 | 85% | 4.3 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 4.22 | 4.47 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 10 | 7 | 34 | 154 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 70% | 3.4 | 24.7% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 7.1% | 7.22 | 5.76 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 10 | 7 | 34 | 154 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 70% | 3.4 | 24.7% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 7.1% | 7.22 | 5.98 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 80 | 358 | 63 | 32 | 17 | 71% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.05 | 5.62 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 80 | 358 | 63 | 32 | 17 | 71% | 3.3 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 6.05 | 5.48 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 23 | 104 | 448 | 95 | 44 | 19 | 64% | 2.9 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 4.93 | 5.13 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 23 | 104 | 448 | 95 | 44 | 19 | 64% | 2.9 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 4.93 | 4.92 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 115 | 499 | 85 | 51 | 22 | 92% | 4.4 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.17 | 4.99 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 115 | 499 | 85 | 51 | 22 | 92% | 4.4 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.17 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 5 | 70 | 312 | 54 | 25 | 15 | 15% | 2.1 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.66 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 5 | 70 | 312 | 54 | 25 | 15 | 15% | 2.1 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 5.66 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 46 | 196 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.37 | 5.62 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.78 | 6.05 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.40 | 5.65 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.81 | 6.08 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 240 | 194 | 1079 | 4555 | 873 | 369 | 182 | 81% | 4.5 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.54 | 4.70 | +8.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 68 | 34 | 81% | 4.5 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.54 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 278 | 219 | 1161 | 4925 | 948 | 406 | 200 | 79% | 4.2 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 4.49 | 4.75 | +8.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 38 | 200 | 848 | 163 | 70 | 34 | 79% | 4.2 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 4.49 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% | — | 5.82 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 86 | +0.63 | — | — | — |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.35 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 138 | 68 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 66 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2024 · 5.23 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.23 | 13.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.91 | 241 | 61 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2025 · 5.90 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.90 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 407 | 59 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.00 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 235 | 59 |
| Tim Hudson R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 59 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.48 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.48 | 156 | 58 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 55 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2025 · 5.53 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.53 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 211 | 55 |
| Chris Smith R 2024 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.11 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 413 | 53 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.41 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.33 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.08 | 3.92 | 375 | 53 |
| J.D. Martin R 2024 · 5.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.98 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 289 | 53 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2024 · 5.68 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.68 | 6.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.91 | 172 | 53 |
| Colby Lewis R 2024 · 4.70 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.70 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 47 |
| John Lackey R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 577 | 45 |
| Adam Wainwright R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.98 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .245 | 3.89 | 17.8% | 11.2% | 499 | -0.09 | 2.03 | 1,127 | 43 |
| Aaron Harang R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 42 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.60 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 138 | 36 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 36 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 36 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 15.8% | 9.5% | 1.57 | 5.34 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |