Tyler Chatwood

P Reno Aces
Age 37 RHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA
Overview
AAARPLAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202131MIX2 levels410424.463.8623.8%16.9%0.3K 26.2% · BB 14.5% · FIP 3.54
202333MIX3 levels152162.764.5712.5%14.1%—K 12.5% · BB 14.1% · FIP 4.68
202434MIX2 levels31222.508.106.7%26.7%—K 6.7% · BB 26.7% · FIP 5.91
202535No MLB games played
202636No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2021
K%72
FB Velo68
xwOBA vs39
ERA—
FIP—
K%—
BB%—
K-BB%—
Proj IP—
Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p8931.4%
K%
p7226.2%
xwOBA vs
p390.324

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
201121MLB MLELos Angeles Angels272514263374671493%5.311.7%10.6%1.1%2.2%4.754.64+1.2
201121MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels272514263374671493%5.311.7%10.6%1.1%2.2%4.754.75+1.1
201222MLB MLEColorado Rockies1912652944131963%3.413.9%10.5%3.4%2.7%5.434.75+0.5
201222MLB RAWColorado Rockies1912652944131963%3.413.9%10.5%3.4%3.1%5.435.08+0.2
201323MLB MLEColorado Rockies202011147666365100%5.613.9%7.6%6.3%0.9%3.153.40+2.7
201323MLB RAWColorado Rockies202011147666365100%5.613.9%7.6%6.3%1.1%3.153.47+2.6
201424MLB MLEColorado Rockies44241012084100%6.019.8%7.9%11.9%3.5%4.504.36+0.3
201424MLB RAWColorado Rockies44241012084100%6.019.8%7.9%11.9%4.0%4.504.60+0.2
201525A+ MLEModesto Nuts22417521100%2.029.4%11.8%17.6%5.9%2.255.34—
201525A+ RAWModesto Nuts22417521100%2.029.4%11.8%17.6%5.9%2.255.35—
201626MIX MLE3 levels29291677051237115100%5.817.5%10.2%7.3%2.0%3.664.00+2.8
201626MIX RAW3 levels29291677051237115100%5.817.4%10.1%7.4%2.1%3.664.07+2.6
201727MLB MLEColorado Rockies3325148631120752076%4.519.0%11.9%7.1%2.8%4.694.54+1.5
201727MLB RAWColorado Rockies3325148631120752076%4.519.0%11.9%7.1%3.2%4.694.76+1.1
201828MIX MLE2 levels262211051989104985%4.217.5%19.3%-1.9%1.9%5.555.13+0.3
201828MIX RAW2 levels262211051989104985%4.217.1%20.0%-2.9%1.7%5.555.37+0.0
201929MLB MLEChicago Cubs385773247437813%2.022.8%11.4%11.4%2.6%3.764.03+0.5
201929MLB RAWChicago Cubs385773247437813%2.022.8%11.4%11.4%2.5%3.763.97+0.5
202030MLB MLEChicago Cubs5519862592100%3.729.1%10.5%18.6%2.4%5.303.30+0.5
202030MLB RAWChicago Cubs5519862592100%3.729.1%10.5%18.6%2.3%5.303.26+0.5
202131MIX MLE2 levels41042189453220%1.026.2%14.5%11.7%1.5%4.463.54+0.5
202131MIX RAW2 levels41042189453220%1.023.8%16.9%6.9%1.1%4.463.86+0.3
202333MIX MLE3 levels152166489113%1.112.5%14.1%-1.6%1.6%2.764.68—
202333MIX RAW3 levels152166489113%1.112.5%14.1%-1.6%1.6%2.764.57—
202434MIX MLE2 levels3121514033%0.76.7%26.7%-20.0%0.0%22.505.91—
202434MIX MLE2 levels3121514033%0.76.7%26.7%-20.0%0.0%22.505.91—
202434MIX RAW2 levels3121514033%0.76.7%26.7%-20.0%0.0%22.508.10—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career—22914387938456604468862%3.817.2%11.6%5.6%2.3%4.454.42+10.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW22914387938456604468862%3.817.2%11.6%5.6%2.3%4.454.38+10.6
/ 200 IP— RAW52332008751501022062%3.817.2%11.6%5.6%2.3%4.454.38+2.4
Career— MLE26215292740546984778758%3.517.2%11.8%5.4%2.1%4.404.31+10.1
/ 200 IP— MLE57332008741501031958%3.517.2%11.8%5.4%2.1%4.404.31+2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 ABradenton Marauders · 7 IPFIP 6.23 → 7.56 (+1.33)K% 12.9% → 9.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF12.90%—×0.7409.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF19.35%—×1.18022.84%
HR / BF /BF3.23%÷0.971×1.3004.32%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).

Result: FIP 6.23 → 7.56, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAReno Aces · 8 IPFIP 3.80 → 3.76 (−0.05)K% 6.7% → 5.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF6.67%—×0.8605.73%
BB% (unintentional) /BF10.00%—×0.9009.00%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.012×1.1000.00%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 3.80 → 3.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 10 IPFIP 4.92 → 5.24 (+0.32)K% 15.9% → 14.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF15.91%—×0.88014.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF25.00%—×1.05026.25%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.995×1.1000.00%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).

Result: FIP 4.92 → 5.24, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAIowa Cubs · 7 IPFIP 5.91 → 6.23 (+0.31)K% 12.1% → 10.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF12.12%—×0.88010.67%
BB% (unintentional) /BF30.30%—×1.05031.82%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.919×1.1000.00%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 84).

Result: FIP 5.91 → 6.23, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).