Miles Mikolas
P
Washington Nationals
Age 37
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2026
ILSuspended # days (SU)
2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131121vR 112
ERA5.01
FIP4.99
K%13.5%
BB%5.1%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p1014.3%
K%
p1012.5%
xwOBA vs
p240.342
SI (25%)
CU (14%)
FB-1.0 (50%)
SL-4.6 (28%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 201 | 808 | 146 | 25 | 16 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.1% | 3.1% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 2.83 | 3.06 | +5.5 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 201 | 808 | 146 | 25 | 16 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.1% | 3.1% | 15.0% | 2.0% | 2.83 | 3.06 | +5.5 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 184 | 764 | 144 | 31 | 27 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.8% | 4.1% | 14.8% | 3.6% | 4.16 | 3.97 | +3.1 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 184 | 764 | 144 | 31 | 27 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.8% | 4.1% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 4.16 | 3.95 | +3.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 17 | 81 | 328 | 59 | 17 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.4% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.09 | 4.21 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 17 | 81 | 328 | 59 | 17 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.0% | 5.2% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.09 | 4.03 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 32 | 202 | 805 | 153 | 39 | 25 | 97% | 6.1 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 3.29 | 3.82 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 32 | 202 | 805 | 153 | 39 | 25 | 97% | 6.1 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 3.29 | 3.77 | +3.9 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 35 | 35 | 201 | 860 | 137 | 39 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.9% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.00 | +3.3 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 35 | 35 | 201 | 860 | 137 | 39 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.9% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.00 | +3.3 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 172 | 720 | 122 | 25 | 26 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.9% | 3.5% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 5.35 | 4.10 | +2.6 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 172 | 720 | 122 | 25 | 26 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.9% | 3.5% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 5.35 | 4.08 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 156 | 669 | 100 | 36 | 29 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 4.84 | 4.91 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 156 | 669 | 100 | 36 | 29 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 4.84 | 4.92 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 20 | 8 | 94 | 399 | 50 | 20 | 20 | 40% | 4.7 | 12.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.53 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 5.01 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 5.01 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 37 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 118 | 500 | 64 | 25 | 24 | — | — | 12.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.43 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 37 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 118 | 499 | 64 | 25 | 24 | — | — | 12.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.43 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 122 | 514 | 65 | 30 | 25 | 100% | 6.1 | 12.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.61 | 5.78 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 105 | 442 | 51 | 29 | 23 | 100% | 6.2 | 11.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.97 | 6.21 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 122 | 515 | 65 | 30 | 25 | 100% | 6.1 | 12.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.61 | 5.78 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 105 | 443 | 51 | 29 | 23 | 100% | 6.2 | 11.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.97 | 6.21 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 284 | 248 | 1506 | 6268 | 1012 | 289 | 227 | 87% | 5.3 | 16.1% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.31 | +19.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 33 | 200 | 833 | 134 | 38 | 30 | 87% | 5.3 | 16.1% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 232 | 219 | 1292 | 5353 | 906 | 233 | 180 | 94% | 5.6 | 16.9% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.25 | 4.07 | +20.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 34 | 200 | 829 | 140 | 36 | 28 | 94% | 5.6 | 16.9% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 3.4% | 4.25 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miles Mikolas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | — | 5.98 | 12.1% | 6.0% | 226 | +1.06 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Harang R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 40 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 450 | 39 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.16 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 393 | 39 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 39 |
| Tim Hudson R 2029 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 37 |
| Walter Silva R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.95 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.96 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | +0.01 | 3.68 | 428 | 37 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.41 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.33 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.08 | 3.92 | 375 | 37 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 35 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.22 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 171 | 35 |
| Dan Haren R 2023 · 4.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.40 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 187 | 35 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.23 | 13.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.91 | 241 | 34 |
| J.D. Martin R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.98 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 289 | 34 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.19 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 264 | 34 |
| Colby Lewis R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.70 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 34 |
| James Shields R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 720 | 33 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2026 · 5.90 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.90 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98 | 407 | 33 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.11 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 273 | 33 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.02 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.48 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.54 | 4.48 | 156 | 32 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.00 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 235 | 32 |
| Chris Smith R 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.11 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 413 | 31 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 115 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.78 | 5.49 |
| Jered Weaver ('17) | 3 | 126 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.83 | 5.15 |
| Jordan Zimmermann ('19) | 5 | 142 | 17.2% | 5.2% | 1.44 | 5.06 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Phil Hughes ('18) | 4 | 75 | 15.2% | 4.0% | 1.89 | 5.18 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Bartolo Colon ('18) | 4 | 169 | 15.1% | 4.0% | 1.45 | 4.80 |