Miles Mikolas
P
Washington Nationals
+0.5
WAR
Age 37
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.94
FIP4.92
xFIP5.04
SIERA4.88
K%16.3%
BB%5.1%
K-BB%11.2%
IP139
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
K†3030
FB Velo
p2292.5
Whiff%
p1720.6%
K%
p1015.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.364
SI (23%)
CU (15%)
FB-1.0 (49%)
SL-4.6 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 201 | 808 | 146 | 25 | 16 | 18.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.83 | 3.13 | +4.9 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 184 | 764 | 144 | 31 | 27 | 18.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.16 | 4.23 | +2.2 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 17 | 17 | 81 | 328 | 59 | 17 | 11 | 16.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.09 | 4.27 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 32 | 202 | 805 | 153 | 39 | 25 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.29 | 3.72 | +3.6 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 35 | 35 | 201 | 860 | 137 | 39 | 26 | 15.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 3.99 | +3.0 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 172 | 720 | 122 | 25 | 26 | 16.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.35 | 4.10 | +2.3 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 156 | 669 | 100 | 36 | 29 | 14.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.84 | 5.07 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 4 | 3 | 16 | 81 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 11.49 | 7.43 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | STL | 19 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 67 | 27 | 19 | 15.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.02 | 4.97 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 37 | MLB | STL | — | — | 120 | 519 | 78 | 36 | 25 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.87 | 5.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | STL | 17 | 17 | 94 | 399 | 57 | 26 | 18 | 14.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.56 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 216 | 214 | 1213 | 5035 | 867 | 222 | 172 | 17.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.08 | +16.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 830 | 143 | 37 | 28 | 17.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.08 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miles Mikolas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 15.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | — | 5.61 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 94 | +0.64 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ortega R 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.51 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.23 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.28 | 4.03 | 375 | 40 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 450 | 40 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 39 |
| Walter Silva R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 38 |
| J.D. Martin R 2025 · 5.87 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.87 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.85 | 289 | 38 |
| Tim Hudson R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 38 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2025 · 5.18 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.18 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 273 | 36 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 264 | 36 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.35 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 171 | 36 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 37 | SP- | 5.76 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 407 | 35 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.47 | 6.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 172 | 34 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.87 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 235 | 34 |
| Colby Lewis R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 33 |
| Jake Peavy R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 262 | 33 |
| Chris Smith R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 413 | 33 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.47 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 393 | 27 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.44 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.88 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.44 | 4.44 | 217 | 26 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.85 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.54 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.31 | 4.54 | 156 | 26 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2024 · 5.60 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.60 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 261 | 25 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 25 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.