Miles Mikolas — OGILVIE

Miles Mikolas P Washington Nationals

Age 37 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA4.97

FIP5.00

K%12.7%

BB%4.8%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3293.2

Whiff%

p1014.5%

p1011.6%

xwOBA vs

p150.354

SI (24%)

CU (15%)

FB-1.0 (49%)

SL-4.6 (28%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	29	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	201	808	146	25	16	100%	6.3	18.1%	3.1%	15.0%	2.1%	2.83	3.13	+4.4
2018	29	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	201	808	146	25	16	100%	6.3	18.1%	3.1%	15.0%	2.0%	2.83	3.06	+4.7
2019	30	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	184	764	144	31	27	100%	5.8	18.8%	4.1%	14.8%	3.8%	4.16	4.11	+1.7
2019	30	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	184	764	144	31	27	100%	5.8	18.8%	4.1%	14.8%	3.5%	4.16	3.95	+2.1
2021	32	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	17	81	328	59	17	11	100%	4.8	16.4%	5.5%	10.9%	3.4%	4.09	4.27	+0.6
2021	32	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	17	81	328	59	17	11	100%	4.8	18.0%	5.2%	12.8%	3.4%	4.09	4.03	+0.8
2022	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	33	32	202	805	153	39	25	97%	6.1	19.0%	4.8%	14.2%	3.3%	3.29	3.94	+2.3
2022	33	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	33	32	202	805	153	39	25	97%	6.1	19.0%	4.8%	14.2%	3.1%	3.29	3.77	+2.8
2023	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	35	35	201	860	137	39	26	100%	5.8	15.9%	4.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.78	4.11	+1.9
2023	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	35	35	201	860	137	39	26	100%	5.8	15.9%	4.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.78	4.11	+1.9
2023	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	35	35	201	860	137	39	26	100%	5.8	15.9%	4.5%	11.4%	3.0%	4.78	4.00	+2.2
2024	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	172	720	122	25	26	100%	5.4	16.9%	3.5%	13.5%	3.9%	5.35	4.24	+1.3
2024	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	172	720	122	25	26	100%	5.4	16.9%	3.5%	13.5%	3.9%	5.35	4.24	+1.3
2024	35	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	32	32	172	720	122	25	26	100%	5.4	16.9%	3.5%	13.5%	3.6%	5.35	4.08	+1.7
2025	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	31	31	156	669	100	36	29	100%	5.0	14.9%	5.4%	9.6%	4.7%	4.84	5.08	-0.3
2025	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	31	31	156	669	100	36	29	100%	5.0	14.9%	5.4%	9.6%	4.7%	4.84	5.08	-0.3
2025	36	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	31	31	156	669	100	36	29	100%	5.0	14.9%	5.4%	9.6%	4.3%	4.84	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			229	214	1277	5310	891	229	182	93%	5.6	16.8%	4.3%	12.5%	3.4%	4.31	4.10	+12.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	37	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	25	11	116	498	58	23	27	44%	4.6	11.6%	4.6%	7.0%	5.4%	5.82	5.68	-1.5
YTD	37	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	25	11	116	498	58	23	27	44%	4.6	11.6%	4.6%	7.0%	5.4%	5.82	5.68	-1.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	37	MLB RAW	WSH	25	11	116	498	58	23	27	44%	4.6	11.6%	4.6%	7.0%	5.4%	5.82	5.68	-1.5
SO FAR	37	MLB RAW	WSH	25	11	116	498	58	23	27	44%	4.6	11.6%	4.6%	7.0%	5.4%	5.82	5.68	-1.5
ROS	37	MLB MLE	WSH	10	0	11	46	6	2	2	0%	1.1	12.7%	4.8%	7.9%	4.3%	4.97	5.00	-0.1
ROS	37	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	11	46	6	2	2	0%	1.1	12.7%	4.8%	7.9%	4.3%	4.97	5.00	-0.1
2026 TOT	37	MLB MLE	WSH	—	—	127	544	64	25	29	—	—	11.7%	4.6%	7.1%	5.3%	5.75	5.62	-1.0
FULL	37	MLB A+C	WSH	—	—	127	536	64	25	29	—	—	11.9%	4.7%	7.2%	5.4%	5.75	5.66	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	WSH	20	20	122	514	61	28	27	100%	6.1	11.9%	5.5%	6.4%	5.2%	5.83	6.02	-1.5
2028	39	MLB MLE	WSH	17	17	105	442	48	27	25	100%	6.2	10.8%	6.2%	4.5%	5.6%	6.20	6.45	-1.7
2027	38	MLB CTX	WSH	20	20	122	515	61	28	27	100%	6.1	11.9%	5.5%	6.4%	5.2%	5.83	6.02	-1.5
2028	39	MLB CTX	WSH	17	17	105	443	48	28	25	100%	6.2	10.8%	6.2%	4.5%	5.6%	6.20	6.45	-1.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		276	251	1514	6312	1006	287	236	91%	5.5	15.9%	4.5%	11.4%	3.7%	4.56	4.38	+9.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	33	200	834	133	38	31	91%	5.5	15.9%	4.5%	11.4%	3.7%	4.56	4.38	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		237	222	1314	5452	914	236	198	94%	5.5	16.8%	4.3%	12.4%	3.6%	4.30	4.23	+8.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		36	34	200	830	139	36	30	94%	5.5	16.8%	4.3%	12.4%	3.6%	4.30	4.23	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miles Mikolas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	15.4%	5.1%	4.0%	—	6.22	11.4%	5.5%	226	+1.18	—	—	—
James Shields R 2018 · 4.85 FIP	36	SP	4.85	17.7%	9.0%	3.8%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	720	62
Adam Wainwright R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	37	SP	4.08	20.5%	7.7%	3.2%	.310	3.65	19.6%	13.5%	464	-0.43	2.03	1,127	54
Colby Lewis R 2016 · 4.67 FIP	36	SP	4.67	15.5%	5.9%	3.9%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	321	50
Jeremy Guthrie R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	37	SP	4.85	11.6%	8.6%	3.0%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	235	43
Roberto Hernandez R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP	4.38	13.8%	7.0%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	171	42
Alfredo Simon R 2016 · 5.55 FIP	35	SP-	5.55	12.3%	9.6%	4.1%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	261	40
Kyle Lohse R 2016 · 4.97 FIP	37	SP	4.97	14.8%	6.0%	4.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	211	40
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	39
Jake Peavy R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP-	4.35	19.6%	6.7%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	262	39
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	39
Edgar Gonzalez R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	36	SP	4.58	12.3%	5.8%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	450	39
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	240	38
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	37
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	37
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	37
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	36
Guillermo Moscoso R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP	4.35	12.6%	6.7%	2.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	264	34
Ryan Vogelsong R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	38	SP-	4.45	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	.295	4.79	16.7%	6.3%	82	+0.34	4.45	217	34
J.D. Martin R 2019 · 5.89 FIP	36	SP	5.89	13.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	289	34
Dan Haren R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	34	SP	4.54	17.2%	4.7%	4.2%	.251	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	187	34

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	123	12.9%	5.6%	1.89	5.62
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Adrian Sampson ('22)	1.4	72	17.6%	6.1%	1.66	4.38
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Sam Gaviglio ('19)	1.5	98	19.3%	6.9%	1.69	4.84
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20