Sebastian Walcott

Sebastian WalcottSS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs AA K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 4.2 · 2032

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .277 / .347

PA320

HR8

SB11

K%30

BB%7

MLB%12%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗48

PWR

53↗67

SPD

54→54

FLD

39↗49

EYE

46↗49

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+3.1	$28M	+$27M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+3.8	$35M	+$28M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+4.2	$40M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$21M	+4.2	$41M	+$20M
Totals		$45M		$183M	+$137M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	2 teams	215	195	27	7	2	4	15	100	3	12	6	.138	.211	.256	.468	.118	.247	47	7	.202	13	-21	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.3
2024	18	A+	2 teams	515	478	95	25	7	9	31	174	3	27	8	.199	.252	.337	.589	.138	.289	34	6	.255	53	-27	+2	+0	+6	+15	-0.5
2025	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	552	500	112	16	2	12	44	146	5	32	10	.224	.293	.336	.629	.112	.290	26	8	.279	72	-18	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TEX	320	291	63	12	2	8	24	96	2	11	3	.216	.281	.354	.635	.137	.288	30	8	.281	74	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 33%	TEX	592	536	119	23	4	16	46	174	5	20	6	.222	.290	.369	.659	.147	.292	29	8	.292	82	-12	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.2
2028	22	MLB 59%	TEX	646	584	132	25	4	20	51	187	6	21	6	.226	.295	.385	.680	.159	.294	29	8	.303	90	-7	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2029	23	MLB 87%	TEX	674	608	141	26	5	23	55	192	6	21	6	.232	.302	.405	.707	.173	.296	28	8	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	+7	+19	2.5
2030	24	MLB	TEX	687	619	147	27	5	26	57	193	6	20	6	.237	.308	.423	.731	.186	.298	28	8	.322	105	+4	+2	-1	+7	+19	3.1
2031	25	MLB	TEX	695	625	151	27	5	29	59	195	6	20	5	.242	.313	.440	.753	.198	.301	28	8	.331	112	+9	+2	-1	+7	+20	3.8
2032	26	MLB	TEX	700	627	154	27	5	31	61	196	6	19	5	.246	.318	.453	.771	.207	.302	28	9	.338	117	+13	+2	-1	+8	+20	4.2
2033	27	MLB	TEX	699	626	154	27	5	31	62	196	6	18	5	.246	.320	.454	.774	.208	.302	28	9	.338	117	+13	+2	-1	+7	+20	4.2
2034	28	MLB	TEX	693	620	151	27	4	31	62	196	6	16	4	.244	.318	.450	.768	.206	.302	28	9	.337	116	+12	+2	-2	+7	+20	4.0
2035	29	MLB	TEX	682	610	147	26	4	30	61	195	6	15	3	.241	.316	.444	.760	.203	.301	29	9	.335	114	+11	+2	-3	+7	+19	3.7
2036	30	MLB	TEX	671	600	143	25	4	29	60	194	6	13	3	.238	.314	.438	.752	.200	.300	29	9	.332	112	+9	+1	-3	+7	+19	3.4
2037	31	MLB	TEX	657	587	139	24	4	28	59	193	6	11	2	.237	.313	.434	.747	.198	.298	29	9	.328	109	+7	+1	-4	+7	+19	3.0
2038	32	MLB	TEX	638	571	133	23	4	26	57	190	5	9	1	.233	.308	.424	.732	.191	.297	30	9	.323	105	+4	+1	-5	+7	+18	2.6
2039	33	MLB	TEX	609	545	124	21	4	24	54	186	5	7	0	.228	.303	.413	.716	.185	.295	31	9	.317	101	+1	+1	-5	+7	+17	2.1
2040	34	MLB	TEX	560	502	111	19	3	21	49	176	4	6	0	.221	.295	.396	.692	.175	.293	31	9	.310	95	-3	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.5
2041	35	MLB	TEX	502	449	97	16	3	18	44	162	4	6	0	.216	.292	.385	.677	.169	.290	32	9	.302	89	-6	+1	-7	+5	+14	0.8
2042	36	MLB	TEX	440	396	83	14	2	15	38	147	3	5	0	.210	.284	.369	.652	.159	.287	33	9	.292	82	-9	+1	-7	+5	+12	0.2
2043	37	MLB	TEX	374	337	68	11	2	12	31	129	3	5	0	.202	.275	.353	.628	.151	.283	34	8	.282	74	-11	+1	-8	+4	+11	-0.3
2044	38	MLB	TEX	302	272	53	8	2	9	25	106	2	3	0	.195	.268	.338	.606	.143	.277	35	8	.270	65	-12	+1	-8	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			12423	11178	2544	456	82	452	1045	3723	104	317	79	.228	.300	.404	.704	.177	.296	30	8	.311	96	-56	+32	-67	+133	+352	40.2
/ 162G	—			650	585	133	24	4	24	55	195	5	17	4	.227	.299	.405	.704	.178	.295	30	8	.311	96	-3	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	A+	Hickory Crawdads	16	13	2	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	1	.154	.312	.231	.543	.077	.250	31	19	.268	63	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	199	174	44	12	4	7	20	59	3	12	5	.253	.340	.489	.829	.236	.336	30	10	.360	133	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2024	18	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	24	23	8	3	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	.348	.375	.609	.984	.261	.467	29	4	.427	185	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	18	A+	Hickory Crawdads	491	433	113	31	9	10	52	125	3	26	8	.261	.344	.443	.788	.182	.342	25	11	.348	124	+13	+2	—	—	+14	3.0
2025	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	.255	.357	.386	.743	.131	.303	20	13	.337	116	+10	+2	—	—	+16	2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Walcott (OGILVIE)	20	35→48	53→67	54	49	.213/.277/.347	.135	.288	8	11	30%	7%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	40→50	46→65	53→55	41	.204/.264/.340	.136	.276	13	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.252/.330	.138	.298	14	15	38%	7%	58	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	46→44	51→65	54→50	37	.230/.278/.398	.168	.315	18	12	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.220/.270/.377	.157	.318	18	10	35%	5%	78	+0.2	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	49→55	51→55	38	.217/.265/.368	.151	.302	17	12	34%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.293/.411	.162	.315	18	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→52	51→65	52→45	44	.239/.294/.391	.152	.285	20	9	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.303/.451	.195	.298	27	6	24%	6%	111	+2.5	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	46→56	45→55	47→55	44	.228/.280/.353	.125	.279	13	12	23%	6%	75	-0.0	.252/.301/.407	.155	.311	13	18	22%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.431	.166	.317	14	20	20%	6%	106	+2.0
●Javier Báez 2013 · A	20	46→56	52→65	56→55	36	.238/.284/.407	.169	.301	20	20	28%	4%	92	+1.2	.226/.273/.420	.194	.306	26	17	34%	5%	91	+1.1	.274/.313/.514	.240	.333	31	15	27%	5%	123	+3.1
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	43→51	50→65	47→45	37	.223/.267/.374	.151	.302	18	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.229/.278/.368	.139	.290	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
✕Thomas Saggese 2023 · AA	21	45→55	48→55	52→50	39	.224/.274/.367	.143	.310	15	11	32%	6%	76	+0.1	.233/.284/.381	.148	.312	16	9	30%	5%	85	+0.7	.235/.288/.373	.139	.314	16	8	29%	5%	82	+0.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	53	.215/.299/.346	.130	.255	12	15	21%	10%	82	+0.5	.228/.299/.394	.166	.292	19	11	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	42	.240/.295/.364	.124	.303	11	21	24%	5%	85	+0.7	.231/.283/.354	.123	.295	11	20	25%	5%	77	+0.1	.232/.296/.435	.203	.309	26	18	33%	6%	101	+0.9
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	49→54	43→60	46→50	44	.235/.295/.352	.116	.317	10	14	28%	7%	81	+0.4	.262/.327/.453	.191	.314	25	8	24%	8%	121	+3.2	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	50	51→55	43	.227/.286/.379	.153	.297	17	14	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.232/.294/.366	.134	.298	15	17	26%	7%	85	+0.7	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
●Ian Desmond 2008 · AA	22	42→52	42→60	50→55	40	.208/.259/.315	.106	.275	10	17	27%	5%	56	-1.3	.243/.292/.372	.129	.308	13	17	24%	6%	85	+0.7	.266/.319/.460	.194	.319	23	21	24%	6%	117	+3.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)