Sebastian Walcott

Sebastian WalcottSS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION168 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO190

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$54M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 67

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER67

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$10M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$13M	+$13M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+2.5	$15M	+$10M
2031	Arb-2	$15M	+2.8	$16M	+$8M
2032	Arb-3	$23M	+3.0	$17M	+$5M
Totals		$49M		$75M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	1	154	312	231	543	77	250	31	19	268	67	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	199	174	44	12	4	7	20	59	3	12	5	253	340	489	829	236	336	30	10	360	130	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	18	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	8	3	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	348	375	609	984	261	467	29	4	427	175	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	18	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	433	113	31	9	10	52	125	3	26	8	261	344	443	788	182	342	25	11	348	121	+12	+2	—	—	+11	2.6
2025	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	114	+9	+2	—	—	+12	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	14	2	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	143	250	214	464	71	217	44	12	188	13	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	199	181	27	7	2	4	13	90	3	12	5	149	218	276	495	127	245	45	7	213	30	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	18	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	6	2	0	1	1	8	0	1	0	261	292	478	770	217	411	33	4	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	18	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	452	91	23	8	8	33	169	3	26	8	201	260	341	601	139	293	34	7	259	61	-23	+2	—	—	+11	-1.0
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	499	114	17	2	10	45	136	5	32	10	228	299	331	629	102	289	25	8	281	76	-16	+2	—	—	+12	-0.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	28	7	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	144	216	262	478	118	250	45	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	215	187	46	13	4	7	23	64	3	12	6	246	338	471	809	225	331	30	11	353	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	475	97	26	8	8	34	178	3	27	8	204	262	343	605	139	305	35	7	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	456	121	34	9	11	53	132	3	27	8	265	346	452	797	186	348	26	10	351	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	499	114	17	2	10	45	136	5	32	10	228	299	331	629	102	292	25	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	28	7	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	144	216	262	478	118	243	45	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	473	97	26	8	8	34	178	3	27	8	205	262	345	606	140	298	35	7	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	114	17	2	10	45	136	5	32	10	229	299	332	631	103	289	25	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	28	7	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	144	216	262	478	118	243	45	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	473	97	26	8	8	34	178	3	27	8	205	262	345	606	140	298	35	7	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	114	17	2	10	45	136	5	32	10	229	299	332	631	103	289	25	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA MLE	TEX	—	168	154	40	10	0	7	12	48	2	11	0	260	321	461	782	201	333	29	7	333	112	+2	+2	+0	+2	+4	1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	AA RAW	TEX	—	168	149	48	13	0	9	17	39	2	11	0	322	399	591	989	268	386	23	10	430	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	AA MLE	TEX	12%	23	21	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	238	304	429	733	190	298	26	9	300	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	20	MLB CTX	TEX	12%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						300	33	0	299	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	MLB A+C	TEX	—	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							33	0	299	109	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	AA MLE	TEX	—	191	175	45	11	0	8	14	54	2	12	0	257	319	457	777	200	327	28	7	329	109	+2	+2	-0	+2	+4	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	570	518	122	26	3	16	42	148	5	21	4	236	299	390	689	154	297	26	7	305	93	-5	+3	-0	+6	+12	1.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	597	541	130	27	3	19	45	152	6	21	4	240	306	407	712	166	298	25	8	316	100	+0	+3	-0	+6	+13	2.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	615	556	138	28	3	23	48	154	6	20	4	248	315	433	748	185	299	25	8	328	108	+6	+2	-0	+7	+13	2.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	627	567	144	29	3	26	49	155	6	20	4	254	320	453	773	199	300	25	8	338	115	+11	+2	-0	+7	+14	3.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	634	573	146	29	3	28	50	155	6	19	3	255	321	462	784	208	301	24	8	346	120	+15	+3	-0	+7	+14	3.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	639	577	149	29	3	30	51	156	6	18	3	258	325	475	800	217	301	24	8	350	123	+18	+2	-0	+7	+14	4.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	637	574	148	29	3	30	52	156	6	18	3	258	326	476	802	218	301	24	8	350	123	+18	+2	-0	+7	+14	4.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	631	568	145	28	3	29	52	156	6	16	3	255	324	468	793	213	301	25	8	349	123	+17	+2	-1	+7	+14	3.9
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	621	558	143	28	3	29	52	154	6	15	3	256	326	473	799	217	300	25	8	348	121	+16	+2	-1	+7	+13	3.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	609	547	139	27	3	28	51	153	6	13	2	254	325	468	793	214	299	25	8	345	120	+14	+2	-2	+7	+13	3.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	595	535	135	26	3	27	49	151	6	11	2	252	322	464	786	211	297	25	8	341	117	+12	+1	-3	+6	+13	3.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	576	518	128	25	2	25	48	149	5	9	2	247	317	448	765	201	294	26	8	336	113	+9	+1	-4	+6	+12	2.6
2039	33	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	547	492	118	22	2	23	45	144	5	8	1	240	310	433	743	193	290	26	8	328	108	+5	+1	-4	+6	+12	2.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	499	451	105	19	2	20	41	135	4	6	1	233	302	417	719	184	284	27	8	319	102	+1	+1	-5	+5	+11	1.3
2041	35	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	443	400	91	16	2	17	36	123	4	4	1	228	298	405	703	178	277	28	8	308	95	-3	+0	-6	+5	+10	0.6
2042	36	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	382	346	75	12	2	14	30	109	3	3	1	217	285	384	669	168	270	29	8	296	87	-6	+0	-6	+4	+8	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	306	277	67	14	2	9	23	80	3	11	2	242	307	404	711	162	300	26	8	304	93	-3	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	406	368	91	19	2	14	31	104	4	14	3	247	313	424	737	177	301	26	8	316	100	+0	+2	-0	+4	+9	1.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	448	406	102	21	2	18	35	112	4	15	3	251	317	446	763	195	302	25	8	328	108	+4	+2	-0	+5	+10	2.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	458	415	106	21	2	20	36	113	4	14	3	255	321	460	781	205	303	25	8	339	115	+8	+2	-0	+5	+10	2.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	464	420	109	21	2	22	37	114	4	14	3	260	325	476	802	217	304	25	8	347	120	+11	+2	-0	+5	+10	2.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	468	422	111	21	2	24	38	114	5	13	2	263	331	493	824	230	305	24	8	351	123	+13	+2	-0	+5	+10	3.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	457	413	108	21	2	23	37	112	4	13	2	262	328	489	817	228	305	25	8	351	123	+13	+2	-0	+5	+10	3.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	449	405	105	20	2	22	37	111	4	11	2	259	327	481	809	222	304	25	8	351	123	+12	+1	-1	+5	+10	2.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	430	387	100	19	2	21	36	107	4	10	2	258	328	481	808	222	304	25	8	349	121	+11	+1	-1	+5	+9	2.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	416	374	97	19	2	20	35	105	4	9	2	259	329	481	811	222	303	25	8	346	120	+10	+1	-1	+4	+9	2.3
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	403	363	93	18	2	19	33	103	4	8	1	256	325	474	799	218	301	26	8	342	117	+8	+1	-2	+4	+9	2.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	388	349	88	17	2	18	32	100	4	6	1	252	322	467	789	215	297	26	8	337	113	+6	+1	-2	+4	+8	1.7
2039	33	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	368	332	82	15	2	17	30	97	3	5	1	247	315	458	773	211	293	26	8	329	108	+4	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.4
2040	34	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	313	281	67	12	1	14	26	84	3	4	1	238	310	438	747	199	287	27	8	320	102	+1	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.8
2041	35	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	258	233	54	9	1	11	21	72	2	3	0	232	301	421	721	189	280	28	8	309	95	-2	+1	-3	+3	+6	0.4
2042	36	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	188	170	37	6	1	7	15	54	1	2	0	218	285	388	673	171	273	29	8	297	87	-3	+0	-3	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6223	5618	1417	273	29	279	502	1583	57	152	28	252	320	460	780	208	301	25	8	335	106	+93	+19	-20	+67	+135	30.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	148	29	3	29	52	165	6	16	3	252	319	460	779	208	301	25	8	335	106	+10	+2	-2	+7	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	10527	9511	2300	451	55	407	837	2767	97	294	65	242	310	429	739	187	296	26	8	325	106	+128	+28	-33	+99	+200	43.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	142	28	3	25	52	171	6	18	4	242	310	428	738	186	297	26	8	325	106	+9	+2	-2	+7	+14	3.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.4	6,259	261	152	249	313	447	+62	-1	34.8	28.0
/162	664	28	16	+6.5	-0.1	3.7	pk7: 21
#3Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#4Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#5Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Walcott (OGILVIE)	20	41→49	59→67	54	50	231/294/374	143	298	8	14	26%	7%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→65	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	92	+0.7	229/285/369	140	326	14	22	32%	5%	84	+0.1	282/328/497	215	335	28	17	24%	5%	126	+2.4
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→65	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	78	-0.3	226/292/383	157	272	18	14	23%	8%	90	+0.6	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	41→51	46→65	53→55	42	207/269/342	135	284	12	10	31%	7%	72	-0.7	194/255/330	136	303	13	15	38%	7%	64	-1.3	271/338/502	231	331	28	25	26%	8%	132	+3.2
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	49→53	44→60	46→50	45	235/296/355	121	315	10	14	28%	8%	84	+0.2	261/327/451	190	310	25	8	23%	8%	118	+2.7	258/344/398	139	293	17	6	17%	11%	111	+2.3
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	53→62	46→60	53→55	44	260/304/401	141	317	11	19	22%	6%	97	+1.1	271/317/445	174	327	18	20	22%	6%	113	+2.3	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→54	50→65	53→45	44	239/293/388	149	284	20	10	24%	6%	91	+0.7	256/302/442	186	299	26	6	23%	6%	107	+1.9	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●Javier Báez 2013 · A	20	46→56	52→70	57→55	36	236/280/404	168	303	20	20	29%	4%	91	+0.6	224/271/410	186	305	24	17	34%	5%	89	+0.5	279/318/523	244	341	31	15	27%	5%	124	+2.9
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	46→56	45→55	47→55	43	227/277/352	125	282	13	12	24%	6%	76	-0.4	255/304/410	155	311	13	18	21%	6%	100	+1.3	266/325/431	165	300	17	16	17%	7%	110	+1.7
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	49→54	45→60	56→55	41	239/293/364	125	307	11	21	25%	5%	86	+0.3	229/280/349	120	292	10	20	25%	5%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
●Manny Machado 2012 · A	20	44→54	44→65	48→50	44	218/268/340	122	270	11	10	24%	6%	70	-0.8	248/293/387	139	291	13	8	19%	6%	91	+0.6	275/336/491	215	290	28	7	16%	8%	123	+3.5
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	50→60	51→55	37	215/262/367	152	302	17	12	34%	6%	75	-0.5	250/295/412	162	311	18	23	25%	6%	97	+1.1	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
●Adam Jones 2006 · AA	20	51→56	46→60	48→50	43	251/307/391	140	322	13	10	25%	6%	97	+1.1	246/294/396	150	312	16	12	26%	5%	93	+0.8	275/314/462	188	306	25	11	19%	4%	114	+2.7
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	47→49	43→60	52→50	44	232/284/343	111	283	10	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	207/253/308	101	283	9	15	29%	5%	57	-1.8	259/321/470	211	301	29	14	24%	8%	118	+1.2
●Justin Upton 2008 · MLB	20	48→58	48→65	49→55	46	239/301/387	148	295	15	13	24%	7%	94	+0.9	261/338/450	189	336	20	13	26%	10%	122	+2.9	281/360/489	209	336	24	19	23%	10%	133	+3.8
●Ian Desmond 2008 · AA	22	42→52	43→60	50→55	41	210/263/320	110	275	10	17	27%	6%	64	-1.3	245/293/372	127	308	12	17	24%	6%	87	+0.4	274/326/462	188	333	22	21	24%	6%	118	+2.7
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	245/300/384	139	311	13	13	25%	6%	93	+0.8	242/291/421	179	311	22	4	29%	5%	99	+1.2	250/315/472	223	293	30	4	26%	7%	118	+2.6
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	316	15	13	25%	8%	103	+1.5	259/329/393	134	333	13	32	24%	9%	105	+1.7	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	118	+2.7
●Rougned Odor 2014 · AA	20	49→53	43→60	52→50	40	239/281/360	121	289	10	18	21%	4%	80	-0.2	251/293/411	160	287	16	12	19%	4%	97	+1.1	256/296/440	184	284	21	10	18%	4%	101	+1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps