Sebastian Walcott

SS Frisco RoughRiders

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP55OGV rank#19ETA2028MLB%12%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	AA/A+TEX	515	.265/.346/.452	11	27	65	—	.207/.262/.354
2025	19	AATEX	552	.255/.357/.386	13	32	82	—	.233/.306/.342
2026	20	AA/INTL2 orgs	218	.304/.384/.545	10	19	114	—	.268/.327/.471
2027PROJ12% MLB	21	MLBTEX	25	.234/.300/.383	1	1	90	0.1
2028PROJ54% MLB	22	MLBTEX	209	.241/.307/.408	7	7	98	0.7
2029PROJ68% MLB	23	MLBTEX	300	.248/.315/.434	12	10	107	1.3

Next 3 projected WAR 2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$6M2032Arb-2$11M2033Arb-3$16M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA95

wRC+93

ISO92

Speed78

Z-Con%67

K%60

Career WAR4.2 WAR median (P10 -0.9 / P90 51, comp-based) · star 16% · didn't stick 47%

CompsJackson Chourio (age 20) · Colby Rasmus (age 21) · Bo Bichette (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .300 / .383

PA25

HR1

K%24

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO174

MLB%12%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$46M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+2.1	$12M	+$8M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+2.2	$12M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$16M	+2.1	$11M	+$2M
Totals		$37M		$58M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	1	154	312	231	543	77	250	31	19	268	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	199	174	44	12	4	7	20	59	3	12	5	253	340	489	829	236	336	30	10	360	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	8	3	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	348	375	609	984	261	467	29	4	427	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	433	113	31	9	10	52	125	3	26	8	261	344	443	788	182	342	25	11	348	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	171	152	49	13	0	9	17	39	2	11	0	322	398	586	983	263	385	23	10	428	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	47	39	9	3	0	1	6	11	0	8	1	231	333	385	718	154	276	23	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	16	14	2	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	1	143	250	214	464	71	216	44	12	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	199	181	27	7	2	4	13	90	3	12	5	149	218	276	495	127	255	45	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	24	23	7	2	0	1	1	8	0	1	0	304	333	522	855	217	421	33	4	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	491	454	92	24	7	9	31	165	3	26	8	203	258	346	604	143	291	34	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	233	306	342	648	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	171	157	42	11	0	7	12	48	2	11	0	268	327	471	799	204	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	29	8	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	149	221	272	492	123	260	45	7	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	215	187	46	13	4	7	23	64	3	12	6	246	338	471	809	225	331	30	11	353	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	477	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	205	260	346	606	140	300	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	456	121	34	9	11	53	132	3	27	8	265	346	452	797	186	348	26	10	351	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	497	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	233	306	342	648	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	474	121	19	2	13	70	108	5	32	10	255	357	386	743	131	303	20	13	337	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	218	198	53	13	0	9	16	61	2	19	1	268	329	470	798	202	338	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	218	191	58	16	0	10	23	50	2	19	1	304	384	545	929	241	361	23	11	403	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	215	195	29	8	2	4	15	97	3	12	6	149	221	272	492	123	252	45	7	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	475	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	206	260	347	607	141	297	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	495	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	234	306	343	649	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	218	198	53	13	0	9	16	61	2	19	1	268	329	470	798	202	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	475	98	26	7	9	32	174	3	27	8	206	260	347	607	141	297	34	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	552	495	116	17	2	11	47	136	5	32	10	234	306	343	649	109	297	25	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	218	198	53	13	0	9	16	61	2	19	1	268	329	470	798	202	340	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	12%	469	426	99	20	2	12	36	116	4	17	4	233	299	377	676	144	290	25	8	301	90	-6	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	12%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	234	300	383	682	148	289	24	8	304	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	388	352	84	16	2	12	30	94	3	14	3	240	306	401	707	161	291	24	8	313	98	-1	+2	-0	+4	+8	1.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	441	399	98	19	2	16	35	105	4	15	3	246	313	425	738	179	292	24	8	326	107	+3	+2	-0	+5	+10	2.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	469	424	106	20	2	19	38	110	4	15	3	251	319	445	764	193	294	23	8	335	113	+7	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	481	435	110	20	2	21	39	113	4	14	3	254	322	456	779	202	294	23	8	341	117	+10	+2	+1	+5	+10	2.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	485	438	112	21	2	22	40	113	4	14	3	256	324	462	786	207	294	23	8	344	119	+11	+2	+1	+5	+11	3.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	481	434	109	20	2	21	40	113	4	13	3	255	323	460	783	205	294	23	8	343	118	+10	+1	+1	+5	+10	2.9
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	71%	477	431	109	20	2	21	39	113	4	11	3	253	321	455	777	203	293	24	8	340	117	+9	+1	+0	+5	+10	2.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	69%	467	422	105	19	2	20	38	112	4	9	2	251	318	449	768	199	292	24	8	337	114	+8	+1	-0	+5	+10	2.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	456	413	102	19	2	19	37	111	3	7	2	248	315	442	757	194	290	24	8	333	111	+6	+1	-1	+5	+10	2.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	TEX	68%	446	404	98	18	2	18	36	110	3	4	2	244	310	433	743	189	288	25	8	327	107	+4	+0	-2	+5	+10	1.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	435	395	94	17	2	17	34	110	3	2	3	238	304	420	724	181	284	25	8	319	102	+1	-1	-3	+5	+9	1.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	382	347	80	14	1	14	30	98	2	2	3	232	297	404	701	172	279	26	8	310	96	-2	-1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2040	34	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	324	294	65	11	1	11	25	86	2	2	3	224	287	385	672	162	272	27	8	298	88	-5	-1	-4	+3	+7	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	209	189	46	9	1	7	16	51	2	7	2	241	307	408	716	167	290	24	8	317	98	-0	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.7
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	300	270	68	12	2	12	24	72	3	10	2	248	315	434	749	186	292	24	8	330	107	+2	+1	-0	+3	+6	1.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	333	300	77	14	2	15	27	78	3	11	2	254	321	455	776	202	294	23	8	340	113	+5	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	348	314	80	14	2	16	28	82	3	10	2	257	325	468	792	211	294	24	8	347	117	+7	+1	+1	+4	+8	2.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	354	319	82	14	2	17	29	83	3	10	2	258	326	474	801	216	294	23	8	350	119	+8	+1	+1	+4	+8	2.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	345	311	80	14	2	16	28	81	3	9	2	257	325	472	797	215	294	23	8	348	118	+8	+1	+1	+4	+7	2.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	71%	339	305	79	14	2	16	28	80	3	8	2	255	323	467	791	212	293	24	8	346	117	+7	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.9
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	69%	323	291	74	13	2	15	26	78	3	6	2	253	321	461	782	208	292	24	8	342	114	+5	+0	-0	+3	+7	1.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	311	281	70	12	1	14	25	76	2	5	1	250	317	453	770	203	290	24	8	338	111	+4	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	TEX	68%	302	273	67	12	1	13	24	75	2	3	1	246	312	443	756	197	288	25	8	332	107	+3	+0	-1	+3	+7	1.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	293	266	63	11	1	12	23	74	2	1	2	241	306	430	737	190	284	25	8	324	102	+1	-1	-2	+3	+6	0.8
2039	33	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	257	233	54	9	1	10	20	66	2	2	2	234	299	414	713	180	279	26	8	314	96	-1	-0	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2040	34	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	203	185	43	7	1	8	15	54	1	1	2	226	289	395	684	169	272	27	7	302	88	-3	-1	-3	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3917	3537	883	155	20	171	313	950	32	83	24	250	316	450	766	200	292	24	8	335	102	+45	+7	-7	+42	+85	17.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	146	26	3	28	52	158	5	14	4	249	315	446	762	198	291	24	8	335	102	+8	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7442	6745	1612	307	36	269	587	1908	59	219	63	239	306	415	720	176	292	26	8	319	102	+61	+11	-11	+64	+129	25.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	140	27	3	23	51	167	5	19	6	238	303	411	714	173	291	26	8	319	102	+7	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 171 PAwOBA .416 → .344 (−72)K% 22.8% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.81%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	27.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.94%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.050	7.31%
HBP% /PA	1.17%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	1.07%
Singles /BIP	23.89%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.954	×1.050	22.01%
Doubles /BIP	11.50%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.954	×1.050	9.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.954	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.96%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	6.69%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .416 → .344; ISO .263 → .214; BABIP .385 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 552 PAwOBA .330 → .290 (−40)K% 19.6% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.57%	÷0.971	×1.220	—	—	24.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.68%	÷1.080	×0.700	—	×1.050	8.63%
HBP% /PA	0.91%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.83%
Singles /BIP	23.77%	÷0.975	×0.920	×1.007	×1.050	23.73%
Doubles /BIP	5.19%	÷0.968	×0.840	×1.007	×1.050	4.76%
Triples /BIP	0.55%	÷0.921	×0.940	×1.007	×1.050	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	3.55%	÷0.976	×0.800	—	×1.050	3.06%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 84, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .330 → .290; ISO .131 → .116; BABIP .303 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 491 PAwOBA .340 → .262 (−77)K% 25.5% → 33.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.46%	÷0.988	×1.310	—	—	33.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.39%	÷1.019	×0.600	—	×1.050	6.42%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.770	—	×1.050	0.49%
Singles /BIP	20.45%	÷1.026	×0.870	×0.983	×1.050	17.90%
Doubles /BIP	10.06%	÷0.994	×0.780	×0.983	×1.050	8.16%
Triples /BIP	2.92%	÷1.014	×0.850	×0.983	×1.050	2.53%
Home runs /BIP	3.25%	÷1.014	×0.880	—	×1.050	2.96%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .340 → .262; ISO .182 → .149; BABIP .342 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 24 PAwOBA .415 → .335 (−79)K% 29.2% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.17%	÷1.010	×1.220	—	—	35.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.96%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.018	×0.920	—	×1.050	23.73%
Doubles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.012	×0.840	—	×1.050	16.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.138	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷1.080	×0.800	—	×1.050	4.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 128, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .415 → .335; ISO .261 → .199; BABIP .467 → .421. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rangers · 199 PAwOBA .354 → .220 (−134)K% 29.6% → 45.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.65%	÷0.940	×1.440	—	—	45.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.05%	÷0.973	×0.620	—	×1.038	6.64%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.720	—	×1.038	1.13%
Singles /BIP	18.26%	÷1.003	×0.820	×0.981	×1.038	15.19%
Doubles /BIP	10.43%	÷1.032	×0.720	×0.981	×1.038	7.41%
Triples /BIP	3.48%	÷1.114	×0.720	×0.981	×1.038	2.29%
Home runs /BIP	6.09%	÷1.124	×0.780	—	×1.038	4.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .354 → .220; ISO .236 → .135; BABIP .336 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 16 PAwOBA .262 → .187 (−75)K% 31.2% → 42.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.25%	÷0.974	×1.310	—	—	42.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.050	11.81%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.040	×0.870	—	×1.050	10.98%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.960	×0.780	—	×1.050	10.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.850	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.948	×0.880	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .187; ISO .077 → .061; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Travis Fryman'90-'02 * career totals — 13 seasons, 7,217 PA	10.9	7,217	223	72	264*	325*	440*	+35	+13	32.2	29.6
/162	664	21	7	+3.2	+1.2	3.0	pk7: 27
#2Robby Thompson'86-'96 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,235 PA	7.9	5,235	119	103	254*	327*	426*	+19	+20	25.4	24.6
/162	664	15	13	+2.4	+2.5	3.2	pk7: 24
#3Phil Garner'73-'88 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,860 PA	10.3	6,860	109	225	256*	321*	420*	+25	+14	26.6	24.1
/162	664	11	22	+2.5	+1.3	2.6	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,942	160	84	248	311	439	+41	-1	20.3	17.3
/162	664	27	14	+6.9	-0.1	3.4	pk7: 14
#4Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#5Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Walcott (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	231/297/374	142	290	5	7	25%	8%	90	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	55→62	51→60	52→55	45	274/322/446	172	332	16	21	22%	6%	115	+2.4	283/327/467	184	336	21	18	22%	6%	122	+3.0	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	51→48	46→60	49→55	42	249/311/386	137	314	13	12	25%	6%	97	+1.1	248/318/428	180	302	21	19	24%	6%	111	+2.1	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A	22	50→51	47→65	52→45	44	244/299/383	138	310	13	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	243/292/422	179	312	23	4	29%	5%	99	+1.3	248/312/469	221	290	30	4	26%	7%	119	+2.7
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	52→53	48→65	55→60	41	255/308/405	150	338	15	21	28%	6%	100	+1.3	236/288/405	169	305	18	31	28%	6%	94	+0.9	247/308/475	228	288	29	35	25%	7%	118	+2.8
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2023 · MLB	21	50→49	49→55	54→50	42	253/296/401	148	300	16	18	22%	5%	95	+1.0	244/280/395	151	314	16	10	27%	4%	88	+0.4	240/274/388	149	310	15	8	27%	4%	85	+0.2
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Jackson Merrill 2024 · AA	21	51→57	47→60	51→50	45	253/296/391	138	291	15	12	19%	6%	93	+0.8	269/311/450	181	310	20	13	20%	6%	112	+2.2	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	45→53	48→65	47→45	41	228/279/370	142	291	16	6	28%	6%	82	+0.0	248/299/402	154	302	19	6	24%	6%	97	+1.1	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	51→65	49→30	46	252/301/414	162	289	19	9	20%	6%	100	+1.3	208/267/379	171	271	22	3	31%	5%	80	-0.1	229/305/466	236	295	33	0	33%	8%	115	+1.9
●Brett Lawrie 2011 · AA	21	52→57	44→55	56→55	43	251/297/391	141	317	9	18	23%	6%	93	+0.8	266/319/430	164	312	15	17	19%	6%	110	+2.1	269/327/436	167	303	17	16	17%	7%	114	+1.9
●Jo Adell 2020 · AAA	21	47	50→65	53→50	38	233/286/395	161	331	17	11	34%	6%	91	+0.6	225/275/396	171	322	20	9	35%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
●Adam Jones 2007 · MLB	21	50→56	48→60	50	42	249/299/396	146	313	15	14	25%	6%	95	+1.0	259/309/421	162	322	18	12	24%	5%	105	+1.7	276/313/466	190	309	25	11	19%	4%	119	+3.1
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	51→55	44→60	46→50	45	244/306/370	126	328	10	14	28%	8%	91	+0.7	263/327/455	192	312	25	8	23%	8%	120	+2.8	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	50→56	45→60	57→55	41	245/300/373	128	315	12	21	25%	5%	91	+0.6	236/287/360	124	301	11	20	25%	5%	82	+0.0	229/291/435	206	302	27	18	33%	6%	103	+0.8
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	46	262/312/420	158	307	17	16	21%	6%	105	+1.7	253/337/426	173	297	19	14	21%	10%	116	+2.5	246/353/433	188	290	20	15	21%	12%	123	+1.6

Sebastian Walcott

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps