Addison Russell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAACHC | 119 | .281/.400/.562 | 7 | 1 | 115 | — | .232/.339/.434 | |
| 2019 | 25 | MLBCHC | 241 | .237/.311/.391 | 9 | 2 | 94 | 1.2 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 175 | .248/.326/.401 | 4 | 6 | 107 | — | ||
| 2022 | 28 | INTLToros del Este | 66 | .183/.258/.233 | 1 | 0 | 43 | — | ||
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 66 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 310 | 375 | 448 | 823 | 138 | 383 | 18 | 8 | 355 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 121 | 106 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 415 | 488 | 717 | 1.205 | 302 | 494 | 19 | 12 | 516 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 504 | 429 | 118 | 29 | 10 | 17 | 61 | 116 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 275 | 379 | 508 | 887 | 233 | 338 | 23 | 12 | 388 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 97 | 85 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 282 | 365 | 435 | 800 | 153 | 329 | 15 | 10 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 262 | 242 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 302 | 355 | 529 | 884 | 227 | 323 | 16 | 6 | 387 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 188 | 465 | 300 | 33 | 11 | 228 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 20 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 50 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 260 | 348 | 608 | 152 | 226 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 523 | 475 | 115 | 29 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 149 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 242 | 308 | 389 | 697 | 147 | 324 | 28 | 8 | 311 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +11 | 2.4 |
| 2015 | 21 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 46 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 333 | 477 | 811 | 159 | 351 | 15 | 2 | 349 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 598 | 525 | 125 | 25 | 3 | 21 | 55 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 324 | 417 | 741 | 179 | 277 | 23 | 9 | 329 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +16 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 385 | 352 | 84 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 304 | 418 | 722 | 179 | 289 | 24 | 8 | 320 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +15 | +4 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 465 | 420 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 318 | 340 | 659 | 90 | 314 | 21 | 9 | 299 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +15 | +5 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 241 | 215 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 237 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 153 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 312 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 119 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 400 | 562 | 963 | 281 | 294 | 21 | 12 | 407 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 175 | 157 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 326 | 401 | 727 | 153 | 278 | 15 | 9 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 66 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 258 | 233 | 491 | 50 | 213 | 18 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2212 | 1987 | 480 | 100 | 9 | 60 | 186 | 532 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 242 | 314 | 392 | 706 | 150 | 299 | 24 | 8 | 315 | 99 | -2 | +1 | +67 | +19 | +48 | 13.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 66 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 328 | 390 | 718 | 119 | 370 | 27 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 121 | 111 | 36 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 324 | 380 | 559 | 939 | 234 | 415 | 27 | 7 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 504 | 446 | 102 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 149 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 229 | 313 | 410 | 724 | 182 | 304 | 30 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 262 | 246 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 272 | 317 | 459 | 776 | 187 | 306 | 20 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 118 | 284 | 287 | 44 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 21 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 523 | 477 | 115 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 149 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 241 | 304 | 392 | 696 | 151 | 324 | 28 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +11 | 2.4 |
| 2015 | 21 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 46 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 289 | 409 | 698 | 136 | 321 | 20 | 2 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 598 | 531 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 314 | 416 | 730 | 181 | 277 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +16 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 385 | 357 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 288 | 406 | 694 | 174 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +15 | +4 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 465 | 422 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 312 | 334 | 646 | 88 | 314 | 21 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +15 | +5 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 241 | 217 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 303 | 387 | 690 | 152 | 280 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 119 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 339 | 434 | 773 | 202 | 247 | 26 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 170 | 52 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 306 | 362 | 500 | 862 | 194 | 409 | 27 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 187 | 164 | 62 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 378 | 449 | 622 | 1.071 | 244 | 452 | 19 | 10 | 459 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 532 | 122 | 30 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 178 | 12 | 26 | 5 | 229 | 313 | 412 | 725 | 182 | 308 | 30 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 601 | 514 | 142 | 37 | 11 | 18 | 71 | 131 | 12 | 26 | 5 | 276 | 377 | 496 | 873 | 220 | 336 | 22 | 12 | 382 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 330 | 309 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 72 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 259 | 306 | 424 | 730 | 165 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 330 | 304 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 22 | 62 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 280 | 336 | 484 | 820 | 204 | 308 | 19 | 7 | 361 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 521 | 127 | 32 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 158 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 303 | 390 | 692 | 146 | 321 | 28 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2015 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 569 | 519 | 129 | 33 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 156 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 249 | 310 | 397 | 707 | 148 | 327 | 27 | 8 | 314 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 598 | 531 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 314 | 416 | 730 | 181 | 271 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +16 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 598 | 525 | 125 | 25 | 3 | 21 | 55 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 324 | 417 | 741 | 179 | 277 | 23 | 9 | 329 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +16 | +6 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 385 | 357 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 288 | 406 | 694 | 174 | 280 | 24 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +15 | +4 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 385 | 352 | 84 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 304 | 418 | 722 | 179 | 289 | 24 | 8 | 320 | 96 | -2 | +0 | +15 | +4 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 465 | 422 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 312 | 334 | 646 | 88 | 309 | 21 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +15 | +5 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 465 | 420 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 318 | 340 | 659 | 90 | 314 | 21 | 9 | 299 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +15 | +5 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 316 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 89 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 317 | 415 | 732 | 177 | 275 | 25 | 8 | 317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +1 | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 360 | 311 | 78 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 34 | 83 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 251 | 340 | 444 | 784 | 193 | 284 | 23 | 9 | 343 | 101 | +0 | -0 | +7 | +1 | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 175 | 157 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 326 | 401 | 727 | 153 | 278 | 15 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 175 | 157 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 326 | 401 | 727 | 153 | 278 | 15 | 9 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 66 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 258 | 233 | 491 | 50 | 213 | 18 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 66 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 258 | 233 | 491 | 50 | 213 | 18 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 187 | 170 | 52 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 306 | 362 | 500 | 862 | 194 | 399 | 27 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 531 | 122 | 30 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 178 | 12 | 26 | 5 | 230 | 313 | 412 | 726 | 183 | 304 | 30 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 330 | 306 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 72 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 261 | 306 | 428 | 734 | 167 | 305 | 22 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 520 | 127 | 32 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 158 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 303 | 390 | 693 | 146 | 324 | 28 | 7 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 598 | 532 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 314 | 415 | 730 | 180 | 277 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 385 | 354 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 288 | 410 | 698 | 175 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 465 | 422 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 312 | 334 | 646 | 88 | 314 | 21 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 320 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 89 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 317 | 409 | 727 | 175 | 269 | 25 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2212 | 1987 | 480 | 100 | 9 | 60 | 186 | 532 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 242 | 314 | 392 | 706 | 150 | 299 | 24 | 8 | 315 | 85 | -2 | +1 | +67 | +19 | +48 | 13.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 141 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 55 | 156 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 315 | 394 | 709 | 152 | 297 | 24 | 8 | 315 | 85 | -1 | +0 | +20 | +6 | +14 | 4.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3736 | 3375 | 818 | 162 | 26 | 107 | 286 | 912 | 49 | 72 | 19 | 242 | 311 | 401 | 712 | 159 | 299 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -2 | +1 | +67 | +19 | +48 | 13.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 19 | 50 | 159 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 244 | 313 | 405 | 719 | 162 | 300 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -1 | +0 | +20 | +6 | +14 | 4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAIowa Cubs · 119 PAwOBA .409 → .338 (−71)K% 21.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.01% | ÷1.025 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 8.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 4.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷0.993 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 17.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.86% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 7.56% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 106, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .409 → .338; ISO .281 → .219; BABIP .294 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAIowa Cubs · 46 PAwOBA .347 → .309 (−37)K% 15.2% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.22% | ÷1.051 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.17% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 1.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 22.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 9.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .309; ISO .159 → .138; BABIP .351 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 262 PAwOBA .376 → .327 (−49)K% 16.4% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.41% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×1.050 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.53% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 5.44% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .376 → .327; ISO .227 → .184; BABIP .323 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Stockton Ports · 18 PAwOBA .223 → .175 (−49)K% 33.3% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 44.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 28.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.112 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .175; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Stockton Ports · 504 PAwOBA .380 → .313 (−67)K% 23.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.02% | ÷1.042 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.10% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.18% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.81% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.27% | ÷0.968 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 8.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.095 | ×0.760 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.129 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 119, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .380 → .313; ISO .233 → .189; BABIP .338 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Athletics · 121 PAwOBA .502 → .382 (−120)K% 19.0% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 30.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 4.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 5.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .502 → .382; ISO .302 → .224; BABIP .494 → .415. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ABurlington Bees · 66 PAwOBA .352 → .314 (−38)K% 18.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.929 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 25.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 4.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 94, K 86, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .352 → .314; ISO .138 → .126; BABIP .383 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .