Ezequiel Tovar — OGILVIE

Ezequiel TovarSS Colorado Rockies

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 192 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 3.081 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION341 act + 227 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 128125vR 117

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .288 / .403

PA227

HR6

K%26

BB%5

BABIP317

ISO155

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

2214.1%

xwOBA

380.295

POWER50

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE20

Chase%

2835.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1170 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

299

871

—

wRC+

110

◀L

wOBA

329

310

◀L

ISO

175

177

—

BABIP

348

326

◀L

29.1%

26.5%

▶R

BB%

6.7%

3.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2029

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+0.2	$0.8M	-$3M
2027	Ext	$9M	+3.3	$24M	+$16M
2028	Ext	$9M	+3.3	$23M	+$15M
2029	Ext	$9M	+3.3	$21M	+$14M
2030	Ext	$9M	+3.1	$18M	+$12M
Totals		$40M		$87M	+$56M

Options · projected decision
2031	CLUB OPT	$9.1M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2032	CLUB OPT	$23.0M / $2.5M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	158	138	26	3	3	0	14	48	2	16	9	188	273	254	526	65	280	30	9	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	16	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	158	130	34	4	4	0	22	33	2	16	9	262	377	354	730	92	340	21	14	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	565	527	125	27	2	10	14	99	9	26	6	237	269	353	622	116	271	18	2	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	565	519	138	32	3	18	22	77	9	26	6	266	307	443	750	177	279	14	4	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	3 teams	—	353	326	81	12	2	13	21	93	5	17	3	248	304	417	721	169	308	26	6	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	3 teams	—	353	318	98	16	3	15	29	75	5	17	3	308	375	519	894	211	362	21	8	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	615	581	126	30	3	11	25	166	4	11	5	217	254	336	590	119	283	27	4	261	58	-29	+0	+15	+7	+17	1.0
2023	21	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	615	581	147	37	4	15	25	166	4	11	5	253	289	408	696	155	328	27	4	306	92	-6	+0	+15	+7	+17	3.5
2024	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	695	656	150	36	3	20	23	200	4	6	5	229	259	384	643	155	293	29	3	276	69	-24	-1	+15	+7	+20	1.7
2024	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	695	655	176	45	4	26	23	200	4	6	5	269	297	469	766	200	344	29	3	329	110	+8	-1	+15	+7	+20	5.0
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	436	404	84	16	3	7	22	112	1	5	3	208	251	314	565	106	267	26	5	247	47	-26	-0	+4	+5	+12	-0.5
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	436	403	98	20	4	9	23	108	1	5	3	243	286	380	665	136	308	25	5	290	80	-10	-0	+4	+5	+12	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	COL	—	341	315	63	17	0	8	18	86	2	5	0	200	248	330	578	130	242	25	5	252	51	-19	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.5
YTD	24	MLB	COL	—	341	315	63	17	0	8	18	86	2	5	0	200	248	330	578	130	242	25	5	255	53	-18	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	COL	100%	227	213	53	13	1	6	11	60	1	3	0	248	288	403	692	155	319	26	5	306	92	-2	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.9
ROS	24	MLB	COL	100%	227	213	57	15	1	6	11	60	1	3	0	268	307	432	739	164	345	26	5	327	108	+2	+1	+1	+2	+6	1.3
FULL	24	MLB	COL	—	568	528	120	32	1	14	29	146	3	8	0	227	271	371	643	144	283	26	5	282	74	-17	+2	+2	+6	+16	0.9
TOT	24	MLB	COL	—	568	528	116	30	1	14	29	146	3	8	0	220	264	360	624	140	272	26	5	273	67	-21	+2	+2	+6	+16	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	100%	660	618	161	40	4	17	33	173	4	9	1	261	302	421	723	160	331	26	5	315	99	-0	+1	+4	+7	+19	3.1
2028	26	MLB	COL	100%	660	618	161	40	4	17	33	173	4	9	1	261	302	421	723	160	331	26	5	316	100	+0	+1	+4	+7	+19	3.2
2029	27	MLB	COL	100%	654	611	158	39	4	17	34	172	4	9	1	259	302	419	721	160	331	26	5	316	100	+0	+1	+4	+7	+19	3.2
2030	28	MLB	COL	100%	641	598	154	38	4	16	34	169	4	9	1	258	302	415	717	157	331	26	5	315	100	-0	+1	+3	+7	+18	3.0
2031	29	MLB	COL	100%	628	587	151	37	4	16	33	167	3	8	1	257	300	416	716	158	330	27	5	314	98	-1	+1	+3	+7	+18	2.8
2032	30	MLB	COL	100%	616	575	147	36	4	15	33	166	3	7	1	256	300	410	710	155	329	27	5	311	96	-3	+1	+2	+7	+17	2.5
2033	31	MLB	COL	100%	603	563	141	35	3	14	32	164	3	6	1	250	294	398	692	147	327	27	5	307	93	-5	+1	+1	+6	+17	2.1
2034	32	MLB	COL	100%	591	552	136	34	3	13	31	163	3	5	1	246	290	389	680	143	323	28	5	301	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2035	33	MLB	COL	100%	450	421	101	24	2	10	24	126	2	3	0	240	284	378	662	138	318	28	5	293	82	-9	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.8
2027	25	MLB	COL	100%	660	618	172	44	4	19	33	173	4	9	1	278	319	455	774	176	358	26	5	337	116	+12	+1	+4	+7	+19	4.4
2028	26	MLB	COL	100%	660	618	172	44	4	19	33	173	4	9	1	278	319	455	774	176	358	26	5	338	117	+13	+1	+4	+7	+19	4.5
2029	27	MLB	COL	100%	654	611	171	44	4	19	34	172	4	9	1	280	322	458	780	178	358	26	5	338	117	+12	+1	+4	+7	+19	4.4
2030	28	MLB	COL	100%	641	598	168	43	4	19	34	169	4	9	1	281	324	462	785	181	358	26	5	337	116	+12	+1	+3	+7	+18	4.2
2031	29	MLB	COL	100%	628	587	163	42	4	18	33	167	3	8	1	278	319	455	774	177	357	27	5	335	115	+10	+1	+3	+7	+18	3.9
2032	30	MLB	COL	100%	616	575	159	41	4	17	33	166	3	7	1	277	319	450	770	174	356	27	5	332	112	+9	+1	+2	+7	+17	3.6
2033	31	MLB	COL	100%	603	563	153	39	4	16	32	164	3	6	1	272	314	440	755	169	353	27	5	328	109	+6	+1	+1	+6	+17	3.2
2034	32	MLB	COL	100%	591	552	147	38	3	15	31	163	3	5	1	266	309	428	736	161	349	28	5	321	104	+3	+1	+0	+6	+17	2.7
2035	33	MLB	COL	100%	450	421	110	27	3	11	24	126	2	3	0	261	304	418	722	157	343	28	5	312	97	-1	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7465	6985	1893	478	47	210	369	2006	40	90	21	271	311	443	754	172	350	27	5	327	109	+73	+10	+55	+84	+212	44.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	165	42	4	18	32	175	3	8	2	271	311	442	753	171	352	27	5	327	109	+6	+1	+5	+7	+18	3.8
Career	—			—	8552	7988	1955	460	49	202	417	2251	56	149	39	245	287	390	677	146	314	26	5	296	85	-146	+14	+55	+92	+242	26.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	149	35	4	15	32	171	4	11	3	245	288	390	678	145	315	26	5	296	85	-11	+1	+4	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	158	130	34	4	4	0	22	33	2	16	9	262	377	354	730	92	340	21	14	329	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2021	19	A+	Spokane Indians	—	143	134	32	9	0	4	3	19	2	3	2	239	266	396	662	157	252	13	2	284	76	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2021	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	326	298	92	21	3	11	14	38	5	21	4	309	350	510	860	201	320	12	4	367	139	+14	+3	—	—	+9	2.7
2021	19	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	96	87	14	2	0	3	5	20	2	2	0	161	223	287	511	126	167	21	5	228	33	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2022	20	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	35	33	7	1	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	212	257	333	590	121	261	26	6	265	61	-2	+0	-1	+4	+1	0.3
2022	20	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	23	21	7	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	333	391	476	867	143	333	9	9	387	154	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	20	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	295	264	84	15	3	13	25	64	5	17	3	318	388	545	933	227	378	22	8	408	170	+23	+2	—	—	+8	3.5
2023	21	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	615	581	147	37	4	15	25	166	4	11	5	253	289	408	696	155	328	27	4	306	92	-6	+0	+15	+7	+17	3.5
2024	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	695	655	176	45	4	26	23	200	4	6	5	269	297	469	766	200	344	29	3	329	110	+8	-1	+15	+7	+20	5.0
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	390	360	91	18	4	9	21	98	1	5	3	253	296	400	696	147	322	25	5	303	90	-5	-0	+4	+5	+11	1.6
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	46	43	7	2	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	163	200	209	409	47	206	22	4	185	-1	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1735	1629	421	101	12	51	71	473	9	22	13	258	293	429	722	171	331	27	4	314	98	-4	-1	+34	+22	+49	10.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Juan Uribelast yr '16 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,715 PA	16	6,715	199	48	255	301	418	+33	+116	33.1	29.1
	/162	664	20	5	255	301	418	+3.3	+11.4	3.3	pk7: 25
#2Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	13	4,082	137	8	246	295	412	+69	+103	27.4	26.2
#2Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	/162	664	22	1	246	295	412	+11.2	+16.8	4.4	pk7: 25
#3Bengie Molinalast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,049 PA	11	5,049	143	3	274	307	413	+59	+69	26.8	26.0
	/162	664	19	0	274	307	413	+7.7	+9.1	3.5	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	8,110	206	100	252	290	408	+87	+114	26.0	22.4
	/162	664	17	8	252	290	408	+7.1	+9.3	2.1	pk7: 19
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,527 PA	13	5,527	140	27	244	289	394	+37	+84	21.1	21.3
	/162	664	17	3	244	289	394	+4.4	+10.1	2.5	pk7: 21
#5Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#6Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Tovar (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	50	20	220/264/360	140	272	14	8	26%	5%	67	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Stassi 2015 · MLB	24	43	46→55	46→40	36	218/260/349	131	291	14	3	30%	4%	66	-0.6	202/256/325	123	279	15	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	48	45→55	49→45	42	240/287/360	120	292	13	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	235/279/400	165	270	20	6	21%	5%	88	+0.9	259/298/432	173	288	21	3	18%	4%	101	+0.9
✕Joey Bart 2021 · MLB	24	46	49→55	46→40	36	231/278/383	153	314	17	6	32%	5%	83	+0.6	235/299/377	142	337	17	4	33%	7%	90	+1.0	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
●Luis Campusano 2023 · MLB	24	43→53	46→50	48→30	43	219/273/340	121	272	14	3	25%	6%	69	-0.4	251/306/402	151	289	19	3	20%	7%	99	+1.7	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Edmundo Sosa 2021 · AAA	25	45→49	47→55	44→50	36	228/269/361	132	287	14	6	26%	3%	73	-0.1	245/303/379	134	304	12	10	23%	4%	92	+1.2	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
●Casey Schmitt 2023 · AAA	24	44→48	47→60	44→45	40	222/273/353	131	290	15	4	28%	6%	72	-0.2	235/286/375	140	292	16	7	25%	6%	84	+0.6	251/302/434	183	287	25	8	22%	5%	105	+1.3
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	46→48	46→50	49→45	40	231/279/361	131	287	14	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1	207/245/312	105	266	11	3	26%	4%	50	-1.8	200/234/300	99	256	11	1	26%	3%	39	-1.9
✕Dilson Herrera 2018 · MLB	24	45→55	47→50	41→50	42	231/276/364	133	284	16	9	25%	5%	76	+0.1	215/272/379	164	283	21	8	31%	6%	79	+0.3	192/255/360	168	254	23	6	34%	6%	65	-0.4
●Raudy Read 2019 · AAA	25	45→47	47→55	47→45	41	230/265/367	137	272	15	4	22%	4%	72	-0.2	229/267/404	175	277	23	5	26%	4%	84	+0.6	239/293/443	205	283	27	1	26%	6%	104	+0.9
●Tony Blanco 2006 · MLB	24	43→53	46→60	51→45	39	219/258/344	125	278	13	11	27%	4%	63	-0.8	226/270/387	161	301	20	8	31%	4%	81	+0.4	239/285/423	184	300	24	6	28%	4%	95	+0.8
✕Vinnie Catricala 2013 · AAA	24	47→55	47→55	47→45	43	238/288/378	140	282	15	8	22%	5%	85	+0.7	205/253/313	108	270	12	7	28%	5%	53	-1.5	175/223/260	85	238	11	5	31%	4%	27	-2.5
●Lane Thomas 2020 · MLB	24	43→52	50→55	48→55	40	219/277/375	156	299	18	15	32%	7%	80	+0.4	227/296/389	162	299	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	248/309/423	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	104	+2.0
●Jamie Westbrook 2019 · AAA	24	47→55	47→50	44→45	41	240/275/374	134	271	16	6	19%	4%	79	+0.3	241/294/390	149	277	18	4	20%	6%	91	+1.1	249/316/391	143	292	15	4	20%	7%	97	+1.2
●Thairo Estrada 2021 · MLB	25	42→52	46→55	52→55	38	215/258/342	127	268	14	11	26%	4%	63	-0.8	270/324/434	164	310	19	17	19%	6%	115	+2.8	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	44→46	46→50	48→45	42	219/276/347	128	296	13	7	30%	7%	72	-0.2	223/278/382	159	290	19	7	29%	6%	82	+0.5	212/267/370	158	269	20	6	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Joel Guzman 2008 · MLB	23	45→49	48→55	49→45	37	228/265/366	138	298	16	10	29%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/375	148	284	19	5	27%	4%	74	-0.1	236/279/373	138	292	18	2	25%	5%	77	+0.1
●Kyle Lewis 2019 · AA	24	42→52	48→55	47→40	38	216/262/360	144	296	16	4	32%	5%	70	-0.3	247/309/419	172	347	22	6	33%	8%	105	+2.1	255/325/436	182	353	25	6	33%	9%	113	+1.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→45	48→55	50	38	214/258/358	144	272	16	12	28%	4%	68	-0.5	199/252/326	127	273	14	11	31%	5%	57	-1.2	185/242/306	121	262	14	12	34%	5%	45	-1.3
●Jonathan Schoop 2015 · MLB	23	41→51	48→60	44→45	39	215/258/351	135	259	17	4	25%	4%	66	-0.6	250/286/423	173	294	23	3	23%	4%	97	+1.5	265/304/452	186	306	25	1	22%	4%	111	+2.3
✕Joey Ortiz 2023 · AAA	25	48→55	46→50	52→50	44	236/287/374	138	286	13	8	22%	6%	84	+0.6	244/303/381	137	295	12	12	21%	7%	92	+1.2	243/306/373	130	288	11	14	19%	7%	89	+0.8