Luis Santana
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+HOU | 396 | .297/.388/.472 | 11 | 11 | 83 | — | .236/.310/.376 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 354 | .248/.301/.431 | 14 | 4 | 62 | — | .220/.260/.358 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA/A+/ADET | 316 | .197/.295/.296 | 6 | 4 | 35 | — | .173/.247/.255 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 82 | 75 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 354 | 400 | 754 | 107 | 324 | 9 | 4 | 340 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 287 | 237 | 77 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 22 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 325 | 433 | 481 | 914 | 156 | 346 | 8 | 12 | 402 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 242 | 204 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 348 | 448 | 471 | 919 | 123 | 376 | 10 | 11 | 414 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 66 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 333 | 263 | 596 | 35 | 271 | 14 | 9 | 287 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 170 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 303 | 394 | 697 | 165 | 268 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 396 | 343 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 69 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 388 | 472 | 861 | 175 | 343 | 17 | 10 | 382 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 268 | 252 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 59 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 284 | 444 | 728 | 206 | 265 | 22 | 4 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 59 | 52 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 365 | 441 | 462 | 902 | 96 | 450 | 19 | 10 | 408 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 160 | 217 | 377 | 130 | 50 | 11 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 115 | 97 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 277 | 216 | 493 | 52 | 205 | 19 | 10 | 235 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 184 | 164 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 201 | 284 | 311 | 595 | 110 | 215 | 16 | 7 | 274 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 17 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 385 | 529 | 692 | 1.222 | 308 | 400 | 12 | 24 | 522 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 82 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 268 | 276 | 545 | 66 | 226 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 287 | 247 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 227 | 323 | 324 | 647 | 97 | 239 | 9 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 242 | 214 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 285 | 365 | 374 | 739 | 89 | 320 | 14 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 66 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 288 | 237 | 525 | 34 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 174 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 178 | 239 | 287 | 527 | 109 | 227 | 31 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 396 | 356 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 97 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 236 | 310 | 376 | 686 | 140 | 286 | 24 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 268 | 256 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 76 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 235 | 348 | 583 | 148 | 250 | 28 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 59 | 54 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 315 | 373 | 407 | 780 | 93 | 407 | 24 | 7 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 115 | 101 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 232 | 188 | 420 | 40 | 186 | 23 | 6 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 184 | 169 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 235 | 260 | 495 | 89 | 191 | 22 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 471 | 643 | 1.113 | 286 | 323 | 18 | 18 | 391 | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 82 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 268 | 276 | 545 | 66 | 239 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 82 | 75 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 293 | 354 | 400 | 754 | 107 | 324 | 9 | 4 | 340 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 287 | 247 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 227 | 323 | 324 | 647 | 97 | 245 | 9 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 287 | 237 | 77 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 22 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 325 | 433 | 481 | 914 | 156 | 346 | 8 | 12 | 402 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 242 | 214 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 285 | 365 | 374 | 739 | 89 | 324 | 14 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Kingsport Mets | — | 242 | 204 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 348 | 448 | 471 | 919 | 123 | 376 | 10 | 11 | 414 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 66 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 288 | 237 | 525 | 34 | 250 | 17 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA RAW | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 66 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 333 | 263 | 596 | 35 | 271 | 14 | 9 | 287 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 174 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 178 | 239 | 287 | 527 | 109 | 237 | 31 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 170 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 303 | 394 | 697 | 165 | 268 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 396 | 356 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 97 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 236 | 310 | 376 | 686 | 140 | 295 | 24 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 396 | 343 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 69 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 388 | 472 | 861 | 175 | 343 | 17 | 10 | 382 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 354 | 334 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 98 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 261 | 362 | 624 | 141 | 282 | 28 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 354 | 327 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 73 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 248 | 301 | 431 | 732 | 183 | 278 | 21 | 6 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 316 | 284 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 169 | 244 | 246 | 490 | 77 | 201 | 22 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 316 | 274 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 197 | 295 | 296 | 590 | 99 | 220 | 17 | 9 | 273 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 82 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 268 | 276 | 545 | 66 | 226 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 287 | 250 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 224 | 323 | 320 | 643 | 96 | 239 | 9 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 242 | 213 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 286 | 365 | 376 | 741 | 89 | 320 | 14 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 66 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 288 | 237 | 525 | 34 | 258 | 17 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 190 | 174 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 178 | 239 | 287 | 527 | 109 | 227 | 31 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 396 | 355 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 97 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 237 | 310 | 377 | 687 | 141 | 286 | 24 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 354 | 333 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 98 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 261 | 363 | 625 | 141 | 278 | 28 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 316 | 285 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 168 | 244 | 246 | 489 | 77 | 196 | 22 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 316 | 285 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 168 | 244 | 246 | 489 | 77 | 196 | 22 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1933 | 1744 | 382 | 68 | 9 | 34 | 112 | 402 | 61 | 48 | 17 | 219 | 290 | 327 | 616 | 108 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -74 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +42 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 135 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 218 | 290 | 324 | 614 | 106 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 184 PAwOBA .266 → .220 (−45)K% 16.3% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.30% | ÷0.957 | ×1.270 | — | — | 21.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷1.026 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.26% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.66% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 16.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.24% | ÷0.892 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.73% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .266 → .220; ISO .110 → .095; BABIP .215 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAErie SeaWolves · 115 PAwOBA .236 → .197 (−38)K% 19.1% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.13% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.57% | ÷1.086 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.67% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 13.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.036 | ×0.860 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.950 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 102, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .236 → .197; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .205 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 17 PAwOBA .509 → .391 (−118)K% 11.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.028 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 14.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 24.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.351 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.099 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 6.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .509 → .391; ISO .308 → .225; BABIP .400 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAErie SeaWolves · 268 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−58)K% 22.0% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.01% | ÷0.944 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.48% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.10% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 16.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.25% | ÷0.924 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.145 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 129, K 89, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .206 → .155; BABIP .265 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 59 PAwOBA .397 → .337 (−60)K% 18.6% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷1.007 | ×1.270 | — | — | 23.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.02% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 35.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .397 → .337; ISO .096 → .081; BABIP .450 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Asheville Tourists · 396 PAwOBA .374 → .291 (−83)K% 17.4% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.42% | ÷0.927 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.09% | ÷1.031 | ×0.870 | ×1.037 | ×0.998 | 21.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.39% | ÷1.131 | ×0.780 | ×1.037 | ×0.998 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.037 | ×0.998 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.01% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 85, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .374 → .291; ISO .175 → .141; BABIP .343 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Asheville Tourists · 190 PAwOBA .305 → .230 (−75)K% 22.6% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.63% | ÷0.995 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷0.983 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 16.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.111 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.131 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 3.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 122, 3B 82, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .305 → .230; ISO .165 → .114; BABIP .268 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 66 PAwOBA .280 → .248 (−32)K% 13.6% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 4.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.949 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 99, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .248; ISO .035 → .032; BABIP .271 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .