Jonathan Mota
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 493 | .271/.351/.406 | 10 | 2 | 86 | — | .239/.289/.354 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 448 | .244/.277/.333 | 5 | 4 | 38 | — | .208/.230/.276 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 332 | .252/.298/.340 | 4 | 2 | 39 | — | .211/.242/.291 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 190 | 170 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 289 | 324 | 612 | 76 | 283 | 14 | 5 | 263 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 100 | 91 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 275 | 327 | 319 | 645 | 44 | 321 | 14 | 6 | 290 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 151 | 134 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 231 | 299 | 328 | 628 | 97 | 265 | 14 | 7 | 279 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 251 | 220 | 61 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 277 | 351 | 391 | 742 | 114 | 333 | 17 | 10 | 327 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 365 | 323 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 59 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 260 | 323 | 362 | 685 | 102 | 304 | 16 | 7 | 300 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 27 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 370 | 318 | 689 | 91 | 294 | 19 | 19 | 325 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 370 | 320 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 237 | 326 | 319 | 645 | 81 | 284 | 16 | 9 | 292 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 33 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 333 | 367 | 700 | 100 | 318 | 21 | 9 | 318 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 23 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 217 | 304 | 522 | 87 | 294 | 26 | 0 | 230 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 177 | 160 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 339 | 369 | 708 | 88 | 309 | 12 | 6 | 317 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 220 | 204 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 289 | 326 | 446 | 772 | 157 | 318 | 15 | 4 | 334 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 81 | 77 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 250 | 351 | 601 | 130 | 246 | 17 | 2 | 264 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 588 | 866 | 353 | 231 | 17 | 6 | 366 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 63 | 58 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 349 | 517 | 866 | 224 | 359 | 25 | 8 | 380 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 341 | 301 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 61 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 351 | 409 | 760 | 133 | 322 | 18 | 9 | 337 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 152 | 130 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 262 | 351 | 400 | 751 | 138 | 316 | 20 | 11 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 152 | 142 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 286 | 373 | 659 | 113 | 318 | 24 | 3 | 284 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 187 | 175 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 283 | 320 | 603 | 74 | 298 | 18 | 5 | 268 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 109 | 101 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 255 | 297 | 552 | 79 | 241 | 13 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 252 | 234 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 297 | 346 | 643 | 94 | 298 | 17 | 6 | 287 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 80 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 299 | 319 | 618 | 69 | 270 | 12 | 6 | 271 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 19 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 190 | 172 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 283 | 326 | 609 | 76 | 287 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 100 | 93 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 269 | 306 | 312 | 618 | 43 | 321 | 19 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 151 | 136 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 96 | 266 | 20 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 251 | 227 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 242 | 298 | 339 | 637 | 97 | 306 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 365 | 329 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 243 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 100 | 294 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 27 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 333 | 304 | 638 | 87 | 264 | 26 | 15 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 370 | 331 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 221 | 287 | 296 | 583 | 76 | 268 | 19 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 33 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 323 | 595 | 97 | 294 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 23 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 217 | 304 | 522 | 87 | 266 | 35 | 0 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 177 | 163 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 61 | 282 | 16 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 220 | 208 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 274 | 375 | 649 | 125 | 285 | 20 | 2 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 81 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 200 | 295 | 495 | 115 | 211 | 22 | 1 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 588 | 866 | 353 | 197 | 22 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 63 | 60 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 270 | 383 | 653 | 150 | 322 | 32 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 341 | 314 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 289 | 354 | 642 | 115 | 287 | 23 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 152 | 144 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 218 | 278 | 495 | 76 | 261 | 31 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 187 | 178 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 239 | 275 | 514 | 62 | 263 | 22 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 252 | 239 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 241 | 293 | 534 | 84 | 250 | 21 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 80 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 247 | 284 | 531 | 68 | 231 | 16 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 265 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 257 | 291 | 321 | 612 | 64 | 318 | 19 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 261 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 257 | 302 | 322 | 624 | 65 | 296 | 14 | 5 | 272 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 363 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 87 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 237 | 293 | 333 | 627 | 96 | 302 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 354 | 92 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 63 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 260 | 332 | 367 | 699 | 107 | 307 | 16 | 9 | 309 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 352 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 239 | 295 | 335 | 630 | 97 | 308 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 392 | 345 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 64 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 258 | 326 | 359 | 686 | 101 | 304 | 16 | 8 | 302 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 370 | 331 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 221 | 287 | 296 | 583 | 76 | 274 | 19 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 370 | 320 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 237 | 326 | 319 | 645 | 81 | 284 | 16 | 9 | 292 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 233 | 217 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 300 | 578 | 65 | 285 | 19 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 233 | 213 | 58 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 326 | 362 | 688 | 89 | 309 | 15 | 6 | 308 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 286 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 231 | 254 | 353 | 607 | 122 | 270 | 20 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 281 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 270 | 305 | 420 | 725 | 149 | 299 | 15 | 4 | 315 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 81 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 272 | 429 | 700 | 195 | 300 | 30 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 81 | 75 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 333 | 533 | 867 | 253 | 327 | 23 | 7 | 377 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 451 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 242 | 293 | 359 | 653 | 118 | 299 | 23 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 431 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 91 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 271 | 351 | 406 | 757 | 135 | 320 | 18 | 10 | 335 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 448 | 425 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 118 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 229 | 273 | 502 | 66 | 272 | 26 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 448 | 418 | 102 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 277 | 333 | 609 | 89 | 290 | 19 | 4 | 267 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 312 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 242 | 279 | 521 | 71 | 252 | 20 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 332 | 306 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 298 | 340 | 637 | 88 | 291 | 16 | 6 | 283 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 275 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 247 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 62 | 299 | 19 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 370 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 87 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 232 | 293 | 327 | 620 | 95 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 361 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 91 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 233 | 295 | 327 | 622 | 94 | 292 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 370 | 336 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 217 | 287 | 292 | 579 | 74 | 268 | 19 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 233 | 218 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 278 | 298 | 576 | 64 | 282 | 19 | 4 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 289 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 228 | 254 | 349 | 604 | 121 | 265 | 20 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 81 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 272 | 429 | 700 | 195 | 294 | 30 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 457 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 239 | 293 | 354 | 648 | 116 | 287 | 23 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 448 | 433 | 88 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 118 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 229 | 268 | 497 | 65 | 262 | 26 | 2 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 315 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 242 | 276 | 519 | 70 | 245 | 20 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3342 | 3079 | 708 | 131 | 18 | 37 | 155 | 730 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 230 | 274 | 320 | 594 | 90 | 287 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -159 | -6 | +0 | +36 | +72 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 138 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 142 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 230 | 274 | 321 | 595 | 90 | 288 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAIowa Cubs · 252 PAwOBA .277 → .226 (−51)K% 17.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.06% | ÷1.051 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.16% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 3.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 20.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.948 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 110, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .277 → .226; ISO .094 → .076; BABIP .298 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATennessee Smokies · 80 PAwOBA .271 → .228 (−43)K% 12.5% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.998 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.19% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 112, K 93, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .271 → .228; ISO .069 → .057; BABIP .270 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 187 PAwOBA .260 → .219 (−41)K% 18.2% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.28% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.978 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.978 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×0.978 | ×0.978 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .260 → .219; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .298 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 152 PAwOBA .283 → .219 (−64)K% 23.7% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.29% | ÷1.249 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 1.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.021 | ×0.900 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.003 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.83% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .283 → .219; ISO .113 → .085; BABIP .318 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATennessee Smokies · 341 PAwOBA .329 → .280 (−50)K% 17.9% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷1.060 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.970 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.935 | ×0.880 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .329 → .280; ISO .133 → .118; BABIP .322 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATennessee Smokies · 63 PAwOBA .364 → .297 (−67)K% 25.4% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.40% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷0.983 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 22.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 8.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.55% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 116, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .364 → .297; ISO .224 → .174; BABIP .359 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIowa Cubs · 18 PAwOBA .355 → .297 (−58)K% 16.7% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 6.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 6.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 6.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 91, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .297; ISO .353 → .301; BABIP .231 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 220 PAwOBA .325 → .284 (−42)K% 14.5% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.55% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.18% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 2.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.54% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .325 → .284; ISO .157 → .130; BABIP .318 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .