Nate Samson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26 | AAMobile BayBea… | 137 | .274/.366/.444 | 4 | 5 | 82 | — | .238/.306/.402 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AA/A+3 orgs | 169 | .226/.286/.290 | 0 | 4 | 23 | — | .184/.232/.228 |
| 2019 | 31 | INTLMelbourne Aces | 66 | .311/.354/.393 | 1 | 2 | 112 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 211 | 364 | 211 | 575 | 278 | 20 | 15 | 281 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 220 | 183 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 333 | 290 | 623 | 44 | 278 | 11 | 10 | 275 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 561 | 481 | 141 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 49 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 293 | 367 | 356 | 722 | 62 | 320 | 9 | 7 | 318 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 68 | 65 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 324 | 308 | 631 | 15 | 317 | 7 | 4 | 289 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 373 | 326 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 255 | 327 | 307 | 634 | 52 | 265 | 6 | 8 | 284 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 233 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 262 | 312 | 309 | 621 | 47 | 300 | 14 | 5 | 278 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 276 | 65 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 138 | 261 | 14 | 7 | 299 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 54 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 333 | 300 | 633 | 20 | 304 | 7 | 6 | 294 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 229 | 210 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 271 | 320 | 357 | 677 | 86 | 309 | 14 | 7 | 301 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 43 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 381 | 314 | 695 | 57 | 310 | 16 | 16 | 321 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 137 | 117 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 366 | 444 | 810 | 171 | 315 | 18 | 11 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 250 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 89 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 292 | 272 | 564 | 49 | 257 | 12 | 9 | 263 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 65 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 98 | 250 | 8 | 6 | 273 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 66 | 61 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 311 | 354 | 393 | 747 | 82 | 305 | 3 | 3 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 171 | 284 | 171 | 455 | 241 | 29 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 220 | 189 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 286 | 595 | 42 | 267 | 15 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 561 | 493 | 140 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 67 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 284 | 343 | 341 | 683 | 57 | 302 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 68 | 66 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 294 | 288 | 582 | 15 | 296 | 9 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 373 | 334 | 81 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 243 | 299 | 293 | 593 | 51 | 249 | 9 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 238 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 239 | 276 | 282 | 558 | 42 | 275 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 285 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 196 | 244 | 305 | 549 | 109 | 226 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 54 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 296 | 275 | 571 | 20 | 284 | 9 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 229 | 215 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 271 | 312 | 583 | 74 | 278 | 17 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 43 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 310 | 289 | 599 | 53 | 286 | 21 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 137 | 122 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 238 | 306 | 402 | 708 | 164 | 268 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 217 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 89 | 83 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 247 | 229 | 476 | 36 | 226 | 16 | 7 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 65 | 62 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 161 | 200 | 226 | 426 | 65 | 183 | 11 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 171 | 284 | 171 | 455 | 255 | 29 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 211 | 364 | 211 | 575 | 278 | 20 | 15 | 281 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 220 | 189 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 286 | 595 | 42 | 289 | 15 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 220 | 183 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 246 | 333 | 290 | 623 | 44 | 278 | 11 | 10 | 275 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 561 | 493 | 140 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 67 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 284 | 343 | 341 | 683 | 57 | 322 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 561 | 481 | 141 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 49 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 293 | 367 | 356 | 722 | 62 | 320 | 9 | 7 | 318 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 399 | 99 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 248 | 301 | 293 | 594 | 45 | 267 | 9 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 391 | 102 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 261 | 326 | 307 | 633 | 46 | 273 | 7 | 8 | 285 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 238 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 239 | 276 | 282 | 558 | 42 | 287 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 233 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 262 | 312 | 309 | 621 | 47 | 300 | 14 | 5 | 278 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 285 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 196 | 244 | 305 | 549 | 109 | 228 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 276 | 65 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 138 | 261 | 14 | 7 | 299 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 266 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 244 | 280 | 308 | 588 | 64 | 285 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 260 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 273 | 323 | 346 | 669 | 73 | 308 | 13 | 6 | 300 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 43 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 310 | 289 | 599 | 53 | 300 | 21 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 43 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 381 | 314 | 695 | 57 | 310 | 16 | 16 | 321 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 137 | 122 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 238 | 306 | 402 | 708 | 164 | 284 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 137 | 117 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 366 | 444 | 810 | 171 | 315 | 18 | 11 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 169 | 159 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 182 | 226 | 226 | 453 | 44 | 212 | 13 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 169 | 155 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 226 | 286 | 290 | 576 | 65 | 254 | 10 | 8 | 264 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL MLE | Melbourne Aces | — | 66 | 61 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 311 | 354 | 393 | 747 | 82 | 305 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL RAW | Melbourne Aces | — | 66 | 61 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 311 | 354 | 393 | 747 | 82 | 305 | 3 | 3 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 79 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 165 | 284 | 165 | 449 | 241 | 29 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 220 | 200 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 230 | 309 | 270 | 579 | 40 | 267 | 15 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 561 | 512 | 140 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 67 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 273 | 343 | 328 | 671 | 55 | 302 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 408 | 99 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 243 | 301 | 287 | 587 | 44 | 256 | 9 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 257 | 243 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 235 | 276 | 276 | 552 | 41 | 275 | 18 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 288 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 194 | 244 | 302 | 546 | 108 | 226 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 268 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 280 | 306 | 586 | 63 | 279 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 43 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 310 | 282 | 592 | 51 | 286 | 21 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 137 | 124 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 306 | 395 | 701 | 161 | 268 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 169 | 158 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 184 | 226 | 228 | 454 | 44 | 209 | 13 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2577 | 2326 | 562 | 77 | 9 | 17 | 137 | 377 | 39 | 43 | 42 | 242 | 295 | 304 | 599 | 63 | 279 | 15 | 5 | 251 | 56 | -134 | -8 | +0 | +28 | +56 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 141 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 95 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 240 | 295 | 300 | 595 | 60 | 277 | 15 | 5 | 251 | 56 | -34 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 89 PAwOBA .256 → .212 (−44)K% 12.4% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.36% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.968 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×0.959 | ×0.968 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.959 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .256 → .212; ISO .049 → .038; BABIP .257 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 65 PAwOBA .266 → .189 (−76)K% 7.7% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 10.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.15% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.948 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 11.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .189; ISO .098 → .065; BABIP .250 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 15 PAwOBA .222 → .196 (−26)K% 6.7% → 8.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 8.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 21.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .196; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMobile BayBears · 137 PAwOBA .348 → .290 (−58)K% 18.2% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.25% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷1.030 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 19.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.038 | ×0.880 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 108, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .348 → .290; ISO .171 → .153; BABIP .315 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATennessee Smokies · 43 PAwOBA .321 → .274 (−47)K% 16.3% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.28% | ÷1.060 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 10.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 22.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.970 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .274; ISO .057 → .056; BABIP .310 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AATennessee Smokies · 229 PAwOBA .294 → .254 (−40)K% 14.0% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.11% | ÷0.983 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.16% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.880 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 116, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .294 → .254; ISO .086 → .072; BABIP .309 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIowa Cubs · 54 PAwOBA .287 → .260 (−27)K% 7.4% → 9.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 9.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.26% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 26.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 1.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×1.040 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 91, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .287 → .260; ISO .020 → .016; BABIP .304 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AATennessee Smokies · 309 PAwOBA .291 → .244 (−47)K% 13.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.92% | ÷0.951 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷1.090 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.17% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 14.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 90, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .291 → .244; ISO .138 → .119; BABIP .261 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .