League Outlook
Competitive Windows — 2026–2032
Projected wins per team per year, based on chain WAR aggregated across players still under team control. Heat scale: green ≥85W (contender) · light green 75-84 (fringe) · tan 70-74 (sub-.500) · amber 60-69 · red <60 (rebuild). Window labels: Long (4+ yrs ≥85W) · Open (2-3 yrs) · Brief (1 yr) · Closed (none). Visualizes which orgs are aligned to compete and when.
| Team | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL East | ||||||||
| NYY | 95 | 111 | 140 | 159 | 177 | 185 | 186 | Long window |
| BAL | 93 | 116 | 139 | 156 | 167 | 171 | 171 | Long window |
| BOS | 91 | 111 | 138 | 159 | 175 | 180 | 177 | Long window |
| TB | 89 | 110 | 141 | 164 | 180 | 182 | 180 | Long window |
| TOR | 87 | 103 | 129 | 150 | 159 | 159 | 153 | Long window |
| AL Central | ||||||||
| MIN | 88 | 111 | 137 | 158 | 173 | 177 | 176 | Long window |
| DET | 86 | 113 | 132 | 146 | 153 | 152 | 149 | Long window |
| CLE | 86 | 109 | 128 | 141 | 144 | 144 | 137 | Long window |
| KC | 85 | 99 | 120 | 136 | 146 | 147 | 141 | Long window |
| CWS | 81 | 100 | 125 | 147 | 159 | 162 | 152 | Long window |
| AL West | ||||||||
| SEA | 93 | 102 | 114 | 123 | 129 | 128 | 124 | Long window |
| OAK | 87 | 111 | 136 | 152 | 159 | 155 | 151 | Long window |
| TEX | 82 | 96 | 117 | 137 | 149 | 155 | 156 | Long window |
| HOU | 77 | 98 | 116 | 130 | 143 | 145 | 144 | Long window |
| LAA | 75 | 93 | 116 | 133 | 143 | 145 | 146 | Long window |
| NL East | ||||||||
| NYM | 100 | 111 | 131 | 148 | 157 | 164 | 159 | Long window |
| PHI | 93 | 105 | 126 | 142 | 154 | 157 | 153 | Long window |
| ATL | 92 | 97 | 121 | 141 | 154 | 151 | 150 | Long window |
| MIA | 85 | 117 | 155 | 184 | 197 | 201 | 199 | Long window |
| WSH | 77 | 100 | 125 | 144 | 151 | 153 | 151 | Long window |
| NL Central | ||||||||
| MIL | 95 | 127 | 157 | 180 | 194 | 200 | 197 | Long window |
| CHC | 89 | 97 | 121 | 138 | 148 | 150 | 144 | Long window |
| STL | 87 | 111 | 135 | 154 | 160 | 161 | 154 | Long window |
| PIT | 85 | 115 | 155 | 188 | 208 | 219 | 221 | Long window |
| CIN | 80 | 93 | 117 | 133 | 138 | 141 | 138 | Long window |
| NL West | ||||||||
| LAD | 100 | 119 | 141 | 156 | 164 | 165 | 161 | Long window |
| SF | 97 | 118 | 140 | 155 | 164 | 162 | 157 | Long window |
| ARI | 88 | 106 | 137 | 159 | 175 | 179 | 178 | Long window |
| SD | 83 | 97 | 124 | 140 | 154 | 160 | 160 | Long window |
| COL | 82 | 105 | 128 | 148 | 156 | 157 | 155 | Long window |