Chuckie RobinsonC Oklahoma City Comets
Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION121 act + 129 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .258 / .325
PA129
HR3
K%26
BB%5
BABIP259
ISO117
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
4911.0%
xwOBA
100.193
POWER40
Barrel%
101.5
Avg EV
1080.9
EYE40
Chase%
6229.3%
SPEED45
Sprint
1024.6
Platoon Splits2024 · 76 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
24
52
wRC+
-40
-9
▶▶R
wOBA
133
173
▶▶R
ISO
BABIP
143
194
▶▶R
K%
33.3%
23.1%
▶▶R
BB%
4.2%
7.7%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.2M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AQuad Cities River Bandits 468440 972819 221205 71 220266350616 130282 265 266 62
201722 AQuad Cities River Bandits 468430 11832215 31985 71 274330463793 188324 217 349 125
201823 A+Buies Creek Astros 284268 51916 13861 34 190230299529 108253 305 231 35
201823 A+Buies Creek Astros 284260 621017 21581 34 238298365663 127279 207 297 85
201924 AA2 teams 520486 781716 2021210 111 160209237446 76266 414 198 10
201924 AA2 teams 520469 10621112 3713510 111 226297352648 126289 267 292 82
202126 AAChattanooga Lookouts 244216 47508 22556 22 218307352659 134255 239 295 84
202126 AAChattanooga Lookouts 244210 52808 28466 22 248352400752 152282 1911 342 120
202227 AA3 teams 279267 561016 9802 42 210241322563 112276 293 241 43
202227 AA3 teams 279262 621217 14662 42 237281370651 134291 245 290 80
202328 AAA2 teams 465429 11518211 241038 72 268319396715 128326 225 315 99
202328 AAA2 teams 465418 11620213 35928 72 278345428773 151325 208 343 121
202429 AAA2 teams 292273 50316 14882 02 183228267496 84242 305 218 25
202429 AAA2 teams 292269 58417 18762 02 216270316586 100270 266 264 60
202530 AAAOklahoma City Comets 317294 68814 15995 10 231280306586 75332 315 264 60
202530 AAAOklahoma City Comets 317284 741025 25795 10 261331363694 102342 258 313 98
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD31 AAALAD 121111 20322 7240 00 180229297526 117212 206 217 24 -10 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.5
YTD31 AAALAD 121108 23422 10200 00 213280343622 130244 178 273 67 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
ROS31 AAALAD 10% 129120 25313 7331 10 208258325583 117262 265 264 60 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
ROS31 MLBLAD 10% 1312 2000 130 00 167231167397 258 238 253 52 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL31 AAALAD 134123 22322 8270 00 179229285514 106213 206 220 27 -11 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
TOT31 AAALAD 250231 45635 14571 10 195244312556 117235 236 241 43 -16 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBLAD 27% 321297 62827 18843 10 209261320581 111262 266 262 59 -15 +0 -3 +6 +9 -0.3
202833 MLBLAD 37% 283262 54726 16743 10 206260317577 111261 266 260 58 -14 +0 -4 +5 +8 -0.5
202732 MLBLAD 27% 8882 17212 5231 00 207261329591 122259 266 252 51 -5 +0 -1 +2 +2 -0.2
202833 MLBLAD 37% 10698 20312 6281 00 204257316573 112257 266 250 50 -6 +0 -2 +2 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 343321 56726 17913 00 174223265488 90222 275 218 25 -29 +0 +1 +14 +10 -0.5
/ 162G 650608 10613411 321726 00 174223263486 89222 265 218 25 -55 +0 +2 +26 +18 -0.9
Career 36023352 7031161372 180103446 3814 210260317576 107279 295 255 53 -190 +2 -4 +64 +102 -2.7
/ 162G 650605 12721213 321878 73 210259316574 106279 295 255 53 -34 +0 -1 +12 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AQuad Cities River Bandits 468430 11832215 31985 71 274330463793 188324 217 349 125 +13 +1 +13 2.8
201823 A+Buies Creek Astros 284260 621017 21581 34 238298365663 127279 207 297 85 -5 -1 +8 0.2
201924 AACorpus Christi Hooks 409374 811717 251187 91 217278324602 107294 296 272 66 -16 +1 +12 -0.3
201924 INTLCanberra Cavalry 11195 25405 12173 20 263364463827 200274 1511 366 138 +5 +0 +3 0.8
202126 AAChattanooga Lookouts 244210 52808 28466 22 248352400752 152282 1911 342 120 +5 -0 +7 1.2
202227 MLBCincinnati Reds 6059 8202 0170 00 136136271407 136150 280 172 -10 -7 +0 +2 +5 +2 0.1
202227 AAALouisville Bats 9387 22512 5191 00 253301402703 149303 205 313 98 -0 +0 +3 0.2
202227 AAChattanooga Lookouts 126116 32503 9301 42 276333397730 121349 247 329 110 +1 +0 +4 0.5
202328 AAALouisville Bats 413369 10716213 32778 72 290359450809 160332 198 358 132 +15 +1 +12 2.8
202328 INTLGigantes del Cibao 5249 9400 3150 00 184231265496 82265 296 226 31 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202429 MLBChicago White Sox 7670 9000 5201 00 129197129326 180 267 163 -17 -10 +0 +2 +5 +2 -0.1
202429 AAACharlotte Knights 216199 49417 13561 02 246296382678 136302 266 299 87 -3 -1 +6 0.2
202530 AAAOklahoma City Comets 317284 741025 25795 10 261331363694 102342 258 313 98 -1 +0 +9 0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 136129 17202 5371 00 132170194364 62167 274 167 -14 -18 +0 +3 +10 +4 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
335571180225275+6+3-1.1-1.1
/162664132+11.9+6.4-2.1pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Chuckie Robinson (OGILVIE) 31 50 40 45 40 195/244/312 117235 51 23% 6% 43 -0.5
Austin Wynns
2022 · MLB
31 44→51 46→45 48→30 46 222/280/346 124262 156 22% 6% 74 -0.1 240/303/354 114301 125 23% 7% 85 +0.7 240/304/3389830810224%7%78+0.1
Sharlon Schoop
2018 · AAA
31 42→44 46→40 44→45 41 213/258/339 126263 144 25% 5% 63 -0.9 221/280/349 128290 147 28% 6% 74 -0.1 194/268/276822698029%7%49-0.4
Dusty Brown
2012 · MLB
30 42 47→45 42→30 44 215/272/352 137271 145 26% 7% 72 -0.2 218/293/379 161275 186 26% 9% 88 +0.9 197/307/36516923418024%13%90+0.3
Nevin Ashley
2016 · MLB
31 46→51 43→45 42→45 43 224/283/332 108288 114 26% 6% 71 -0.3 228/294/355 127301 146 28% 7% 82 +0.5 212/296/34112928216229%8%79+0.1
Humberto Sosa
2017 · AAA
31 46→49 44→50 47→45 42 228/274/332 103287 135 25% 6% 66 -0.6 229/274/377 148278 196 24% 5% 79 +0.3 232/276/42719526126123%5%92+0.4
Carlos Maldonado
2010 · MLB
31 44→50 44→40 44→40 47 221/276/332 111260 125 20% 7% 68 -0.5 205/268/307 102269 106 26% 7% 59 -1.1 184/258/2789524410228%9%45-0.6
Tim Federowicz
2019 · MLB
31 47→50 48→50 49→40 43 235/287/379 143302 155 27% 6% 85 +0.7 209/262/341 132278 156 29% 7% 65 -0.7 167/220/27610922215232%6%30-1.3
Paul Hoover
2009 · MLB
33 45 44→45 43→45 40 224/271/339 115298 125 28% 5% 68 -0.5 222/276/315 93306 64 28% 6% 63 -0.8 221/279/301803073127%7%57-0.6
Ronnie Freeman
2021 · AAA
30 46 45→40 48→30 41 230/278/347 117303 136 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/375 156287 199 30% 6% 79 +0.3 162/218/33917618426030%7%42-0.4
Paul Leon
2019 · AAA
31 47→55 43→45 47→45 44 229/280/342 113279 117 22% 6% 72 -0.2 244/279/355 111294 126 21% 4% 75 -0.0 257/285/3519430711120%3%72-0.1
Koyie Hill
2010 · MLB
31 47→43 45 45→40 46 229/290/354 124294 114 25% 8% 79 +0.3 211/265/307 96282 85 26% 7% 56 -1.3 189/236/262742516326%6%26-1.2
Omir Santos
2012 · MLB
31 44→43 41→45 47→30 40 219/250/313 95257 104 20% 4% 52 -1.6 221/250/313 92288 74 25% 3% 51 -1.7 225/247/307822975025%2%46-0.7
Chad Moeller
2006 · MLB
31 43 47→50 42→30 46 221/278/357 136260 153 22% 7% 76 +0.0 210/267/325 115262 123 24% 6% 63 -0.8 206/258/3061002588023%5%51-0.5
Jesús Sucre
2019 · MLB
31 47 43→40 48→40 45 229/273/334 105258 126 17% 5% 67 -0.5 223/271/312 89268 76 19% 5% 60 -1.0 218/258/272552720019%4%40-1.1
Xorge Carrillo
2019 · AAA
30 43 41→40 45→30 40 214/261/310 95281 105 27% 5% 56 -1.3 244/302/369 125281 137 18% 6% 89 +0.9 266/327/38511829313213%6%99+0.7
Charlie Culberson
2019 · MLB
30 48→49 46→45 47→50 42 240/285/369 129301 139 25% 5% 81 +0.4 246/295/401 155315 179 26% 6% 94 +1.3 242/286/378136311131026%5%81+0.1
Francisco Peña
2021 · MLB
31 43→46 51→55 48→40 41 229/267/387 159267 207 24% 5% 79 +0.3 210/260/392 182238 266 25% 5% 79 +0.3 180/232/36418518630125%4%60-0.8
Bryan Holaday
2017 · MLB
29 46 45 43→40 41 229/275/350 121280 125 23% 5% 72 -0.2 229/282/357 128264 133 18% 6% 78 +0.2 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0
Rob Johnson
2013 · MLB
31 42→52 43→45 47→50 46 208/268/316 109251 118 22% 7% 61 -1.0 215/271/340 125261 147 23% 7% 68 -0.5 197/255/31311523913023%7%53-0.7
Nick Green
2010 · MLB
31 44→47 47→50 39→45 41 223/274/357 134280 155 26% 5% 74 -0.1 218/267/347 129270 125 24% 5% 69 -0.4 218/265/35413626713323%4%66-0.4