Jesús Bastidas — OGILVIE

Jesús BastidasSS Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 188 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION154 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .266 / .342

PA102

HR3

K%30

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO139

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	261	242	46	6	1	1	12	52	4	10	7	190	240	236	476	45	236	20	5	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	261	235	58	9	1	1	19	36	4	10	7	247	314	306	620	60	285	14	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	164	151	24	3	0	0	6	38	5	4	2	159	216	179	395	20	212	23	4	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	164	148	29	4	0	0	9	27	5	4	2	196	265	223	488	27	240	16	5	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	213	186	41	7	0	7	17	69	8	8	3	220	313	371	684	151	304	32	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	213	177	44	6	0	9	26	53	8	8	3	249	370	435	805	186	299	25	12	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	449	407	81	15	1	15	27	149	12	11	7	199	269	351	620	152	268	33	6	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	449	396	95	18	1	18	38	115	12	11	7	240	325	427	752	187	289	26	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	455	412	87	16	2	12	26	131	14	12	5	211	281	347	628	136	276	29	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	455	397	99	16	2	15	41	108	14	12	5	249	341	413	754	164	303	24	9	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	606	544	103	25	1	23	35	179	23	15	3	189	267	366	633	176	231	30	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	606	525	127	31	1	25	54	140	23	15	3	242	339	448	786	206	280	23	9	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	673	607	129	26	3	17	34	203	23	14	3	213	280	349	629	137	284	30	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	673	584	162	46	2	19	56	150	23	14	3	277	363	461	824	183	339	22	8	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	MIA	—	154	142	26	6	1	4	4	49	3	5	0	183	221	324	545	141	237	32	3	235	38	-11	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
YTD	27	AAA	MIA	—	154	139	30	7	1	5	7	41	3	5	0	216	268	388	657	173	258	27	5	282	74	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
ROS	27	AAA	MIA	10%	102	93	19	4	0	3	5	31	3	2	0	203	266	342	607	139	262	30	5	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	10%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		258	30	0	249	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	MIA	—	164	152	27	6	1	4	4	52	3	5	0	178	214	309	523	132	230	32	2	236	39	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
TOT	27	AAA	MIA	—	256	235	45	10	1	7	9	80	6	7	0	191	239	331	570	140	247	31	4	250	50	-15	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIA	38%	545	498	103	22	2	16	28	159	14	12	2	207	269	355	624	149	265	29	5	277	70	-18	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.4
2028	29	MLB	MIA	49%	567	518	108	23	2	16	31	164	13	11	2	208	270	353	624	145	267	29	5	279	71	-18	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.4
2027	28	MLB	MIA	38%	205	188	38	8	1	6	10	60	5	4	1	202	261	351	612	149	260	29	5	254	53	-11	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	MIA	49%	276	252	52	11	1	8	15	80	7	6	1	206	270	353	623	147	262	29	5	257	55	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	491	450	91	19	2	14	25	143	12	10	2	202	263	347	610	144	261	29	5	256	54	-26	+1	-1	+5	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	121	25	3	19	33	189	16	13	3	203	264	351	615	148	261	29	5	256	54	-34	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	4035	3658	741	147	12	110	221	1175	119	99	34	203	270	339	610	137	263	29	5	267	63	-170	+6	-2	+43	+114	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	120	24	2	18	36	189	19	16	5	204	272	343	615	139	264	29	6	267	63	-27	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	261	235	58	9	1	1	19	36	4	10	7	247	314	306	620	60	285	14	7	283	75	-7	-1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2017	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	164	148	29	4	0	0	9	27	5	4	2	196	265	223	488	27	240	16	5	230	34	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2021	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	110	90	25	6	0	5	14	25	4	3	2	278	398	511	909	233	323	23	13	395	161	+8	-0	—	—	+3	1.1
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	103	87	19	0	0	4	12	28	4	5	1	218	340	356	696	138	273	27	12	322	105	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	449	396	95	18	1	18	38	115	12	11	7	240	325	427	752	187	289	26	8	334	114	+7	-1	—	—	+13	2.0
2023	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	384	340	86	13	2	12	29	96	12	11	4	253	333	409	742	156	315	25	8	332	112	+5	+1	—	—	+11	1.7
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	71	57	13	3	0	3	12	12	2	1	1	228	380	439	819	211	238	17	17	370	141	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	606	525	127	31	1	25	54	140	23	15	3	242	339	448	786	206	280	23	9	349	125	+17	+2	—	—	+17	3.7
2025	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	577	500	131	37	2	16	54	138	17	14	2	262	353	440	793	178	330	24	9	352	127	+18	+2	—	—	+16	3.7
2025	26	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	96	84	31	9	0	3	2	12	6	0	1	369	424	583	1.007	214	384	12	2	425	183	+9	-0	—	—	+3	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	506	15	11	208	267	356	+5	+3	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	19	14	208	267	356	+7.1	+3.9	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Bastidas (OGILVIE)	27	50	50	50	45	191/239/331	140	247	7	7	31%	4%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Jermaine Palacios 2023 · MLB	27	44→47	49→45	45→50	41	227/278/369	143	299	19	14	30%	6%	79	+0.3	214/258/366	152	296	20	11	34%	5%	70	-0.3	159/192/319	160	208	25	8	39%	4%	30	-1.0
✕Connor Wong 2023 · MLB	27	43→53	50→55	48→50	40	226/272/373	147	286	19	11	28%	5%	78	+0.2	235/289/371	136	309	14	11	28%	6%	84	+0.6	247/314/357	109	313	10	10	23%	7%	89	+0.4
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/289/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	86	+0.8	225/268/357	132	293	15	12	27%	5%	71	-0.3	205/244/322	117	273	14	12	30%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Danny Mendick 2021 · MLB	27	44→49	46→45	47→50	46	221/280/349	128	266	14	13	23%	7%	74	-0.1	234/295/346	112	291	12	9	23%	7%	79	+0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	42	49→50	47→40	42	221/270/356	135	268	18	6	25%	6%	72	-0.2	234/283/358	124	284	13	4	22%	6%	78	+0.2	239/288/363	124	285	12	1	20%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Mitch Nay 2021 · AAA	27	44→54	50	48→30	44	228/283/379	151	278	18	4	25%	7%	84	+0.6	201/269/345	144	285	18	4	34%	8%	69	-0.4	175/252/317	141	244	18	1	35%	9%	51	-0.8
✕Christian Arroyo 2022 · MLB	27	46→54	51→45	50→45	42	234/297/397	162	287	19	7	25%	6%	95	+1.4	233/279/353	120	283	12	8	21%	5%	75	-0.0	237/285/353	116	300	12	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Chris Owings 2020 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	219/272/353	134	292	14	16	30%	6%	72	-0.2	214/278/359	145	296	16	14	31%	8%	76	+0.1	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Humberto Sosa 2013 · AAA	27	45→49	50	46→45	45	235/286/385	150	275	19	9	23%	6%	86	+0.8	230/272/361	131	274	16	6	22%	5%	74	-0.1	225/277/382	157	272	22	2	26%	6%	81	+0.1
✕Corey Smith 2009 · AAA	27	42→46	53→55	47→50	40	225/270/393	168	267	22	11	25%	5%	82	+0.5	220/259/364	144	275	17	9	26%	4%	69	-0.4	217/261/357	139	273	16	6	26%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Ray Sadler 2008 · AAA	27	40→43	52→55	45→50	41	213/267/374	160	272	20	11	30%	6%	76	+0.1	207/258/365	158	261	20	8	29%	5%	70	-0.3	193/243/349	157	237	20	6	28%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Stephen Bruno 2018 · AAA	27	46→51	46→40	53→50	39	231/284/355	124	280	14	13	23%	4%	78	+0.2	214/268/316	102	258	11	11	21%	4%	61	-1.0	187/243/248	61	228	5	8	20%	3%	31	-1.5
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2007 · MLB	26	42→48	49→55	48→60	38	217/266/365	148	289	17	16	31%	5%	73	-0.1	225/262/369	144	321	15	32	34%	3%	72	-0.2	219/262/360	141	323	17	25	37%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Levi Jordan 2023 · AAA	27	48→56	48→45	48→50	42	241/292/385	144	298	16	10	25%	6%	89	+0.9	235/297/354	119	294	11	15	23%	6%	83	+0.6	226/291/333	107	280	9	18	22%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Kramer Robertson 2022 · AAA	27	43→51	46→45	51→55	49	216/295/344	127	267	13	13	24%	8%	80	+0.4	202/300/294	92	268	9	22	26%	10%	70	-0.3	184/296/254	71	251	7	26	26%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Chuckie Robinson 2022 · AA	27	42→52	46→45	46→45	43	212/280/334	122	279	15	8	29%	7%	72	-0.2	228/277/348	120	291	14	7	26%	5%	72	-0.2	231/279/329	98	306	11	4	27%	5%	66	-0.4
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2011 · MLB	27	44→48	49→55	52→50	40	228/274/377	150	282	18	14	26%	5%	79	+0.3	241/293/405	164	288	19	10	23%	6%	95	+1.4	238/296/408	169	280	20	7	22%	7%	93	+0.9