Elier Hernandez — OGILVIE

Elier HernandezRF Dominican Republic

Age 31 R/R 6'1" / 197 lbs INTL Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .300 / .380

PA200

HR5

K%26

BB%7

ISO144

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT—

Whiff%

1021.2%

xwOBA

100.190

POWER—

Barrel%

285.3

Avg EV

1084.0

EYE—

Chase%

1047.5%

SPEED—

Sprint

7328.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	256	39	7	3	0	8	95	2	2	0	152	184	203	387	51	242	36	3	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	17	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	250	52	10	4	0	14	66	2	2	0	208	256	280	536	72	283	25	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	296	65	10	5	2	11	89	6	9	2	220	262	307	569	88	301	28	3	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	289	87	15	8	3	18	62	6	9	2	301	355	439	794	138	368	19	6	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	2 teams	—	469	447	108	18	3	7	11	129	5	5	5	242	268	342	610	101	322	28	2	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	2 teams	—	469	442	117	21	4	9	16	107	5	5	5	265	298	391	689	127	328	23	3	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	510	478	103	20	3	5	13	171	9	10	7	215	250	301	551	86	317	34	3	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	2 teams	—	510	467	125	26	4	6	24	120	9	10	7	268	316	379	695	111	342	24	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	511	97	26	2	2	19	155	10	8	5	190	233	260	494	70	265	28	3	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	500	113	28	4	2	30	120	10	8	5	226	283	310	593	84	290	22	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	282	266	69	12	3	8	7	97	5	1	3	259	291	417	709	158	372	34	2	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	282	258	74	15	3	6	15	67	5	1	3	287	338	438	776	151	362	24	5	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	3 teams	—	560	524	120	24	2	3	19	151	7	10	9	229	265	300	565	71	311	27	3	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	3 teams	—	560	512	145	33	2	3	31	117	7	10	9	283	333	373	706	90	357	21	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	518	491	84	11	2	8	19	192	5	12	6	171	210	251	460	79	260	37	4	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	518	473	113	15	2	10	37	133	5	12	6	239	301	342	643	104	311	26	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	422	394	84	15	0	15	19	130	7	5	2	213	262	365	627	152	275	31	5	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	422	386	89	15	0	16	27	122	7	5	2	231	293	394	687	163	292	29	6	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	3 teams	—	470	435	112	26	7	13	22	116	9	12	4	257	307	439	746	182	319	25	5	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	3 teams	—	470	427	117	28	6	14	30	97	9	12	4	274	335	466	801	192	322	21	6	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	711	659	149	28	5	14	42	203	6	13	6	226	279	347	626	121	303	29	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	711	642	190	42	5	20	59	145	6	13	6	296	361	470	831	174	353	20	8	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	88	80	20	5	1	2	7	24	1	1	3	250	318	412	731	162	333	27	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	88	76	22	6	1	2	11	21	1	1	3	289	386	474	860	184	377	24	12	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	TEX	—	200	182	44	9	1	5	14	53	2	3	2	242	303	385	688	143	307	26	7	305	92	-2	-0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	TEX	22%	181	164	39	8	1	4	13	48	2	2	1	238	302	372	674	134	302	27	7	301	88	-2	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.3
2027	32	MLB	TEX	22%	39	36	9	2	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	250	308	389	697	139	304	26	8	296	85	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	74	69	15	4	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	217	260	319	579	101	318	34	5	249	49	-4	+0	-0	-5	+2	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	132	35	0	9	35	220	0	0	0	218	261	320	581	102	319	34	5	249	49	-38	+0	-3	-48	+18	-7.2
Career	—			—	5591	5226	1141	222	38	88	227	1667	78	95	55	218	261	326	587	108	300	30	4	253	52	-303	-3	-3	-60	+158	-21.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	132	26	4	10	26	194	9	11	6	217	260	322	582	105	298	30	4	253	52	-35	-0	-0	-7	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	17	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	267	250	52	10	4	0	14	66	2	2	0	208	256	280	536	72	283	25	5	243	44	-17	+0	—	—	+8	-0.9
2013	18	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	319	289	87	15	8	3	18	62	6	9	2	301	355	439	794	138	368	19	6	347	123	+8	+1	—	—	+9	1.9
2014	19	A	Lexington Legends	—	446	420	111	19	4	9	16	99	4	5	5	264	298	393	691	129	324	22	4	303	90	-5	-1	—	—	+13	0.7
2014	19	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	23	22	6	2	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	273	304	364	668	91	429	35	0	301	89	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2015	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	196	177	41	7	2	1	10	47	4	4	2	232	288	311	599	79	299	24	5	267	62	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2015	20	A	Lexington Legends	—	314	290	84	19	2	5	14	73	5	6	5	290	333	421	754	131	369	23	4	331	112	+4	-1	—	—	+9	1.2
2016	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	546	500	113	28	4	2	30	120	10	8	5	226	283	310	593	84	290	22	5	268	63	-23	-0	—	—	+15	-0.8
2017	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	70	62	21	4	0	1	4	14	2	0	3	339	397	452	849	113	417	20	6	371	142	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2017	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	131	124	38	7	3	4	4	35	2	1	0	306	338	508	847	202	395	27	3	367	139	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2017	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	81	72	15	4	0	1	7	18	1	0	0	208	287	306	593	97	259	22	9	270	65	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2018	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	147	129	36	8	1	0	14	37	1	0	1	279	354	357	711	78	383	25	10	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2018	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	381	355	102	22	1	3	14	71	6	10	8	287	325	380	706	93	347	19	4	313	97	-1	-1	—	—	+11	0.9
2018	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	32	28	7	3	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	250	323	357	680	107	368	28	9	299	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2019	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	428	396	97	13	2	10	25	116	4	8	5	245	296	364	660	119	321	27	6	295	84	-8	-0	—	—	+12	0.4
2019	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	90	77	16	2	0	0	12	17	1	4	1	208	322	234	556	26	267	19	13	270	65	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2021	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	358	329	76	14	0	16	21	107	6	3	1	231	289	419	709	188	288	30	6	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+10	1.0
2021	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	64	57	13	1	0	0	6	15	1	2	1	228	312	246	558	18	310	23	9	267	62	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	197	9	-4	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7
2022	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	351	319	95	21	6	13	24	64	6	10	2	298	358	524	882	226	336	18	7	384	152	+20	+1	—	—	+10	3.2
2022	27	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	84	75	16	5	0	1	5	18	3	2	2	213	289	320	609	107	263	21	6	277	70	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	612	554	165	36	5	18	50	126	5	9	6	298	361	478	840	181	356	21	8	370	141	+28	-1	—	—	+17	4.6
2023	28	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	99	88	25	6	0	2	9	19	1	4	0	284	357	420	778	136	338	19	9	346	123	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	88	76	22	6	1	2	11	21	1	1	3	289	386	474	860	184	377	24	12	382	151	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	30	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	48	43	8	3	0	0	3	14	2	2	0	186	271	256	527	70	276	29	6	249	49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	35	33	6	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	182	206	242	448	61	316	43	3	197	9	-4	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	239	6	4	240	299	384	-3	+1	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	17	10	240	299	384	-7.1	+1.6	0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elier Hernandez (OGILVIE)	31	—	—	—	—	238/300/380	142	307	5	3	26%	7%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	48→52	48→55	50→45	47	239/304/384	145	299	16	9	25%	8%	94	+1.3	231/309/398	167	277	19	8	23%	8%	100	+1.7	224/306/391	167	269	19	5	24%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Brock Peterson 2015 · MLB	31	46→50	48→55	45→40	40	231/285/372	141	311	16	3	30%	6%	82	+0.5	209/270/341	132	295	15	5	33%	7%	69	-0.4	176/245/302	126	247	15	1	34%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2022 · MLB	31	48→53	48→55	47→60	42	238/292/374	136	312	16	15	28%	6%	86	+0.8	237/295/380	143	312	18	14	29%	7%	89	+0.9	225/286/367	142	299	19	15	30%	7%	80	+0.2
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	47→55	49→45	43	220/287/358	138	285	15	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	229/296/387	158	286	17	8	25%	7%	92	+1.2	221/293/387	166	269	18	6	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Tagg Bozied 2010 · AAA	31	46→48	51→55	48→45	45	236/294/399	163	285	19	8	24%	7%	94	+1.3	231/301/406	175	311	20	5	30%	8%	98	+1.6	220/300/409	189	296	21	1	31%	9%	95	+0.8
●Rainel Rosario 2019 · AAA	30	47→51	49→50	45→50	47	241/293/382	141	276	17	9	20%	6%	89	+0.9	255/317/431	176	291	22	7	20%	8%	111	+2.5	262/328/446	185	291	24	4	19%	9%	115	+2.3
✕Jerry Sands 2018 · MLB	30	47→46	48→60	46→45	48	236/299/383	147	291	16	5	24%	8%	91	+1.1	245/309/439	194	309	22	8	27%	8%	110	+2.4	246/313/478	232	302	28	5	28%	8%	118	+1.8
✕Matt Szczur 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	48→45	44→55	47	230/290/373	143	280	15	8	24%	8%	85	+0.7	214/260/369	155	283	19	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	146/180/303	157	174	24	0	34%	4%	17	-0.7
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	45→42	50	46→45	44	229/296/383	154	293	18	6	28%	7%	91	+1.1	226/275/382	156	289	20	6	28%	6%	81	+0.4	216/261/366	150	271	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Michael Restovich 2010 · MLB	31	47→49	52→55	43→30	43	242/291/412	169	305	19	3	27%	6%	95	+1.4	214/265/338	124	304	13	4	32%	6%	65	-0.7	188/240/285	97	280	9	1	35%	6%	37	-1.1
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	43→48	48→55	47→40	41	220/278/361	141	298	17	8	31%	7%	77	+0.1	253/305/461	208	310	28	7	27%	6%	115	+2.7	242/295/439	197	299	26	3	28%	5%	102	+0.8
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2017 · AAA	31	41→50	47→45	47→45	44	206/282/342	135	295	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.1	203/276/316	113	320	12	5	37%	8%	65	-0.7	177/260/259	82	296	10	1	40%	9%	41	-1.7
✕Valentino Pascucci 2010 · AAA	31	41→45	52→55	48→45	48	216/297/379	163	280	20	5	30%	10%	90	+1.0	216/297/382	166	300	21	3	33%	10%	91	+1.1	207/295/373	166	295	22	0	35%	10%	85	+0.5
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	49→55	43→40	53	230/316/381	151	281	16	8	24%	10%	98	+1.6	203/297/330	127	279	12	6	29%	11%	78	+0.2	175/277/284	109	247	10	2	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Tim Federowicz 2019 · MLB	31	47→50	48→50	49→40	43	235/287/379	143	302	15	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	209/262/341	132	278	15	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	167/220/276	109	222	15	2	32%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Mario Lisson 2016 · AAA	32	47→49	49→55	48→55	43	239/296/379	140	296	18	9	25%	6%	89	+1.0	219/287/358	139	293	16	8	29%	8%	80	+0.4	201/279/343	142	269	17	6	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	48→49	46→45	47→50	42	240/285/369	129	301	13	9	25%	5%	81	+0.4	246/295/401	155	315	17	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	242/286/378	136	311	13	10	26%	5%	81	+0.1
✕Cole Gillespie 2015 · MLB	31	49→59	46→50	50	50	244/311/377	132	293	14	12	21%	8%	95	+1.4	246/300/346	100	299	7	12	19%	7%	81	+0.4	245/298/331	85	301	3	11	18%	7%	75	-0.0
●Jantzen Witte 2021 · AAA	31	49→57	43→50	46→45	41	239/289/351	112	315	10	9	27%	6%	79	+0.3	255/303/407	152	317	19	7	25%	6%	99	+1.7	236/291/389	153	298	20	5	27%	7%	86	+0.5