Elier HernandezRF Dominican Republic
Age 31 R/R 6'1" / 197 lbs INTL K +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .287 / .361
PA200
HR5
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $-3M $-3M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201217 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars 267256 39730 8952 20 .152.184.203.387 .051.242 363 .167 -14 -34 +0 +0 -3 +8 -3.0
201318 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars 319296 651052 11896 92 .220.262.307.569 .088.301 283 .249 49 -18 +1 +0 -3 +9 -1.2
201419 A2 teams 469448 1001638 101315 55 .223.248.326.574 .103.295 282 .244 45 -29 -1 +0 -5 +13 -2.2
201520 A2 teams 510477 1011935 141659 107 .212.248.296.544 .084.306 323 .234 37 -36 -1 +0 -5 +14 -2.9
201621 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 546511 952332 1916410 85 .186.230.254.484 .068.266 303 .211 20 -50 -0 +0 -6 +15 -4.1
201722 A+3 teams 282266 681236 7965 13 .256.288.391.679 .135.371 342 .291 81 -6 -1 +0 -3 +8 -0.2
201823 AA3 teams 560523 1222423 201507 109 .233.271.304.575 .071.316 274 .252 51 -31 -2 +0 -6 +16 -2.3
201924 AAA2 teams 518490 861128 201885 126 .176.216.255.471 .080.264 364 .209 18 -48 +0 +0 -6 +15 -4.0
202126 AAA2 teams 422394 7513012 191457 52 .190.240.315.555 .124.264 345 .245 45 -26 +0 +0 -5 +12 -1.9
202227 AAA3 teams 470435 11226713 221169 124 .257.307.439.746 .182.319 255 .317 101 +0 +1 +0 -5 +13 1.0
202328 AAA2 teams 711659 15330515 421966 136 .232.284.361.645 .129.305 286 .280 72 -22 +0 +0 -8 +20 -1.0
202429 AAARound Rock Express 8880 20512 7251 13 .250.318.412.731 .162.340 288 .301 89 -1 -1 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
202530 INTLDominican Republic 4843 8300 3142 20 .186.271.256.527 .070.276 296 +0 -1
▸ 2026 Season
202631 MLBTEX 200182 42815 14552 32 .231.293.368.661 .137.299 287 .291 81 -4 -0 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202732 MLB 7%TEX 181164 38814 13502 21 .232.296.366.662 .134.297 287 .290 80 -4 +0 -4 -2 +5 -0.5
202833 MLB 18%TEX 151138 31613 11421 11 .225.287.348.634 .123.295 287 .287 78 -4 -0 -5 -2 +4 -0.6
202934 MLB 27%TEX 111101 22412 8321 01 .218.282.337.618 .119.293 297 .282 74 -3 -0 -5 -1 +3 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 58535463 11772254190 248175380 9657 .215.260.321.581 .106.297 304 .251 50 -330 -4 -15 -63 +166 -25.1
/ 162G 650607 13125510 281959 116 .216.261.323.584 .107.297 304 .251 50 -37 -0 -2 -7 +18 -2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201217 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars 267250 521040 14662 20 .208.256.280.536 .072.283 255 .243 44 -17 +0 +8 -0.9
201318 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars 319289 871583 18626 92 .301.355.439.794 .138.368 196 .347 123 +8 +1 +9 1.9
201419 ALexington Legends 446420 1111949 16994 55 .264.298.393.691 .129.324 224 .303 90 -5 -1 +13 0.7
201419 INTLGigantes del Cibao 2322 6200 081 00 .273.304.364.668 .091.429 350 .301 89 -0 +0 +1 0.0
201520 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 196177 41721 10474 42 .232.288.311.599 .079.299 245 .267 62 -8 +0 +6 -0.3
201520 ALexington Legends 314290 841925 14735 65 .290.333.421.754 .131.369 234 .331 112 +4 -1 +9 1.2
201621 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 546500 1132842 3012010 85 .226.283.310.593 .084.290 225 .268 63 -23 -0 +15 -0.8
201722 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 7062 21401 4142 03 .339.397.452.849 .113.417 206 .371 142 +3 -1 +2 0.4
201722 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 131124 38734 4352 10 .306.338.508.847 .202.395 273 .367 139 +6 +0 +4 1.0
201722 INTLGigantes del Cibao 8172 15401 7181 00 .208.287.306.593 .097.259 229 .270 65 -3 +0 +2 -0.1
201823 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 147129 36810 14371 01 .279.354.357.711 .078.383 2510 .319 102 +0 -0 +4 0.4
201823 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals 381355 1022213 14716 108 .287.325.380.706 .093.347 194 .313 97 -1 -1 +11 0.9
201823 INTLGigantes del Cibao 3228 7300 390 00 .250.323.357.680 .107.368 289 .299 87 -0 +0 +1 0.0
201924 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 428396 9713210 251164 85 .245.296.364.660 .119.321 276 .295 84 -8 -0 +12 0.4
201924 INTLGigantes del Cibao 9077 16200 12171 41 .208.322.234.556 .026.267 1913 .270 65 -4 +0 +3 -0.1
202126 AAARound Rock Express 358329 7614016 211076 31 .231.289.419.709 .188.288 306 .313 98 -1 +0 +10 1.0
202126 AAFrisco RoughRiders 6457 13100 6151 21 .228.312.246.558 .018.310 239 .267 62 -3 +0 +2 -0.1
202227 MLBTexas Rangers 3533 6200 1150 00 .182.206.242.448 .061.316 433 .197 9 -4 +0 +0 -5 +1 -0.7
202227 AAARound Rock Express 351319 9521613 24646 102 .298.358.524.882 .226.336 187 .384 152 +20 +1 +10 3.2
202227 INTLLeones del Escogido 8475 16501 5183 22 .213.289.320.609 .107.263 216 .277 70 -3 -0 +2 -0.1
202328 AAARound Rock Express 612554 16536518 501265 96 .298.361.478.840 .181.356 218 .370 141 +28 -1 +17 4.6
202328 INTLLeones del Escogido 9988 25602 9191 40 .284.357.420.778 .136.338 199 .346 123 +3 +1 +3 0.6
202429 AAARound Rock Express 8876 22612 11211 13 .289.386.474.860 .184.377 2412 .382 151 +5 -1 +2 0.7
202530 INTLDominican Republic 4843 8300 3142 20 .186.271.256.527 .070.276 296 .249 49 -3 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 3533 6200 1150 00 .182.206.242.448 .061.316 433 .197 9 -4 +0 +0 -5 +1 -0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Elier Hernandez (OGILVIE) 31 .227/.287/.361 .133.299 53 27% 7% 81 +0.1
Nick Gorneault
2010 · AAA
31 40→48 47→55 45→50 42 .206/.263/.339 .132.271 1512 29% 7% 65 -0.7 .209/.260/.344 .135.279 1510 29% 6% 65 -0.7 .201/.253/.341.140.25816728%6%57-0.7
Abraham M. Nunez
2008 · AAA
31 45→46 49→50 42→45 44 .231/.284/.377 .146.292 178 27% 7% 83 +0.6 .232/.292/.366 .134.290 148 24% 7% 84 +0.6 .222/.313/.318.096.2618417%10%79+0.1
Brett Carroll
2013 · MLB
30 42→45 47→55 47→50 43 .215/.279/.349 .135.272 1511 26% 6% 75 -0.0 .208/.273/.344 .136.278 1611 30% 7% 71 -0.3 .183/.263/.334.151.230221131%8%60-0.5
Justin Leone
2007 · MLB
30 41 47→50 43→55 46 .211/.283/.343 .132.274 166 28% 8% 75 -0.0 .206/.284/.351 .145.269 1616 28% 9% 78 +0.2 .187/.272/.333.146.244161929%10%67-0.4
Ryan Mulhern
2011 · AAA
30 42→48 48→55 45→40 41 .216/.274/.356 .140.293 176 32% 7% 74 -0.1 .257/.311/.460 .203.311 277 26% 6% 118 +3.0 .250/.305/.446.195.30426326%5%108+0.9
D.J. Peterson
2022 · AAA
30 40→44 48→55 50→40 39 .209/.262/.347 .138.280 1610 31% 5% 67 -0.5 .208/.279/.374 .166.290 216 34% 7% 82 +0.5 .176/.257/.344.168.23623135%8%62-0.5
Matt Tuiasosopo
2017 · AAA
31 42→51 48→50 46→45 45 .210/.287/.352 .143.294 164 33% 9% 79 +0.3 .202/.276/.318 .116.315 135 37% 8% 66 -0.6 .178/.260/.257.079.2949139%9%40-1.7
Christian Bethancourt
2022 · AAA
30 47→50 48→55 49→50 40 .240/.280/.382 .142.298 178 26% 5% 83 +0.6 .238/.272/.390 .152.296 198 26% 4% 82 +0.5 .230/.261/.382.153.28219726%4%73-0.1
Carlos Rivero
2019 · AAA
31 42→52 48→50 44→45 41 .219/.258/.355 .136.264 165 24% 5% 66 -0.6 .254/.300/.410 .156.299 194 21% 6% 98 +1.6 .266/.311/.426.160.30721020%6%105+1.7
Michael A. Taylor
2023 · MLB
32 48→51 46→55 46→60 45 .240/.298/.361 .121.304 1510 26% 7% 85 +0.7 .224/.283/.382 .158.299 2016 31% 7% 85 +0.7 .205/.265/.377.173.279222034%7%74-0.1
Webster Rivas
2022 · MLB
31 44 44→40 47→40 47 .218/.282/.329 .111.277 124 25% 8% 70 -0.3 .220/.299/.314 .094.299 75 26% 10% 73 -0.1 .212/.308/.279.067.2992226%12%66-0.3
Jason Conti
2006 · MLB
31 43→41 45 44→50 40 .214/.262/.338 .124.285 136 29% 6% 64 -0.8 .219/.267/.331 .112.289 118 27% 5% 64 -0.8 .212/.258/.286.073.2787525%5%47-0.6
Manuel Bobadilla
2015 · AAA
31 45 43→45 42→45 41 .218/.285/.325 .107.299 107 29% 6% 71 -0.3 .220/.279/.331 .111.270 126 23% 6% 69 -0.4 .212/.280/.293.081.2459017%6%61-0.3
Victor Mendez
2011 · AAA
31 46 44→45 45→50 44 .227/.285/.344 .117.291 1210 26% 7% 75 -0.0 .249/.324/.396 .147.320 1614 25% 10% 105 +2.1 .279/.376/.447.168.346222024%13%136+0.7
Corey Smith
2012 · AAA
30 42→46 46→55 47→50 39 .217/.257/.345 .129.275 148 27% 5% 63 -0.8 .227/.271/.376 .149.288 177 27% 5% 78 +0.2 .231/.275/.409.178.28022426%5%85+0.5
Mike Vento
2009 · MLB
31 49→51 45 42→30 44 .240/.292/.362 .121.293 126 22% 6% 82 +0.5 .225/.257/.361 .136.273 149 23% 4% 67 -0.5 .217/.226/.360.143.25115621%1%51-0.5
David Matranga
2008 · AAA
31 40 46→45 50 43 .204/.272/.327 .122.263 1412 28% 7% 66 -0.6 .217/.291/.342 .125.292 139 29% 8% 78 +0.2 .211/.297/.329.119.28812529%9%75+0.0
Nick Green
2010 · MLB
31 44→47 48→50 40→45 40 .224/.272/.362 .138.282 165 26% 5% 75 -0.0 .212/.262/.336 .124.264 125 24% 5% 63 -0.8 .209/.257/.338.128.25512323%4%59-0.6
Joe Borchard
2010 · MLB
31 41→44 50→55 46→45 41 .213/.266/.367 .154.275 186 29% 6% 74 -0.1 .219/.269/.367 .148.294 165 30% 6% 75 -0.0 .220/.273/.370.150.29515230%6%76+0.0
Brandon Larson
2006 · MLB
30 43→42 49→50 45 45 .221/.292/.366 .145.284 177 28% 8% 85 +0.7 .227/.277/.383 .156.291 206 29% 6% 82 +0.5 .217/.262/.366.149.27321529%5%68-0.2