Aaron Schunk
2B Gwinnett Stripers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAACOL | 299 | .291/.341/.469 | 7 | 11 | 76 | — | .238/.277/.363 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLBCOL | 98 | .234/.265/.330 | 2 | 0 | 55 | 0.1 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAACOL | 363 | .291/.357/.477 | 10 | 3 | 78 | — | .238/.289/.377 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBCOL | 33 | .188/.188/.219 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 370 | .245/.318/.379 | 6 | 9 | 58 | — | .200/.255/.295 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBATL | 16 | .217/.265/.335 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBATL | 69 | .215/.264/.330 | 1 | 1 | 65 | -0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 395 | 358 | 80 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 111 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 289 | 346 | 635 | 123 | 296 | 28 | 6 | 285 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 497 | 450 | 116 | 32 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 115 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 258 | 320 | 427 | 746 | 169 | 312 | 23 | 7 | 328 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 508 | 458 | 133 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 122 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 290 | 354 | 461 | 815 | 170 | 364 | 24 | 9 | 358 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 98 | 94 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 265 | 330 | 595 | 96 | 328 | 32 | 4 | 267 | 55 | -5 | -0 | +3 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 299 | 275 | 80 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 53 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 291 | 341 | 469 | 810 | 178 | 336 | 18 | 6 | 354 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 33 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 188 | 219 | 406 | 31 | 273 | 30 | 0 | 176 | 1 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 323 | 94 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 66 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 291 | 357 | 477 | 834 | 186 | 333 | 18 | 8 | 361 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 354 | 316 | 75 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 81 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 367 | 677 | 130 | 295 | 23 | 8 | 302 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 16 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 429 | 500 | 643 | 1.143 | 214 | 600 | 25 | 12 | 498 | 223 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 131 | 126 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 246 | 302 | 548 | 79 | 313 | 31 | 3 | 244 | 51 | -8 | -0 | +4 | +6 | +3 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 395 | 366 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 155 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 161 | 215 | 240 | 455 | 79 | 254 | 39 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 497 | 462 | 101 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 140 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 219 | 265 | 351 | 615 | 132 | 278 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 508 | 472 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 154 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 235 | 282 | 354 | 636 | 119 | 319 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 98 | 95 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 245 | 316 | 561 | 95 | 328 | 32 | 3 | 250 | 55 | -5 | -0 | +3 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 299 | 281 | 67 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 238 | 277 | 363 | 640 | 125 | 293 | 22 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 33 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 188 | 219 | 406 | 31 | 273 | 30 | 0 | 170 | 1 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 363 | 332 | 79 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 238 | 289 | 377 | 666 | 139 | 281 | 23 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 354 | 325 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 97 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 200 | 255 | 295 | 550 | 95 | 259 | 27 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 395 | 366 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 155 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 161 | 215 | 240 | 455 | 79 | 257 | 39 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 395 | 358 | 80 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 111 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 289 | 346 | 635 | 123 | 296 | 28 | 6 | 285 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 497 | 462 | 101 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 140 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 219 | 265 | 351 | 615 | 132 | 284 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 497 | 450 | 116 | 32 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 115 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 258 | 320 | 427 | 746 | 169 | 312 | 23 | 7 | 328 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 508 | 472 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 154 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 235 | 282 | 354 | 636 | 119 | 325 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 508 | 458 | 133 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 122 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 290 | 354 | 461 | 815 | 170 | 364 | 24 | 9 | 358 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 376 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 237 | 272 | 354 | 625 | 117 | 301 | 24 | 4 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 397 | 369 | 102 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 84 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 276 | 322 | 434 | 756 | 157 | 335 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 364 | 83 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 94 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 276 | 354 | 630 | 126 | 284 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 355 | 100 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 76 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 343 | 454 | 796 | 172 | 328 | 19 | 7 | 346 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 340 | 68 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 200 | 255 | 294 | 549 | 94 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 330 | 81 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 85 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 245 | 318 | 379 | 697 | 133 | 307 | 23 | 8 | 310 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 395 | 367 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 155 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 161 | 215 | 240 | 455 | 79 | 254 | 39 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 497 | 465 | 101 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 140 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 265 | 348 | 613 | 131 | 278 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 508 | 472 | 111 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 154 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 235 | 282 | 354 | 636 | 119 | 319 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 376 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 237 | 272 | 354 | 625 | 117 | 302 | 24 | 4 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 369 | 83 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 94 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 276 | 350 | 625 | 125 | 280 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 342 | 68 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 199 | 255 | 292 | 547 | 94 | 259 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 376 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 96 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 237 | 272 | 354 | 625 | 117 | 302 | 24 | 4 | 272 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 369 | 83 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 94 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 276 | 350 | 625 | 125 | 280 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 342 | 68 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 199 | 255 | 292 | 547 | 94 | 259 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 10% | 380 | 354 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 217 | 265 | 335 | 600 | 118 | 276 | 25 | 5 | 268 | 67 | -15 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 265 | 335 | 600 | 118 | 276 | 25 | 6 | 268 | 67 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | ATL | 27% | 254 | 236 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 264 | 330 | 593 | 114 | 274 | 25 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | ATL | 27% | 69 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 330 | 593 | 114 | 274 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 200 | 190 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 251 | 300 | 551 | 84 | 297 | 30 | 4 | 251 | 61 | -10 | -0 | +3 | +6 | +4 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 618 | 134 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 192 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 217 | 252 | 303 | 555 | 86 | 298 | 30 | 4 | 251 | 61 | -34 | -1 | +11 | +19 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2972 | 2760 | 594 | 124 | 21 | 49 | 148 | 844 | 30 | 60 | 26 | 215 | 263 | 329 | 591 | 113 | 287 | 28 | 5 | 259 | 61 | -24 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +12 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 130 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 185 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 215 | 263 | 331 | 594 | 116 | 287 | 28 | 5 | 259 | 61 | -29 | +0 | +4 | +9 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 354 PAwOBA .298 → .243 (−55)K% 22.9% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 18.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .298 → .243; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .295 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 363 PAwOBA .356 → .284 (−72)K% 18.2% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.99% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 20.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.23% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.72% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 2.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.89% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .356 → .284; ISO .186 → .142; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 299 PAwOBA .347 → .280 (−67)K% 17.7% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.73% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.17% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 8.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .347 → .280; ISO .178 → .131; BABIP .336 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 508 PAwOBA .350 → .277 (−73)K% 24.0% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.02% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.27% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.49% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 24.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.018 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .350 → .277; ISO .170 → .122; BABIP .364 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 497 PAwOBA .322 → .267 (−55)K% 23.1% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.04% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×0.998 | 19.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.55% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×0.997 | ×0.998 | 7.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.997 | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .322 → .267; ISO .169 → .133; BABIP .312 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Spokane Indians · 395 PAwOBA .280 → .202 (−78)K% 28.1% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.10% | ÷0.967 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.67% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷1.211 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .280 → .202; ISO .123 → .080; BABIP .296 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .