Christian Arroyo

Christian Arroyo2B Syracuse Mets

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 220 lbs AAA Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .293 / .370

PA148

HR3

K%22

BB%5

BABIP301

ISO123

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT60

Whiff%

3812.3%

xwOBA

480.307

POWER50

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE40

Chase%

1042.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

5527.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$0.3M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.1M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	209	192	48	13	4	2	11	46	2	3	2	250	298	391	688	141	311	22	5	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	209	184	60	18	5	2	19	32	2	3	2	326	395	511	906	185	377	15	9	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	125	119	21	3	1	1	3	27	0	1	2	176	197	244	440	67	215	22	2	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	125	118	24	3	1	1	4	22	0	1	2	203	230	271	501	68	237	18	3	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	495	466	122	24	1	9	16	123	8	6	3	262	298	376	673	114	335	25	3	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	2 teams	—	495	459	140	31	3	12	23	87	8	6	3	305	349	464	813	159	353	18	5	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	517	489	127	34	1	3	14	98	3	1	1	260	285	352	636	92	314	19	3	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	517	474	130	36	1	3	29	72	3	1	1	274	320	373	694	99	313	14	6	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	—	237	218	56	11	0	7	12	48	6	3	2	257	314	404	717	147	299	20	5	316	100	-0	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2017	22	MLB	2 teams	—	237	216	60	12	0	7	14	44	6	3	2	278	339	431	770	153	319	19	6	343	121	+6	-0	-1	+1	+7	1.2
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	241	226	47	11	1	3	11	52	4	2	3	208	257	305	563	97	257	22	5	249	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	241	223	54	14	1	3	14	48	4	2	3	242	299	354	653	112	297	20	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	191	175	45	10	1	7	13	48	2	1	0	257	316	446	762	189	317	25	7	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	191	171	49	11	1	10	17	44	2	1	0	287	358	538	896	251	333	23	9	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	54	50	12	1	0	3	4	11	0	0	0	240	296	440	736	200	250	20	7	314	99	-0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.0
2020	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	54	50	12	1	0	3	4	11	0	0	0	240	296	440	736	200	250	20	7	325	107	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	219	199	44	12	0	6	9	58	9	2	0	221	286	372	658	151	279	26	4	289	80	-5	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.3
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	219	197	46	13	0	6	10	56	9	2	0	234	300	391	690	157	294	26	5	307	93	-2	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.7
2022	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	300	280	76	14	1	6	13	49	3	5	1	271	311	393	704	121	308	16	4	305	92	-3	+1	-5	+1	+8	0.3
2022	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	300	280	80	16	1	6	13	49	3	5	1	286	324	414	739	129	326	16	4	325	107	+2	+1	-5	+1	+8	0.8
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	277	262	52	15	0	3	11	59	1	2	3	198	234	290	524	92	243	21	4	232	36	-20	-1	-2	+1	+8	-1.4
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	277	260	56	18	0	3	13	57	1	2	3	215	255	319	575	104	262	21	5	256	54	-14	-1	-2	+1	+8	-0.8
2024	29	AAA	2 teams	—	153	139	27	6	0	2	7	50	5	1	1	194	258	281	539	86	281	33	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	2 teams	—	153	135	30	8	0	2	11	39	5	1	1	222	305	326	631	104	292	25	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	207	192	50	11	0	5	10	49	4	1	0	260	311	396	707	135	324	24	5	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	207	186	56	14	0	5	16	40	4	1	0	301	369	457	826	156	359	19	8	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	NYM	—	222	206	53	11	0	5	10	44	2	6	0	257	298	383	682	126	300	20	5	295	84	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
YTD	31	AAA	NYM	—	222	201	58	13	0	6	15	37	2	6	0	289	344	443	787	154	323	17	7	344	122	+5	+1	+0	+1	+6	1.4
ROS	31	AAA	NYM	10%	148	138	34	8	0	3	7	33	2	3	0	246	293	370	662	123	303	22	5	302	89	-2	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	NYM	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	303	20	7	293	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	NYM	—	237	220	56	12	0	5	11	47	2	6	0	255	296	377	673	123	298	20	5	295	84	-4	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.4
TOT	31	AAA	NYM	—	370	344	87	19	0	8	17	77	4	9	0	253	296	378	674	125	300	21	5	298	86	-6	+2	-0	+1	+10	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	NYM	27%	236	219	53	12	0	5	12	54	3	3	0	242	291	365	656	123	299	23	5	296	85	-4	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.0
2028	33	MLB	NYM	37%	206	192	45	10	0	4	10	48	2	2	0	234	279	349	628	115	294	23	5	288	78	-5	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.3
2027	32	MLB	NYM	27%	64	60	14	3	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	233	281	333	615	100	299	23	5	287	78	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	33	MLB	NYM	37%	77	72	18	4	0	2	4	18	1	1	0	250	299	389	688	139	293	23	5	279	72	-2	+0	-2	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1148	1063	266	62	2	27	59	251	15	10	6	250	299	389	687	138	303	22	5	304	91	-12	-0	-11	+6	+33	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	150	35	1	15	33	142	8	6	3	249	297	385	682	136	301	22	5	304	91	-7	+0	-6	+3	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	3815	3556	859	195	10	69	163	853	54	36	18	242	285	360	645	119	297	22	4	282	74	-112	+0	-17	+14	+108	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	147	33	2	12	28	145	9	6	3	243	286	363	649	120	297	22	4	282	74	-19	+0	-3	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	209	184	60	18	5	2	19	32	2	3	2	326	395	511	906	185	377	15	9	391	157	+14	-0	—	—	+6	2.0
2014	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	125	118	24	3	1	1	4	22	0	1	2	203	230	271	501	68	237	18	3	220	27	-10	-1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2015	20	A+	San Jose Giants	—	409	381	116	28	2	9	19	73	5	5	3	304	346	459	805	155	355	18	5	353	129	+13	-0	—	—	+12	2.5
2015	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	86	78	24	3	1	3	4	14	3	1	0	308	365	487	852	179	339	16	5	373	144	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2016	21	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	517	474	130	36	1	3	29	72	3	1	1	274	320	373	694	99	313	14	6	306	92	-5	-0	—	—	+15	1.0
2017	22	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	135	125	24	5	0	3	8	32	1	1	2	192	246	304	550	112	231	24	6	248	48	-8	-1	-1	+1	+4	-0.5
2017	22	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	102	91	36	7	0	4	6	12	5	2	0	396	461	604	1.065	209	427	12	6	469	217	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2018	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	59	53	14	2	1	1	6	16	0	0	0	264	339	396	735	132	361	27	10	330	111	+1	+0	+1	+1	+2	0.4
2018	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	182	170	40	12	0	2	8	32	4	2	3	235	286	341	627	106	279	18	4	284	75	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2019	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	57	50	11	2	0	2	5	18	1	0	0	220	304	380	684	160	300	32	9	303	90	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2019	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	134	121	38	9	1	8	12	26	1	1	0	314	381	603	984	289	345	19	9	426	184	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2020	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	54	50	12	1	0	3	4	11	0	0	0	240	296	440	736	200	250	20	7	325	107	+0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2021	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	181	164	43	12	0	6	8	44	7	1	0	262	322	445	767	183	325	24	4	338	117	+4	+0	+1	+1	+5	1.1
2021	26	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	38	33	3	1	0	0	2	12	2	1	0	91	189	121	310	30	136	32	5	157	-22	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	300	280	80	16	1	6	13	49	3	5	1	286	324	414	739	129	326	16	4	325	107	+2	+1	-5	+1	+8	0.8
2023	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	206	195	47	16	0	3	7	45	1	1	3	241	271	369	640	128	295	22	3	280	73	-6	-1	-2	+1	+6	-0.2
2023	28	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	71	65	9	2	0	0	6	12	0	1	0	138	211	169	380	31	170	17	8	184	-1	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	128	114	27	8	0	2	9	32	3	1	1	237	310	360	669	123	305	25	7	299	87	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	29	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	25	21	3	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	0	143	280	143	423		214	28	8	223	29	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	190	169	53	14	0	5	16	37	4	1	0	314	386	485	871	172	375	19	8	386	153	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	30	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		214	18	0	160	-20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	992	917	231	54	2	24	51	215	13	8	6	252	300	394	694	142	303	22	5	307	93	-8	-1	-8	+5	+28	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	9	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
	/162	664	9	8	240	310	353	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Sandy Alomar Jr.last yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,537 PA	7	1,537	26	3	270	302	378	+6	+8	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	11	1	270	302	378	+2.4	+3.3	1.4	pk7: 3
#3Greg Dobbslast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,201 PA	9	2,201	46	14	262	307	388	-1	-26	2.0	2.8
#3Greg Dobbslast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,201 PA	/162	664	14	4	262	307	388	-0.4	-7.7	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	1,159	28	10	251	296	390	+4	-8	2.4	2.6
	/162	664	16	6	251	296	390	+2.4	-4.8	1.4	pk7: 3
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Arroyo (OGILVIE)	31	60	50	45	40	253/296/378	125	300	8	9	21%	5%	86	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adeiny Hechavarría 2020 · MLB	31	49→59	47→50	48→50	45	246/290/381	135	283	15	8	19%	5%	87	+0.8	244/296/378	134	289	14	8	20%	6%	89	+0.9	192/238/368	177	224	24	0	28%	5%	60	-0.2
✕Adonis García 2016 · MLB	31	52→56	45→50	48→50	40	258/283/381	123	292	13	9	17%	3%	83	+0.6	260/296/394	134	292	15	8	16%	4%	92	+1.2	246/289/367	121	280	14	9	17%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Tim Federowicz 2019 · MLB	31	47→50	48→50	49→40	43	235/287/379	143	302	15	5	27%	6%	85	+0.7	209/262/341	132	278	15	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	167/220/276	109	222	15	2	32%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
●Jantzen Witte 2021 · AAA	31	49→57	43→50	46→45	41	239/289/351	112	315	10	9	27%	6%	79	+0.3	255/303/407	152	317	19	7	25%	6%	99	+1.7	236/291/389	153	298	20	5	27%	7%	86	+0.5
✕Phil Gosselin 2020 · MLB	31	47→57	44→45	43→45	47	230/291/349	119	286	11	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	246/304/371	125	309	13	6	23%	7%	90	+1.0	248/301/361	114	314	12	6	24%	6%	83	+0.2
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2021 · MLB	30	47→52	45	47→45	42	235/280/356	122	290	13	7	24%	5%	76	+0.0	222/276/349	127	293	14	13	28%	6%	72	-0.2	202/260/316	113	267	14	14	29%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	48→58	42→40	46→50	45	232/291/334	102	282	9	8	21%	6%	75	-0.0	221/286/297	76	287	6	7	24%	7%	63	-0.8	208/280/235	26	278	1	2	23%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Ricardo Serrano 2017 · AAA	31	48→57	46→50	46→45	42	239/275/371	131	277	14	6	20%	4%	77	+0.1	232/271/348	116	284	13	5	23%	5%	70	-0.3	229/270/334	105	282	13	1	24%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Ronny Cedeno 2014 · MLB	31	50→57	42→45	43→50	45	242/294/349	106	305	8	7	23%	6%	79	+0.3	225/268/317	92	280	7	8	22%	5%	60	-1.0	216/252/288	72	268	5	7	21%	4%	42	-1.2
✕Angel Berroa 2008 · MLB	31	50→56	43→55	43→50	43	246/286/352	106	280	11	5	17%	4%	77	+0.1	229/279/344	115	263	11	6	17%	5%	72	-0.2	254/297/421	167	303	20	5	23%	4%	99	+1.0
✕Paul Leon 2019 · AAA	31	47→55	43→45	47→45	44	229/280/342	113	279	11	7	22%	6%	72	-0.2	244/279/355	111	294	12	6	21%	4%	75	-0.0	257/285/351	94	307	11	1	20%	3%	72	-0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	48→49	46→45	47→50	42	240/285/369	129	301	13	9	25%	5%	81	+0.4	246/295/401	155	315	17	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	242/286/378	136	311	13	10	26%	5%	81	+0.1
✕Juan Martinez 2019 · AAA	32	49→55	46→45	45→40	42	244/279/374	130	285	14	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	244/285/359	115	318	13	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	252/292/348	96	334	11	0	27%	4%	74	-0.0
●Joshua Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	31	47→56	45→50	49→50	45	230/292/359	129	297	13	9	26%	7%	82	+0.5	209/270/328	119	296	13	7	32%	7%	65	-0.7	223/283/360	137	300	18	4	31%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Wilmer Difo 2023 · MLB	31	47→54	43→45	47→55	46	233/279/343	110	276	11	7	20%	6%	72	-0.2	217/280/321	104	278	10	19	24%	8%	67	-0.5	205/278/298	92	271	9	25	26%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Austin Romine 2021 · MLB	32	50→53	48→45	45	40	252/290/390	138	319	16	5	26%	5%	89	+1.0	221/261/337	116	302	13	5	30%	5%	63	-0.9	174/208/255	81	235	11	0	31%	4%	16	-1.3
✕Diory Hernandez 2015 · AAA	31	45→55	46→45	44→50	48	226/281/350	124	253	14	8	17%	6%	75	-0.0	246/296/371	125	272	14	8	15%	6%	86	+0.8	250/298/379	129	273	15	6	15%	5%	87	+0.4
✕Humberto Sosa 2017 · AAA	31	46→49	44→50	47→45	42	228/274/332	103	287	13	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	229/274/377	148	278	19	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	232/276/427	195	261	26	1	23%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Nevin Ashley 2016 · MLB	31	46→51	43→45	42→45	43	224/283/332	108	288	11	4	26%	6%	71	-0.3	228/294/355	127	301	14	6	28%	7%	82	+0.5	212/296/341	129	282	16	2	29%	8%	79	+0.1