Erik González

Pos2B
B/TR/R
Born1991-08-31
Age (2027)35
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTL
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202432AAA/INTL2 orgs620.258/.307/.34361855—.207/.236/.277
202533INTLDominican Rep…213.293/.384/.35902116—
202634INTLLeones del Es…28.269/.321/.42302110—
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022
Speed63
xwOBA29
Avg EV28
Barrel%21

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200917 ROKDSL Indians — 256234 58930 15365 142 248307312619 64293 146 282 15 — — — — — —
201018 ROKDSL Indians — 258240 831811 14192 94 346387442828 96369 75 368 51 — — — — — —
201119 ROKAZL Indians — 176159 41232 12312 51 258318346664 88307 187 297 36 — — — — — —
201321 A+Carolina Mudcats — 163153 37950 5380 12 242266366632 124311 233 270 36 — — — — — —
201321 ALake County Captains — 383355 922379 24711 104 259308439747 180301 196 326 69 — — — — — —
201321 INTLLeones del Escogido — 167163 53661 3471 30 325341454795 129452 282 350 123 — — — — — —
201422 AAAkron RubberDucks — 136129 46631 7230 61 357390473863 116429 175 383 120 — — — — — —
201422 A+Carolina Mudcats — 336308 891473 23650 156 289338409747 120355 197 329 68 — — — — — —
201422 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4340 8100 2131 11 200256225481 25296 305 227 40 — — — — — —
201523 AAAColumbus Clippers — 261238 53633 15473 82 223277311588 88266 186 263 49 — — — — — —
201523 AAAkron RubberDucks — 327311 871846 11561 105 280307421728 141321 173 318 84 — — — — — —
201523 INTLLeones del Escogido — 6561 16111 381 11 262308361668 98288 125 301 90 — — — — — —
201624 MLBCleveland Indians — 1716 5000 180 01 312353312665 625 476 307 94 -0 -0 +2 +6 +0 0.8
201624 AAAColumbus Clippers — 460429 12731111 19883 1210 296330450780 154349 194 339 84 — — — — — —
201624 INTLLeones del Escogido — 8677 21213 6171 20 273333442775 169310 207 336 114 — — — — — —
201725 MLBCleveland Indians — 115110 28604 3370 12 255274418693 164343 323 299 88 -2 -1 +4 +1 +2 0.6
201725 AAAColumbus Clippers — 170160 41436 7530 51 256287431719 175343 314 310 65 — — — — — —
201725 INTLLeones del Escogido — 110103 27300 4211 40 262296291588 29321 194 265 65 — — — — — —
201826 MLBCleveland Indians — 143136 361011 5342 30 265301375676 110347 243 302 91 -2 +1 -5 +1 +3 -0.1
201826 INTLLeones del Escogido — 136132 30501 3230 52 227244288532 61266 172 238 47 — — — — — —
201927 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 156142 36411 9371 41 254303317620 63333 246 276 64 -7 +0 +1 +3 +3 0.1
201927 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 8178 15311 3290 11 192222295517 103292 364 231 7 — — — — — —
201927 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4640 10211 461 01 250333425758 175265 139 331 110 — — — — — —
202028 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 193181 411313 8510 23 227259359618 133292 264 269 68 -7 -1 +2 +2 +4 0.0
202129 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 229220 51712 8400 22 232259300559 68274 173 251 56 -12 -0 +2 +1 +5 -0.4
202129 AAAIndianapolis Indians — 5043 6210 4102 00 140245233477 93176 208 223 10 — — — — — —
202129 INTLLeones del Escogido — 118109 29210 8291 43 266322303625 37362 257 288 81 — — — — — —
202230 MLBMiami Marlins — 4137 7100 4120 10 189268216485 27280 2910 232 46 -3 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.1
202230 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 402370 1051914 28862 92 284338373710 89358 217 320 61 — — — — — —
202230 INTLLeones del Escogido — 109105 25410 4220 33 238266295561 57301 204 254 58 — — — — — —
202331 AAACharlotte Knights — 493453 1232125 321043 34 272324360684 88341 216 306 59 — — — — — —
202331 INTLLeones del Escogido — 189168 54931 16240 116 321380429809 107358 138 353 125 — — — — — —
202432 AAALouisville Bats — 464435 1072416 24952 61 246289347636 101300 205 284 39 — — — — — —
202432 INTLLeones del Escogido — 156139 41310 15100 122 295364331695 36318 610 317 101 — — — — — —
202533 INTLDominican Republic — 213184 54820 26271 28 293384359743 65344 1312 339 116 — — — — — —
202634 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2826 7400 220 20 269321423745 154292 77 330 110 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 894842 20441411 382193 139 242277340617 97312 244 274 71 -30 -1 +7 +17 +19 1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 256239 41620 10445 142 172220213434 42205 174 191 15 — — — — — —
201018 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 258244 561110 10232 94 230266283548 53248 94 243 51 — — — — — —
201119 ROK MLEAZL Indians — 176164 32121 7452 51 195237244481 49257 264 221 36 — — — — — —
201321 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 163155 31730 3540 12 200215284499 84290 332 221 36 — — — — — —
201321 A MLELake County Captains — 383361 812077 18971 104 224263377640 152280 255 270 69 — — — — — —
201422 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 136131 43531 5290 61 328353435788 107423 214 346 120 — — — — — —
201422 A+ MLECarolina Mudcats — 336317 781153 14960 156 246278341619 95334 294 268 68 — — — — — —
201523 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 261243 53542 10563 82 218258296554 78269 214 241 49 — — — — — —
201523 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 327313 851536 9671 105 272294396690 125318 203 293 84 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 1716 5000 180 01 312353312665 625 476 307 94 -0 -0 +2 +6 +0 0.8
201624 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 460437 1172618 111093 1210 268290387677 119333 242 293 84 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 115110 28604 3370 12 255274418693 164343 323 298 88 -2 -1 +4 +1 +2 0.6
201725 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 170162 38334 5640 51 235257364622 130350 383 265 65 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 143136 361011 5342 30 265301375676 110347 243 302 91 -2 +1 -5 +1 +3 -0.1
201927 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 156145 36411 6371 41 248283310593 62333 244 263 64 -7 +0 +1 +3 +3 0.1
201927 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 8179 12211 2340 11 152173241413 89261 422 179 7 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 193181 401213 8510 23 221254348602 127292 264 268 68 -7 -1 +2 +2 +4 0.0
202129 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 229220 51712 8400 22 232259300559 68274 173 252 56 -12 -0 +2 +1 +5 -0.4
202129 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians — 5045 6210 2122 00 133204222426 89156 244 183 10 — — — — — —
202230 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 4137 7100 4120 10 189268216485 27280 2910 237 46 -3 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.1
202230 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 402379 911713 191072 92 240280314594 74321 275 259 61 — — — — — —
202331 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 493465 1131823 201283 34 243279310588 67320 264 255 59 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 464444 922013 151142 61 207236277513 70265 253 226 39 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 256239 41620 10445 142 172220213434 42210 174 191 15 — — — — — —
200917 ROK RAWDSL Indians — 256234 58930 15365 142 248307312619 64293 146 282 15 — — — — — —
201018 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 258244 561110 10232 94 230266283548 53251 94 243 51 — — — — — —
201018 ROK RAWDSL Indians — 258240 831811 14192 94 346387442828 96369 75 368 51 — — — — — —
201119 ROK MLEAZL Indians — 176164 32121 7452 51 195237244481 49261 264 221 36 — — — — — —
201119 ROK RAWAZL Indians — 176159 41232 12312 51 258318346664 88307 187 297 36 — — — — — —
201321 A MLE3 teams — 713676 14535139 271972 146 214247345591 130286 284 255 59 — — — — — —
201321 A RAW3 teams — 713671 182381810 321562 146 271306426733 155337 224 319 59 — — — — — —
201422 A+ MLE3 teams — 515488 1321894 211371 228 270302369671 98367 274 290 83 — — — — — —
201422 A+ RAW3 teams — 515477 14321104 321011 228 300345411756 111372 206 334 83 — — — — — —
201523 AA MLE3 teams — 653618 1542389 211365 198 249280356635 107305 213 270 69 — — — — — —
201523 AA RAW3 teams — 653610 15625810 291115 198 256295372667 116297 174 294 69 — — — — — —
201624 AAA MLE3 teams — 563534 14531110 141394 1411 272295390685 118348 252 293 85 — — — — — —
201624 AAA RAW3 teams — 563522 15333214 261134 1411 293332444776 151349 205 337 85 — — — — — —
201725 AAA MLE3 teams — 395376 9213511 111401 103 245268394662 149354 353 278 75 — — — — — —
201725 AAA RAW3 teams — 395373 9613310 141111 103 257286389675 131336 284 294 75 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLE2 teams — 279266 701922 10662 82 263295372667 109342 244 302 91 -3 +1 -5 +1 +6 0.0
201826 MLB RAW2 teams — 279268 661512 8572 82 246273332605 86305 203 271 91 -3 +1 -5 +1 +6 0.0
201927 MLB MLE3 teams — 283266 58822 10852 53 218252286538 68309 304 234 45 -19 -0 +1 +3 +6 -0.9
201927 MLB RAW3 teams — 283260 61933 16722 53 235284327611 92310 256 272 45 -19 -0 +1 +3 +6 -0.9
202028 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 193181 401213 8510 23 221254348602 127285 264 268 68 -7 -1 +2 +2 +4 0.0
202028 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates — 193181 411313 8510 23 227259359618 133292 264 269 68 -7 -1 +2 +2 +4 0.0
202129 MLB MLE3 teams — 397377 801233 15753 65 212248284532 72256 194 239 48 -25 -1 +2 +1 +9 -1.3
202129 MLB RAW3 teams — 397372 861132 20793 65 231276293569 62287 205 259 48 -25 -1 +2 +1 +9 -1.3
202230 AAA MLE3 teams — 552519 1212313 291482 135 233276299575 66319 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202230 AAA RAW3 teams — 552512 1372424 361202 135 268318346664 78341 227 300 60 — — — — — —
202331 AAA MLE2 teams — 682642 1552434 271773 1410 241275307582 65323 264 255 59 — — — — — —
202331 AAA RAW2 teams — 682621 1773056 481283 1410 285339378718 93346 197 319 59 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLE2 teams — 620593 1222615 201532 183 206234278512 73267 253 226 39 — — — — — —
202432 AAA RAW2 teams — 620574 1482726 391052 183 258307343651 85305 176 292 39 — — — — — —
202533 INTL MLEDominican Republic — 213184 54820 26271 28 293384359743 65344 1312 — — — — — — — —
202533 INTL RAWDominican Republic — 213184 54820 26271 28 293384359743 65344 1312 339 116 — — — — — —
202634 INTL MLELeones del Escogido — 2826 7400 220 20 269321423745 154292 77 — — — — — — — —
202634 INTL RAWLeones del Escogido — 2826 7400 220 20 269321423745 154292 77 330 110 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 256239 41620 10445 142 172220213434 42205 174 191 15 — — — — — —
201018 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 258244 561110 10232 94 230266283548 53248 94 243 51 — — — — — —
201119 ROK MLEAZL Indians — 176165 32121 7452 51 194237242479 48257 264 221 36 — — — — — —
201321 A MLE3 teams — 713678 14535139 271972 146 214247344590 130283 284 255 59 — — — — — —
201422 A+ MLE3 teams — 515488 1321894 211371 228 270302369671 98360 274 290 83 — — — — — —
201523 AA MLE3 teams — 653622 1542389 211365 198 248280354633 106296 213 270 69 — — — — — —
201624 AAA MLE3 teams — 563540 14531110 141394 1411 269295385680 117343 252 293 85 — — — — — —
201725 AAA MLE3 teams — 395380 9213511 111401 103 242268389658 147347 353 278 75 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLE2 teams — 279265 701922 10662 82 264295374669 109347 244 302 91 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLE3 teams — 283269 58822 10852 53 216252283534 67309 304 234 45 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 193183 401213 8510 23 219254344598 126292 264 268 68 — — — — — —
202129 MLB MLE3 teams — 397376 801233 15753 65 213248285533 72253 194 239 48 — — — — — —
202230 AAA MLE3 teams — 552516 1212313 291482 135 234276300577 66317 275 257 60 — — — — — —
202331 AAA MLE2 teams — 682647 1552434 271773 1410 240275304580 65320 264 255 59 — — — — — —
202432 AAA MLE2 teams — 620593 1222615 201532 183 206234278512 73265 253 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202432 AAA MLE2 teams — 620593 1222615 201532 183 206234278512 73265 253 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 894842 20441411 382193 139 242277340617 97312 244 274 55 -30 -1 +7 +17 +19 1.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 1493038 281592 97 243279342620 98314 244 274 55 -22 -1 +5 +12 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 67766393 15042745666 268164537 17782 235270327597 91305 244 249 55 -30 -1 +7 +17 +19 1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650613 1432656 261584 178 233269321591 88302 244 249 55 -22 -1 +5 +12 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAALouisville Bats · 464 PAwOBA .278 → .226 (−53)K% 20.5% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.47%÷0.999×1.200——24.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.17%÷1.032×0.690—×0.9423.26%
HBP% /PA0.43%—×0.940—×0.9420.38%
Singles /BIP22.35%÷0.995×0.930×1.033×0.94220.33%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷0.964×0.830×1.033×0.9425.91%
Triples /BIP0.29%÷1.150×0.970×1.033×0.9420.24%
Home runs /BIP1.76%÷1.111×0.700—×0.9421.05%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .278 → .226; ISO .101 → .073; BABIP .300 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 493 PAwOBA .300 → .255 (−45)K% 21.1% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.10%÷0.978×1.200——25.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.49%÷1.078×0.690—×0.9523.95%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.940—×0.9520.54%
Singles /BIP27.22%÷0.967×0.930×1.050×0.95226.17%
Doubles /BIP6.02%÷0.971×0.830×1.050×0.9525.14%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷0.996×0.970×1.050×0.9520.56%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷1.152×0.700—×0.9520.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .300 → .255; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .341 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 402 PAwOBA .313 → .259 (−54)K% 21.4% → 26.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.39%÷0.966×1.200——26.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.97%÷0.978×0.690—×0.9624.73%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.940—×0.9620.45%
Singles /BIP28.52%÷1.054×0.930×1.050×0.96225.42%
Doubles /BIP6.69%÷0.898×0.830×1.050×0.9626.25%
Triples /BIP0.35%÷0.930×0.970×1.050×0.9620.37%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷1.032×0.700—×0.9620.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .313 → .259; ISO .089 → .072; BABIP .358 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 50 PAwOBA .223 → .183 (−39)K% 20.0% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.961×1.200——24.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.100×0.690—×0.9724.88%
HBP% /PA4.00%—×0.940—×0.9723.65%
Singles /BIP9.09%÷1.011×0.930—×0.9728.13%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷0.986×0.830—×0.9724.96%
Triples /BIP3.03%÷0.914×0.920—×0.9722.96%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.096×0.700—×0.9720.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .223 → .183; ISO .093 → .084; BABIP .176 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 81 PAwOBA .224 → .179 (−45)K% 35.8% → 42.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.80%÷1.013×1.200——42.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.70%÷1.010×0.690—×0.9922.51%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9920.00%
Singles /BIP20.41%÷1.026×0.930—×0.99218.36%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷0.901×0.830—×0.9925.59%
Triples /BIP2.04%÷1.150×0.970—×0.9921.71%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷0.953×0.840—×0.9921.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .224 → .179; ISO .103 → .082; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 170 PAwOBA .303 → .265 (−38)K% 31.2% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.18%÷0.989×1.200——37.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.12%÷1.089×0.690—×1.0182.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP26.17%÷0.945×0.930×1.050×1.01827.52%
Doubles /BIP3.74%÷1.018×0.830×1.050×1.0183.26%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×1.0183.23%
Home runs /BIP5.61%÷1.231×0.840—×1.0183.89%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .303 → .265; ISO .175 → .135; BABIP .343 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 460 PAwOBA .329 → .293 (−36)K% 19.1% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.13%÷0.965×1.200——23.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.70%÷1.077×0.690—×1.0332.45%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.940—×1.0330.63%
Singles /BIP24.63%÷1.018×0.930×1.050×1.03324.42%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.043×0.830×1.050×1.0337.85%
Triples /BIP0.29%÷0.901×0.970×1.050×1.0330.34%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷1.113×0.840—×1.0332.51%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .329 → .293; ISO .154 → .126; BABIP .349 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAkron RubberDucks · 327 PAwOBA .312 → .293 (−19)K% 17.1% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.13%÷1.019×1.220——20.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.36%÷0.934×0.700—×1.0122.55%
HBP% /PA0.31%—×0.850—×1.0120.26%
Singles /BIP23.14%÷0.971×0.970×1.032×1.01224.14%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷1.053×0.860×1.032×1.0126.03%
Triples /BIP1.57%÷1.150×0.950×1.032×1.0121.35%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷0.842×0.780—×1.0122.20%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 104, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .312 → .293; ISO .141 → .124; BABIP .321 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .