Rodolfo Durán — OGILVIE

Rodolfo DuránC El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 181 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .274 / .379

PA128

HR4

K%26

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT60

xwOBA

100.257

POWER60

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

3087.6

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

Sprint

5027.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.1M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	86	82	12	2	1	0	2	25	1	1	2	146	176	195	372	49	207	29	2	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	86	81	15	3	1	0	3	17	1	1	2	185	224	247	470	62	231	20	3	212	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	78	75	16	1	1	2	2	20	0	1	1	213	234	333	567	120	259	26	3	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	78	73	23	2	1	3	4	14	0	1	1	315	351	493	844	178	351	18	5	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	336	318	69	13	1	15	13	106	1	1	1	217	250	406	656	189	270	32	4	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	336	311	81	17	1	18	20	75	1	1	1	260	307	495	802	235	285	22	6	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	245	235	39	5	1	5	8	82	1	0	0	166	197	260	456	94	228	33	3	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	245	233	56	10	1	6	10	53	1	0	0	240	275	369	644	129	286	22	4	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	17	16	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	188	235	188	423		273	29	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	17	16	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	188	235	188	423		273	29	6	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	163	158	25	8	0	4	5	44	0	0	0	158	184	285	469	127	191	27	3	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	163	156	31	9	1	6	7	33	0	0	0	199	233	385	618	186	214	20	4	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	314	297	56	15	0	10	11	99	2	0	0	189	223	340	563	152	240	32	4	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	314	291	61	17	0	12	17	73	2	0	0	210	258	392	650	182	233	23	5	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	329	306	67	21	1	9	19	88	3	1	2	219	271	382	654	163	276	27	6	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	329	297	78	16	1	10	28	67	3	1	2	263	332	424	757	162	308	20	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	351	329	76	18	2	11	11	88	5	2	0	231	267	398	665	167	277	25	3	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	351	323	91	23	2	11	17	68	5	2	0	282	328	467	795	186	321	19	5	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	423	392	90	14	1	15	21	112	1	4	1	230	271	385	656	156	281	26	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	423	383	111	21	2	19	30	83	1	4	1	290	343	504	847	214	325	20	7	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	SD	—	193	170	30	6	1	6	15	52	5	1	0	176	263	329	593	153	212	27	8	260	57	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
YTD	28	AAA	SD	—	193	166	32	6	1	7	19	46	5	1	0	193	295	367	662	175	219	24	10	296	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
ROS	28	AAA	SD	100%	128	118	26	5	1	4	7	33	2	1	0	219	274	379	653	160	269	26	5	292	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
ROS	28	MLB	SD	100%	129	119	26	5	1	4	7	33	2	1	0	218	273	378	652	160	265	26	5	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
FULL	28	AAA	SD	—	322	289	56	11	2	10	22	85	7	2	0	194	267	349	617	156	235	26	7	267	62	-14	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
TOT	28	AAA	SD	—	321	288	56	11	2	10	22	85	7	2	0	194	268	350	617	156	235	26	7	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SD	82%	380	349	77	15	2	12	23	98	5	3	1	221	279	378	657	158	270	26	6	293	82	-8	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.9
2028	30	MLB	SD	82%	380	349	77	15	2	12	23	98	5	2	0	221	279	378	657	158	271	26	6	293	82	-8	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.8
2029	31	MLB	SD	82%	354	324	71	14	1	11	22	92	5	2	0	219	279	370	650	151	270	26	6	290	80	-8	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.6
2030	32	MLB	SD	82%	325	297	65	13	1	10	21	86	4	1	0	219	280	370	650	152	267	26	6	285	77	-9	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.3
2031	33	MLB	SD	82%	288	264	56	11	1	8	18	77	4	1	0	212	273	352	625	140	263	27	6	278	71	-9	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.0
2032	34	MLB	SD	77%	239	219	44	8	1	6	15	66	3	1	0	201	262	329	590	128	257	28	6	270	65	-10	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
2027	29	MLB	SD	82%	312	286	62	12	1	10	19	81	4	2	0	217	275	371	646	154	267	26	6	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2028	30	MLB	SD	82%	312	286	62	12	1	10	19	81	4	2	0	217	275	371	646	154	267	26	6	278	71	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2029	31	MLB	SD	82%	290	266	58	11	1	9	18	75	4	2	0	218	278	368	646	150	266	26	6	276	70	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2030	32	MLB	SD	82%	266	244	52	10	1	8	17	70	3	1	0	213	273	361	633	148	264	26	6	272	66	-10	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	33	MLB	SD	82%	236	216	44	8	1	6	15	63	3	1	0	204	265	333	598	130	260	27	6	265	61	-10	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
2032	34	MLB	SD	77%	185	170	35	6	1	5	11	51	2	0	0	206	262	341	603	135	254	28	6	257	55	-9	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1730	1587	339	64	7	52	106	454	22	9	0	214	272	361	633	147	263	26	6	273	67	-65	+2	-15	+31	+49	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	128	24	3	20	40	171	8	3	0	215	273	366	639	151	265	26	6	273	67	-24	+1	-6	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	4436	4128	869	178	17	134	222	1219	42	21	8	210	258	359	617	149	262	27	5	270	65	-178	+1	-19	+79	+126	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	127	26	2	20	33	179	6	3	1	210	258	359	616	149	261	28	5	270	65	-26	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	86	81	15	3	1	0	3	17	1	1	2	185	224	247	470	62	231	20	3	212	21	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2016	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	78	73	23	2	1	3	4	14	0	1	1	315	351	493	844	178	351	18	5	367	139	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	336	311	81	17	1	18	20	75	1	1	1	260	307	495	802	235	285	22	6	346	123	+9	-0	—	—	+10	1.8
2019	21	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	245	233	56	10	1	6	10	53	1	0	0	240	275	369	644	129	286	22	4	285	77	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.0
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	17	16	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	188	235	188	423		273	29	6	201	12	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	23	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	16	15	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	267	312	533	846	267	300	25	6	367	139	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	119	114	22	7	0	5	5	24	0	0	0	193	227	386	613	193	200	20	4	268	64	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	28	27	5	1	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	185	214	296	511	111	227	18	4	225	31	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	218	203	45	12	0	9	11	53	2	0	0	222	269	414	682	192	252	24	5	298	86	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2022	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	96	88	16	5	0	3	6	20	0	0	0	182	234	341	575	159	194	21	6	251	50	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	240	214	54	15	1	8	22	53	3	1	0	252	331	444	774	192	299	22	9	343	120	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.3
2023	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	89	83	24	1	0	2	6	14	0	0	2	289	337	373	711	84	328	16	7	322	104	+0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	108	102	27	4	0	2	4	18	1	1	0	265	299	363	662	98	305	17	4	295	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	243	221	64	19	2	9	13	50	4	1	0	290	340	516	856	226	329	21	5	367	139	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2025	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	352	316	91	16	2	16	27	68	1	3	1	288	346	503	849	215	321	19	8	364	137	+15	+0	—	—	+10	2.5
2025	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	71	67	20	5	0	3	3	15	0	1	0	299	329	507	836	209	347	21	4	361	134	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	1,866	57	9	217	272	370	+33	+28	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	20	3	217	272	370	+11.9	+10.0	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rodolfo Durán (OGILVIE)	28	60	60	45	40	194/268/350	156	235	10	2	26%	7%	67	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	49→56	51→50	44→45	44	249/305/404	155	304	19	3	24%	6%	99	+1.7	251/306/404	153	319	19	4	26%	6%	100	+1.7	255/316/415	160	332	21	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	46→30	44	238/295/399	161	303	20	3	28%	7%	94	+1.3	232/286/372	140	298	15	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Welington Castillo 2016 · MLB	29	46→56	53→55	47→30	45	240/304/411	171	285	22	2	24%	7%	102	+1.8	254/308/423	169	316	22	3	26%	7%	105	+2.1	257/308/416	159	323	22	2	27%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Cameron Rupp 2017 · MLB	28	45→48	52→60	45→30	43	233/291/398	165	293	19	3	27%	7%	92	+1.2	215/284/392	177	297	22	3	34%	8%	88	+0.9	188/264/359	171	265	23	1	37%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕John Hicks 2019 · MLB	29	51→50	50→60	43→50	41	256/300/409	153	326	18	6	27%	6%	98	+1.6	243/282/426	183	316	24	6	30%	5%	95	+1.4	230/264/432	202	298	27	9	33%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Josh Phegley 2017 · MLB	29	48→47	51→60	46→40	45	244/296/415	171	280	18	3	20%	6%	98	+1.6	228/286/377	149	268	15	3	21%	6%	85	+0.7	221/276/376	155	255	16	0	20%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→47	50→55	43→40	47	225/294/378	153	281	17	3	26%	8%	88	+0.9	236/310/392	156	288	18	6	23%	9%	98	+1.6	228/310/373	145	276	16	5	23%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB	28	47→48	52→55	44→45	46	237/303/405	168	302	19	7	28%	8%	99	+1.7	219/288/382	163	290	20	7	30%	8%	87	+0.8	195/266/355	160	258	22	3	33%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Tim Beckham 2019 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	41→50	43	242/296/394	151	309	18	5	27%	7%	93	+1.3	240/293/424	184	306	23	5	28%	7%	100	+1.7	257/306/445	189	333	25	3	30%	6%	108	+0.9
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→57	49→50	46→45	44	239/290/385	146	288	17	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	216/286/377	161	261	19	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	182/261/344	163	209	21	1	25%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Aledmys Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	50→58	52→55	41→45	47	256/302/424	167	272	20	7	15%	6%	104	+2.0	249/309/415	166	270	19	5	16%	7%	105	+2.1	243/308/392	149	267	18	2	16%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Wilin Rosario 2015 · MLB	26	46→49	50→60	44→45	43	238/277/390	151	269	19	5	20%	5%	84	+0.6	233/272/371	138	283	15	6	23%	5%	76	+0.1	241/269/390	149	284	19	3	23%	3%	76	+0.1
●Trevor Plouffe 2014 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	41→45	47	245/306/414	169	281	21	4	21%	7%	102	+1.9	251/313/420	169	290	18	3	20%	8%	107	+2.2	250/313/422	172	285	18	2	19%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Josh Fields 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	49→55	44→50	44	240/299/387	147	309	17	8	28%	7%	92	+1.2	244/297/382	138	330	14	11	29%	7%	89	+1.0	240/291/358	118	341	11	11	31%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jared Goedert 2013 · AAA	28	46→50	50→55	44→40	44	235/286/387	151	284	18	3	24%	7%	87	+0.8	217/271/340	123	288	13	5	28%	7%	68	-0.5	201/259/315	114	272	12	4	29%	7%	53	-1.2
●Orlando Arcia 2023 · MLB	28	46→56	53→55	45→55	50	238/301/406	167	264	22	6	20%	8%	98	+1.6	235/292/379	144	273	18	3	21%	7%	87	+0.8	227/281/359	132	264	16	1	21%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	47→57	49→55	39→40	48	239/302/385	147	282	17	2	22%	8%	93	+1.3	222/271/359	137	287	16	5	28%	6%	73	-0.1	213/255/350	137	280	16	0	30%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	49→50	44→45	43	225/287/369	144	265	18	5	23%	5%	83	+0.6	211/274/352	141	265	18	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	186/251/306	120	242	16	2	29%	4%	50	-0.6