Riley AdamsC
Rochester Red Wings
Age 30
R/R
6'4" / 263 lbs
AAA
HR -9%
Svc 3.994 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 0.4 · 2026
wRC+†vL 4376vR 71
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .271 / .349
PA295
HR9
K%33
BB%7
xwOBA.275
Barrel%10.5%
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
50→50
SPD
45→45
EYE
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
Barrel%
6610.5
xwOBA
210.275
Avg EV
9091.8
Whiff%
170.147
Chase%
390.338
Speed
3226.6
Bat Spd
9078.3
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2021
Service 3.994 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $0.2M | $0.8M | +$0.6M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 409 | 363 | 72 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 135 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .198 | .285 | .292 | .577 | .094 | .304 | 33 | 9 | .258 | 56 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 415 | 364 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 160 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .203 | .296 | .349 | .645 | .146 | .318 | 39 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 268 | 225 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .326 | .378 | .704 | .178 | .303 | 36 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | 2 teams | 278 | 253 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 93 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .186 | .256 | .324 | .580 | .138 | .255 | 33 | 7 | .259 | 56 | -14 | -0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 158 | 143 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .333 | .476 | .809 | .203 | .368 | 28 | 7 | .350 | 126 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | 2 teams | 300 | 266 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 90 | 10 | 2 | 0 | .229 | .310 | .383 | .693 | .154 | .306 | 30 | 7 | .301 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 286 | 263 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 110 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .255 | .323 | .578 | .133 | .285 | 38 | 6 | .259 | 57 | -14 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 35 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .314 | .400 | .714 | .200 | .286 | 40 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | WSH | 260 | 235 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 87 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .271 | .349 | .620 | .149 | .281 | 33 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| TOT | 30 | MLB | WSH | 295 | 265 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 101 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .276 | .355 | .631 | .155 | .277 | 34 | 7 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB 20% | WSH | 272 | 244 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 84 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .201 | .278 | .344 | .622 | .143 | .269 | 31 | 7 | .283 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB 33% | WSH | 245 | 220 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 77 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .276 | .341 | .617 | .141 | .267 | 31 | 7 | .279 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB 43% | WSH | 210 | 189 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .274 | .344 | .618 | .143 | .265 | 32 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB 52% | WSH | 166 | 150 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .261 | .313 | .574 | .127 | .263 | 33 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3267 | 2915 | 594 | 130 | 13 | 86 | 249 | 1098 | 82 | 13 | 3 | .204 | .285 | .346 | .631 | .142 | .291 | 34 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -95 | +1 | -39 | +58 | +93 | 1.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 119 | 26 | 3 | 17 | 50 | 218 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .205 | .286 | .348 | .635 | .143 | .293 | 34 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +0 | -8 | +12 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 409 | 349 | 86 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 93 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .246 | .354 | .361 | .715 | .115 | .323 | 23 | 12 | .327 | 109 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 332 | 287 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 105 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .258 | .353 | .439 | .792 | .181 | .362 | 32 | 10 | .351 | 127 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 83 | 65 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .277 | .434 | .462 | .895 | .185 | .341 | 22 | 17 | .406 | 169 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 120 | 99 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .358 | .384 | .742 | .162 | .351 | 33 | 12 | .341 | 119 | +3 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 148 | 120 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .374 | .475 | .849 | .242 | .309 | 31 | 12 | .377 | 146 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 155 | 142 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .176 | .245 | .310 | .555 | .134 | .220 | 30 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -9 | -0 | -6 | +5 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 123 | 107 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .224 | .320 | .411 | .731 | .187 | .317 | 33 | 9 | .326 | 107 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 158 | 143 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .333 | .476 | .809 | .203 | .368 | 28 | 7 | .351 | 127 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 130 | 116 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .224 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .112 | .296 | 27 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 170 | 144 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .285 | .385 | .528 | .912 | .243 | .348 | 26 | 9 | .399 | 163 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 286 | 263 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 110 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .186 | .252 | .308 | .560 | .122 | .283 | 38 | 6 | .255 | 54 | -15 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 849 | 763 | 161 | 38 | 4 | 21 | 66 | 276 | 16 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .288 | .354 | .641 | .143 | .299 | 33 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -20 | +0 | -18 | +23 | +24 | 0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Riley Adams (OGILVIE) | 30 | 40 | 50 | 45 | 45 | .202/.271/.349 | .147 | .280 | 9 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2015 · MLB |
31 | 41→48 | 52→50 | 43→45 | 43 | .214/.277/.374 | .160 | .286 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .211/.285/.362 | .151 | .286 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .205/.278/.348 | .144 | .276 | 15 | 2 | 30% | 8% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB |
30 | 43→42 | 49→50 | 45 | 45 | .221/.292/.366 | .145 | .284 | 17 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .227/.277/.383 | .156 | .291 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.262/.366 | .149 | .273 | 21 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA |
30 | 42 | 51→55 | 45→40 | 40 | .218/.273/.375 | .158 | .294 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .204/.265/.371 | .167 | .260 | 21 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .182/.248/.350 | .167 | .219 | 22 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -0.5 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40→41 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 37 | .206/.257/.340 | .133 | .293 | 16 | 4 | 35% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.243/.328 | .127 | .275 | 16 | 7 | 33% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.239/.321 | .147 | .238 | 22 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB |
30 | 41 | 47→50 | 43→55 | 46 | .211/.283/.343 | .132 | .274 | 16 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .206/.284/.351 | .145 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 28% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .187/.272/.333 | .146 | .244 | 16 | 19 | 29% | 10% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brett Hayes 2014 · MLB |
30 | 39 | 51→45 | 49→40 | 37 | .211/.251/.370 | .159 | .270 | 19 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .193/.230/.327 | .134 | .249 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 4% | 47 | -1.9 | .153/.195/.232 | .080 | .211 | 9 | 0 | 32% | 4% | 5 | -1.5 |
|
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB |
30 | 42 | 45 | 43→30 | 44 | .212/.270/.334 | .122 | .272 | 12 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.286/.364 | .151 | .271 | 16 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .184/.291/.331 | .147 | .224 | 15 | 0 | 25% | 13% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Mike Olt 2018 · MLB |
29 | 41 | 49→55 | 43→40 | 41 | .207/.271/.348 | .141 | .296 | 17 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .202/.276/.337 | .135 | .301 | 15 | 4 | 35% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .172/.266/.307 | .135 | .257 | 16 | 0 | 37% | 10% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕JaCoby Jones 2022 · MLB |
30 | 44→47 | 48→50 | 43→50 | 39 | .216/.279/.357 | .141 | .318 | 16 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .205/.259/.328 | .123 | .341 | 14 | 9 | 41% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .157/.200/.257 | .100 | .295 | 13 | 7 | 50% | 4% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Pat Valaika 2022 · MLB |
29 | 43→46 | 47→55 | 42→50 | 40 | .221/.265/.350 | .129 | .288 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.256/.314 | .107 | .266 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .193/.245/.290 | .097 | .246 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Seth Bynum 2011 · AAA |
30 | 41→44 | 51→55 | 49→50 | 38 | .216/.260/.371 | .155 | .290 | 19 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.257/.339 | .131 | .293 | 15 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .195/.247/.313 | .118 | .278 | 13 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 48 | -1.2 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2021 · MLB |
30 | 41 | 46→45 | 48→40 | 39 | .208/.262/.335 | .126 | .295 | 15 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .196/.263/.329 | .133 | .277 | 17 | 6 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB |
31 | 40 | 49→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .209/.270/.352 | .143 | .267 | 18 | 6 | 29% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.276/.337 | .124 | .297 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .172/.245/.252 | .080 | .248 | 10 | 0 | 33% | 6% | 37 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nick Green 2009 · MLB |
30 | 42→47 | 48→50 | 42→45 | 38 | .216/.258/.350 | .135 | .279 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .213/.263/.338 | .125 | .269 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .209/.257/.338 | .128 | .255 | 12 | 3 | 23% | 4% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Andrew Knapp 2023 · MLB |
31 | 39→49 | 47→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .199/.269/.331 | .132 | .271 | 15 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.279/.335 | .124 | .296 | 13 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .212/.285/.326 | .115 | .299 | 12 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB |
30 | 41→50 | 53→55 | 48→30 | 43 | .215/.281/.388 | .172 | .297 | 21 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .201/.274/.353 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .156/.242/.290 | .133 | .225 | 17 | 0 | 37% | 7% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB |
29 | 40→38 | 49→50 | 45 | 45 | .211/.268/.357 | .146 | .241 | 18 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.272/.362 | .155 | .252 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .184/.263/.355 | .171 | .225 | 21 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dixon Machado 2022 · AAA |
30 | 43→53 | 50→45 | 44→55 | 48 | .222/.295/.375 | .153 | .274 | 18 | 6 | 26% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.305/.324 | .092 | .277 | 8 | 8 | 18% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.304/.305 | .081 | .267 | 8 | 6 | 18% | 9% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB |
28 | 42 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 44 | .213/.270/.353 | .141 | .266 | 15 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.260/.321 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.240/.283 | .087 | .265 | 6 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 37 | -1.1 |