Riley Adams — OGILVIE

Riley AdamsC Rochester Red Wings

Age 30 R/R 6'4" / 263 lbs AAA Svc 3.994 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION292 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9897vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP298

ISO149

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2613.7%

xAVG

100.215

POWER50

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

9078.3

EYE45

Chase%

3235.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 416 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

152

264

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

238

274

▶R

ISO

110

124

▶R

BABIP

241

311

▶▶R

35.5%

34.5%

—

BB%

6.6%

6.4%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.994 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.3M	-$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	349	86	26	1	4	50	93	8	3	0	246	354	361	715	115	323	23	12	327	108	+4	+1	—	—	+9	1.3
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	287	74	15	2	11	32	105	10	3	1	258	353	439	792	181	362	32	10	351	124	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2019	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	83	65	18	3	0	3	14	18	4	1	0	277	434	462	895	185	341	22	17	406	161	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	120	99	22	8	1	2	15	40	6	0	0	222	358	384	742	162	351	33	12	341	117	+2	+0	-5	+5	+3	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	148	120	28	6	1	7	18	46	9	0	0	233	374	475	849	242	309	31	12	377	141	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	155	142	25	4	0	5	12	46	1	0	1	176	245	310	555	134	220	30	8	252	57	-8	-0	-6	+5	+3	-0.6
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	123	107	24	8	0	4	11	41	4	0	0	224	320	411	731	187	317	33	9	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	351	124	+4	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	130	116	26	5	1	2	10	35	2	1	0	224	297	336	633	112	296	27	8	284	78	-3	+0	-2	+5	+3	0.3
2024	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	170	144	41	8	0	9	16	44	8	1	0	285	385	528	912	243	348	26	9	399	156	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	59	-14	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	849	763	161	38	4	21	66	276	16	2	1	211	288	354	641	143	299	33	8	289	82	-18	+0	-18	+23	+18	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	363	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	198	285	292	577	94	297	33	9	258	61	-19	+1	—	—	+9	-1.0
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	332	296	60	11	2	9	23	127	10	3	1	203	283	345	627	142	307	38	7	278	74	-10	+0	—	—	+7	-0.3
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	83	68	15	3	0	2	11	26	4	1	0	221	361	353	714	132	304	31	13	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	120	99	22	8	1	2	15	40	6	0	0	222	358	384	742	162	351	33	12	340	116	+2	+0	-5	+5	+3	0.5
2021	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	148	126	23	5	1	5	12	56	9	0	0	183	299	357	656	175	268	38	8	288	81	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	155	142	25	4	0	5	12	46	1	0	1	176	245	310	555	134	220	30	8	250	55	-8	-0	-6	+5	+3	-0.6
2022	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	123	111	21	7	0	3	7	47	4	0	0	189	262	333	596	144	292	38	6	262	63	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	352	124	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	130	116	26	5	1	2	10	35	2	1	0	224	297	336	633	112	296	27	8	278	74	-4	+0	-2	+5	+3	0.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	170	150	34	7	0	6	11	55	8	1	0	227	314	393	707	167	306	32	6	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	252	57	-15	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	363	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	198	285	292	577	94	304	33	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	349	86	26	1	4	50	93	8	3	0	246	354	361	715	115	323	23	12	327	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	75	14	2	11	34	154	14	4	1	206	299	346	645	140	317	37	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	415	352	92	18	2	14	46	123	14	4	1	261	369	443	812	182	358	30	11	362	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	268	225	45	13	2	7	27	96	15	0	0	200	326	369	695	169	309	36	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	268	219	50	14	2	9	33	86	15	0	0	228	367	434	801	205	328	32	12	360	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	278	253	46	11	0	8	19	93	5	0	1	182	253	320	573	138	248	33	7	255	59	-14	-0	-6	+5	+6	-0.9
2022	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	278	249	49	12	0	9	23	87	5	0	1	197	278	353	631	157	260	31	8	285	59	-14	-0	-6	+5	+6	-0.9
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	352	124	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2023	27	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	158	143	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	273	333	476	809	203	368	28	7	351	124	+5	+0	-4	+3	+3	0.7
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	266	60	12	1	8	21	90	10	2	0	226	306	368	675	143	304	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	300	260	67	13	1	11	26	79	10	2	0	258	347	442	789	185	324	26	9	349	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	252	57	-15	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2025	29	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	286	263	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	186	252	308	560	122	283	38	6	255	57	-15	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.3
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	409	362	72	23	1	3	36	135	8	3	0	199	285	293	578	94	297	33	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	75	14	2	11	34	154	14	4	1	206	299	346	645	140	306	37	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	268	224	45	13	2	7	27	96	15	0	0	201	326	371	696	170	305	36	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	278	252	46	11	0	8	19	93	5	0	1	183	253	321	574	139	252	33	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	144	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	271	333	472	806	201	368	28	7	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	266	60	12	1	8	21	90	10	2	0	226	306	368	675	143	302	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	261	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	188	252	310	562	123	283	38	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	158	144	39	13	2	4	11	45	2	0	0	271	333	472	806	201	368	28	7	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	300	266	60	12	1	8	21	90	10	2	0	226	306	368	675	143	302	30	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	286	261	49	8	0	8	18	110	5	1	0	188	252	310	562	123	283	38	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	WSH	—	292	255	58	10	0	10	25	88	11	1	1	227	323	384	707	157	304	30	9	313	98	-1	-0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	WSH	—	292	244	67	12	0	15	36	73	11	1	1	275	392	508	900	234	331	25	12	397	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	WSH	10%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		299	25	12	312	97	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	30	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						298	0	0	291	97	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	WSH	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	291	98	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	WSH	—	300	262	59	10	0	10	26	90	11	1	1	225	321	378	699	153	301	30	9	313	98	-1	-0	-0	+5	+6	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	279	248	54	12	1	9	22	85	7	1	1	218	300	383	683	165	285	30	8	301	90	-3	-0	-8	+5	+6	-0.1
2028	32	MLB MLE	WSH	37%	253	225	47	10	1	8	20	79	6	1	0	209	291	369	660	160	280	31	8	295	86	-4	+0	-8	+5	+5	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	WSH	43%	217	192	39	8	1	6	17	68	6	1	0	203	288	349	637	146	274	31	8	288	81	-5	+0	-8	+4	+5	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	76	68	14	3	0	2	6	23	2	0	0	206	289	338	628	132	284	30	8	281	90	-1	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	WSH	37%	95	86	18	4	0	3	7	29	2	0	0	209	284	360	645	151	279	31	7	275	86	-2	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	WSH	43%	94	85	17	4	0	3	7	30	2	0	0	200	277	353	630	153	273	32	7	268	81	-2	+0	-4	+2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1115	1003	210	49	4	29	86	358	22	2	1	209	286	353	639	144	292	32	8	286	79	-23	+0	-27	+28	+24	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	123	29	2	17	50	209	13	1	1	210	287	354	641	144	294	32	8	286	79	-13	+0	-16	+16	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2871	2549	527	124	11	72	226	957	78	13	3	207	291	349	640	142	297	33	8	285	79	-31	+0	-43	+37	+35	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	118	28	2	16	51	217	18	3	1	205	289	343	633	139	294	33	8	285	79	-12	+0	-17	+15	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	1.7	1,144	30	3	212	287	359	+20	-21	2.7	2.8
/162	664	17	2	+11.9	-12.4	1.6	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Riley Adams (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	45	45	222/305/388	165	299	10	2	30%	8%	97	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chad Wallach 2022 · MLB	30	39→49	49→50	47→40	43	204/278/348	144	283	18	4	33%	8%	77	-0.3	196/265/329	133	276	16	5	33%	8%	68	-1.0	191/260/331	140	266	19	2	35%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	43	50→55	44→40	41	220/276/371	151	294	18	5	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/263/360	158	259	19	4	29%	7%	74	-0.5	180/239/313	133	225	17	3	29%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→49	51→50	43→45	47	219/293/377	158	286	19	6	30%	9%	89	+0.5	210/281/366	156	285	19	6	32%	8%	82	+0.0	197/277/342	145	263	18	3	31%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	53→55	47→30	43	209/277/381	172	292	22	3	35%	8%	84	+0.2	204/278/357	153	297	19	6	36%	8%	79	-0.2	158/243/295	137	225	18	0	37%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Dustin Garneau 2018 · MLB	30	40→39	51→50	44→45	45	210/272/372	162	247	19	4	24%	7%	80	-0.1	206/281/357	151	261	17	4	27%	8%	80	-0.1	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	40	49→50	44→45	38	209/271/353	144	270	18	6	30%	5%	76	-0.4	215/281/334	119	302	13	8	31%	6%	75	-0.5	169/242/238	68	248	8	0	33%	6%	39	-0.6
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	45→42	49→50	46→45	45	228/296/375	147	290	16	6	27%	7%	90	+0.6	226/274/377	151	288	19	6	28%	6%	82	-0.0	215/260/361	146	270	20	5	28%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Taylor Teagarden 2014 · MLB	30	40→50	50→55	43→30	40	210/264/361	151	286	19	6	33%	6%	74	-0.5	234/295/389	155	343	20	4	35%	8%	92	+0.7	234/297/381	147	352	20	0	37%	8%	90	+0.2
✕Carlos Resendez 2007 · AAA	30	46	50	42→40	40	233/297/381	148	293	19	6	27%	5%	92	+0.7	229/295/376	147	269	17	9	21%	6%	90	+0.6	197/273/344	147	206	16	8	14%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Cody Ransom 2007 · MLB	31	39→42	49→55	47→50	41	204/265/349	145	276	18	7	32%	7%	72	-0.7	208/274/372	164	267	20	12	29%	8%	81	-0.1	213/295/416	202	288	25	6	34%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Jonathan Aceves 2008 · AAA	30	47	50	46→30	43	237/299/394	157	293	17	4	25%	6%	95	+1.0	226/274/361	135	278	16	5	24%	5%	78	-0.3	243/313/353	111	291	12	1	20%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	50	49→50	45	220/281/367	147	256	19	7	23%	6%	82	+0.0	205/295/338	133	268	15	11	28%	10%	82	-0.0	155/276/265	109	206	14	12	30%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Ryan Casteel 2022 · AAA	31	40→49	50→55	47→40	39	209/265/359	150	286	19	4	33%	6%	74	-0.5	203/260/364	161	275	21	5	33%	6%	74	-0.5	170/233/352	182	198	27	0	31%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	47	211/283/340	130	273	15	6	28%	8%	77	-0.3	204/284/350	146	267	16	16	29%	10%	80	-0.2	187/272/333	146	244	16	19	29%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Tim Federowicz 2018 · MLB	30	47→50	47→50	50→40	42	233/282/363	130	300	15	7	27%	6%	81	-0.1	218/271/348	130	291	14	5	29%	7%	74	-0.6	200/253/323	123	265	14	1	29%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2012 · AAA	30	47→45	47→55	48→40	44	231/295/363	132	321	15	5	32%	8%	86	+0.3	220/282/386	166	313	22	4	35%	7%	87	+0.4	209/274/369	160	294	22	2	35%	7%	78	-0.2
✕David Bote 2023 · MLB	30	44→49	48→50	49→45	43	220/289/360	140	285	15	8	28%	7%	84	+0.1	226/294/374	148	287	15	8	26%	7%	88	+0.5	218/290/367	150	272	15	6	25%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Raffy Lopez 2018 · MLB	30	42→51	50	48→40	43	220/277/371	152	281	18	4	28%	7%	82	-0.0	216/278/368	152	301	18	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	178/244/310	132	257	17	2	37%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Jack Mayfield 2021 · MLB	30	42→46	53→55	47→50	42	223/272/393	170	262	21	8	24%	5%	85	+0.2	221/267/374	153	264	17	11	23%	5%	78	-0.3	214/258/364	151	252	17	10	23%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48→49	48→50	47→45	48	242/308/378	135	300	16	4	24%	8%	94	+0.9	234/292/366	132	299	15	9	26%	7%	86	+0.3	221/275/344	123	283	14	11	26%	6%	70	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps