Yu Chang — OGILVIE

Yu ChangSS Durham Bulls

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 209 lbs AAA HR +6%H +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%6

BABIP273

ISO250

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT—

Whiff%

2913.4%

xAVG

100.217

POWER49

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

3688.0

Bat Spd

6272.6

EYE46

Chase%

3734.2%

SPEED62

Sprint

6828.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	18	ROK	AZL Indians	—	181	159	55	9	4	6	18	28	3	6	1	346	422	566	988	220	389	15	10	430	177	+17	+1	—	—	+4	2.2
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	440	393	91	16	4	9	27	103	9	5	6	232	296	361	657	130	288	23	6	289	82	-9	-1	—	—	+10	-0.1
2016	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	477	417	108	30	8	13	45	110	4	11	3	259	337	463	800	204	316	23	9	345	119	+11	+1	—	—	+10	2.3
2016	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	62	56	17	5	0	0	3	21	2	1	0	304	361	393	754	89	486	34	5	336	114	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2017	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	508	440	97	24	5	24	52	134	9	11	4	220	315	461	777	241	254	26	10	338	115	+9	+1	—	—	+11	2.1
2018	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	518	457	117	28	2	13	44	144	9	4	3	256	333	411	745	155	341	28	8	329	109	+5	-0	—	—	+11	1.7
2018	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	96	86	29	4	0	4	7	16	2	1	0	337	400	523	923	186	373	17	7	404	160	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2019	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	84	73	13	2	1	1	11	22	0	0	0	178	286	274	560	96	240	26	13	263	64	-4	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.1
2019	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	283	253	64	15	1	9	26	67	1	4	1	253	325	427	752	174	306	24	9	331	110	+3	+0	—	—	+6	1.0
2021	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	251	237	54	14	3	9	11	69	2	1	0	228	268	426	694	198	281	27	4	303	91	-3	+0	+2	-6	+5	-0.1
2021	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	66	59	19	5	0	4	5	19	2	1	2	322	394	610	1.004	288	417	29	8	436	181	+6	-1	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	190	168	35	6	0	4	16	59	4	0	1	208	293	315	608	107	290	31	8	278	74	-6	-0	+2	+1	+4	0.1
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	24	18	3	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	167	348	222	570	56	214	21	21	274	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	112	105	17	2	0	6	3	34	2	4	0	162	200	352	552	190	169	30	3	239	48	-7	+1	+4	+2	+2	0.3
2023	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	66	62	20	2	0	3	4	13	0	2	0	323	364	500	864	177	370	20	6	381	144	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	71	133	71	205		100	27	7	107	-42	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	51	41	12	3	0	2	9	15	1	2	1	293	431	512	944	220	417	29	18	419	170	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	637	583	119	24	4	20	41	184	8	5	1	204	266	362	628	158	259	29	6	279	75	-19	+1	+10	-2	+14	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	181	167	42	6	3	5	10	40	3	6	1	251	306	413	719	162	300	22	6	307	94	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2015	19	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	440	401	73	13	3	6	19	138	9	5	6	182	235	274	510	92	246	31	4	220	35	-34	-1	—	—	+10	-2.6
2016	20	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	477	434	90	22	6	12	28	163	4	11	3	207	262	369	630	161	281	34	6	267	67	-19	+1	—	—	+10	-0.8
2017	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	508	458	81	19	4	18	34	165	9	11	4	177	248	354	601	177	218	32	7	259	61	-23	+1	—	—	+11	-1.2
2018	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	518	470	100	23	2	8	31	170	9	4	3	213	275	321	596	109	300	33	6	261	63	-23	-0	—	—	+11	-1.2
2019	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	84	73	13	2	1	1	11	22	0	0	0	178	286	274	560	96	240	26	13	263	64	-4	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.1
2019	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	283	263	54	12	1	6	16	81	1	4	1	205	254	327	581	122	265	29	6	257	60	-13	+0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2021	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	251	237	55	14	4	9	11	69	2	1	0	232	272	439	711	207	281	27	4	303	91	-3	+0	+2	-6	+5	-0.1
2021	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	66	61	16	4	0	3	3	23	2	1	2	262	318	475	794	213	380	35	5	336	114	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	26	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	190	168	35	6	0	4	16	59	4	0	1	208	293	315	608	107	290	31	8	272	70	-7	-0	+2	+1	+4	0.0
2022	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	24	19	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	158	304	211	515	53	200	25	17	244	51	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	112	105	17	2	0	6	3	34	2	4	0	162	200	352	552	190	169	30	3	237	46	-7	+1	+4	+2	+2	0.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	66	63	17	1	0	2	3	15	0	2	0	270	303	381	684	111	325	23	5	297	87	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	71	133	71	205		97	33	7	84	-57	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	51	44	11	3	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	250	353	386	739	136	369	35	12	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2014	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	181	167	42	6	3	5	10	40	3	6	1	251	306	413	719	162	301	22	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	—	181	159	55	9	4	6	18	28	3	6	1	346	422	566	988	220	389	15	10	430	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	440	401	73	13	3	6	19	138	9	5	6	182	235	274	510	92	257	31	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A RAW	Lake County Captains	—	440	393	91	16	4	9	27	103	9	5	6	232	296	361	657	130	288	23	6	289	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	539	489	100	25	6	13	32	184	6	12	3	204	262	360	622	155	291	34	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	539	473	125	35	8	13	48	131	6	12	3	264	340	455	794	190	333	24	9	344	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	508	458	81	19	4	18	34	165	9	11	4	177	248	354	601	177	225	32	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	508	440	97	24	5	24	52	134	9	11	4	220	315	461	777	241	254	26	10	338	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	558	117	27	2	9	36	201	11	5	3	210	271	314	585	104	305	33	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	614	543	146	32	2	17	51	160	11	5	3	269	344	429	773	160	347	26	8	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	367	336	67	14	2	7	27	103	1	4	1	199	261	315	576	116	262	28	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	367	326	77	17	2	10	37	89	1	4	1	236	316	393	709	156	291	24	10	316	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	317	298	71	18	4	12	14	92	4	2	2	238	282	446	728	208	303	29	4	310	96	-2	-0	+2	-6	+7	0.1
2021	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	317	296	73	19	3	13	16	88	4	2	2	247	294	463	757	216	306	28	5	331	96	-2	-0	+2	-6	+7	0.1
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	214	187	38	7	0	4	20	65	4	0	1	203	294	305	599	102	281	30	9	269	68	-8	-0	+2	+1	+5	-0.1
2022	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	214	186	38	7	0	4	21	64	4	0	1	204	299	306	605	102	281	30	10	277	68	-8	-0	+2	+1	+5	-0.1
2023	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	193	183	34	3	0	8	6	54	2	6	0	186	220	333	553	148	215	28	3	246	52	-11	+1	+4	+2	+4	0.1
2023	27	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	193	181	38	4	0	9	8	51	2	6	0	210	251	381	633	171	240	26	4	277	52	-11	+1	+4	+2	+4	0.1
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	51	44	11	3	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	250	353	386	739	136	400	35	12	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	51	41	12	3	0	2	9	15	1	2	1	293	431	512	944	220	417	29	18	419	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	181	166	42	6	3	5	10	40	3	6	1	253	306	416	721	163	300	22	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	440	409	73	13	3	6	19	138	9	5	6	178	235	269	504	90	246	31	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	539	496	100	25	6	13	32	184	6	12	3	202	262	355	617	153	281	34	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	508	460	81	19	4	18	34	165	9	11	4	176	248	352	600	176	218	32	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	562	117	27	2	9	36	201	11	5	3	208	271	311	582	103	300	33	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	367	336	67	14	2	7	27	103	1	4	1	199	261	315	576	116	259	28	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	317	296	71	18	4	12	14	92	4	2	2	240	282	449	731	209	302	29	4	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	214	188	38	7	0	4	20	65	4	0	1	202	294	303	597	101	280	30	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	193	183	34	3	0	8	6	54	2	6	0	186	220	333	553	148	217	28	3	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	51	44	11	3	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	250	353	386	739	136	369	35	12	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	193	183	34	3	0	8	6	54	2	6	0	186	220	333	553	148	217	28	3	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	51	44	11	3	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	250	353	386	739	136	369	35	12	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	30	MLB MLE	TB	10%	17	16	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	250	294	500	794	250	265	24	6	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.6
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	30	MLB CTX	TB	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						273	50	0	297	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TB	33%	185	168	38	6	1	7	13	48	2	4	1	226	290	399	688	173	263	26	7	294	85	-3	+0	-2	+2	+4	0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	TB	33%	60	55	12	2	0	2	4	16	1	1	0	218	283	364	647	145	271	27	7	293	85	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	697	638	131	26	4	22	45	200	9	6	1	205	267	362	629	157	260	29	6	280	66	-20	+1	+10	-1	+15	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	123	24	4	21	42	187	8	6	1	207	268	366	635	160	262	29	6	280	66	-19	+1	+9	-1	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3626	3305	676	142	25	91	218	1112	52	57	23	205	265	345	610	141	274	31	6	265	66	-23	+1	+8	+1	+18	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	120	25	4	16	39	199	9	10	4	203	263	340	602	137	272	31	6	265	66	-17	+1	+6	+1	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.1	717	23	7	207	266	366	+8	+9	0.8	0.8
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+8.0	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yu Chang (OGILVIE)	30	—	49	62	46	221/283/384	163	265	7	5	26%	7%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→49	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	158	260	19	11	26%	10%	87	+0.4	227/310/381	154	307	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.0	211/296/350	139	302	15	0	33%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→55	50	52→55	43	236/281/385	149	286	18	16	25%	6%	86	+0.3	235/282/361	126	300	14	20	25%	6%	80	-0.1	233/279/345	112	299	13	24	26%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	47→51	50	56→55	44	237/302/395	158	312	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.1	227/275/348	121	329	11	14	33%	5%	75	-0.5	224/267/325	102	336	8	10	34%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	51→55	53→50	44	222/284/387	165	280	19	12	28%	7%	88	+0.4	229/299/413	184	309	23	9	32%	9%	100	+1.3	209/275/399	190	274	25	2	33%	8%	87	+0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2013 · MLB	29	48	50→55	49→50	46	243/297/397	154	287	18	9	22%	7%	95	+0.9	223/288/382	159	269	17	6	23%	8%	88	+0.5	203/272/361	158	244	17	5	24%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Mike Brosseau 2023 · MLB	29	46→56	50	52→45	47	229/314/381	152	303	19	8	29%	9%	99	+1.2	212/283/342	130	269	17	6	27%	7%	78	-0.3	190/259/299	108	238	15	5	27%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Mikie Mahtook 2019 · MLB	29	45→54	50→55	52→50	43	228/286/386	158	287	18	10	27%	6%	88	+0.5	212/276/376	164	269	21	13	29%	7%	83	+0.1	195/258/357	162	241	23	13	30%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Chris Owings 2022 · MLB	30	47→57	50	51→55	43	229/295/390	161	321	16	14	32%	8%	93	+0.8	198/271/325	127	283	14	11	33%	8%	69	-0.9	183/262/297	114	263	14	11	34%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Nick Dini 2022 · MLB	29	45	51→50	49→50	44	236/292/394	159	274	19	11	22%	6%	93	+0.8	207/287/344	137	257	17	9	26%	9%	80	-0.1	171/269/296	124	208	17	8	26%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Erik Kratz 2010 · AAA	30	42→46	50→60	51→45	42	219/268/378	159	266	17	8	25%	6%	80	-0.1	224/286/373	149	270	16	5	23%	6%	86	+0.3	219/286/374	155	255	18	2	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/302/423	192	309	23	15	32%	8%	103	+1.6	215/280/348	133	309	15	9	33%	7%	78	-0.3	198/263/304	106	289	12	6	34%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	47→45	53→50	55	238/324/377	138	296	15	11	24%	11%	100	+1.3	224/299/329	105	290	10	12	25%	8%	80	-0.2	212/285/298	86	275	9	12	25%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Josh Fields 2012 · MLB	29	51→56	53→55	51→50	45	260/315/437	177	318	20	12	24%	7%	111	+2.1	247/294/366	119	339	11	11	28%	6%	86	+0.3	247/292/352	104	342	8	9	29%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	41	232/279/411	180	275	22	18	25%	5%	92	+0.7	233/279/386	153	297	17	13	27%	5%	86	+0.3	229/276/363	134	296	14	11	27%	5%	76	-0.4
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	47→41	50	54→50	44	240/301/394	154	301	19	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	229/299/343	114	320	11	10	29%	8%	83	+0.1	221/298/307	86	323	6	5	31%	9%	73	-0.2
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	53→55	47→30	43	209/277/381	172	292	22	3	35%	8%	84	+0.2	204/278/357	153	297	19	6	36%	8%	79	-0.2	158/243/295	137	225	18	0	37%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	51→49	46→50	49→45	46	249/308/381	132	317	14	5	26%	8%	95	+0.9	224/282/358	134	284	15	11	26%	7%	80	-0.1	189/246/306	117	235	15	13	26%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→49	51→50	43→45	47	219/293/377	158	286	19	6	30%	9%	89	+0.5	210/281/366	156	285	19	6	32%	8%	82	+0.0	197/277/342	145	263	18	3	31%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Jayson Nix 2012 · MLB	29	40→49	51→55	49→55	45	213/279/373	160	254	19	10	25%	7%	83	+0.1	218/282/334	116	284	11	14	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/277/304	90	282	7	15	25%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Eric Haase 2023 · MLB	30	47→42	59→60	49→40	43	250/305/456	205	312	28	4	29%	7%	112	+2.2	228/283/375	147	313	19	5	32%	7%	84	+0.2	219/282/378	159	319	22	1	37%	7%	84	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps