Yu Chang — OGILVIE

Yu ChangSS Durham Bulls

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 209 lbs AAA Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .272 / .369

PA200

HR7

SB5

K%28

BB%7

xwOBA.263

Barrel%5.5%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

PWR

49→49

SPD

62→62

EYE

46→46

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.5	$2M	-$2M
Totals		$4M		$2M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	AZL Indians	181	167	42	6	3	5	10	40	3	6	1	.251	.306	.413	.719	.162	.301	22	6	.307	93	-1	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.7
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	440	401	76	14	3	6	19	129	9	5	6	.190	.242	.284	.527	.095	.259	29	4	.225	30	-35	-1	+0	+5	+12	-1.9
2016	20	A+	2 teams	539	489	100	25	6	13	32	185	6	12	3	.204	.262	.360	.622	.155	.292	34	6	.267	63	-23	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.1
2017	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	508	457	82	18	4	20	35	173	9	11	4	.179	.251	.368	.619	.188	.230	34	7	.265	61	-22	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.2
2018	22	AAA	2 teams	614	558	121	27	3	11	36	201	11	5	3	.217	.278	.335	.613	.118	.312	33	6	.269	64	-25	-0	+0	+7	+17	-0.1
2019	23	AAA	2 teams	367	336	70	14	2	9	27	103	1	4	1	.208	.269	.342	.611	.134	.269	28	7	.267	62	-16	+0	+2	+1	+10	-0.2
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	317	298	71	19	3	12	14	92	4	2	2	.238	.282	.443	.725	.205	.303	29	4	.309	95	-2	-0	+2	-6	+9	0.3
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	214	187	38	7	0	4	20	65	4	0	1	.203	.294	.305	.599	.102	.281	30	9	.269	64	-9	-0	+2	+1	+6	0.0
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	193	183	36	3	0	9	6	54	2	6	0	.197	.230	.361	.591	.164	.225	28	3	.255	53	-10	+1	+4	+2	+5	0.3
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	51	44	12	3	0	2	6	18	1	2	1	.273	.373	.477	.850	.205	.417	35	12	.340	118	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	TB	200	183	39	6	1	7	13	57	2	5	1	.213	.273	.372	.644	.158	.262	28	6	.287	78	-5	+1	+2	+2	+6	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB 20%	TB	185	169	37	6	1	7	12	53	2	4	1	.219	.279	.391	.669	.172	.261	29	6	.283	75	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2028	32	MLB 33%	TB	166	152	31	5	0	6	11	49	2	3	0	.204	.267	.355	.622	.151	.259	30	7	.278	71	-5	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	33	MLB 43%	TB	136	124	25	4	0	5	9	41	2	2	0	.202	.267	.355	.622	.153	.257	30	7	.273	67	-5	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.2
2030	34	MLB 52%	TB	96	89	17	3	0	3	6	30	1	1	0	.191	.250	.326	.576	.135	.255	31	6	.266	62	-4	+0	-4	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4207	3837	797	160	26	119	256	1290	59	68	24	.208	.268	.356	.624	.148	.275	31	6	.270	65	-166	+4	+1	+32	+119	-1.0
/ 162G	—			650	593	123	25	4	18	40	199	9	11	4	.207	.268	.354	.622	.147	.276	31	6	.270	65	-26	+1	+0	+5	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	AZL Indians	181	159	55	9	4	6	18	28	3	6	1	.346	.422	.566	.988	.220	.389	15	10	.430	187	+18	+1	—	—	+5	2.4
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	440	393	91	16	4	9	27	103	9	5	6	.232	.296	.361	.657	.130	.288	23	6	.289	80	-10	-1	—	—	+12	0.1
2016	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	477	417	108	30	8	13	45	110	4	11	3	.259	.337	.463	.800	.204	.316	23	9	.345	122	+12	+1	—	—	+14	2.7
2016	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	62	56	17	5	0	0	3	21	2	1	0	.304	.361	.393	.754	.089	.486	34	5	.336	115	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2017	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	508	440	97	24	5	24	52	134	9	11	4	.220	.315	.461	.777	.241	.254	26	10	.338	117	+10	+1	—	—	+14	2.5
2018	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	518	457	117	28	2	13	44	144	9	4	3	.256	.333	.411	.745	.155	.341	28	8	.329	110	+6	-0	—	—	+15	2.1
2018	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	96	86	29	4	0	4	7	16	2	1	0	.337	.400	.523	.923	.186	.373	17	7	.404	168	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2019	23	MLB	Cleveland Indians	84	73	13	2	1	1	11	22	0	0	0	.178	.286	.274	.560	.096	.240	26	13	.263	59	-4	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.2
2019	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	283	253	64	15	1	9	26	67	1	4	1	.253	.325	.427	.752	.174	.306	24	9	.331	112	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.2
2021	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	251	237	54	14	3	9	11	69	2	1	0	.228	.268	.426	.694	.198	.281	27	4	.303	90	-3	+0	+2	-6	+7	0.1
2021	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	66	59	19	5	0	4	5	19	2	1	2	.322	.394	.610	1.004	.288	.417	29	8	.436	192	+7	-1	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	190	168	35	6	0	4	16	59	4	0	1	.208	.293	.315	.608	.107	.290	31	8	.278	71	-6	-0	+2	+1	+5	0.2
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	24	18	3	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	.167	.348	.222	.570	.056	.214	21	21	.274	68	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	112	105	17	2	0	6	3	34	2	4	0	.162	.200	.352	.552	.190	.169	30	3	.239	41	-7	+1	+4	+2	+3	0.3
2023	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	66	62	20	2	0	3	4	13	0	2	0	.323	.364	.500	.864	.177	.370	20	6	.381	150	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	.071	.133	.071	.205	.000	.100	27	7	.107	-60	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	51	41	12	3	0	2	9	15	1	2	1	.293	.431	.512	.944	.220	.417	29	18	.419	179	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			637	583	119	24	4	20	41	184	8	5	1	.204	.266	.362	.628	.158	.259	29	6	.279	72	-20	+1	+10	-2	+18	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yu Chang (OGILVIE)	30	—	49	62	46	.211/.272/.369	.158	.262	7	5	28%	7%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	41→44	52→55	52→50	43	.217/.277/.384	.167	.274	20	11	29%	7%	83	+0.6	.230/.298/.415	.185	.307	23	9	31%	8%	100	+1.7	.210/.276/.403	.193	.274	26	2	33%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	41→50	50	55→50	50	.212/.291/.363	.150	.264	18	11	26%	10%	83	+0.6	.227/.310/.379	.152	.306	17	6	29%	11%	95	+1.4	.214/.299/.358	.144	.307	16	0	33%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Brent Lillibridge 2014 · MLB	30	44→53	48→50	53→60	39	.223/.276/.355	.132	.292	17	25	29%	5%	75	-0.0	.210/.261/.333	.123	.293	14	20	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.183/.237/.296	.113	.266	12	22	35%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Tyler Greene 2014 · MLB	30	46→51	48→50	56→55	41	.229/.286/.372	.143	.313	15	22	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.273/.343	.115	.336	11	11	34%	5%	69	-0.4	.232/.275/.336	.104	.353	9	7	35%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	53→50	49→50	44	.226/.284/.389	.163	.259	22	7	23%	6%	88	+0.9	.208/.294/.352	.144	.265	18	11	28%	9%	82	+0.5	.160/.281/.285	.124	.207	16	12	30%	12%	59	-0.5
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	40→50	47→50	50→55	44	.205/.272/.343	.138	.276	15	13	31%	8%	70	-0.3	.203/.276/.336	.133	.294	16	11	34%	8%	70	-0.3	.193/.274/.320	.127	.282	16	11	35%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	44→45	56→60	52→60	44	.229/.300/.425	.196	.309	23	15	33%	8%	103	+1.9	.213/.278/.349	.136	.307	15	9	34%	7%	74	-0.1	.196/.261/.303	.107	.284	13	6	34%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Brett Hayes 2014 · MLB	30	39	51→45	49→40	37	.211/.251/.370	.159	.270	19	5	30%	5%	68	-0.5	.193/.230/.327	.134	.249	16	6	29%	4%	47	-1.9	.153/.195/.232	.080	.211	9	0	32%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Seth Bynum 2011 · AAA	30	41→44	51→55	49→50	38	.216/.260/.371	.155	.290	19	10	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.208/.257/.339	.131	.293	15	11	33%	6%	63	-0.9	.195/.247/.313	.118	.278	13	8	34%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	48→50	52→55	48	.212/.290/.355	.142	.274	16	14	28%	9%	81	+0.4	.199/.276/.341	.142	.265	16	16	30%	9%	71	-0.3	.169/.251/.300	.130	.226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	41→44	52→55	49→40	45	.217/.282/.379	.162	.265	21	6	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.214/.274/.387	.173	.271	22	5	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.207/.268/.386	.179	.258	24	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Jerad Head 2013 · MLB	30	44→45	51→55	49→50	40	.230/.282/.392	.161	.279	19	8	25%	5%	87	+0.8	.229/.279/.369	.140	.279	16	7	24%	5%	79	+0.3	.226/.273/.359	.133	.272	15	2	23%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	40	.233/.279/.412	.179	.277	22	17	25%	5%	91	+1.1	.237/.284/.406	.169	.296	20	13	26%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.282/.385	.151	.300	17	11	27%	5%	81	+0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	54→55	54→55	45	.200/.277/.375	.175	.266	23	14	34%	9%	81	+0.4	.214/.286/.391	.177	.301	21	17	34%	9%	89	+0.9	.206/.276/.397	.191	.290	21	20	35%	9%	83	+0.4
✕Niko Vasquez 2019 · AAA	30	47→41	51→50	47→45	41	.240/.291/.401	.161	.299	20	9	27%	6%	93	+1.3	.218/.276/.340	.122	.302	15	9	31%	6%	71	-0.3	.190/.255/.287	.097	.266	14	4	33%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	43→42	49→50	45	45	.221/.292/.366	.145	.284	17	7	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.227/.277/.383	.156	.291	20	6	29%	6%	82	+0.5	.217/.262/.366	.149	.273	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	49→50	52→55	43	.237/.281/.383	.145	.287	18	16	24%	6%	83	+0.6	.238/.283/.373	.135	.301	16	19	26%	6%	82	+0.5	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕JaCoby Jones 2021 · MLB	29	46→47	52→50	50	42	.231/.299/.409	.178	.305	19	12	30%	7%	98	+1.6	.207/.265/.334	.127	.330	14	7	39%	6%	64	-0.8	.177/.229/.271	.094	.302	11	5	43%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Mario Lisson 2014 · AAA	30	44→49	50→55	49→55	43	.226/.289/.381	.155	.286	18	15	27%	6%	87	+0.8	.235/.300/.382	.147	.299	18	10	27%	7%	92	+1.2	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Erik Kratz 2010 · AAA	30	42→46	53→60	51→45	41	.222/.270/.397	.175	.265	21	8	25%	5%	83	+0.6	.228/.289/.392	.164	.272	19	6	23%	6%	90	+1.0	.225/.291/.398	.173	.257	21	2	21%	6%	91	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)