Todd Glaesmann
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 397 | .278/.316/.540 | 19 | 5 | 79 | — | .222/.253/.420 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 383 | .272/.314/.462 | 13 | 5 | 57 | — | .212/.245/.347 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAACHC | 68 | .175/.235/.238 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | .154/.191/.215 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | — | 18 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 333 | 611 | 56 | 333 | 17 | 0 | 272 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Princeton Rays | — | 261 | 236 | 55 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 233 | 298 | 398 | 697 | 165 | 313 | 27 | 5 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 228 | 210 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 85 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 229 | 286 | 343 | 629 | 114 | 364 | 37 | 6 | 283 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | GCL Rays | — | 45 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 216 | 341 | 243 | 584 | 27 | 296 | 22 | 11 | 279 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 96 | 84 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 310 | 389 | 476 | 866 | 167 | 354 | 18 | 6 | 383 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 148 | 139 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 333 | 554 | 887 | 259 | 344 | 24 | 5 | 382 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 392 | 352 | 99 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 89 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 281 | 343 | 469 | 812 | 188 | 336 | 23 | 6 | 353 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 529 | 487 | 117 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 110 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 293 | 378 | 670 | 138 | 285 | 21 | 5 | 297 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 20 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 150 | 158 | 308 | 53 | 133 | 20 | 5 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 177 | 166 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 211 | 256 | 283 | 539 | 72 | 296 | 29 | 5 | 245 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 300 | 283 | 81 | 27 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 286 | 327 | 551 | 878 | 265 | 316 | 19 | 5 | 380 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 64 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 206 | 250 | 456 | 83 | 225 | 30 | 5 | 204 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 33 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 419 | 438 | 1.000 | 1.438 | 581 | 360 | 9 | 3 | 588 | 230 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 236 | 223 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 308 | 457 | 765 | 184 | 320 | 20 | 4 | 333 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 147 | 134 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 269 | 324 | 470 | 794 | 201 | 296 | 20 | 7 | 346 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 68 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 235 | 238 | 473 | 63 | 270 | 37 | 4 | 222 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 278 | 500 | 56 | 269 | 22 | 0 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 261 | 241 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 99 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 166 | 221 | 278 | 499 | 112 | 258 | 38 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 228 | 214 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 117 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 150 | 198 | 210 | 409 | 61 | 320 | 51 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 45 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 154 | 250 | 179 | 429 | 26 | 236 | 31 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 148 | 142 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 259 | 423 | 681 | 190 | 308 | 33 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 392 | 360 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 124 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 219 | 270 | 342 | 612 | 122 | 295 | 32 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 529 | 496 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 136 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 214 | 254 | 325 | 579 | 111 | 266 | 26 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 177 | 170 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 194 | 222 | 265 | 486 | 71 | 287 | 36 | 2 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 300 | 287 | 64 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 257 | 408 | 664 | 185 | 273 | 25 | 3 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 64 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 175 | 230 | 404 | 82 | 199 | 38 | 3 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 33 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 375 | 903 | 1.278 | 548 | 291 | 12 | 3 | 508 | 230 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 236 | 226 | 48 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 239 | 341 | 580 | 128 | 267 | 26 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 147 | 137 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 212 | 255 | 358 | 613 | 146 | 240 | 25 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 68 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 191 | 215 | 407 | 62 | 241 | 44 | 1 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 278 | 500 | 56 | 286 | 22 | 0 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Rays | — | 18 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 333 | 611 | 56 | 333 | 17 | 0 | 272 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 261 | 241 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 99 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 166 | 221 | 278 | 499 | 112 | 264 | 38 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | Princeton Rays | — | 261 | 236 | 55 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 233 | 298 | 398 | 697 | 165 | 313 | 27 | 5 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 369 | 338 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 178 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 157 | 221 | 219 | 440 | 62 | 316 | 48 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 369 | 331 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 112 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 248 | 320 | 366 | 685 | 118 | 352 | 30 | 7 | 309 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 540 | 501 | 112 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 173 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 224 | 269 | 369 | 638 | 146 | 306 | 32 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 540 | 491 | 140 | 25 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 124 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 285 | 340 | 493 | 833 | 208 | 338 | 23 | 6 | 361 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 515 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 141 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 212 | 252 | 320 | 573 | 109 | 272 | 26 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 506 | 119 | 29 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 114 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 287 | 370 | 657 | 134 | 279 | 21 | 5 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 177 | 170 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 194 | 222 | 265 | 486 | 71 | 299 | 36 | 2 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 177 | 166 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 211 | 256 | 283 | 539 | 72 | 296 | 29 | 5 | 245 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 397 | 379 | 85 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 104 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 224 | 256 | 425 | 680 | 201 | 268 | 26 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 397 | 374 | 104 | 31 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 278 | 316 | 540 | 857 | 262 | 307 | 20 | 5 | 369 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 363 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 99 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 212 | 245 | 347 | 592 | 135 | 264 | 26 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 357 | 97 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 77 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 272 | 314 | 462 | 776 | 190 | 311 | 20 | 5 | 338 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 68 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 191 | 215 | 407 | 62 | 265 | 44 | 1 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 68 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 235 | 238 | 473 | 63 | 270 | 37 | 4 | 222 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Rays | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 278 | 500 | 56 | 269 | 22 | 0 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Princeton Rays | — | 261 | 242 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 99 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 165 | 221 | 277 | 498 | 112 | 258 | 38 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 369 | 338 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 178 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 157 | 221 | 219 | 440 | 62 | 306 | 48 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 540 | 504 | 112 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 173 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 269 | 367 | 636 | 145 | 299 | 32 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 516 | 109 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 141 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 211 | 252 | 320 | 572 | 109 | 266 | 26 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 177 | 169 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 195 | 222 | 266 | 488 | 71 | 287 | 36 | 2 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 397 | 378 | 85 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 104 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 256 | 426 | 682 | 201 | 263 | 26 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 364 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 99 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 212 | 245 | 346 | 592 | 135 | 257 | 26 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 68 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 191 | 215 | 407 | 62 | 241 | 44 | 1 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2762 | 2590 | 523 | 115 | 21 | 54 | 95 | 891 | 50 | 63 | 20 | 202 | 244 | 325 | 569 | 123 | 282 | 32 | 3 | 244 | 51 | -161 | +5 | +0 | +10 | +60 | -8.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 123 | 27 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 210 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 202 | 244 | 326 | 570 | 125 | 281 | 32 | 3 | 244 | 51 | -38 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAIowa Cubs · 68 PAwOBA .209 → .172 (−37)K% 36.8% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.76% | ÷1.083 | ×1.290 | — | — | 43.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 2.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷0.991 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 21.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.056 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 2.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.899 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 108, K 117, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .209 → .172; ISO .063 → .049; BABIP .270 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAReno Aces · 236 PAwOBA .325 → .251 (−73)K% 19.9% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.92% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.39% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷1.052 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 18.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.52% | ÷1.060 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 1.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 2.48% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .325 → .251; ISO .184 → .131; BABIP .320 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 147 PAwOBA .338 → .254 (−84)K% 20.4% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.989 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .338 → .254; ISO .201 → .139; BABIP .296 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAReno Aces · 300 PAwOBA .369 → .289 (−81)K% 19.0% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.00% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.67% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.37% | ÷0.964 | ×0.900 | ×1.001 | ×1.033 | 15.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.95% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.033 | 9.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.033 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.86% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .369 → .289; ISO .265 → .192; BABIP .316 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMobile BayBears · 64 PAwOBA .198 → .154 (−44)K% 29.7% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.69% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.69% | ÷1.043 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 17.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.921 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.098 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 84, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .198 → .154; ISO .083 → .063; BABIP .225 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Visalia Rawhide · 33 PAwOBA .587 → .508 (−79)K% 9.1% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.002 | ×1.340 | — | — | 12.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.03% | ÷1.057 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 1.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.058 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 12.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 11.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.913 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 2.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 13.21% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 112, 2B 101, 3B 83, K 100, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .587 → .508; ISO .581 → .519; BABIP .360 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMobile BayBears · 177 PAwOBA .234 → .208 (−26)K% 28.8% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.81% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 2.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 20.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 7.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.902 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 108, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .234 → .208; ISO .072 → .067; BABIP .296 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 529 PAwOBA .291 → .249 (−42)K% 20.8% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.54% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.89% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.036 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.08% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .291 → .249; ISO .138 → .109; BABIP .285 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).