Brendon Davis — OGILVIE

Brendon DavisSS Tulsa Drillers

Age 29 R/R 6'4" / 185 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .271 / .297

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO109

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1017.8%

xAVG

410.244

POWER37

Barrel%

9014.3

Avg EV

3588.0

EYE51

Chase%

1043.3%

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	121	114	29	3	1	1	6	34	0	2	0	254	292	325	616	70	350	28	5	276	73	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2016	19	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	436	398	96	18	2	5	29	118	3	8	3	241	298	334	632	93	326	27	7	283	78	-12	+0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2017	20	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	33	30	6	3	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	200	273	400	673	200	312	39	9	298	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2017	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	457	387	90	20	3	10	59	135	9	3	7	233	347	377	725	145	328	30	13	330	109	+5	-2	—	—	+10	1.3
2018	21	A+	Down East Wood Ducks	—	463	406	103	23	2	6	46	105	5	6	2	254	337	365	702	111	324	23	10	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+10	1.1
2019	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	401	346	70	13	1	3	42	113	7	0	3	202	301	272	572	69	285	28	10	267	67	-16	-1	—	—	+9	-0.9
2021	24	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	133	117	39	8	2	8	10	28	5	3	1	333	406	641	1.047	308	383	21	8	450	190	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2021	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	131	112	30	4	1	8	18	34	0	4	0	268	369	536	905	268	310	26	14	392	151	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	24	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	282	254	71	17	3	14	19	75	5	9	3	280	342	535	877	256	337	27	7	377	141	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	589	503	118	29	3	20	73	135	9	8	6	235	342	423	765	189	278	23	12	341	117	+12	-1	—	—	+13	2.4
2023	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	135	24	10	0	5	18	47	3	1	0	178	288	363	651	185	229	30	12	296	86	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	29	27	8	4	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	296	345	556	900	259	350	21	7	391	150	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	27	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	468	388	87	21	1	9	62	109	13	24	0	224	350	353	703	129	284	23	13	322	104	+2	+5	—	—	+10	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	18	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	121	116	21	2	1	1	4	49	0	2	0	181	208	241	450	60	287	40	3	186	12	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2016	19	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	436	407	82	14	2	4	20	162	3	8	3	201	244	275	519	74	312	37	5	228	40	-31	+0	—	—	+9	-2.1
2017	20	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	33	31	4	2	0	1	2	18	0	0	0	129	182	290	472	161	255	55	6	189	14	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2017	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	457	408	72	14	2	7	38	179	9	3	7	176	262	272	534	96	287	39	8	243	51	-27	-2	—	—	+10	-2.0
2018	21	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	463	424	86	18	2	4	28	150	5	6	2	203	260	283	543	80	292	32	6	238	47	-29	+0	—	—	+10	-1.9
2019	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	401	361	61	11	1	2	28	140	7	0	3	169	242	222	464	53	255	35	7	212	30	-34	-1	—	—	+9	-2.7
2021	24	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	133	122	32	6	2	6	6	34	5	3	1	262	323	492	815	230	322	26	5	350	123	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	131	117	24	3	1	5	13	41	0	4	0	205	285	376	661	171	266	31	10	290	82	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2021	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	282	260	56	14	2	12	13	98	5	9	3	215	266	423	689	208	277	35	5	289	82	-6	+1	—	—	+6	0.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	589	525	97	23	2	14	51	161	9	8	6	185	268	316	585	131	233	27	9	261	63	-26	-1	—	—	+13	-1.4
2023	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	141	19	7	0	4	12	57	3	1	0	135	218	270	487	135	181	37	8	213	30	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	29	28	7	3	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	250	276	464	740	214	310	28	3	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	27	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	468	410	73	17	1	7	40	139	13	24	0	178	272	276	548	98	241	30	9	248	54	-26	+5	—	—	+10	-1.1
2015	18	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	121	116	21	2	1	1	4	49	0	2	0	181	208	241	450	60	299	40	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	—	121	114	29	3	1	1	6	34	0	2	0	254	292	325	616	70	350	28	5	276	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	436	407	82	14	2	4	20	162	3	8	3	201	244	275	519	74	318	37	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	436	398	96	18	2	5	29	118	3	8	3	241	298	334	632	93	326	27	7	283	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	439	76	16	2	8	40	197	9	3	7	173	256	273	529	100	288	40	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	490	417	96	23	3	11	62	148	9	3	7	230	342	379	721	149	327	30	13	328	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	463	424	86	18	2	4	28	150	5	6	2	203	260	283	543	80	299	32	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	463	406	103	23	2	6	46	105	5	6	2	254	337	365	702	111	324	23	10	316	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	401	361	61	11	1	2	28	140	7	0	3	169	242	222	464	53	263	35	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	401	346	70	13	1	3	42	113	7	0	3	202	301	272	572	69	285	28	10	267	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	499	113	24	4	23	32	173	10	16	4	226	287	429	715	202	292	32	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	546	483	140	29	6	30	47	137	10	16	4	290	364	561	925	271	343	25	9	398	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	589	525	97	23	2	14	51	161	9	8	6	185	268	316	585	131	234	27	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	589	503	118	29	3	20	73	135	9	8	6	235	342	423	765	189	278	23	12	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	141	19	7	0	4	12	57	3	1	0	135	218	270	487	135	188	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	135	24	10	0	5	18	47	3	1	0	178	288	363	651	185	229	30	12	296	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	497	437	80	21	1	7	42	146	13	24	0	183	274	284	558	101	253	29	8	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	497	415	95	25	1	10	64	115	13	24	0	229	350	366	716	137	288	23	13	326	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	121	116	21	2	1	1	4	49	0	2	0	181	208	241	450	60	287	40	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	436	410	82	14	2	4	20	162	3	8	3	200	244	273	517	73	312	37	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	438	76	16	2	8	40	197	9	3	7	174	256	274	530	100	285	40	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	463	427	86	18	2	4	28	150	5	6	2	201	260	281	541	80	292	32	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	401	363	61	11	1	2	28	140	7	0	3	168	242	220	463	52	255	35	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	499	113	24	4	23	32	173	10	16	4	226	287	429	715	202	285	32	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	589	524	97	23	2	14	51	161	9	8	6	185	268	317	585	132	233	27	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	140	19	7	0	4	12	57	3	1	0	136	218	271	489	136	181	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	497	439	80	21	1	7	42	146	13	24	0	182	274	282	557	100	245	29	8	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	156	140	19	7	0	4	12	57	3	1	0	136	218	271	489	136	181	37	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	497	439	80	21	1	7	42	146	13	24	0	182	274	282	557	100	245	29	8	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	LAD	2%	22	20	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	150	227	200	427	50	250	27	9	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	LAD	23%	323	287	57	13	1	6	27	86	6	7	1	199	281	314	595	115	253	27	8	266	66	-13	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	LAD	35%	329	294	58	13	1	6	27	87	5	6	1	197	276	310	586	112	254	26	8	267	67	-13	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	LAD	23%	73	66	12	3	0	1	6	19	1	2	0	182	260	273	533	91	250	26	8	252	66	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	LAD	35%	114	102	19	4	0	2	9	30	2	2	0	186	265	284	550	98	250	26	8	253	67	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	187	168	31	7	0	3	15	49	3	4	0	185	263	280	543	95	239	26	8	253	55	-7	+1	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	107	24	0	10	52	170	10	14	0	183	261	276	537	92	238	26	8	253	55	-26	+3	-5	+7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4373	3950	753	163	17	79	313	1414	70	82	27	191	262	301	563	110	271	32	7	250	55	-27	+2	-5	+7	+15	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	112	24	3	12	47	210	10	12	4	191	262	303	566	112	270	32	7	250	55	-26	+2	-5	+7	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendon Davis (OGILVIE)	29	35	37	58	51	190/271/297	108	250	4	6	27%	8%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	42→45	54→50	42	185/250/290	106	250	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	190/262/302	112	274	11	13	33%	7%	61	-1.5	142/221/231	89	212	10	16	36%	6%	28	-1.5
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB	29	43→52	40	51→55	44	211/267/300	90	273	7	16	25%	7%	61	-1.5	207/260/290	83	290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.9	189/238/249	61	260	4	22	28%	5%	36	-1.4
✕Chris Basak 2008 · AAA	29	45→46	42→45	54→55	44	220/269/326	106	267	9	19	21%	5%	68	-1.0	218/262/325	107	271	9	16	22%	5%	65	-1.2	209/247/306	96	260	7	16	22%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/266/286	88	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/268/296	95	308	8	10	35%	7%	61	-1.5	157/228/221	64	263	4	5	39%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Juan Ciriaco 2013 · AAA	29	43→47	42→45	54→50	46	213/266/321	108	255	9	16	20%	6%	65	-1.2	218/260/316	98	258	9	19	19%	5%	61	-1.5	226/257/318	92	268	8	23	19%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	45→50	41→40	51→55	44	215/286/306	91	293	9	18	28%	7%	70	-0.8	206/270/292	86	278	7	17	27%	7%	61	-1.5	190/252/263	73	255	6	19	26%	6%	45	-1.5
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA	29	39→44	39→40	53→45	50	187/268/272	85	254	6	14	27%	10%	55	-1.9	208/279/297	89	286	5	7	27%	9%	65	-1.2	230/300/318	88	324	2	0	27%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Tony Thomas 2015 · AAA	29	40→46	45→50	56→55	36	201/246/330	129	284	11	14	33%	5%	59	-1.6	213/256/339	126	315	11	11	34%	5%	65	-1.2	208/247/334	127	312	10	7	35%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	42	41→45	51→50	42	202/266/300	98	286	8	10	31%	7%	61	-1.5	191/256/277	86	314	7	8	38%	7%	52	-2.2	135/207/179	44	258	2	2	44%	8%	11	-2.1
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→48	41→45	51→50	48	210/283/311	101	276	8	8	26%	9%	70	-0.8	198/276/278	80	272	6	10	27%	9%	60	-1.6	176/261/230	54	248	4	10	28%	9%	42	-1.3
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB	29	45→50	43→45	54→55	39	218/270/328	111	296	10	18	29%	5%	69	-0.9	214/268/322	108	281	10	16	26%	5%	67	-1.1	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	220/271/324	104	253	11	13	18%	5%	68	-1.0	214/278/328	114	260	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.7	203/271/307	103	250	7	28	21%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	40→45	43→45	49→55	41	197/267/307	110	285	11	17	34%	7%	63	-1.3	210/296/321	111	330	11	25	36%	10%	78	-0.3	196/292/297	101	315	10	32	37%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Luke Maile 2021 · MLB	30	44→50	45→40	51→40	48	217/287/339	122	281	12	8	26%	8%	78	-0.3	230/309/350	120	319	11	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	228/311/347	119	313	11	4	28%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Donnie Sadler 2004 · MLB	29	41	39→45	49→55	50	199/273/288	89	243	6	17	20%	8%	61	-1.5	221/288/335	114	281	9	13	23%	8%	77	-0.3	214/286/319	105	283	4	16	24%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Ryan Klosterman 2010 · AAA	28	44→46	41→45	50→55	45	214/273/313	99	273	8	15	24%	7%	66	-1.1	206/268/323	117	272	12	13	27%	7%	68	-1.0	157/258/261	103	235	9	19	34%	12%	48	-0.4
✕Deven Marrero 2021 · MLB	30	39→48	45	53→50	41	201/255/317	116	274	13	12	31%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/319	109	294	12	10	31%	8%	68	-1.0	194/260/282	88	272	11	8	31%	8%	51	-0.7
✕Trent Durrington 2005 · MLB	29	46→45	48→40	58→60	47	233/290/382	149	282	15	18	23%	7%	88	+0.5	234/293/321	87	299	7	34	23%	7%	75	-0.5	227/287/294	66	294	4	40	23%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Paul Hoover 2006 · AAA	30	43	42→45	50→45	44	211/269/319	108	265	9	10	24%	6%	66	-1.1	225/277/339	114	297	10	7	26%	6%	74	-0.6	223/273/333	109	299	10	3	28%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	226/283/322	96	280	8	18	22%	6%	72	-0.7	218/287/358	140	282	16	15	27%	8%	82	+0.0	207/280/360	153	265	19	17	29%	8%	78	-0.2