Junior Caminero — OGILVIE

Junior Caminero3B Tampa Bay Rays

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 1.337 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION411 act + 274 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 133136vR 144

AVG/OBP/SLG.267 / .346 / .535

PA274

HR18

K%19

BB%10

BABIP272

ISO267

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 53 / POW 73

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT53

Whiff%

778.1%

xwOBA

850.348

POWER73

Barrel%

8613.6

Avg EV

9092.3

Bat Spd

9079.6

EYE40

Chase%

9024.0%

SPEED51

Sprint

2626.3

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 948 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

251

697

—

wRC+

127

131

▶R

wOBA

351

357

—

ISO

222

261

▶▶R

BABIP

251

269

▶R

13.9%

20.9%

◀◀L

BB%

8.0%

6.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.337 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.4	$19M	+$19M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+5.5	$41M	+$40M
2028	Arb-1	$12M	+5.7	$39M	+$29M
2029	Arb-2	$21M	+5.6	$36M	+$21M
2030	Arb-3	$31M	+5.5	$32M	+$12M
Totals		$65M		$167M	+$121M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	171	155	34	6	0	7	11	40	2	2	0	219	280	394	673	174	243	23	6	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	171	146	43	8	0	9	20	28	2	2	0	295	387	534	921	240	304	16	12	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	INTL	3 teams	—	442	407	104	9	2	17	25	102	7	18	2	256	310	413	723	157	299	23	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	INTL	3 teams	—	442	394	122	11	3	25	38	74	7	18	2	310	380	543	924	234	326	17	9	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	4 teams	—	640	598	168	17	5	28	31	166	6	7	6	281	323	467	789	186	342	26	5	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	4 teams	—	640	581	186	25	6	37	48	127	6	7	6	320	378	575	953	255	353	20	8	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA	4 teams	—	470	437	106	19	1	20	28	107	4	4	3	243	294	428	722	185	277	23	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA	4 teams	—	470	432	119	23	1	22	33	91	4	4	3	275	333	486	819	211	303	19	7	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	653	602	160	29	0	48	41	125	3	7	1	266	316	553	869	287	257	19	6	366	138	+28	+1	-1	+2	+19	5.0
2025	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	653	602	159	28	0	45	41	125	3	7	1	264	314	535	849	271	260	19	6	365	137	+28	+1	-1	+2	+19	5.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	TB	—	411	355	99	14	0	28	53	78	1	2	2	279	374	555	929	276	283	19	13	387	154	+25	-0	-3	+1	+12	3.6
YTD	23	MLB	TB	—	411	355	99	14	0	28	53	78	1	2	2	279	374	555	929	276	283	19	13	403	166	+31	-0	-3	+1	+12	4.2
ROS	23	MLB	TB	100%	274	243	65	11	0	18	28	53	1	2	1	267	346	535	881	267	270	19	10	379	148	+15	+0	-1	+1	+8	2.3
ROS	23	MLB	TB	100%	274	243	65	11	0	17	28	53	1	2	1	267	346	523	868	255	272	19	10	374	144	+14	+0	-1	+1	+8	2.2
FULL	23	MLB	TB	—	685	598	164	25	0	45	81	131	2	4	3	274	363	542	905	268	280	19	12	382	150	+39	-0	-4	+2	+19	5.8
TOT	23	MLB	TB	—	685	598	164	25	0	46	81	131	2	4	3	274	363	547	910	273	278	19	12	384	152	+40	-0	-4	+2	+19	5.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TB	100%	660	585	156	26	1	43	68	126	2	5	3	267	345	535	880	268	267	19	10	380	149	+36	-0	-3	+2	+19	5.6
2028	25	MLB	TB	100%	658	582	155	26	1	43	68	124	3	5	3	266	346	536	882	270	267	19	10	382	151	+38	-0	-3	+2	+19	5.7
2029	26	MLB	TB	100%	645	570	153	26	1	43	67	122	3	5	3	268	348	544	892	275	267	19	10	383	151	+37	-0	-3	+2	+18	5.6
2030	27	MLB	TB	100%	632	558	149	25	0	42	67	120	2	5	2	267	348	538	885	271	267	19	11	383	151	+37	+0	-2	+2	+18	5.6
2031	28	MLB	TB	100%	620	547	146	25	0	41	66	118	2	4	2	267	348	537	885	271	266	19	11	382	151	+35	+0	-3	+2	+18	5.3
2032	29	MLB	TB	100%	608	536	142	24	0	40	65	117	2	4	2	265	347	534	880	269	265	19	11	380	149	+34	+0	-4	+2	+17	5.0
2033	30	MLB	TB	100%	596	525	138	23	0	39	64	116	2	3	2	263	345	530	875	267	264	19	11	377	147	+31	-0	-4	+2	+17	4.7
2034	31	MLB	TB	100%	583	514	132	22	0	37	62	116	2	3	2	257	339	516	855	259	261	20	11	373	143	+29	-0	-5	+2	+17	4.3
2035	32	MLB	TB	100%	571	503	128	21	0	36	61	116	2	2	1	254	337	511	848	256	257	20	11	366	139	+25	+0	-6	+2	+16	3.8
2036	33	MLB	TB	100%	532	468	116	18	0	33	57	110	2	2	1	248	332	498	830	250	251	21	11	358	132	+19	+0	-6	+2	+15	3.1
2037	34	MLB	TB	96%	484	429	102	15	0	29	51	104	1	1	1	238	320	476	796	238	243	21	11	347	124	+13	-0	-7	+2	+14	2.2
2038	35	MLB	TB	91%	428	379	86	12	0	24	45	95	1	1	0	227	311	449	759	222	239	22	11	337	116	+8	+0	-7	+2	+12	1.5
2039	36	MLB	TB	82%	368	326	73	10	0	20	38	84	1	0	0	224	307	439	745	215	235	23	10	327	108	+3	+0	-8	+1	+10	0.8
2040	37	MLB	TB	73%	303	268	58	7	0	16	31	72	1	0	0	216	300	422	722	205	231	24	10	316	100	-0	+0	-8	+1	+9	0.1
2041	38	MLB	TB	59%	233	208	43	5	0	11	23	57	0	0	0	207	286	389	675	183	227	24	10	304	91	-2	+0	-9	+1	+7	-0.4
2042	39	MLB	TB	45%	159	143	28	3	0	7	15	39	0	0	0	196	272	364	636	168	223	25	9	292	82	-3	+0	-9	+1	+5	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	TB	100%	660	585	156	26	1	42	68	126	2	5	3	267	345	530	875	263	270	19	10	375	145	+33	-0	-3	+2	+19	5.3
2028	25	MLB	TB	100%	658	582	156	26	1	42	68	124	3	5	3	268	348	533	880	265	270	19	10	377	147	+35	-0	-3	+2	+19	5.4
2029	26	MLB	TB	100%	645	570	153	25	1	42	67	122	3	5	3	268	348	537	885	268	269	19	10	378	147	+35	-0	-3	+2	+18	5.3
2030	27	MLB	TB	100%	632	558	149	25	0	41	67	120	2	5	2	267	348	532	880	265	269	19	11	378	147	+34	+0	-2	+2	+18	5.3
2031	28	MLB	TB	100%	620	547	145	24	0	40	66	118	2	4	2	265	346	528	875	263	268	19	11	377	147	+33	+0	-3	+2	+18	5.0
2032	29	MLB	TB	100%	608	536	141	23	0	39	65	117	2	4	2	263	345	524	869	261	267	19	11	375	145	+31	+0	-4	+2	+17	4.8
2033	30	MLB	TB	100%	596	525	138	23	0	38	64	116	2	3	2	263	345	524	869	261	266	19	11	372	143	+29	-0	-4	+2	+17	4.4
2034	31	MLB	TB	100%	583	514	133	22	0	36	62	116	2	3	2	259	341	512	853	253	263	20	11	368	140	+26	-0	-5	+2	+17	4.0
2035	32	MLB	TB	100%	571	503	127	20	0	35	61	116	2	2	1	252	336	501	837	249	259	20	11	362	135	+23	+0	-6	+2	+16	3.6
2036	33	MLB	TB	100%	532	468	116	18	0	32	57	110	2	2	1	248	332	491	824	244	253	21	11	354	129	+17	+0	-6	+2	+15	2.9
2037	34	MLB	TB	96%	462	409	97	14	0	27	49	99	1	1	1	237	320	469	790	232	246	21	11	343	121	+11	-0	-6	+2	+13	1.9
2038	35	MLB	TB	91%	389	344	80	11	0	22	41	86	1	1	0	233	316	456	772	224	241	22	11	334	114	+6	+0	-7	+1	+11	1.2
2039	36	MLB	TB	82%	302	267	60	8	0	16	31	69	1	0	0	225	308	434	742	210	237	23	10	324	106	+2	+0	-6	+1	+9	0.5
2040	37	MLB	TB	73%	221	197	42	5	0	11	22	52	0	0	0	213	292	406	698	193	233	24	10	313	98	-1	+0	-6	+1	+6	0.0
2041	38	MLB	TB	59%	137	122	25	3	0	6	14	33	0	0	0	205	287	377	664	172	229	24	10	302	89	-2	+0	-5	+0	+4	-0.2
2042	39	MLB	TB	45%	72	65	13	1	0	3	7	18	0	0	0	200	278	354	632	154	226	25	10	291	81	-2	+0	-4	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8828	7836	2004	323	4	541	891	1766	30	51	24	256	334	505	839	249	262	20	10	362	135	+351	+1	-75	+35	+250	57.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	148	24	0	40	66	130	2	4	2	256	335	506	841	250	263	20	10	362	135	+26	+0	-6	+3	+18	4.2
Career	—			—	10730	9583	2442	379	11	642	1012	2229	49	80	35	255	329	498	827	243	266	21	9	358	132	+389	+2	-88	+38	+304	65.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	148	23	1	39	61	135	3	5	2	255	329	499	828	244	265	21	9	358	132	+24	+0	-5	+2	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	171	146	43	8	0	9	20	28	2	2	0	295	387	534	921	240	304	16	12	397	162	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2022	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	117	107	32	2	1	6	8	22	2	5	0	299	359	505	864	206	329	19	7	381	149	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	154	132	43	5	1	5	15	21	4	7	1	326	411	492	903	167	349	14	10	395	160	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2022	19	INTL	Perth Heat	—	171	155	47	4	1	14	15	31	1	6	1	303	368	613	981	310	300	18	9	424	182	+16	+1	—	—	+5	2.2
2023	20	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	36	34	8	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	235	278	353	631	118	280	22	6	283	75	-1	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.3
2023	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	351	314	97	9	3	20	32	60	2	3	4	309	376	548	924	239	325	17	9	401	165	+26	-1	—	—	+10	3.5
2023	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	159	146	52	9	3	11	10	40	3	2	1	356	409	685	1.094	329	432	25	6	470	218	+21	+0	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	94	87	29	6	0	5	4	19	1	2	1	333	370	575	944	241	369	20	4	403	167	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	21	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	177	165	41	9	1	6	11	38	1	2	0	248	299	424	724	176	289	21	6	320	103	+1	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.8
2024	21	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	236	217	60	9	0	13	16	50	2	1	1	276	332	498	830	221	303	21	7	363	136	+10	-0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	22	17	4	1	0	3	5	2	0	0	0	235	409	824	1.233	588	83	9	23	501	241	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	35	33	14	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	424	457	545	1.003	121	438	3	3	446	200	+4	-1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	653	602	159	28	0	45	41	125	3	7	1	264	314	535	849	271	260	19	6	365	137	+28	+1	-1	+2	+19	5.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	866	801	208	38	1	52	54	171	4	9	1	260	310	504	814	245	267	20	6	352	128	+27	+1	-0	+6	+25	6.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Beltránlast yr '17 ROYAS×9GG×3SS×2HOF career totals — 18 seasons, 10,245 PA	18	10,245	413	282	278	352	489	-36	-13	70.2	59.6
	/162	664	27	18	278	352	489	-2.4	-0.8	4.5	pk7: 49
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	9,608	604	57	258	332	515	+17	-6	72.0	55.8
	/162	664	42	4	258	332	515	+1.2	-0.4	5.0	pk7: 40
#2Evan Longorialast yr '23 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA	16	8,206	342	58	264	333	471	+29	+110	61.2	51.8
	/162	664	28	5	264	333	471	+2.4	+8.9	4.9	pk7: 42
#3Aramis Ramirezlast yr '15 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,647 PA	16	8,647	380	29	285	343	498	+17	+3	61.8	51.5
	/162	664	29	2	285	343	498	+1.3	+0.3	4.7	pk7: 41
#4Josh Donaldsonlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,822 PA	12	5,822	278	40	262	359	491	+21	+53	51.1	48.3
	/162	664	32	5	262	359	491	+2.4	+6.0	5.8	pk7: 45
#5Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#6Troy Glauslast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,510 PA	10	5,510	290	50	258	364	503	-10	-34	39.4	37.9
	/162	664	35	6	258	364	503	-1.2	-4.0	4.7	pk7: 36

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Caminero (OGILVIE)	23	53	73	51	40	274/363/547	273	278	46	4	19%	12%	152	+5.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2022 · MLB	23	54→63	65	47→45	58	292/373/539	247	301	33	4	16%	11%	162	+6.0	283/357/496	213	299	28	5	16%	10%	144	+4.8	289/372/480	191	309	23	4	14%	11%	138	+5.0
★Yordan Alvarez 2021 · MLB	24	51→57	69→70	45	51	278/350/550	272	325	37	5	27%	10%	157	+5.7	279/365/537	258	314	33	3	22%	11%	158	+5.8	292/394/558	266	307	34	2	17%	13%	163	+5.7
★Cody Bellinger 2018 · MLB	23	45→55	66→70	52→50	49	248/324/505	256	297	35	12	29%	10%	134	+4.1	279/365/545	266	312	34	13	22%	12%	160	+5.9	283/377/555	271	306	35	14	20%	13%	154	+4.7
★Prince Fielder 2008 · MLB	24	50→60	67→70	44→45	56	274/365/539	265	290	35	5	20%	11%	159	+5.8	280/387/537	257	303	33	3	19%	13%	167	+6.3	288/412/552	264	308	34	1	18%	16%	160	+7.0
★Adam Dunn 2002 · MLB	22	49→51	68→70	47→50	56	267/364/546	279	309	35	9	26%	12%	160	+5.9	248/380/489	241	302	30	12	26%	16%	152	+5.3	248/380/531	283	291	37	5	27%	16%	150	+5.9
●Eric Chavez 2002 · MLB	24	53→54	62→65	46→45	52	280/342/512	232	293	29	7	17%	8%	143	+4.7	278/352/509	231	295	29	8	17%	10%	146	+4.9	276/364/507	231	291	29	7	16%	12%	138	+4.6
★Evan Longoria 2009 · MLB	23	49→58	59→65	51→50	48	260/329/473	213	302	27	7	24%	8%	128	+3.6	272/355/503	231	307	27	9	20%	11%	146	+4.9	271/363/512	242	295	29	8	19%	12%	141	+4.9
★Giancarlo Stanton 2013 · MLB	23	52→59	73→80	45	50	284/360/592	307	337	41	7	28%	10%	171	+6.7	278/374/556	278	341	36	8	28%	13%	167	+6.3	271/358/545	274	316	40	2	27%	11%	151	+5.8
★Pete Alonso 2020 · MLB	25	45→50	69→70	40	48	254/340/527	273	292	37	2	27%	9%	147	+5.0	257/343/519	262	280	37	4	23%	10%	146	+4.9	248/338/510	262	255	37	4	21%	10%	132	+4.3
●Gleyber Torres 2020 · MLB	23	50→53	60	45→50	49	266/329/479	212	302	29	7	23%	8%	129	+3.7	256/326/420	164	300	20	10	21%	9%	112	+2.6	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
★Aramis Ramirez 2002 · MLB	24	54→59	58→70	42→45	48	284/333/495	211	297	26	5	15%	6%	135	+4.2	268/321/462	194	281	25	3	15%	6%	121	+3.2	301/361/563	262	287	36	1	10%	8%	158	+5.7
★Justin Morneau 2005 · MLB	24	48→58	62→65	46→30	52	262/329/491	229	278	31	3	19%	9%	132	+4.0	271/335/487	216	285	28	2	16%	8%	134	+4.1	293/364/508	215	304	26	1	13%	9%	139	+5.1
●Eloy Jiménez 2021 · MLB	24	50→56	61→65	45→40	42	269/313/491	222	310	31	2	24%	6%	126	+3.5	263/315/446	183	313	25	2	24%	7%	115	+2.7	263/317/429	166	308	23	0	22%	7%	108	+1.5
●Miguel Sanó 2016 · MLB	23	47→53	60→70	48→45	49	240/327/464	224	329	28	7	34%	11%	124	+3.4	240/325/456	216	343	28	3	35%	11%	121	+3.2	239/330/487	248	333	35	0	36%	11%	128	+2.8
★Andruw Jones 2002 · MLB	25	51→58	60→70	50	51	270/333/487	217	286	29	13	18%	8%	133	+4.0	266/344/496	230	292	30	7	20%	10%	140	+4.5	259/352/526	267	268	37	5	19%	11%	140	+5.0
★Manny Machado 2017 · MLB	25	52→59	59→65	43→50	51	277/336/482	206	294	27	7	17%	8%	133	+4.0	273/336/492	219	288	29	8	17%	8%	135	+4.2	285/353/514	229	308	31	8	18%	9%	140	+4.7
★Austin Riley 2022 · MLB	25	53→59	61→65	39→40	46	278/341/500	222	336	30	2	26%	8%	140	+4.5	275/345/506	231	326	30	3	24%	8%	143	+4.7	269/341/501	232	317	30	2	24%	8%	137	+4.4
★Troy Glaus 2002 · MLB	25	48→52	69→70	45→50	64	264/378/550	287	289	36	10	23%	15%	167	+6.3	252/354/486	234	280	30	9	21%	13%	141	+4.5	254/361/501	246	280	33	2	22%	13%	142	+4.5
●Jorge Vazquez 2006 · AAA	24	54→41	75→80	42→30	39	304/334/603	298	323	45	6	22%	4%	167	+6.3	291/331/555	264	316	41	4	22%	4%	152	+5.3	292/334/548	256	318	41	1	22%	4%	150	+2.4
★Cal Raleigh 2021 · AA	24	41→43	75→70	49→45	40	252/298/547	296	282	46	6	30%	6%	136	+4.2	237/294/466	229	283	29	4	27%	7%	112	+2.6	239/334/514	276	263	41	6	27%	12%	132	+4.2