Yainer Diaz — OGILVIE

Yainer DiazC Houston Astros

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 3.203 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 3.0 · 2027

wRC+†vL 7980vR 67

AVG/OBP/SLG.277 / .309 / .447

PA254

HR9

K%18

BB%4

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

50→50

SPD

50→50

EYE

35↘25

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.203 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$9M	+3.0	$25M	+$15M
2028	Arb-3	$13M	+2.8	$24M	+$10M
Totals		$25M		$51M	+$26M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Indians	162	154	36	6	1	1	2	26	4	0	1	.234	.263	.305	.568	.071	.271	16	1	.238	40	-11	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
2018	19	ROK	AZL Indians 2	164	158	44	6	3	2	4	26	1	1	0	.278	.301	.392	.693	.114	.323	16	2	.293	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2019	20	ROK	AZL Indians Red	88	84	29	4	0	4	2	12	1	0	0	.345	.368	.536	.904	.190	.362	14	2	.389	156	+6	+0	+0	+2	+2	1.0
2021	22	A	3 teams	462	438	119	20	1	12	17	96	3	4	1	.272	.303	.404	.708	.132	.320	21	4	.305	92	-4	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.8
2022	23	AA	3 teams	524	490	131	20	4	23	25	113	4	2	0	.267	.308	.465	.774	.198	.301	22	5	.328	109	+5	+0	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2023	24	MLB	Houston Astros	377	355	104	22	0	25	11	74	5	0	0	.293	.323	.566	.890	.273	.302	20	3	.374	144	+19	+0	+5	+7	+11	4.3
2024	25	MLB	Houston Astros	619	585	174	28	3	16	24	107	2	2	0	.297	.327	.438	.765	.140	.336	17	4	.328	109	+7	+0	+3	+11	+18	3.9
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	591	564	142	26	1	22	21	99	2	1	1	.252	.281	.418	.700	.167	.268	17	4	.300	88	-8	-0	+6	+11	+17	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Houston Astros	76	71	14	3	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	.197	.230	.282	.511	.085	.213	14	4	.222	28	-6	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	178	168	44	8	0	6	7	31	1	1	0	.262	.295	.417	.712	.155	.293	17	4	.318	102	+0	+0	+2	+3	+5	1.1
TOT	27	MLB	HOU	254	239	58	11	0	7	10	42	1	1	0	.243	.276	.377	.653	.134	.264	17	4	.289	80	-6	+0	+1	+5	+7	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	HOU	520	492	131	24	1	17	21	78	2	1	0	.266	.299	.423	.722	.157	.284	15	4	.317	101	+0	+0	+6	+9	+15	3.1
2028	29	MLB	HOU	520	492	130	24	1	17	21	80	2	0	0	.264	.297	.421	.718	.157	.283	15	4	.315	99	-0	+0	+5	+9	+15	2.9
2029	30	MLB	HOU	520	492	130	24	1	17	21	82	2	0	0	.264	.297	.421	.718	.157	.282	16	4	.312	97	-2	+0	+4	+9	+15	2.7
2030	31	MLB	HOU	502	475	124	23	1	16	20	81	2	0	0	.261	.294	.415	.708	.154	.281	16	4	.308	94	-3	+0	+3	+9	+14	2.3
2031	32	MLB	HOU	469	445	114	21	1	14	19	78	2	0	0	.256	.290	.402	.692	.146	.279	17	4	.303	90	-5	+0	+2	+8	+13	1.9
2032	33	MLB	HOU	427	406	101	18	1	12	17	74	1	0	0	.249	.281	.387	.667	.138	.278	17	4	.297	86	-7	+0	+1	+8	+12	1.4
2033	34	MLB	HOU	371	353	88	16	1	10	14	67	1	0	0	.249	.280	.385	.665	.136	.276	18	4	.291	81	-8	+0	-0	+7	+11	0.9
2034	35	MLB	HOU	313	297	73	13	1	8	12	60	1	0	0	.246	.277	.377	.655	.131	.274	19	4	.283	74	-9	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2035	36	MLB	HOU	253	241	56	10	0	6	9	51	1	0	0	.232	.263	.349	.611	.116	.272	20	4	.273	67	-9	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.1
2036	37	MLB	HOU	194	185	41	7	0	4	7	41	0	0	0	.222	.250	.324	.574	.103	.268	21	4	.263	60	-9	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7254	6874	1811	320	21	232	274	1276	37	12	3	.263	.295	.417	.713	.154	.291	18	4	.309	95	-43	+1	+27	+130	+206	32.7
/ 162G	—			650	616	163	29	2	21	25	114	3	1	0	.265	.297	.420	.717	.156	.292	18	4	.309	95	-4	+0	+2	+12	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Indians	162	153	45	8	1	1	3	18	4	0	1	.294	.325	.379	.704	.085	.324	11	2	.313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+5	0.4
2018	19	ROK	AZL Indians 2	164	155	55	9	4	2	7	18	1	1	0	.355	.387	.503	.890	.148	.393	11	4	.390	157	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2019	20	ROK	AZL Indians Red	88	82	37	6	0	5	4	8	1	0	0	.451	.483	.707	1.190	.256	.457	9	5	.513	251	+15	+0	—	—	+2	1.8
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	105	96	38	4	0	11	8	17	0	2	0	.396	.442	.781	1.224	.385	.391	16	8	.518	255	+18	+0	—	—	+3	2.2
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	307	287	86	21	1	6	15	46	2	2	1	.300	.339	.443	.781	.143	.336	15	5	.344	121	+7	+0	—	—	+9	1.6
2021	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	50	46	12	4	0	0	3	15	1	0	0	.261	.320	.348	.668	.087	.387	30	6	.304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	219	201	59	9	1	16	13	39	3	1	0	.294	.346	.587	.933	.294	.291	18	6	.400	164	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2022	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	267	244	77	13	3	9	21	40	0	1	0	.316	.370	.504	.874	.189	.345	15	8	.382	150	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2022	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	38	35	3	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	.086	.135	.086	.221	.000	.100	16	3	.109	-58	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2023	24	MLB	Houston Astros	377	355	100	22	0	23	11	74	5	0	0	.282	.313	.538	.851	.256	.292	20	3	.364	137	+16	+0	+5	+7	+11	3.9
2024	25	MLB	Houston Astros	619	585	175	29	3	16	24	107	2	2	0	.299	.329	.441	.770	.142	.338	17	4	.337	116	+11	+0	+3	+11	+18	4.4
2025	26	MLB	Houston Astros	567	542	139	25	1	20	20	95	2	1	1	.256	.285	.417	.702	.161	.277	17	4	.309	94	-4	-0	+6	+11	+16	2.9
2025	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	24	22	7	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	.318	.348	.500	.848	.182	.353	21	4	.358	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1563	1482	414	76	4	59	55	276	9	3	1	.279	.309	.455	.765	.176	.305	18	4	.333	113	+23	+0	+14	+28	+44	11.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yainer Diaz (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	50	25	.265/.297/.423	.158	.284	8	1	15%	4%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jorge Cantu 2009 · MLB	27	51→60	52→60	45→40	46	.259/.311/.429	.170	.289	20	4	18%	6%	108	+2.3	.264/.317/.416	.152	.294	16	4	16%	6%	108	+2.3	.259/.314/.473	.213	.273	31	3	18%	6%	122	+2.0
✕Yohel Pozo 2023 · MLB	26	53	52→55	43→40	41	.273/.296/.440	.168	.294	20	3	16%	3%	105	+2.1	.258/.280/.418	.160	.271	20	4	13%	3%	93	+1.3	.255/.275/.417	.163	.260	21	2	12%	2%	88	+0.5
✕Aledmys Díaz 2018 · MLB	27	50→58	49→55	43→45	48	.253/.304/.404	.151	.279	16	7	16%	6%	98	+1.6	.254/.307/.423	.169	.271	20	6	15%	6%	105	+2.1	.256/.317/.421	.164	.277	19	3	15%	7%	104	+1.2
✕Adam Moore 2010 · MLB	26	52→60	49→55	44→40	44	.261/.312/.412	.150	.308	16	3	21%	6%	105	+2.1	.235/.280/.352	.117	.291	12	4	23%	5%	75	-0.0	.211/.268/.343	.132	.282	16	2	30%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Welington Castillo 2014 · MLB	27	51→58	48→60	47→30	47	.250/.324/.391	.140	.317	16	3	25%	8%	104	+2.0	.246/.311/.409	.163	.302	20	3	25%	7%	103	+1.9	.256/.312/.443	.187	.311	26	1	26%	7%	109	+1.6
✕Luis Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	26	53→58	52→50	38→40	44	.270/.314/.440	.170	.306	20	5	19%	5%	112	+2.6	.266/.310/.402	.136	.300	14	5	16%	5%	101	+1.8	.265/.308/.386	.120	.299	11	4	15%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	48→58	49→55	38→40	49	.244/.308/.391	.147	.290	17	2	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.227/.278/.364	.137	.291	15	4	27%	6%	77	+0.1	.230/.273/.370	.140	.300	16	0	28%	6%	73	-0.1
●Gio Urshela 2020 · MLB	28	54→62	48→55	44→40	44	.269/.309/.416	.147	.304	16	3	17%	5%	104	+2.0	.275/.323/.437	.162	.320	18	4	19%	6%	115	+2.8	.271/.323/.415	.145	.319	16	2	20%	7%	106	+1.4
●Bengie Molina 2001 · MLB	27	54→58	49→55	49→30	50	.267/.311/.409	.142	.264	17	4	8%	5%	103	+1.9	.259/.299/.373	.114	.271	13	2	10%	4%	89	+0.9	.281/.313/.443	.161	.281	21	0	9%	3%	108	+2.0
✕Carlos Valencia 2007 · AAA	27	52→59	54→60	42→40	44	.264/.288/.438	.174	.261	22	4	10%	3%	101	+1.8	.260/.286/.427	.167	.274	20	4	14%	3%	98	+1.6	.260/.288/.434	.174	.275	21	3	15%	3%	99	+1.2
●Salvador Perez 2017 · MLB	27	49→59	54→70	47→30	42	.255/.288/.426	.171	.275	22	2	18%	4%	98	+1.6	.255/.292/.467	.212	.273	30	3	19%	4%	111	+2.5	.264/.304/.518	.255	.281	40	1	23%	3%	127	+2.8
✕Brendan Harris 2008 · MLB	27	53→58	46→50	47→45	47	.261/.315/.396	.135	.308	13	7	19%	6%	101	+1.8	.254/.311/.376	.122	.304	10	3	19%	7%	94	+1.3	.226/.309/.339	.113	.264	10	1	18%	9%	83	+0.3
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2015 · MLB	26	53→58	50→55	48→45	47	.267/.321/.428	.161	.307	17	5	19%	6%	112	+2.6	.256/.307/.399	.143	.302	14	6	19%	6%	98	+1.6	.272/.330/.439	.166	.315	16	7	18%	7%	111	+1.2
✕J.R. House 2007 · AAA	27	55→59	47→50	44→30	46	.275/.313/.416	.142	.301	14	4	15%	5%	105	+2.1	.252/.298/.385	.133	.278	14	3	15%	6%	91	+1.1	.237/.284/.354	.117	.259	13	1	14%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Mike Brosseau 2020 · MLB	26	49→57	51→55	44→45	44	.250/.308/.411	.161	.297	18	8	22%	6%	103	+1.9	.238/.310/.410	.172	.302	21	8	27%	7%	104	+2.0	.218/.293/.350	.133	.273	20	3	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Maikel Franco 2019 · MLB	26	48→57	53→55	45→40	49	.248/.298/.417	.169	.259	22	2	15%	6%	100	+1.7	.235/.290/.395	.160	.249	20	2	15%	7%	91	+1.1	.225/.266/.352	.128	.252	15	1	18%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Brett Lawrie 2016 · MLB	26	49→56	51→55	45→55	44	.252/.301/.407	.156	.290	19	7	21%	6%	98	+1.6	.251/.306/.411	.160	.318	19	9	26%	7%	102	+1.8	.248/.310/.409	.161	.326	18	11	28%	7%	98	+1.1
✕Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	48→51	56→60	44→30	46	.251/.315/.439	.188	.300	25	3	25%	7%	113	+2.6	.239/.308/.450	.211	.289	29	4	28%	7%	114	+2.7	.219/.291/.435	.216	.257	31	1	28%	6%	100	+1.3
✕Devon Travis 2018 · MLB	27	54→62	49→50	47→50	44	.271/.312/.424	.153	.316	15	9	20%	5%	107	+2.2	.240/.281/.381	.141	.270	16	8	18%	5%	83	+0.6	.226/.265/.355	.129	.249	15	5	16%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Wilin Rosario 2015 · MLB	26	51→55	55→60	43→45	43	.265/.302/.451	.186	.299	24	5	21%	5%	111	+2.5	.250/.286/.405	.155	.301	17	6	23%	5%	92	+1.2	.248/.276/.403	.156	.291	20	3	23%	3%	82	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)