Yainer Diaz

C Houston Astros
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 4.203 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202425MLBHOU619.299/.329/.4411621113.7
202526MLBHOU567.256/.285/.417201922.4
202627MLBHOU361.285/.315/.4591401151.9
2027PROJ28MLBHOU383.275/.305/.4381311051.5
2028PROJ29MLBHOU445.272/.302/.4321501031.4
2029PROJ30MLBHOU445.269/.298/.424150991.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.203First FA2029
2027Arb-2$5M2028Arb-3$8M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA68
Avg EV61
Bat Spd59
Barrel%50
Speed20
Form.281/.305/.468 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .272/.300/.436
CompsYohel Pozo (age 27) · Starlin Castro (age 28) · James McCann (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 108105vR 97
AVG/OBP/SLG.275 / .305 / .438
PA383
HR13
K%17
BB%3
BABIP300
ISO159
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: +6.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +8.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +1.70+1.7WAR
0.01.12.21.71.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$12M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
xAVG
860.280
POWER50
Barrel%
508.2
Avg EV
6189.9
Bat Spd
5972.3
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED50
Sprint
2026.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%17%·16% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 17%
BB%3%▼2% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 4%
ISO.187▲.230 over 87 AB (60d) · proj .164
HR/BB4.9%·5.6% over 72 BBE (60d) · proj 4.5%
BABIP.303▲.397 over 68 BIP (60d) · proj .296
SLASH.281/.305/.468▲proj .272/.300/.436
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1266 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
314
952
—
wRC+
109
96
◀L
wOBA
329
310
◀L
ISO
160
145
◀L
BABIP
309
301
—
K%
17.8%
16.5%
▶R
BB%
4.1%
3.3%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   4.203 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$5M+1.7$14M+$8M
2028Arb-3$8M+1.4$10M+$3M
Totals $13M $24M +$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKDSL Indians — 162153 45811 3184 01 294325379704 85324 112 313 24 — — — — — —
201819 ROKAZL Indians 2 — 164155 55942 7181 10 355387503890 148393 114 390 83 — — — — — —
201920 ROKAZL Indians Red — 8882 37605 481 00 4514837071.190 256457 95 513 146 — — — — — —
202122 A+Asheville Tourists — 10596 384011 8170 20 3964427811.224 385391 168 518 160 — — — — — —
202122 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 307287 862116 15462 21 300339443781 143336 155 344 73 — — — — — —
202122 INTLLeones del Escogido — 5046 12400 3151 00 261320348668 87387 306 304 92 — — — — — —
202223 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 219201 599116 13393 10 294346587933 294291 186 400 119 — — — — — —
202223 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 267244 771339 21400 10 316370504874 189345 158 382 105 — — — — — —
202223 INTLLeones del Escogido — 3835 3000 161 00 8613586221 100 163 109 -40 — — — — — —
202324 MLBHouston Astros — 377355 10022023 11745 00 282313538851 256292 203 364 132 +14 +0 +5 +7 +8 3.5
202425 MLBHouston Astros — 619585 17529316 241072 20 299329441770 142338 174 337 111 +8 +0 +3 +11 +13 3.7
202526 MLBHouston Astros — 567542 13925120 20952 11 256285417702 161277 174 309 92 -5 -0 +6 +11 +12 2.4
202526 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2422 7101 150 00 318348500848 182353 214 358 128 — — — — — —
202627 MLBHouston Astros — 361344 9816114 12573 02 285315459774 174305 163 339 115 +6 -1 -1 +6 +8 1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 19241826 51292573 6733312 33 280310456766 176305 173 334 112 +28 -1 +13 +35 +42 12.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 162154 30510 2224 01 195225240465 45217 141 204 24 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEAZL Indians 2 — 164158 44632 4261 10 278301392693 114319 162 291 83 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Indians Red — 8884 29404 2121 00 345368536904 190355 142 384 146 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 10599 33308 5230 20 333365606971 273353 225 405 160 — — — — — —
202122 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 307292 741614 10632 21 253283356639 103301 213 276 73 — — — — — —
202223 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 219204 558113 10483 10 270313510823 240282 225 344 119 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 267251 711237 14520 10 283321438759 155325 195 324 105 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 377355 10021024 11745 00 282313544856 262292 203 363 132 +14 +0 +5 +7 +8 3.5
202425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 619586 17227316 231072 20 294322432754 138338 174 333 111 +8 +0 +3 +11 +13 3.7
202526 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 567544 13924121 18952 11 256282419701 164277 173 304 92 -5 -0 +6 +11 +12 2.4
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 361344 9715114 12573 02 282312453765 172305 163 338 115 +6 -1 -1 +6 +8 1.9
201718 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 162154 30510 2224 01 195225240465 45224 141 204 24 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWDSL Indians — 162153 45811 3184 01 294325379704 85324 112 313 24 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEAZL Indians 2 — 164158 44632 4261 10 278301392693 114323 162 291 83 — — — — — —
201819 ROK RAWAZL Indians 2 — 164155 55942 7181 10 355387503890 148393 114 390 83 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Indians Red — 8884 29404 2121 00 345368536904 190362 142 384 146 — — — — — —
201920 ROK RAWAZL Indians Red — 8882 37605 481 00 4514837071.190 256457 95 513 146 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE3 teams — 462437 11921113 18963 41 272306414720 142319 214 309 95 — — — — — —
202122 A RAW3 teams — 462429 13629117 26783 41 317360508868 191352 176 379 95 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE3 teams — 524490 13421421 251074 20 273314461775 188308 205 333 112 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAW3 teams — 524480 13922425 35854 20 290343508851 219304 167 370 112 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 377355 10021024 11745 00 282313544856 262289 203 363 132 +14 +0 +5 +7 +8 3.5
202324 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 377355 10022023 11745 00 282313538851 256292 203 364 132 +14 +0 +5 +7 +8 3.5
202425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 619586 17227316 231072 20 294322432754 138331 174 333 111 +8 +0 +3 +11 +13 3.7
202425 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 619585 17529316 241072 20 299329441770 142338 174 337 111 +8 +0 +3 +11 +13 3.7
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 591566 14325121 19992 11 253279412691 159271 173 304 92 -6 -0 +6 +11 +13 2.4
202526 MLB RAW2 teams — 591564 14626121 211002 11 259288420708 161280 174 311 92 -6 -0 +6 +11 +13 2.4
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 361344 9715114 12573 02 282312453765 172302 163 338 115 +6 -1 -1 +6 +8 1.9
202627 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 361344 9816114 12573 02 285315459774 174305 163 339 115 +6 -1 -1 +6 +8 1.9
201718 ROK MLEDSL Indians — 162155 30510 2224 01 194225239464 45217 141 204 24 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEAZL Indians 2 — 164158 44632 4261 10 278301392693 114319 162 291 83 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Indians Red — 8885 29404 2121 00 341368529897 188355 142 384 146 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE3 teams — 462438 11921113 18963 41 272306413719 142314 214 309 95 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE3 teams — 524490 13421421 251074 20 273314461775 188306 205 333 112 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 377358 10021024 11745 00 279313539852 260292 203 363 132 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 619589 17227316 231072 20 292322430752 138338 174 333 111 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 591565 14325121 19992 11 253279412692 159277 173 304 92 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 361343 9715114 12573 02 283312455767 172305 163 338 115 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 619589 17227316 231072 20 292322430752 138338 174 333 111 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 591565 14325121 19992 11 253279412692 159277 173 304 92 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 361343 9715114 12573 02 283312455767 172305 163 338 115 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEHOU 100% 470448 12320217 16793 21 272303436738 164296 173 323 105 +3 +0 -4 +8 +10 1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXHOU 100% 383365 9917113 13652 10 275305438743 163300 173 325 105 +2 +0 -3 +7 +8 1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEHOU 100% 445424 11418116 15763 00 270300430729 160294 173 320 103 +1 +0 -5 +8 +10 1.4
202930 MLB MLEHOU 100% 445424 11318115 15783 00 266296422717 155292 183 315 99 -0 +0 -5 +8 +10 1.2
203031 MLB MLEHOU 100% 426407 10717114 14762 00 262290411702 149289 183 308 95 -3 +0 -6 +8 +9 0.8
203132 MLB MLEHOU 100% 281269 701119 9511 00 256283397681 142285 183 299 89 -4 +0 -6 +5 +6 0.2
203233 MLB MLEHOU 100% 237227 56807 7451 00 248275381655 132279 193 289 81 -5 +0 -6 +4 +5 -0.2
202829 MLB CTXHOU 100% 445424 11419115 15763 00 272302432734 160298 173 322 103 +1 +0 -5 +8 +10 1.4
202930 MLB CTXHOU 100% 445424 11419115 15783 00 269298424722 155296 183 317 99 -0 +0 -5 +8 +10 1.2
203031 MLB CTXHOU 100% 426407 10818114 14762 00 264293413706 149293 183 310 95 -3 +0 -6 +8 +9 0.8
203132 MLB CTXHOU 100% 281269 701119 9511 00 258286399685 141288 183 301 89 -4 +0 -6 +5 +6 0.2
203233 MLB CTXHOU 100% 237227 57907 7451 00 251277383659 132283 193 290 81 -5 +0 -6 +4 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 37583577 9751689133 12765922 33 273302436738 164299 183 323 101 +17 -1 -15 +68 +81 15.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650619 16929223 221144 11 273303438741 165300 183 323 101 +3 -0 -3 +12 +14 2.7
Career— MLE — 55655290 142723319190 18999137 115 270300429728 159298 183 317 101 +20 -0 -18 +74 +90 16.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650618 16627222 221164 11 269298426724 157297 183 317 101 +3 -0 -3 +12 +14 2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 267 PAwOBA .374 → .324 (−51)K% 15.0% → 19.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.98%÷0.947×1.220——19.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.87%÷1.084×0.700—×1.0125.14%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP25.49%÷1.018×0.920×1.050×1.01224.48%
Doubles /BIP6.37%÷0.986×0.840×1.050×1.0125.77%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷1.044×0.940×1.050×1.0121.41%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.040×0.800—×1.0123.44%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 89, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .374 → .324; ISO .189 → .156; BABIP .345 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 219 PAwOBA .392 → .344 (−48)K% 17.8% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.81%÷0.986×1.200——21.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.94%÷0.953×0.690—×1.0484.50%
HBP% /PA1.37%—×0.940—×1.0481.35%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷0.982×0.930×1.014×1.04820.49%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.952×0.830×1.014×1.0485.14%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷0.900×0.970×1.014×1.0480.71%
Home runs /BIP9.88%÷0.917×0.700—×1.0487.90%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .392 → .344; ISO .294 → .239; BABIP .291 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 307 PAwOBA .337 → .276 (−61)K% 15.0% → 20.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.98%÷0.997×1.360——20.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.89%÷0.985×0.690—×0.9903.39%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.780—×0.9900.50%
Singles /BIP24.07%÷0.987×0.920×1.026×0.99022.79%
Doubles /BIP8.71%÷1.066×0.830×1.026×0.9906.89%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.084×0.910×1.026×0.9900.35%
Home runs /BIP2.49%÷1.176×0.800—×0.9901.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 117, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .337 → .276; ISO .143 → .102; BABIP .336 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Asheville Tourists · 105 PAwOBA .508 → .405 (−102)K% 16.2% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.19%÷0.995×1.350——21.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.62%÷1.044×0.710—×0.9985.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP29.11%÷0.983×0.910×1.050×0.99828.24%
Doubles /BIP5.06%÷1.111×0.830×1.050×0.9983.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.910×0.820×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP13.92%÷1.131×0.830—×0.99810.20%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 122, 3B 82, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .508 → .405; ISO .385 → .275; BABIP .391 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Indians Red · 88 PAwOBA .504 → .384 (−120)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.09%÷1.000×1.440——13.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.55%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9852.78%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.720—×0.9850.81%
Singles /BIP35.14%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98528.38%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9855.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP6.76%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9855.19%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .504 → .384; ISO .256 → .191; BABIP .457 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKAZL Indians 2 · 164 PAwOBA .380 → .291 (−88)K% 11.0% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.98%÷1.000×1.440——15.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.27%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9952.63%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.720—×0.9950.44%
Singles /BIP29.20%÷1.000×0.820×1.030×0.99524.54%
Doubles /BIP6.57%÷1.000×0.720×1.030×0.9954.85%
Triples /BIP2.92%÷1.000×0.720×1.030×0.9952.15%
Home runs /BIP1.46%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.13%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .380 → .291; ISO .148 → .108; BABIP .393 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 DSLDSL Indians · 162 PAwOBA .308 → .204 (−104)K% 11.1% → 13.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷1.000×1.220——13.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA1.85%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9951.29%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.700—×0.9951.72%
Singles /BIP25.93%÷1.000×0.680×1.019×0.99517.88%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.000×0.600×1.019×0.9953.61%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.600×1.019×0.9950.45%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.35%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .308 → .204; ISO .085 → .049; BABIP .324 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .