Yohel Pozo

C Memphis Redbirds

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 2.046 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	27	AAAOAK	361	.324/.341/.538	15	0	99	—	.284/.299/.445
2025	28	MLBSTL	168	.231/.263/.375	5	0	78	0.6
2026	29	AAASTL	86	.229/.256/.386	3	0	38	—	.190/.209/.298
2026	29	MLBBAL	62	.250/.262/.317	1	1	56	0.1
2027PROJ45% MLB	30	MLBSTL	56	.245/.284/.387	1	0	87	0.1
2028PROJ53% MLB	31	MLBSTL	59	.241/.279/.378	1	0	83	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.046First FA2031

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.2M2029Ext$1M2030Ext$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2026

Bat Spd49

Avg EV29

xwOBA23

Barrel%10

Speed10

CompsJason Phillips (age 30) · Curt Casali (age 30) · Francisco Cordoba (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9087vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .284 / .387

PA56

HR1

K%16

BB%5

BABIP268

ISO113

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

530.253

POWER35

Barrel%

102.4

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

4971.2

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED30

Sprint

1024.5

Platoon Splits2025 · 168 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

126

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

306

270

◀L

ISO

150

142

◀L

BABIP

294

220

◀◀L

14.3%

12.7%

▶R

BB%

2.4%

4.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2021

Service 2.046 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	221	198	54	12	0	0	11	18	7	1	0	273	333	333	667	61	295	8	5	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	218	195	53	13	0	1	17	15	3	4	3	272	340	354	693	82	286	7	8	313	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	199	181	62	12	2	1	13	10	1	1	0	343	390	448	837	105	351	5	7	367	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	142	48	8	2	2	7	8	1	0	0	338	373	465	838	127	348	5	5	372	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	428	113	29	2	10	27	50	5	0	0	264	315	411	726	147	276	11	6	320	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Down East Wood Ducks	—	419	395	97	17	0	9	15	38	3	6	2	246	278	357	635	111	249	9	4	280	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	77	74	21	4	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	284	312	378	690	95	317	13	4	309	95	-0	+0	-0	+7	+2	0.8
2021	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	324	315	106	17	2	23	7	42	1	0	0	337	353	622	975	286	331	13	2	421	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	267	253	81	21	0	6	11	32	2	0	1	320	353	474	828	154	347	12	4	365	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	369	113	26	0	18	18	40	1	2	0	306	340	523	863	217	303	10	5	375	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	346	112	27	1	15	7	30	2	0	1	324	341	538	878	214	316	8	2	378	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	168	160	37	8	0	5	7	22	0	0	0	231	263	375	638	144	239	13	4	281	78	-4	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.6
2025	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	21	21	7	3	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	333	333	762	1.095	429	294	10	0	468	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	62	60	15	1	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	250	262	317	579	67	275	15	2	255	56	-3	+0	-0	+3	+1	0.1
2026	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	86	83	19	4	0	3	3	15	0	0	0	229	256	386	641	157	246	17	3	283	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	307	294	73	13	0	7	11	41	0	1	0	248	275	364	639	116	266	13	4	283	78	-8	+0	+3	+13	+7	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	221	201	39	8	0	0	8	22	7	1	0	194	250	234	484	40	206	10	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	218	201	36	8	0	0	11	18	3	4	3	179	233	219	451	40	189	8	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	199	186	53	9	2	1	8	14	1	1	0	285	318	371	689	86	288	7	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	144	44	6	2	2	5	11	1	0	0	306	333	417	750	111	320	7	3	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	437	103	27	2	7	18	70	5	0	0	236	274	355	629	119	261	15	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	419	400	82	14	0	7	10	54	3	6	2	205	230	292	523	87	214	13	2	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	77	74	21	4	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	284	312	378	690	95	317	13	4	308	95	-0	+0	-0	+7	+2	0.8
2021	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	324	317	95	16	2	17	5	47	1	0	0	300	313	524	836	224	304	15	2	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	267	257	79	20	0	5	7	38	2	0	1	307	331	444	774	136	340	14	3	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	376	97	19	0	13	11	47	1	2	0	258	281	412	693	154	262	12	3	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	348	99	21	1	11	5	35	2	0	1	284	299	445	744	161	280	10	1	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	168	160	37	8	0	5	7	22	0	0	0	231	263	375	638	144	239	13	4	284	78	-4	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.6
2025	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	21	21	6	2	0	2	0	3	0	1	0	286	286	667	952	381	245	14	0	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	62	60	15	1	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	250	262	317	579	67	275	15	2	251	56	-3	+0	-0	+3	+1	0.1
2026	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	86	84	16	3	0	2	2	18	0	0	0	190	209	298	507	107	226	21	2	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	221	201	39	8	0	0	8	22	7	1	0	194	250	234	484	40	214	10	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	—	221	198	54	12	0	0	11	18	7	1	0	273	333	333	667	61	295	8	5	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	218	201	36	8	0	0	11	18	3	4	3	179	233	219	451	40	194	8	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	—	218	195	53	13	0	1	17	15	3	4	3	272	340	354	693	82	286	7	8	313	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	199	186	53	9	2	1	8	14	1	1	0	285	318	371	689	86	297	7	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	199	181	62	12	2	1	13	10	1	1	0	343	390	448	837	105	351	5	7	367	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	144	44	6	2	2	5	11	1	0	0	306	333	417	750	111	321	7	3	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	142	48	8	2	2	7	8	1	0	0	338	373	465	838	127	348	5	5	372	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	437	103	27	2	7	18	70	5	0	0	236	274	355	629	119	263	15	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	428	113	29	2	10	27	50	5	0	0	264	315	411	726	147	276	11	6	320	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	419	400	82	14	0	7	10	54	3	6	2	205	230	292	523	87	217	13	2	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	419	395	97	17	0	9	15	38	3	6	2	246	278	357	635	111	249	9	4	280	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	391	116	20	2	18	8	57	1	0	0	297	312	496	809	199	309	14	2	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	401	389	127	21	2	24	10	52	1	0	0	326	345	576	921	249	328	13	2	400	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	267	257	79	20	0	5	7	38	2	0	1	307	331	444	774	136	344	14	3	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	267	253	81	21	0	6	11	32	2	0	1	320	353	474	828	154	347	12	4	365	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	376	97	19	0	13	11	47	1	2	0	258	281	412	693	154	263	12	3	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	369	113	26	0	18	18	40	1	2	0	306	340	523	863	217	303	10	5	375	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	348	99	21	1	11	5	35	2	0	1	284	299	445	744	161	286	10	1	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	346	112	27	1	15	7	30	2	0	1	324	341	538	878	214	316	8	2	378	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	189	181	43	10	0	7	7	25	0	1	0	238	266	409	675	171	240	13	4	293	84	-4	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.7
2025	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	189	181	44	11	0	7	7	24	0	1	0	243	271	420	691	177	245	13	4	302	84	-4	+0	+3	+3	+4	0.7
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	148	144	31	4	0	3	3	27	0	1	0	215	231	306	537	90	243	18	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	148	143	34	5	0	4	4	24	0	1	0	238	259	357	615	119	259	16	3	271	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	221	204	39	8	0	0	8	22	7	1	0	191	250	230	480	39	206	10	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	218	202	36	8	0	0	11	18	3	4	3	178	233	218	450	40	189	8	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	199	188	53	9	2	1	8	14	1	1	0	282	318	367	685	85	288	7	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	143	44	6	2	2	5	11	1	0	0	308	333	420	753	112	320	7	3	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	465	439	103	27	2	7	18	70	5	0	0	235	274	353	627	118	261	15	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	419	403	82	14	0	7	10	54	3	6	2	203	230	290	520	87	214	13	2	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	401	389	116	20	2	18	8	57	1	0	0	298	312	499	811	201	307	14	2	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	267	256	79	20	0	5	7	38	2	0	1	309	331	445	776	137	340	14	3	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	376	97	19	0	13	11	47	1	2	0	258	281	412	693	154	262	12	3	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	351	99	21	1	11	5	35	2	0	1	282	299	442	740	160	280	10	1	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	189	180	43	10	0	7	7	25	0	1	0	239	266	411	677	172	239	13	4	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	148	144	31	4	0	3	3	27	0	1	0	215	231	306	537	90	246	18	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	361	351	99	21	1	11	5	35	2	0	1	282	299	442	740	160	280	10	1	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	189	180	43	10	0	7	7	25	0	1	0	239	266	411	677	172	239	13	4	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	148	144	31	4	0	3	3	27	0	1	0	215	231	306	537	90	246	18	2	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	STL	45%	200	188	47	9	1	6	9	32	1	1	1	245	284	391	675	146	266	16	4	297	87	-3	-0	-0	+4	+4	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	STL	45%	56	53	13	3	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	245	284	387	671	142	268	16	5	296	87	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	STL	53%	111	104	25	5	0	3	5	18	1	0	0	241	279	381	660	140	263	16	5	291	83	-2	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	STL	53%	59	56	13	3	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	241	279	378	656	136	266	17	5	290	83	-1	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	366	350	86	16	0	8	14	51	0	1	0	246	275	360	635	114	266	14	4	284	78	-9	+0	+1	+14	+8	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	622	152	28	0	14	25	91	0	2	0	244	274	357	631	113	265	14	4	284	78	-17	+0	+2	+25	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3664	3486	875	177	9	80	112	456	28	17	7	251	280	376	656	125	266	12	3	283	78	-12	+0	-0	+17	+12	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	618	155	31	2	14	20	81	5	3	1	251	280	375	655	125	267	12	3	283	78	-15	+0	-0	+21	+14	2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 86 PAwOBA .275 → .225 (−50)K% 17.4% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.44%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	20.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.49%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.049	×0.982	16.90%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.049	×0.982	5.03%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.049	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.41%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.982	3.03%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .275 → .225; ISO .157 → .112; BABIP .246 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 21 PAwOBA .453 → .363 (−90)K% 9.5% → 12.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.52%	÷0.953	×1.200	—	—	11.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.954	×0.690	—	×0.992	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	10.53%	÷0.982	×0.930	—	×0.992	9.89%
Doubles /BIP	15.79%	÷1.033	×0.830	—	×0.992	12.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.53%	÷0.869	×0.700	—	×0.992	8.42%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .453 → .363; ISO .429 → .333; BABIP .294 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 361 PAwOBA .373 → .314 (−58)K% 8.3% → 9.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.31%	÷1.022	×1.200	—	—	9.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.94%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.41%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.52%
Singles /BIP	21.84%	÷0.974	×0.930	×0.995	×1.003	20.80%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷1.088	×0.830	×0.995	×1.003	6.50%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.995	×1.003	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.75%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.33%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .373 → .314; ISO .214 → .157; BABIP .316 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 391 PAwOBA .365 → .299 (−66)K% 10.2% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.23%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	12.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.09%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.73%
HBP% /PA	0.26%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.24%
Singles /BIP	20.97%	÷0.993	×0.930	×0.978	×1.018	19.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.90%	÷1.124	×0.830	×0.978	×1.018	5.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.133	×0.970	×0.978	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.47%	÷0.996	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .365 → .299; ISO .217 → .158; BABIP .303 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 267 PAwOBA .355 → .329 (−26)K% 12.0% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.99%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	14.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.75%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×1.033	2.68%
HBP% /PA	0.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.73%
Singles /BIP	24.43%	÷0.986	×0.930	×1.029	×1.033	24.48%
Doubles /BIP	9.50%	÷0.938	×0.830	×1.029	×1.033	8.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.029	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.71%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.05%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .355 → .329; ISO .154 → .131; BABIP .347 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAARound Rock Express · 324 PAwOBA .409 → .353 (−56)K% 13.0% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.96%	÷1.072	×1.200	—	—	14.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.16%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.048	1.60%
HBP% /PA	0.31%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.30%
Singles /BIP	23.44%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.970	×1.048	22.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.23%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.970	×1.048	5.75%
Triples /BIP	0.73%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.970	×1.048	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	8.42%	÷0.958	×0.700	—	×1.048	6.45%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .409 → .353; ISO .286 → .226; BABIP .331 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 419 PAwOBA .277 → .228 (−48)K% 9.1% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.07%	÷1.002	×1.420	—	—	12.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.58%	÷0.985	×0.630	—	×1.012	2.32%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.62%
Singles /BIP	19.89%	÷1.038	×0.940	×0.950	×1.012	17.31%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.939	×0.830	×0.950	×1.012	4.05%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.800	×0.950	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.52%	÷1.152	×0.900	—	×1.012	1.99%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .277 → .228; ISO .111 → .090; BABIP .249 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AHickory Crawdads · 465 PAwOBA .315 → .273 (−42)K% 10.8% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.75%	÷0.952	×1.340	—	—	15.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.81%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.015	3.89%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.770	—	×1.015	0.84%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷0.991	×0.920	×1.007	×1.015	18.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.67%	÷0.881	×0.820	×1.007	×1.015	7.30%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.007	×1.015	0.56%
Home runs /BIP	2.65%	÷1.204	×0.820	—	×1.015	1.83%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 98, 2B 76, 3B 80, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .315 → .273; ISO .147 → .121; BABIP .276 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brayan Peñalast yr '15 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	21	6	262	303	355	+19	+37	7.1	7.1
/162	664	8	2	+7.0	+13.6	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Jerry McNertney'64-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,605 PA	2.4	1,605	27	3	243*	301*	372*	+27	+0	4.6	4.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.9	pk7: 4
#3Bill Haselman'90-'03 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,747 PA	2.6	1,747	47	9	247*	298*	398*	+25	-0	4.2	4.3
/162	664	18	3	+9.6	-0.2	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Eddie Perez'95-'05 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,651 PA	2.5	1,651	40	1	243*	285*	379*	+27	-1	2.6	3.1
/162	664	16	0	+10.7	-0.4	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	0.6	422	10	1	248	275	372	+8	+3	0.8	0.8
/162	664	16	2	+11.9	+5.5	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yohel Pozo (OGILVIE)	30	50	35	30	20	243/281/388	144	266	3	1	16%	5%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	47→57	44→45	37→30	47	233/282/351	117	253	12	3	14%	5%	78	-0.3	226/273/337	111	251	11	5	15%	5%	72	-0.7	212/256/297	85	232	8	0	13%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	235/297/355	120	288	13	3	23%	7%	85	+0.2	238/316/395	157	299	19	5	26%	9%	102	+1.5	217/309/355	139	284	17	0	28%	11%	90	+0.2
✕Francisco Cordoba 2014 · AAA	30	47→52	45	35→40	42	236/281/352	116	289	14	4	24%	5%	78	-0.3	228/278/332	104	282	11	4	22%	5%	72	-0.7	217/269/306	89	267	9	2	22%	5%	61	-0.9
✕Toby Hall 2007 · MLB	31	54→59	44→45	35→45	46	261/293/378	117	268	12	2	9%	4%	88	+0.5	241/278/351	110	259	12	4	12%	4%	76	-0.4	231/260/299	68	253	8	0	12%	3%	58	-0.4
✕Ed Easley 2016 · AAA	30	48→42	41→45	37→40	47	231/289/331	100	274	9	4	19%	7%	76	-0.4	211/271/303	92	256	9	7	20%	7%	63	-1.3	157/211/186	29	187	4	0	18%	6%	13	-1.1
✕Kevin Flores 2014 · AAA	29	52→49	42→40	35→45	43	252/291/351	99	293	10	2	18%	5%	81	-0.1	249/291/332	83	299	7	4	18%	5%	76	-0.4	248/289/316	68	304	4	2	19%	4%	70	-0.5
●James McCann 2019 · MLB	29	46→55	47→50	36→45	44	234/289/363	128	291	16	2	25%	6%	84	+0.1	255/311/414	159	328	20	5	27%	7%	104	+1.6	258/317/420	162	336	21	4	28%	7%	109	+1.1
✕Vance Wilson 2003 · MLB	30	50	47→50	40	42	249/307/382	134	289	15	5	20%	4%	95	+1.0	241/299/376	135	272	15	4	18%	5%	91	+0.7	241/293/367	127	269	14	1	16%	4%	87	+0.1
✕Iker Franco 2011 · AAA	30	46→47	46→50	37→40	50	229/285/358	129	250	14	3	16%	7%	81	-0.1	228/287/351	123	266	15	3	20%	8%	80	-0.1	222/284/336	114	261	15	1	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Yuniesky Betancourt 2012 · MLB	30	51→60	46→50	41→50	45	252/277/386	134	261	14	4	11%	3%	84	+0.1	233/261/382	149	247	17	3	14%	4%	78	-0.3	219/243/343	123	232	15	0	14%	3%	62	-0.7
✕Carlos Valencia 2010 · AAA	30	49→59	50→55	38→40	43	248/278/405	157	265	18	5	15%	4%	89	+0.5	228/262/382	154	256	17	4	19%	4%	78	-0.3	213/245/364	151	243	16	2	20%	3%	66	-0.6
✕J.R. House 2009 · MLB	29	51→59	47→50	36→30	49	255/304/392	138	275	15	3	14%	6%	96	+1.0	221/262/320	99	246	10	3	15%	5%	63	-1.3	205/240/283	77	229	8	0	14%	4%	43	-1.9
✕Bryan Holaday 2020 · MLB	32	46	45	38→40	48	230/289/352	123	258	13	4	17%	6%	82	-0.0	222/283/363	141	267	15	7	23%	7%	82	-0.0	186/238/360	174	219	21	4	27%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Said Gutierrez 2010 · AAA	30	51	45→50	42→40	44	253/294/372	119	286	13	4	17%	5%	87	+0.4	234/283/365	131	274	16	5	21%	6%	82	+0.0	223/273/347	123	257	15	3	20%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Jordy Mercer 2018 · MLB	31	50→57	46→50	37→45	50	248/302/380	132	274	14	2	16%	7%	93	+0.8	247/298/386	139	288	14	3	19%	6%	93	+0.8	247/296/379	132	299	12	1	21%	5%	90	+0.3
✕Chad Moeller 2005 · MLB	30	46	45→50	39→30	45	228/281/353	125	273	12	3	21%	6%	78	-0.3	209/263/332	123	254	14	3	23%	6%	68	-1.0	200/250/291	90	248	5	0	21%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2012 · AAA	30	44	46→45	40	45	224/284/350	126	268	14	3	22%	6%	79	-0.2	215/268/332	117	273	13	7	26%	6%	69	-0.9	207/257/302	95	280	10	3	29%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Pedro Diaz 2009 · AAA	30	54→47	43→45	40→45	47	261/311/379	118	292	10	6	15%	6%	95	+1.0	245/293/347	102	289	9	6	18%	5%	81	-0.1	237/280/323	86	285	8	3	19%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Robinzon Diaz 2014 · AAA	30	52→61	43→45	41→45	45	250/276/359	110	262	10	4	10%	4%	77	-0.3	235/261/314	79	259	6	5	12%	3%	60	-1.6	234/256/289	55	259	4	4	11%	2%	50	-0.8
✕Conor Gillaspie 2016 · MLB	29	51→58	45→50	36→40	47	252/299/386	135	288	11	2	17%	6%	93	+0.8	241/282/376	135	267	13	6	15%	5%	84	+0.1	240/273/371	131	260	12	6	13%	4%	78	-0.1

Yohel Pozo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps