Pete Alonso1B Baltimore Orioles
Age 31 R/R 6'3" / 245 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION419 act + 279 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 111119vR 139
AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .335 / .477
PA279
HR15
K%24
BB%11
BABIP273
ISO234
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +22.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+23BATRUN: -0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -12.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-12POSREP: +19.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+20REPTotal WAR: +3.20+3.2WAR
0.02.04.01.32.0-$12M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
807.9%
xwOBA
900.368
POWER60
Barrel%
9015.3
Avg EV
9092.2
Bat Spd
7373.8
EYE50
Chase%
9023.2%
SPEED35
Sprint
1025.2
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1523 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
412
1111
wRC+
105
138
▶▶R
wOBA
323
366
R
ISO
199
240
▶▶R
BABIP
272
294
R
K%
26.7%
23.0%
R
BB%
8.5%
9.2%
R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   7.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$11M+1.3$10M-$0.6M
Totals $11M $10M -$0.6M
Options · projected decision
2027PLAYER OPT$27.0M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 A+2 teams 393359 8821116 2110812 34 245309443752 198305 275 322 104
201722 A+2 teams 393353 10227118 277112 34 289360524884 235317 187 387 154
201823 AAA3 teams 686606 14636135 5720217 43 241324477800 236296 298 343 121
201823 AAA3 teams 686576 16138142 8715617 43 280390568957 288310 2313 413 174
201924 MLBNew York Mets 693597 15530253 7218321 10 260359583942 323280 2610 396 161 +48 +0 -10 -12 +20 4.6
201924 MLBNew York Mets 693597 15530253 7218321 10 260359583942 323280 2610 406 169 +54 +0 -10 -12 +20 5.2
202025 MLBNew York Mets 239208 486016 24616 10 231328490818 260242 2610 344 121 +6 +0 -5 -4 +7 0.3
202025 MLBNew York Mets 239208 486016 24616 10 231328490818 260242 2610 359 133 +9 +0 -5 -4 +7 0.6
202126 MLBNew York Mets 637561 14727337 6012712 30 262346519865 257274 209 366 139 +28 +1 -4 -11 +18 3.2
202126 MLBNew York Mets 637561 14727337 6012712 30 262346519865 257274 209 376 146 +33 +1 -4 -11 +18 3.7
202227 MLBNew York Mets 685597 16227040 6712812 51 271357518874 246279 1910 359 133 +26 +1 -10 -12 +19 2.3
202227 MLBNew York Mets 685597 16227040 6712812 51 271357518874 246279 1910 379 148 +37 +1 -10 -12 +19 3.5
202328 MLBNew York Mets 658568 12321246 6515121 41 217320504823 287205 2310 349 125 +19 +0 -6 -12 +19 2.1
202328 MLBNew York Mets 658568 12321246 6515121 41 217320504823 287205 2310 358 132 +24 +0 -6 -12 +19 2.6
202429 MLBNew York Mets 695608 14631034 7017213 30 240331459790 219276 2510 342 120 +15 +1 -12 -12 +20 1.1
202429 MLBNew York Mets 695608 14631034 7017213 30 240331459790 219276 2510 349 125 +20 +1 -12 -12 +20 1.5
202530 MLBNew York Mets 709624 17041138 6116215 12 272351524875 252305 239 370 142 +33 -1 -13 -13 +20 2.8
202530 MLBNew York Mets 709624 17041138 6116215 12 272351524875 252305 239 379 148 +38 -1 -13 -13 +20 3.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD31 MLBBAL 419361 9117021 501044 20 252349474823 222292 2512 354 129 +14 +0 +0 -7 +12 1.9
YTD31 MLBBAL 419361 9117021 501044 20 252349474823 222292 2512 361 135 +16 +0 +0 -7 +12 2.2
ROS31 MLBBAL 100% 279243 5912015 30684 10 242335477812 234273 2411 354 129 +9 +0 +0 -5 +8 1.3
ROS31 MLBBAL 100% 279243 6012015 30684 10 247339481821 235278 2411 351 126 +8 +0 +0 -5 +8 1.2
FULL31 MLBBAL 698604 15129036 801728 30 250345477822 227287 2511 353 128 +22 +1 +0 -12 +20 3.1
TOT31 MLBBAL 698604 15029036 801728 30 248344475819 227284 2511 354 129 +23 +1 +0 -12 +20 3.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBBAL 100% 660576 13526134 701639 30 234327460787 226264 2511 345 122 +17 +1 -3 -12 +19 2.2
202833 MLBBAL 100% 589514 11722129 621498 20 228320444764 216257 2511 336 116 +10 +0 -4 -11 +17 1.3
202934 MLBBAL 100% 540471 10419126 571407 10 221314431745 210248 2611 326 107 +4 +0 -5 -10 +15 0.6
202732 MLBBAL 100% 660576 13827135 701639 30 240331472804 233269 2511 342 120 +15 +1 -3 -12 +19 1.9
202833 MLBBAL 100% 589514 12023130 621498 20 233325457783 224262 2511 333 113 +9 +0 -4 -11 +17 1.2
202934 MLBBAL 100% 540471 10519027 571407 10 223316435751 212253 2611 322 104 +3 +0 -5 -10 +15 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 63845567 137426410371 6381504128 254 247338498836 251268 2410 361 134 +249 +3 -72 -114 +181 25.2
/ 162G 650567 14027138 6515313 30 247338499837 252268 2410 361 134 +25 +1 -7 -12 +18 2.6
Career 74636532 160031913419 7161814157 3211 245334490824 245271 2410 352 128 +233 +2 -72 -133 +211 24.6
/ 162G 650569 13928136 6215814 31 244333487820 243272 2410 352 128 +20 +0 -6 -12 +18 2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201722 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 4745 14412 270 00 311340578918 267333 154 397 162 +3 +0 +1 0.5
201722 A+St. Lucie Mets 346308 8823016 256412 34 286362516879 231314 187 386 153 +21 -1 +10 3.0
201823 AAALas Vegas 51s 301258 6719121 33787 01 260359585944 326284 2611 403 167 +23 -0 +9 3.1
201823 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 273220 6912015 43508 02 3144435731.016 259344 1816 441 196 +30 -1 +8 3.7
201823 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 11298 25706 11282 40 255342510853 255292 2510 370 142 +5 +1 +3 0.9
201924 MLBNew York Mets 693597 15530253 7218321 10 260359583942 323280 2610 406 169 +54 +0 -10 -12 +20 5.2
202025 MLBNew York Mets 239208 486016 24616 10 231328490818 260242 2610 359 133 +9 +0 -5 -4 +7 0.6
202126 MLBNew York Mets 637561 14727337 6012712 30 262346519865 257274 209 376 146 +33 +1 -4 -11 +18 3.7
202227 MLBNew York Mets 685597 16227040 6712812 51 271357518874 246279 1910 379 148 +37 +1 -10 -12 +19 3.5
202328 MLBNew York Mets 658568 12321246 6515121 41 217320504823 287205 2310 358 132 +24 +0 -6 -12 +19 2.6
202429 MLBNew York Mets 695608 14631034 7017213 30 240331459790 219276 2510 349 125 +20 +1 -12 -12 +20 1.5
202530 MLBNew York Mets 709624 17041138 6116215 12 272351524875 252305 239 379 148 +38 -1 -13 -13 +20 3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 43163763 9511838264 419984100 184 253343516859 263270 2310 373 144 +214 +2 -61 -77 +122 20.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mark Teixeiralast yr '16
AS×3GG×5SS×3
career totals — 14 seasons, 8,029 PA
148,02940926268360509-143-7442.038.0
/162664342-11.9-6.13.5pk7: 34
#2Paul Konerkolast yr '14
career totals — 15 seasons, 8,694 PA
158,6944088280356490-133-12536.732.4
/162664311-10.2-9.52.8pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons
127,21641028247334495-129-13033.529.9
/162664383-11.9-12.03.1pk7: 26
#3Adam Dunnlast yr '14
career totals — 14 seasons, 8,328 PA
148,32846263237364490-110-20831.728.9
/162664375-8.8-16.62.5pk7: 26
#4Ryan Howardlast yr '16
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,489 PA
126,48938012258344515-116-14421.823.4
/162664391-11.9-14.72.2pk7: 25
#5Richie Sexsonlast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,885 PA
94,88526410260348503-64-7621.423.0
/162664361-8.8-10.32.9pk7: 25
#6José Abreulast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 6,220 PA
116,22026311283345488-111-10319.920.2
/162664281-11.9-11.02.1pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Pete Alonso (OGILVIE) 31 55 60 35 50 248/344/475 227284 363 25% 11% 129 +3.2
Hunter Renfroe
2023 · MLB
31 45→47 63→70 41→45 48 251/312/486 235275 333 23% 8% 124 +3.4 237/301/419 182272 233 22% 8% 102 +1.8 225/292/38716226019121%8%88+0.6
Lucas Duda
2017 · MLB
31 46→54 60→65 39→30 54 246/339/465 219281 283 23% 11% 130 +3.8 228/313/450 222274 292 28% 10% 116 +2.8 214/300/43121825829129%9%100+1.1
C.J. Cron
2021 · MLB
31 46→53 62→60 43→40 46 251/320/483 232281 313 24% 7% 128 +3.6 236/313/422 186277 242 23% 9% 108 +2.3 231/306/41017927123024%8%97+1.2
Jesús Aguilar
2021 · MLB
31 50 57→65 40 55 260/342/458 198296 262 22% 11% 129 +3.7 248/313/415 167286 222 21% 8% 105 +2.1 241/303/39515428121022%8%93+0.9
Justin Smoak
2018 · MLB
31 46→53 63→65 42→30 55 253/337/486 233284 322 24% 11% 134 +4.1 235/340/448 213274 272 24% 13% 125 +3.5 220/336/42520625726025%14%115+1.9
Chris Colabello
2014 · MLB
30 49→59 60 41→40 44 262/322/479 216315 293 27% 7% 127 +3.6 253/304/423 170328 223 29% 6% 105 +2.1 244/293/39314832319130%6%89+0.6
Ryan Ludwick
2009 · MLB
31 51→56 63→65 39→45 48 271/341/514 243319 305 25% 8% 144 +4.8 262/332/452 190305 234 22% 9% 124 +3.4 252/327/43017829421022%9%111+2.2
Robert Saucedo
2007 · AAA
31 51→57 62→65 41→40 49 276/327/498 222276 325 15% 6% 134 +4.1 267/311/469 202272 274 14% 5% 120 +3.1 273/316/47320027527213%5%121+2.3
Michael Morse
2013 · MLB
31 56→59 59→60 38→45 43 289/337/497 208333 282 22% 6% 137 +4.3 258/313/434 176321 212 26% 6% 111 +2.5 247/309/41116431819027%7%101+1.1
Jorge Soler
2023 · MLB
31 41→51 58→70 37→45 52 225/313/428 203267 262 27% 10% 110 +2.4 243/332/466 223287 292 25% 11% 127 +3.6 241/333/46422328429126%11%124+2.7
Avisaíl García
2022 · MLB
31 50→60 58→60 43→50 47 265/333/465 200308 279 24% 8% 128 +3.6 233/290/384 151301 209 29% 6% 89 +0.9 216/268/33311729515831%5%63-0.4
Brandon Drury
2023 · MLB
30 49→54 59→65 40 45 258/312/472 214296 273 23% 6% 121 +3.2 232/293/404 172280 213 25% 7% 95 +1.4 211/277/35814725818125%7%74-0.0
Luke Voit
2021 · MLB
30 50→56 63→60 44→30 52 266/350/497 231310 322 25% 10% 143 +4.7 239/322/440 201312 273 31% 9% 117 +2.9 223/313/40918730325233%10%102+1.2
Chris Davis
2017 · MLB
31 40→50 64→70 41→40 53 225/329/459 234281 333 32% 12% 124 +3.4 198/290/373 175277 253 36% 11% 86 +0.8 180/270/33015025922138%10%63-0.7
Ty Wigginton
2009 · MLB
31 53→55 59→60 38→50 49 277/337/486 209299 275 18% 7% 135 +4.2 253/313/412 159278 194 17% 7% 105 +2.1 238/300/37814126317417%7%87+0.7
Willson Contreras
2023 · MLB
31 46→56 57→60 43→45 51 241/343/444 203284 256 24% 10% 127 +3.6 256/352/454 198309 247 24% 10% 133 +4.0 262/360/47020832525526%10%136+3.1
Jay Bruce
2019 · MLB
32 46→54 58→65 41→50 52 244/316/454 210273 264 22% 10% 118 +3.0 224/286/456 232245 314 24% 8% 106 +2.2 206/255/49228719543124%6%101+0.7
Mark Trumbo
2017 · MLB
31 46→52 63→65 46→45 46 253/308/480 227286 323 25% 7% 121 +3.2 240/295/426 186283 263 25% 7% 102 +1.8 235/290/39616127823125%7%89+0.8
Joc Pederson
2023 · MLB
31 49→53 61→70 43→55 50 260/337/483 223300 295 24% 9% 134 +4.1 250/351/454 204290 255 22% 12% 132 +4.0 233/347/42419226824522%12%118+1.9
Cyle Hankerd
2016 · AAA
31 48→49 58→60 43→45 41 254/320/458 204297 276 24% 5% 121 +3.2 248/324/422 174295 214 23% 6% 113 +2.6 240/322/39815729819125%7%105+1.2