Evan Gattis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | AAHOU | 42 | .375/.405/.800 | 5 | 0 | 141 | — | .293/.310/.561 | |
| 2016 | 29 | MLBHOU | 499 | .251/.322/.508 | 32 | 2 | 124 | 4.4 | ||
| 2017 | 30 | MLBHOU | 325 | .263/.314/.457 | 12 | 0 | 112 | 2.2 | ||
| 2018 | 31 | MLBHOU | 451 | .226/.289/.452 | 25 | 1 | 101 | 1.9 | ||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 242 | 222 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 342 | 387 | 729 | 99 | 341 | 18 | 2 | 328 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A | Rome Braves | — | 377 | 338 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 25 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 322 | 388 | 601 | 988 | 278 | 328 | 14 | 7 | 426 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 182 | 47 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 345 | 522 | 867 | 264 | 262 | 14 | 10 | 376 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 94 | 78 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 385 | 478 | 821 | 1.299 | 436 | 356 | 13 | 11 | 535 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 219 | 195 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 303 | 370 | 595 | 965 | 292 | 283 | 14 | 7 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 382 | 354 | 86 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 293 | 480 | 773 | 237 | 255 | 21 | 5 | 335 | 112 | +5 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 22 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 364 | 667 | 1.030 | 333 | 375 | 18 | 0 | 444 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 401 | 369 | 97 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 97 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 318 | 493 | 812 | 230 | 298 | 24 | 5 | 354 | 127 | +13 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 3.3 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 188 | 188 | 375 | 333 | 44 | 0 | 170 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 566 | 139 | 20 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 287 | 463 | 750 | 217 | 264 | 20 | 5 | 325 | 103 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 499 | 447 | 112 | 19 | 0 | 32 | 43 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 322 | 508 | 830 | 257 | 273 | 25 | 9 | 359 | 124 | +14 | +0 | +9 | +10 | +11 | 4.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 42 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 405 | 800 | 1.205 | 425 | 323 | 10 | 2 | 515 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 325 | 300 | 79 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 314 | 457 | 770 | 193 | 278 | 15 | 6 | 337 | 112 | +5 | -0 | +4 | +6 | +7 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 451 | 407 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 25 | 33 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 289 | 452 | 741 | 226 | 232 | 22 | 7 | 320 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2662 | 2443 | 605 | 116 | 12 | 139 | 167 | 575 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 248 | 303 | 476 | 778 | 228 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 338 | 115 | +47 | -1 | +20 | +32 | +58 | 15.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 242 | 224 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 272 | 26 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 377 | 348 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 273 | 324 | 520 | 844 | 247 | 282 | 19 | 4 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 191 | 45 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 291 | 471 | 762 | 236 | 245 | 18 | 5 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 94 | 83 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 325 | 391 | 711 | 1.102 | 386 | 298 | 19 | 5 | 461 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 382 | 358 | 87 | 20 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 81 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 285 | 492 | 777 | 249 | 255 | 21 | 4 | 334 | 112 | +5 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +8 | 2.6 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 22 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 318 | 571 | 890 | 286 | 326 | 23 | 0 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 401 | 372 | 98 | 16 | 1 | 24 | 19 | 97 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 313 | 505 | 819 | 242 | 298 | 24 | 5 | 356 | 127 | +13 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 3.3 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 16 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 250 | 304 | 56 | 0 | 124 | -30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 569 | 139 | 19 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 282 | 464 | 746 | 220 | 264 | 20 | 4 | 320 | 103 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 499 | 453 | 112 | 18 | 0 | 33 | 37 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 310 | 506 | 815 | 258 | 273 | 25 | 7 | 351 | 124 | +14 | +0 | +9 | +10 | +11 | 4.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 42 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 310 | 561 | 870 | 268 | 268 | 12 | 0 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 325 | 300 | 78 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 311 | 450 | 761 | 190 | 278 | 15 | 6 | 334 | 112 | +5 | -0 | +4 | +6 | +7 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 451 | 409 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 26 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 284 | 455 | 739 | 230 | 232 | 22 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 23 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 242 | 224 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 280 | 26 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 242 | 222 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 342 | 387 | 729 | 99 | 341 | 18 | 2 | 328 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 377 | 348 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 273 | 324 | 520 | 844 | 247 | 289 | 19 | 4 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 377 | 338 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 25 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 322 | 388 | 601 | 988 | 278 | 328 | 14 | 7 | 426 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 520 | 473 | 124 | 31 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 94 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 262 | 321 | 548 | 869 | 285 | 265 | 18 | 5 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 520 | 455 | 136 | 29 | 4 | 34 | 46 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 299 | 379 | 604 | 984 | 305 | 287 | 14 | 9 | 420 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 379 | 93 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 86 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 287 | 496 | 783 | 251 | 254 | 21 | 4 | 335 | 113 | +6 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 2.7 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 404 | 375 | 93 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 21 | 85 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 297 | 491 | 787 | 243 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 341 | 113 | +6 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 2.7 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 388 | 100 | 16 | 1 | 24 | 19 | 106 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 306 | 490 | 796 | 232 | 292 | 25 | 5 | 347 | 121 | +10 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 3.1 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 417 | 385 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 104 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 313 | 481 | 794 | 221 | 299 | 25 | 5 | 347 | 121 | +10 | +0 | +4 | +7 | +9 | 3.1 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 569 | 139 | 19 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 282 | 464 | 746 | 220 | 260 | 20 | 4 | 320 | 103 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 566 | 139 | 20 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 287 | 463 | 750 | 217 | 264 | 20 | 5 | 325 | 103 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 494 | 124 | 20 | 0 | 36 | 37 | 132 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 310 | 510 | 820 | 259 | 266 | 24 | 7 | 353 | 125 | +16 | +0 | +9 | +10 | +12 | 4.7 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 541 | 487 | 127 | 21 | 0 | 37 | 44 | 131 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 328 | 532 | 860 | 271 | 278 | 24 | 8 | 371 | 125 | +16 | +0 | +9 | +10 | +12 | 4.7 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 325 | 300 | 78 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 311 | 450 | 761 | 190 | 274 | 15 | 6 | 334 | 112 | +5 | -0 | +4 | +6 | +7 | 2.2 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 325 | 300 | 79 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 314 | 457 | 770 | 193 | 278 | 15 | 6 | 337 | 112 | +5 | -0 | +4 | +6 | +7 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 451 | 409 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 26 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 284 | 455 | 739 | 230 | 228 | 22 | 7 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 451 | 407 | 92 | 17 | 0 | 25 | 33 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 289 | 452 | 741 | 226 | 232 | 22 | 7 | 320 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2010 | 23 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 242 | 224 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 62 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 272 | 26 | 2 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 377 | 348 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 273 | 324 | 520 | 844 | 247 | 282 | 19 | 4 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 520 | 474 | 124 | 31 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 94 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 262 | 321 | 546 | 867 | 285 | 262 | 18 | 5 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 404 | 379 | 93 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 86 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 287 | 496 | 783 | 251 | 259 | 21 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 417 | 387 | 100 | 16 | 1 | 24 | 19 | 106 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 306 | 491 | 797 | 233 | 298 | 25 | 5 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 604 | 569 | 139 | 19 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 282 | 464 | 746 | 220 | 264 | 20 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 494 | 124 | 20 | 0 | 36 | 37 | 132 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 310 | 510 | 820 | 259 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 325 | 300 | 78 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 311 | 450 | 761 | 190 | 278 | 15 | 6 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 451 | 414 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 26 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 284 | 449 | 734 | 227 | 232 | 22 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2662 | 2443 | 605 | 116 | 12 | 139 | 167 | 575 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 248 | 303 | 476 | 778 | 228 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 338 | 112 | +47 | -1 | +20 | +32 | +58 | 15.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 148 | 28 | 3 | 34 | 41 | 140 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 303 | 476 | 779 | 228 | 266 | 22 | 6 | 338 | 112 | +11 | -0 | +5 | +8 | +14 | 3.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3881 | 3584 | 893 | 172 | 21 | 204 | 196 | 823 | 64 | 8 | 10 | 249 | 300 | 480 | 780 | 230 | 266 | 21 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +47 | -1 | +20 | +32 | +58 | 15.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 150 | 29 | 4 | 34 | 33 | 138 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 301 | 482 | 783 | 232 | 267 | 21 | 5 | 334 | 112 | +11 | -0 | +5 | +8 | +14 | 3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 42 PAwOBA .494 → .377 (−117)K% 9.5% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.055 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.017 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.89% | ÷1.196 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 8.81% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 111, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .494 → .377; ISO .425 → .281; BABIP .323 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 16 PAwOBA .165 → .124 (−41)K% 43.8% → 53.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.75% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 53.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 30.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.120 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .165 → .124; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGwinnett Braves · 22 PAwOBA .430 → .361 (−69)K% 18.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 4.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 10.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 20.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.949 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 5.22% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .430 → .361; ISO .333 → .276; BABIP .375 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAMississippi Braves · 207 PAwOBA .366 → .325 (−40)K% 14.0% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.01% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷1.114 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 12.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.50% | ÷0.987 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 2.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.852 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.46% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 93, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .366 → .325; ISO .264 → .255; BABIP .262 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 94 PAwOBA .528 → .461 (−66)K% 12.8% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.77% | ÷0.944 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.021 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 3.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷0.994 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 18.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 8.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.905 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 13.13% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .528 → .461; ISO .436 → .412; BABIP .356 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ARome Braves · 377 PAwOBA .415 → .350 (−65)K% 14.1% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.06% | ÷0.978 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.37% | ÷1.026 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 3.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.40% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.970 | 18.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷0.969 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.970 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×0.970 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.72% | ÷0.831 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 7.39% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .415 → .350; ISO .278 → .251; BABIP .328 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKDanville Braves · 242 PAwOBA .322 → .236 (−86)K% 18.2% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.955 | 1.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.96% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.955 | 3.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.021 | ×0.955 | 23.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.955 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.021 | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.955 | 1.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .322 → .236; ISO .099 → .069; BABIP .341 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .