Brandon Drury
2B Omaha Storm Chasers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | AAALAA | 25 | .263/.440/.263 | 0 | 0 | 74 | — | .190/.320/.190 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLBLAA | 360 | .169/.244/.228 | 4 | 1 | 36 | -2.0 | |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA/ROKLAA | 228 | .214/.338/.323 | 3 | 0 | 37 | — | .157/.246/.230 |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA/ROKKC | 241 | .241/.373/.387 | 6 | 2 | 56 | — | .182/.274/.276 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 34 | MLBKC | 17 | .206/.289/.315 | 0 | 0 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ | 35 | MLBKC | 138 | .195/.277/.292 | 2 | 0 | 65 | -0.8 |
Tools · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 207 | 192 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 198 | 249 | 292 | 540 | 94 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 244 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 278 | 265 | 92 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 347 | 371 | 525 | 895 | 177 | 373 | 13 | 2 | 390 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | — | 480 | 445 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 74 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 229 | 273 | 333 | 606 | 103 | 259 | 15 | 4 | 269 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 583 | 526 | 159 | 51 | 4 | 15 | 47 | 92 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 302 | 365 | 500 | 865 | 198 | 340 | 16 | 8 | 378 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 116 | 105 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 351 | 476 | 827 | 181 | 321 | 16 | 6 | 360 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 478 | 430 | 129 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 76 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 300 | 368 | 519 | 886 | 219 | 326 | 16 | 9 | 388 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 109 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 312 | 375 | 687 | 156 | 250 | 19 | 12 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 59 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 254 | 375 | 629 | 161 | 217 | 14 | 3 | 279 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 276 | 251 | 83 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 331 | 387 | 458 | 845 | 127 | 375 | 13 | 8 | 375 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 291 | 273 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 278 | 311 | 370 | 681 | 92 | 312 | 14 | 4 | 301 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 499 | 461 | 130 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 331 | 458 | 789 | 176 | 327 | 20 | 6 | 346 | 112 | +7 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 154 | 7 | 7 | 167 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 480 | 445 | 119 | 37 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 318 | 447 | 765 | 180 | 320 | 21 | 6 | 337 | 105 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +2 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 86 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 256 | 260 | 516 | 91 | 214 | 23 | 8 | 242 | 50 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 235 | 199 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 291 | 400 | 442 | 842 | 151 | 390 | 25 | 14 | 380 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 25 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 417 | 421 | 838 | 158 | 444 | 40 | 20 | 368 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 447 | 418 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 380 | 644 | 163 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -12 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 188 | 174 | 361 | 22 | 184 | 18 | 4 | 165 | -2 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 88 | 84 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 307 | 476 | 783 | 202 | 328 | 25 | 3 | 344 | 124 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 236 | 214 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 321 | 449 | 769 | 192 | 291 | 21 | 8 | 338 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 568 | 518 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 28 | 38 | 126 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 263 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 230 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 355 | 129 | +19 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 523 | 485 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 26 | 25 | 136 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 309 | 497 | 806 | 235 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 349 | 123 | +14 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 360 | 325 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 81 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 244 | 228 | 471 | 58 | 210 | 22 | 8 | 221 | 36 | -27 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 25 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 440 | 263 | 703 | 357 | 20 | 20 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 201 | 172 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 333 | 331 | 665 | 110 | 276 | 21 | 12 | 309 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 27 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 370 | 250 | 620 | 100 | 200 | 19 | 26 | 310 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 212 | 177 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 354 | 362 | 715 | 136 | 299 | 26 | 16 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | ROK | ACL Royals | — | 29 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 364 | 517 | 591 | 1.108 | 227 | 500 | 24 | 24 | 485 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3159 | 2915 | 713 | 170 | 9 | 109 | 188 | 718 | 34 | 5 | 8 | 245 | 298 | 421 | 719 | 177 | 286 | 23 | 6 | 317 | 100 | +2 | -2 | +3 | +8 | +68 | 8.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 207 | 196 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 143 | 180 | 209 | 390 | 66 | 202 | 35 | 2 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 278 | 268 | 73 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 272 | 291 | 403 | 694 | 131 | 304 | 18 | 1 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 480 | 451 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 110 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 191 | 227 | 275 | 502 | 84 | 230 | 23 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 583 | 544 | 135 | 39 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 132 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 292 | 408 | 700 | 160 | 297 | 23 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 116 | 107 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 325 | 458 | 783 | 178 | 309 | 20 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 478 | 445 | 112 | 29 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 98 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 252 | 300 | 416 | 716 | 164 | 293 | 21 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 59 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 254 | 375 | 629 | 161 | 217 | 14 | 3 | 272 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 276 | 256 | 76 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 297 | 343 | 398 | 742 | 102 | 349 | 17 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 291 | 277 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 256 | 280 | 336 | 615 | 79 | 295 | 18 | 2 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 499 | 463 | 127 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 29 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 321 | 443 | 764 | 168 | 327 | 20 | 6 | 334 | 112 | +7 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 143 | 343 | 138 | 7 | 7 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 480 | 446 | 116 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 310 | 433 | 742 | 173 | 320 | 21 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +2 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 86 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 256 | 260 | 516 | 91 | 214 | 23 | 8 | 242 | 50 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 235 | 211 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 336 | 384 | 720 | 123 | 365 | 30 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 375 | 400 | 775 | 150 | 436 | 48 | 16 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 447 | 418 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 380 | 644 | 163 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -12 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 188 | 174 | 361 | 22 | 184 | 18 | 4 | 165 | -2 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 88 | 84 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 307 | 476 | 783 | 202 | 328 | 25 | 3 | 352 | 124 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 236 | 220 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 265 | 359 | 624 | 141 | 262 | 26 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 568 | 518 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 38 | 126 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 266 | 326 | 494 | 820 | 228 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 358 | 129 | +19 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 523 | 485 | 127 | 31 | 3 | 25 | 25 | 136 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 231 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 350 | 123 | +14 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 360 | 325 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 81 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 244 | 228 | 471 | 58 | 210 | 22 | 8 | 222 | 36 | -27 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 190 | 510 | 307 | 24 | 12 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 201 | 180 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 254 | 244 | 498 | 78 | 221 | 25 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 27 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 185 | 125 | 310 | 42 | 142 | 26 | 11 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 212 | 189 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 264 | 259 | 523 | 85 | 246 | 31 | 10 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals | — | 29 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 345 | 400 | 745 | 160 | 365 | 34 | 14 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 207 | 196 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 143 | 180 | 209 | 390 | 66 | 211 | 35 | 2 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 207 | 192 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 198 | 249 | 292 | 540 | 94 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 244 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 278 | 268 | 73 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 272 | 291 | 403 | 694 | 131 | 312 | 18 | 1 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 278 | 265 | 92 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 347 | 371 | 525 | 895 | 177 | 373 | 13 | 2 | 390 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 480 | 451 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 110 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 191 | 227 | 275 | 502 | 84 | 238 | 23 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 480 | 445 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 74 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 229 | 273 | 333 | 606 | 103 | 259 | 15 | 4 | 269 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 583 | 544 | 135 | 39 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 132 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 292 | 408 | 700 | 160 | 300 | 23 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 583 | 526 | 159 | 51 | 4 | 15 | 47 | 92 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 302 | 365 | 500 | 865 | 198 | 340 | 16 | 8 | 378 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 703 | 656 | 169 | 43 | 1 | 21 | 36 | 144 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 303 | 422 | 726 | 165 | 299 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 703 | 631 | 181 | 46 | 2 | 26 | 61 | 116 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 287 | 356 | 490 | 846 | 203 | 314 | 17 | 9 | 371 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 626 | 589 | 159 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 106 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 270 | 305 | 367 | 672 | 97 | 316 | 17 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 626 | 580 | 171 | 43 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 84 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 295 | 339 | 409 | 748 | 114 | 331 | 13 | 5 | 331 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 477 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 316 | 432 | 748 | 164 | 308 | 20 | 6 | 329 | 109 | +5 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 514 | 475 | 132 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 327 | 448 | 776 | 171 | 320 | 20 | 6 | 341 | 109 | +5 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 480 | 446 | 116 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 310 | 433 | 742 | 173 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +2 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 480 | 445 | 119 | 37 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 318 | 447 | 765 | 180 | 320 | 21 | 6 | 337 | 105 | +3 | -0 | +7 | +2 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 308 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 102 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 319 | 354 | 673 | 117 | 333 | 29 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 346 | 295 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 365 | 393 | 758 | 136 | 343 | 25 | 13 | 345 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 447 | 418 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 380 | 644 | 163 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -12 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 447 | 418 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 380 | 644 | 163 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -12 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 188 | 174 | 361 | 22 | 184 | 18 | 4 | 165 | -2 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 49 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 188 | 174 | 361 | 22 | 184 | 18 | 4 | 165 | -2 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 304 | 71 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 276 | 391 | 668 | 158 | 286 | 26 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 298 | 78 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 317 | 456 | 773 | 195 | 301 | 22 | 7 | 339 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 568 | 518 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 38 | 126 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 266 | 326 | 494 | 820 | 228 | 301 | 22 | 7 | 358 | 129 | +19 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | — | 568 | 518 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 28 | 38 | 126 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 263 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 230 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 355 | 129 | +19 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 523 | 485 | 127 | 31 | 3 | 25 | 25 | 136 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 231 | 310 | 26 | 5 | 350 | 123 | +14 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Angels | — | 523 | 485 | 127 | 30 | 3 | 26 | 25 | 136 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 309 | 497 | 806 | 235 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 349 | 123 | +14 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +11 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 346 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 87 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 249 | 225 | 474 | 55 | 213 | 23 | 8 | 225 | 39 | -28 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 344 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 86 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 257 | 230 | 486 | 55 | 218 | 22 | 8 | 230 | 39 | -28 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 204 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 250 | 240 | 490 | 78 | 217 | 26 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 192 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 338 | 323 | 661 | 109 | 268 | 21 | 14 | 309 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 215 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 270 | 274 | 544 | 93 | 259 | 32 | 10 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 241 | 199 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 62 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 373 | 387 | 760 | 146 | 321 | 26 | 17 | 349 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 207 | 196 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 143 | 180 | 209 | 390 | 66 | 202 | 35 | 2 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 278 | 269 | 73 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 271 | 291 | 401 | 692 | 130 | 304 | 18 | 1 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 480 | 456 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 110 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 189 | 227 | 272 | 499 | 83 | 230 | 23 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 583 | 544 | 135 | 39 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 132 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 292 | 408 | 700 | 160 | 297 | 23 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 703 | 654 | 169 | 43 | 1 | 21 | 36 | 144 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 303 | 424 | 727 | 165 | 296 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 626 | 591 | 159 | 37 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 106 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 269 | 305 | 365 | 671 | 96 | 311 | 17 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 476 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 316 | 433 | 748 | 164 | 321 | 20 | 6 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 480 | 445 | 116 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 310 | 434 | 743 | 173 | 320 | 21 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 306 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 102 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 239 | 319 | 356 | 675 | 118 | 333 | 29 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 447 | 418 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 380 | 644 | 163 | 259 | 25 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 49 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 188 | 170 | 358 | 21 | 184 | 18 | 4 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 303 | 71 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 276 | 393 | 669 | 158 | 280 | 26 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 568 | 517 | 138 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 38 | 126 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 267 | 326 | 495 | 821 | 228 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 358 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 523 | 485 | 127 | 31 | 3 | 25 | 25 | 136 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 309 | 493 | 802 | 231 | 308 | 26 | 5 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 346 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 87 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 249 | 225 | 474 | 55 | 216 | 23 | 8 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 202 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 79 | 212 | 26 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 213 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 270 | 277 | 547 | 94 | 260 | 32 | 10 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 346 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 87 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 249 | 225 | 474 | 55 | 216 | 23 | 8 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 202 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 79 | 212 | 26 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 213 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 270 | 277 | 547 | 94 | 260 | 32 | 10 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB MLE | KC | 10% | 280 | 249 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 291 | 322 | 614 | 113 | 270 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB CTX | KC | 10% | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 315 | 604 | 109 | 268 | 24 | 12 | 276 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 35 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 138 | 123 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 279 | 299 | 578 | 101 | 259 | 27 | 9 | 265 | 65 | -6 | +0 | -6 | +0 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 138 | 123 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 277 | 292 | 569 | 97 | 257 | 27 | 9 | 261 | 65 | -6 | +0 | -6 | +0 | +3 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3297 | 3038 | 737 | 175 | 9 | 111 | 200 | 755 | 36 | 5 | 8 | 243 | 297 | 416 | 713 | 173 | 285 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 84 | -4 | -2 | -3 | +8 | +71 | 7.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 146 | 35 | 2 | 22 | 39 | 149 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 298 | 419 | 717 | 175 | 286 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 84 | -1 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7294 | 6748 | 1588 | 374 | 21 | 181 | 408 | 1691 | 81 | 28 | 29 | 235 | 287 | 377 | 664 | 142 | 286 | 23 | 6 | 292 | 84 | -9 | -2 | -3 | +9 | +75 | 7.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 141 | 33 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 151 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 285 | 376 | 661 | 141 | 285 | 23 | 6 | 292 | 84 | -2 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 212 PAwOBA .321 → .241 (−79)K% 25.9% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 9.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 18.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .321 → .241; ISO .136 → .096; BABIP .299 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Royals · 29 PAwOBA .465 → .327 (−139)K% 24.1% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 12.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 25.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.89% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (14.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .465 → .327; ISO .227 → .166; BABIP .500 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 201 PAwOBA .301 → .227 (−74)K% 20.9% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.90% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.44% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×0.942 | 16.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.942 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×0.942 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .301 → .227; ISO .110 → .079; BABIP .276 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Angels · 27 PAwOBA .289 → .185 (−104)K% 18.5% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.082 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 11.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 5.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 9.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.134 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.873 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (13.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .289 → .185; ISO .100 → .074; BABIP .200 → .142. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 25 PAwOBA .343 → .278 (−65)K% 20.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 13.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 3.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 30.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.141 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .343 → .278; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .357 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 236 PAwOBA .331 → .266 (−65)K% 20.8% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.76% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.05% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.982 | 17.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷0.897 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.982 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 79, 3B 97, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .331 → .266; ISO .192 → .142; BABIP .291 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 235 PAwOBA .368 → .317 (−50)K% 24.7% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.66% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 26.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 8.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .368 → .317; ISO .151 → .129; BABIP .390 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATrenton Thunder · 25 PAwOBA .374 → .318 (−56)K% 40.0% → 48.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 14.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 44.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 8.28% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 89, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .374 → .318; ISO .158 → .121; BABIP .444 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).