Christian Walker

Christian Walker1B Houston Astros

Age 35 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 7.721 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION400 act + 266 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 114117vR 125

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .321 / .469

PA266

HR13

K%24

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO222

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 53 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT53

Whiff%

5910.0%

xwOBA

650.325

POWER54

Barrel%

7812.3

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

7573.9

EYE54

Chase%

9023.2%

SPEED36

Sprint

1725.9

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1302 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

319

983

—

wRC+

101

117

▶R

wOBA

318

339

▶R

ISO

146

220

▶▶R

BABIP

318

279

◀L

25.1%

25.3%

—

BB%

7.8%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 7.721 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$8M	+0.9	$4M	-$4M
2027	Ext	$20M	+1.1	$8M	-$10M
Totals		$28M		$12M	-$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	A+	3 teams	—	439	408	104	22	0	7	19	97	7	2	3	255	300	360	660	105	314	22	4	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A+	3 teams	—	439	393	118	27	0	11	34	67	7	2	3	300	366	453	819	153	334	15	8	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	3 teams	—	618	572	145	24	2	26	35	176	5	2	1	253	302	439	741	185	316	28	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	3 teams	—	618	550	156	26	2	27	57	141	5	2	1	284	356	485	842	202	332	23	9	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	592	554	116	27	1	12	29	177	6	1	3	209	256	327	583	117	283	30	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	592	534	137	33	1	18	49	136	6	1	3	257	326	423	749	167	311	23	8	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	552	519	119	22	1	26	25	171	4	1	3	229	270	426	696	197	285	31	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	552	504	133	29	2	18	40	138	4	1	3	264	323	437	760	173	327	25	7	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	2 teams	—	607	547	119	22	5	23	42	165	8	5	2	218	283	402	685	185	260	27	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	2 teams	—	607	526	162	35	9	34	62	109	8	5	2	308	389	603	991	295	326	18	10	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	412	383	76	17	2	15	19	135	5	2	0	198	246	371	616	172	256	33	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	2 teams	—	412	373	105	27	4	21	29	108	5	2	0	282	342	544	886	263	337	26	7	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	529	134	25	1	28	67	155	6	8	1	253	344	463	807	210	305	26	11	346	123	+16	+1	+6	-11	+17	3.0
2019	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	529	137	26	1	29	67	155	6	8	1	259	349	476	825	217	312	26	11	365	137	+25	+1	+6	-11	+17	4.0
2020	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	243	218	58	17	1	7	19	50	3	1	1	266	333	450	783	183	311	21	8	338	116	+5	-0	-2	-4	+7	0.5
2020	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	243	218	59	18	1	7	19	50	3	1	1	271	338	459	796	188	317	21	8	348	125	+7	-0	-2	-4	+7	0.8
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	463	418	99	22	1	11	39	113	4	0	0	237	308	373	681	136	297	24	8	302	89	-6	+0	-2	-8	+13	-0.3
2021	30	MLB	2 teams	—	463	418	102	23	1	12	39	112	4	0	0	244	315	390	704	146	304	24	8	315	99	-0	+0	-2	-8	+13	0.3
2022	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	667	583	137	24	2	34	69	131	8	2	2	235	324	458	782	223	242	20	10	339	117	+13	-0	+4	-12	+19	2.5
2022	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	667	583	141	25	2	36	69	131	8	2	2	242	330	477	807	235	248	20	10	352	128	+21	-0	+4	-12	+19	3.2
2023	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	661	583	147	35	2	32	62	127	8	11	0	252	332	484	816	232	266	19	9	346	123	+17	+2	+3	-12	+19	3.1
2023	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	661	582	150	36	2	33	62	127	8	11	0	258	337	497	833	239	272	19	9	361	135	+26	+2	+3	-12	+19	3.9
2024	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	552	479	117	25	0	25	55	133	10	2	2	244	335	453	788	209	280	24	10	337	116	+10	-0	+5	-10	+16	2.0
2024	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	552	479	120	26	0	26	55	133	10	2	2	251	340	468	808	217	287	24	10	353	128	+18	-0	+5	-10	+16	2.8
2025	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	640	585	135	23	1	25	40	177	11	2	1	231	292	402	694	171	284	28	6	305	92	-6	+0	-4	-11	+18	-0.4
2025	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	640	585	139	24	1	27	40	177	11	2	1	238	299	421	719	183	291	28	6	318	101	+1	+0	-4	-11	+18	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	35	MLB	HOU	—	400	359	85	19	1	20	33	90	7	0	0	237	313	462	776	226	260	22	8	334	114	+6	+0	-1	-7	+11	1.0
YTD	35	MLB	HOU	—	400	359	85	19	1	20	33	90	7	0	0	237	313	462	776	226	260	22	8	341	119	+9	+0	-1	-7	+11	1.2
ROS	35	MLB	HOU	100%	266	238	59	12	1	13	21	64	5	1	0	247	321	469	790	222	281	24	8	342	120	+6	+0	+4	-5	+8	1.3
ROS	35	MLB	HOU	100%	267	239	60	13	1	13	21	64	5	1	0	251	325	477	802	226	285	24	8	335	114	+4	+0	+4	-5	+8	1.1
FULL	35	MLB	HOU	—	667	598	145	32	2	33	54	154	12	1	0	242	318	468	786	226	271	23	8	334	114	+11	+0	+3	-12	+19	2.1
TOT	35	MLB	HOU	—	666	597	144	31	2	33	54	154	12	1	0	241	316	465	782	224	269	23	8	337	116	+12	+0	+3	-12	+19	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	HOU	100%	475	427	101	21	1	21	37	117	8	1	0	237	309	438	747	201	274	25	8	330	111	+6	+0	+0	-8	+13	1.2
2027	36	MLB	HOU	100%	475	427	103	21	1	22	37	117	8	1	0	241	314	450	763	208	277	25	8	322	105	+3	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4640	4122	1021	216	10	209	413	1096	66	29	7	248	326	457	783	209	285	24	9	342	120	+103	+3	+14	-111	+131	14.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	142	30	1	29	58	154	9	4	1	246	324	452	776	206	283	24	9	342	120	+14	+0	+2	-16	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	7790	7043	1666	338	21	305	578	1988	98	41	19	237	303	420	724	184	282	26	7	314	98	-14	+1	+14	-139	+221	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	139	28	2	25	48	166	8	3	2	236	303	418	721	182	283	26	7	314	98	-1	-0	+1	-12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	69	62	15	5	0	0	6	10	1	0	0	242	319	323	641	81	288	14	9	296	84	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2013	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	239	215	62	17	0	8	17	41	3	2	0	288	349	479	828	191	318	17	7	360	134	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2013	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	131	116	41	5	0	3	11	16	3	0	3	353	423	474	897	121	388	12	8	400	164	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2014	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	19	18	3	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	167	211	389	599	222	250	47	5	261	58	-1	+0	-1	-11	+1	-1.2
2014	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	188	166	43	10	0	6	18	49	2	0	0	259	339	428	766	169	327	26	10	339	118	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2014	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	411	366	110	15	2	20	38	83	3	2	1	301	371	516	887	216	337	20	9	387	154	+25	+0	—	—	+12	3.7
2015	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	592	534	137	33	1	18	49	136	6	1	3	257	326	423	749	167	311	23	8	333	113	+9	-1	—	—	+17	2.5
2016	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	552	504	133	29	2	18	40	138	4	1	3	264	323	437	760	173	327	25	7	335	114	+9	-1	—	—	+16	2.4
2017	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	15	12	3	1	0	2	1	5	2	0	0	250	400	833	1.233	583	200	33	7	508	247	+2	+0	-0	-11	+0	-0.8
2017	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	592	514	159	34	9	32	61	104	6	5	2	309	388	597	986	288	327	18	10	419	178	+52	+0	—	—	+17	7.1
2018	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	53	49	8	2	0	3	3	22	1	1	0	163	226	388	614	224	208	42	6	271	65	-2	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.9
2018	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	359	324	97	25	4	18	26	86	4	1	0	299	359	568	927	269	351	24	7	397	162	+25	+0	—	—	+10	3.6
2019	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	603	529	137	26	1	29	67	155	6	8	1	259	349	476	825	217	312	26	11	365	137	+25	+1	+6	-11	+17	4.0
2020	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	243	218	59	18	1	7	19	50	3	1	1	271	338	459	796	188	317	21	8	348	125	+7	-0	-2	-4	+7	0.8
2021	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	445	401	98	23	1	10	38	106	4	0	0	244	316	382	698	137	307	24	9	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-8	+13	0.1
2021	30	AAA	Reno Aces	—	18	17	4	0	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	235	278	588	866	353	222	33	6	371	142	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	667	583	141	25	2	36	69	131	8	2	2	242	330	477	807	235	248	20	10	352	128	+21	-0	+4	-12	+19	3.2
2023	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	661	582	150	36	2	33	62	127	8	11	0	258	337	497	833	239	272	19	9	361	135	+26	+2	+3	-12	+19	3.9
2024	33	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	552	479	120	26	0	26	55	133	10	2	2	251	340	468	808	217	287	24	10	353	128	+18	-0	+5	-10	+16	2.8
2025	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	640	585	139	24	1	27	40	177	11	2	1	238	299	421	719	183	291	28	6	318	101	+1	+0	-4	-11	+18	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3898	3456	858	182	8	174	355	915	53	27	7	248	328	457	784	208	285	23	9	344	122	+96	+3	+9	-98	+110	12.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	13	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	/162	664	32	7	245	314	469	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#2Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA	13	5,357	213	6	265	327	453	-95	-16	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	26	1	265	327	453	-11.8	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,395	242	32	246	320	454	-100	-13	15.3	14.6
	/162	664	30	4	246	320	454	-12.3	-1.6	1.9	pk7: 14
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	10	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	/162	664	31	2	260	320	471	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#6Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Walker (OGILVIE)	35	57→53	58→54	36	54	241/316/465	224	269	33	1	23%	8%	116	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Olmedo Saenz 2006 · MLB	35	50	58→60	41→30	50	262/327/471	208	288	26	3	20%	8%	126	+3.5	255/332/461	206	289	25	4	21%	9%	126	+3.5	249/336/468	219	281	27	0	21%	9%	126	+1.0
✕Kendrys Morales 2019 · MLB	36	47→57	58→65	38→40	51	252/322/448	195	277	27	2	21%	9%	118	+3.0	233/322/374	141	261	17	5	17%	11%	99	+1.7	192/313/248	56	216	6	0	13%	13%	63	-0.3
●Steve Pearce 2018 · MLB	35	47→56	54→60	38→50	51	247/320/428	182	274	22	3	20%	9%	112	+2.6	243/326/411	168	286	19	4	22%	9%	111	+2.5	236/332/403	166	279	19	0	22%	10%	109	+0.8
✕John Lindsey 2013 · AAA	36	45→53	59→65	43→30	41	242/307/450	208	298	27	2	28%	6%	114	+2.7	231/309/439	208	291	29	3	31%	7%	111	+2.5	212/301/423	212	264	31	0	32%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Ryan Ludwick 2013 · MLB	35	49→56	55→65	37→45	51	255/327/443	188	292	23	2	21%	9%	119	+3.1	239/304/386	147	289	17	3	23%	8%	94	+1.3	224/286/333	109	280	12	0	23%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Marcus Thames 2010 · MLB	33	44→46	62→70	35→40	47	244/304/464	220	281	32	3	26%	8%	115	+2.8	247/310/427	180	297	25	4	25%	8%	108	+2.3	272/336/447	175	329	27	0	25%	8%	121	+1.4
✕Edgard Clemente 2010 · AAA	34	49	54→55	39→40	49	252/318/426	175	293	22	6	22%	8%	111	+2.5	258/315/431	173	312	21	8	24%	7%	111	+2.5	236/297/411	175	299	24	9	29%	6%	95	+0.3
✕Eric Karros 2001 · MLB	33	46→55	58→55	42→40	54	249/322/452	203	265	27	5	19%	9%	119	+3.1	255/318/414	159	282	19	5	17%	8%	108	+2.3	261/320/404	144	287	17	3	16%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Refugio Cervantes 2013 · AAA	34	47→54	58→65	41→30	41	254/286/451	197	276	28	2	20%	4%	105	+2.1	234/266/377	143	283	18	3	24%	4%	76	+0.0	223/255/343	120	272	14	1	24%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Justin Upton 2022 · MLB	34	40→50	59→65	43→55	50	223/307/429	206	267	29	6	29%	10%	108	+2.3	220/302/387	167	301	21	8	32%	9%	95	+1.4	145/245/249	105	238	12	0	41%	9%	36	-0.5
✕Luis Alfonso Garcia 2015 · AAA	36	47→57	61→60	44→40	49	255/315/468	212	275	31	4	21%	8%	121	+3.2	248/315/422	174	285	24	3	22%	9%	108	+2.3	247/321/408	161	287	24	1	22%	9%	106	+1.4
●Kevin Barker 2010 · MLB	35	44→47	54→55	43→40	47	233/295/411	178	274	23	3	24%	8%	97	+1.5	256/319/421	165	298	17	4	20%	8%	109	+2.4	270/338/431	161	311	15	1	17%	9%	118	+1.7
✕Mario Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	36	53→58	55→60	40	45	273/323/454	181	306	24	4	20%	6%	120	+3.1	240/287/360	120	315	14	5	27%	6%	80	+0.4	223/274/321	98	283	12	1	25%	6%	62	-0.4
●Tino Martinez 2003 · MLB	35	51→54	56→55	42→40	55	267/331/456	189	272	24	4	13%	8%	124	+3.4	262/345/442	180	274	22	4	14%	10%	126	+3.5	257/350/437	179	267	23	3	14%	11%	118	+2.4
✕Izzy Alcantara 2007 · AAA	34	49	55→60	40→45	53	253/332/432	179	286	23	8	21%	10%	118	+3.0	241/306/420	179	288	22	8	24%	8%	105	+2.1	226/292/425	199	264	26	2	25%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Todd Frazier 2020 · MLB	34	43→51	55→60	42→50	52	231/320/413	183	262	24	6	22%	10%	109	+2.4	232/307/386	154	277	18	6	22%	8%	96	+1.5	236/303/383	147	298	14	3	24%	6%	92	+0.3
●Vinny Castilla 2002 · MLB	35	48→53	53→60	35→40	47	248/295/419	171	266	21	3	17%	6%	99	+1.7	254/298/428	174	271	21	3	15%	5%	103	+1.9	264/321/464	200	282	23	2	16%	7%	115	+2.8
✕Brett Harper 2016 · AAA	35	49→50	58→60	46→30	45	259/320/449	190	310	28	6	26%	7%	118	+3.0	236/289/392	156	297	21	5	27%	6%	89	+1.0	221/274/363	142	276	21	0	28%	6%	75	-0.0
★Jeromy Burnitz 2004 · MLB	35	43→52	60→65	41→45	51	236/314/450	214	261	29	7	23%	9%	116	+2.8	258/326/477	219	281	29	6	20%	9%	128	+3.6	259/328/474	215	280	29	4	19%	8%	121	+2.9
✕Eduardo Perez 2006 · MLB	36	49	59→60	40→50	59	261/353/470	209	277	27	6	18%	11%	137	+4.3	253/332/448	195	271	25	6	17%	9%	122	+3.3	249/324/445	196	258	26	0	16%	9%	111	+0.9