Christian Walker
1B Houston Astros| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33 | MLBARI | 552 | .251/.340/.468 | 26 | 2 | 120 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLBHOU | 640 | .238/.299/.421 | 27 | 2 | 100 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLBHOU | 635 | .226/.301/.427 | 29 | 0 | 101 | 0.3 |
| 2027PROJ | 36 | MLBHOU | 391 | .236/.306/.438 | 18 | 2 | 107 | 1.0 |
| 2028PROJ | 37 | MLBHOU | 273 | .223/.291/.408 | 11 | 1 | 95 | -0.4 |
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Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 69 | 62 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 319 | 323 | 641 | 81 | 288 | 14 | 9 | 296 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 239 | 215 | 62 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 349 | 479 | 828 | 191 | 318 | 17 | 7 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 131 | 116 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 353 | 423 | 474 | 897 | 121 | 388 | 12 | 8 | 400 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 389 | 599 | 222 | 250 | 47 | 5 | 261 | 56 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +0 | -1.3 |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 188 | 166 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 339 | 428 | 766 | 169 | 327 | 26 | 10 | 339 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 411 | 366 | 110 | 15 | 2 | 20 | 38 | 83 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 301 | 371 | 516 | 887 | 216 | 337 | 20 | 9 | 387 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 592 | 534 | 137 | 33 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 136 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 257 | 326 | 423 | 749 | 167 | 311 | 23 | 8 | 333 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 552 | 504 | 133 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 138 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 264 | 323 | 437 | 760 | 173 | 327 | 25 | 7 | 335 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 833 | 1.233 | 583 | 200 | 33 | 7 | 508 | 223 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -11 | +0 | -0.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 592 | 514 | 159 | 34 | 9 | 32 | 61 | 104 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 309 | 388 | 597 | 986 | 288 | 327 | 18 | 10 | 419 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 53 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 226 | 388 | 614 | 224 | 208 | 42 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 359 | 324 | 97 | 25 | 4 | 18 | 26 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 359 | 568 | 927 | 269 | 351 | 24 | 7 | 397 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 603 | 529 | 137 | 26 | 1 | 29 | 67 | 155 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 349 | 476 | 825 | 217 | 312 | 26 | 11 | 365 | 127 | +19 | +1 | +6 | -11 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 243 | 218 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 271 | 338 | 459 | 796 | 188 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 116 | +5 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 445 | 401 | 98 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 106 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 316 | 382 | 698 | 137 | 307 | 24 | 9 | 313 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 588 | 866 | 353 | 222 | 33 | 6 | 371 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 667 | 583 | 141 | 25 | 2 | 36 | 69 | 131 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 242 | 330 | 477 | 807 | 235 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 352 | 123 | +18 | -0 | +4 | -12 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 661 | 582 | 150 | 36 | 2 | 33 | 62 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 258 | 337 | 497 | 833 | 239 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 361 | 126 | +21 | +2 | +3 | -12 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 479 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 26 | 55 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 251 | 340 | 468 | 808 | 217 | 287 | 24 | 10 | 353 | 120 | +13 | -0 | +5 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 585 | 139 | 24 | 1 | 27 | 40 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 299 | 421 | 719 | 183 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 318 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | -11 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 571 | 129 | 26 | 1 | 29 | 51 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 301 | 427 | 728 | 201 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +14 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4533 | 4027 | 987 | 208 | 9 | 203 | 406 | 1062 | 63 | 27 | 7 | 245 | 324 | 452 | 776 | 207 | 280 | 23 | 9 | 341 | 117 | +92 | +3 | +9 | -109 | +98 | 9.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 69 | 64 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 290 | 312 | 602 | 78 | 294 | 17 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 239 | 221 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 60 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 285 | 367 | 652 | 127 | 293 | 25 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 131 | 120 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 317 | 369 | 425 | 794 | 108 | 351 | 16 | 5 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 389 | 599 | 222 | 250 | 47 | 5 | 252 | 56 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +0 | -1.3 |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 188 | 172 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 274 | 337 | 611 | 122 | 293 | 30 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 411 | 379 | 104 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 324 | 454 | 778 | 179 | 327 | 25 | 6 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 592 | 551 | 123 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 170 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 223 | 273 | 354 | 627 | 131 | 291 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 552 | 518 | 118 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 26 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 228 | 270 | 390 | 660 | 162 | 292 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 400 | 833 | 1.233 | 583 | 200 | 33 | 7 | 497 | 223 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -11 | +0 | -0.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 592 | 535 | 126 | 24 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 146 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 297 | 437 | 735 | 202 | 264 | 25 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 53 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 226 | 388 | 614 | 224 | 208 | 42 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 359 | 333 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 112 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 263 | 399 | 662 | 183 | 269 | 31 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 603 | 535 | 136 | 23 | 1 | 31 | 61 | 155 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 254 | 337 | 475 | 812 | 221 | 312 | 26 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +19 | +1 | +6 | -11 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 243 | 218 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 329 | 440 | 770 | 179 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 339 | 116 | +5 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 445 | 402 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 106 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 309 | 376 | 685 | 137 | 307 | 24 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 353 | 575 | 176 | 180 | 39 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 667 | 585 | 140 | 22 | 2 | 38 | 67 | 131 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 479 | 804 | 239 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 350 | 123 | +18 | -0 | +4 | -12 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 661 | 586 | 148 | 32 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 253 | 329 | 493 | 822 | 241 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +21 | +2 | +3 | -12 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 483 | 119 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 51 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 331 | 468 | 799 | 222 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +13 | -0 | +5 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 586 | 139 | 23 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 297 | 423 | 720 | 186 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | -11 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 574 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 48 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 296 | 429 | 724 | 204 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 406 | 106 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 94 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 261 | 309 | 374 | 683 | 113 | 317 | 21 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 439 | 393 | 118 | 27 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 67 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 300 | 366 | 453 | 819 | 153 | 334 | 15 | 8 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 618 | 569 | 144 | 23 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 170 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 306 | 417 | 722 | 163 | 319 | 28 | 6 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 618 | 550 | 156 | 26 | 2 | 27 | 57 | 141 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 356 | 485 | 842 | 202 | 332 | 23 | 9 | 368 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 592 | 551 | 123 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 170 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 223 | 273 | 354 | 627 | 131 | 295 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 592 | 534 | 137 | 33 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 136 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 257 | 326 | 423 | 749 | 167 | 311 | 23 | 8 | 333 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 552 | 518 | 118 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 26 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 228 | 270 | 390 | 660 | 162 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 552 | 504 | 133 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 138 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 264 | 323 | 437 | 760 | 173 | 327 | 25 | 7 | 335 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 547 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 151 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 300 | 446 | 746 | 210 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 607 | 526 | 162 | 35 | 9 | 34 | 62 | 109 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 308 | 389 | 603 | 991 | 295 | 326 | 18 | 10 | 421 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 382 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 134 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 258 | 398 | 656 | 188 | 270 | 33 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 373 | 105 | 27 | 4 | 21 | 29 | 108 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 282 | 342 | 544 | 886 | 263 | 337 | 26 | 7 | 380 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 603 | 535 | 136 | 23 | 1 | 31 | 61 | 155 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 254 | 337 | 475 | 812 | 221 | 300 | 26 | 10 | 356 | 127 | +19 | +1 | +6 | -11 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 603 | 529 | 137 | 26 | 1 | 29 | 67 | 155 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 349 | 476 | 825 | 217 | 312 | 26 | 11 | 365 | 127 | +19 | +1 | +6 | -11 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 243 | 218 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 329 | 440 | 770 | 179 | 305 | 21 | 8 | 339 | 116 | +5 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 243 | 218 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 271 | 338 | 459 | 796 | 188 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 116 | +5 | -0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 419 | 98 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 113 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 304 | 372 | 676 | 138 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 463 | 418 | 102 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 112 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 315 | 390 | 704 | 146 | 304 | 24 | 8 | 315 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 667 | 585 | 140 | 22 | 2 | 38 | 67 | 131 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 479 | 804 | 239 | 241 | 20 | 10 | 350 | 123 | +18 | -0 | +4 | -12 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 667 | 583 | 141 | 25 | 2 | 36 | 69 | 131 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 242 | 330 | 477 | 807 | 235 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 352 | 123 | +18 | -0 | +4 | -12 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 661 | 586 | 148 | 32 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 253 | 329 | 493 | 822 | 241 | 262 | 19 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +21 | +2 | +3 | -12 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 661 | 582 | 150 | 36 | 2 | 33 | 62 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 258 | 337 | 497 | 833 | 239 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 361 | 126 | +21 | +2 | +3 | -12 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 483 | 119 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 51 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 331 | 468 | 799 | 222 | 276 | 24 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +13 | -0 | +5 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB RAW | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 479 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 26 | 55 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 251 | 340 | 468 | 808 | 217 | 287 | 24 | 10 | 353 | 120 | +13 | -0 | +5 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 586 | 139 | 23 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 297 | 423 | 720 | 186 | 288 | 28 | 6 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | -11 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 585 | 139 | 24 | 1 | 27 | 40 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 299 | 421 | 719 | 183 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 318 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | -11 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 574 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 48 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 296 | 429 | 724 | 204 | 247 | 23 | 8 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 571 | 129 | 26 | 1 | 29 | 51 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 301 | 427 | 728 | 201 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 408 | 106 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 94 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 260 | 309 | 373 | 681 | 113 | 310 | 21 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 618 | 570 | 144 | 23 | 2 | 22 | 38 | 170 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 306 | 416 | 721 | 163 | 314 | 28 | 6 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 592 | 549 | 123 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 170 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 224 | 273 | 355 | 629 | 131 | 291 | 29 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 552 | 517 | 118 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 26 | 168 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 228 | 270 | 391 | 661 | 162 | 292 | 30 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 607 | 552 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 151 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 300 | 442 | 742 | 208 | 262 | 25 | 7 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 384 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 134 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 208 | 258 | 396 | 654 | 187 | 261 | 33 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 603 | 531 | 136 | 23 | 1 | 31 | 61 | 155 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 256 | 337 | 478 | 816 | 222 | 312 | 26 | 10 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 243 | 219 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 329 | 438 | 768 | 178 | 317 | 21 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 418 | 98 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 113 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 304 | 373 | 677 | 139 | 302 | 24 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 667 | 587 | 140 | 22 | 2 | 38 | 67 | 131 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 477 | 803 | 239 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 661 | 589 | 148 | 32 | 2 | 35 | 59 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 251 | 329 | 491 | 820 | 239 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 486 | 119 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 51 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 331 | 465 | 796 | 220 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 585 | 139 | 23 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 297 | 424 | 721 | 186 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 572 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 48 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 296 | 430 | 726 | 205 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 552 | 486 | 119 | 23 | 0 | 28 | 51 | 133 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 331 | 465 | 796 | 220 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 640 | 585 | 139 | 23 | 1 | 28 | 39 | 177 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 297 | 424 | 721 | 186 | 291 | 28 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 35 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 572 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 48 | 147 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 296 | 430 | 726 | 205 | 251 | 23 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 476 | 429 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 117 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 304 | 437 | 742 | 203 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 107 | +4 | +0 | +7 | -8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 391 | 353 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 306 | 438 | 743 | 201 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 327 | 107 | +3 | +0 | +6 | -7 | +8 | 1.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 37 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 273 | 247 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 69 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 290 | 407 | 697 | 186 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 273 | 247 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 69 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 291 | 408 | 699 | 185 | 259 | 25 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4806 | 4274 | 1041 | 218 | 9 | 214 | 426 | 1131 | 67 | 28 | 7 | 244 | 322 | 449 | 771 | 205 | 279 | 24 | 9 | 339 | 102 | +90 | +3 | +5 | -114 | +104 | 9.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 140 | 29 | 1 | 29 | 58 | 153 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 321 | 446 | 767 | 204 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 339 | 102 | +12 | +0 | +1 | -15 | +14 | 1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8348 | 7559 | 1803 | 348 | 24 | 344 | 610 | 2085 | 105 | 42 | 20 | 239 | 304 | 427 | 732 | 189 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 320 | 102 | +93 | +3 | +11 | -121 | +113 | 10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 141 | 27 | 2 | 27 | 47 | 162 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 304 | 430 | 734 | 190 | 281 | 25 | 7 | 320 | 102 | +12 | +0 | +1 | -15 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAReno Aces · 18 PAwOBA .359 → .248 (−111)K% 33.3% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 15.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 12.92% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 123, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .359 → .248; ISO .353 → .229; BABIP .222 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAReno Aces · 359 PAwOBA .391 → .282 (−109)K% 24.0% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.96% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷1.069 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.01% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 17.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.50% | ÷1.117 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 105, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .391 → .282; ISO .269 → .185; BABIP .351 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAReno Aces · 592 PAwOBA .413 → .316 (−97)K% 17.6% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.57% | ÷0.919 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.49% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 18.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.089 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 84, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .413 → .316; ISO .288 → .208; BABIP .327 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 552 PAwOBA .327 → .286 (−42)K% 25.0% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.033 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.033 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.92% | ÷0.776 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 5.50% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 105, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .327 → .286; ISO .173 → .168; BABIP .327 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 592 PAwOBA .324 → .274 (−50)K% 23.0% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.97% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.060 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.25% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.63% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .324 → .274; ISO .167 → .134; BABIP .311 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 411 PAwOBA .380 → .336 (−43)K% 20.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.25% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.80% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 25.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.07% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .380 → .336; ISO .216 → .189; BABIP .337 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANorfolk Tides · 188 PAwOBA .332 → .277 (−55)K% 26.1% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.06% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.04% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.223 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.70% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 101, K 105, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .277; ISO .169 → .133; BABIP .327 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Frederick Keys · 239 PAwOBA .356 → .284 (−72)K% 17.2% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.15% | ÷0.964 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.028 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.26% | ÷0.958 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.60% | ÷1.324 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 92, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .356 → .284; ISO .191 → .134; BABIP .318 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).