Manny Machado — OGILVIE

Manny Machado3B San Diego Padres

Age 34 R/R 6'2" / 218 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 13.326 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION617 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 122119vR 109

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP281

ISO191

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$73M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 65 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT65

Whiff%

798.0%

xAVG

640.262

POWER55

Barrel%

7111.3

Avg EV

9092.0

Bat Spd

6773.2

EYE50

Chase%

9022.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.2

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%19%▲18% over 112 PA (30d) · proj 20%

BB%11%▲▲13% over 171 PA (45d) · proj 9%

ISO.162▼.138 over 195 AB (60d) · proj .191xISO .179 vs .213 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB5.1%▼4.5% over 154 BBE (60d) · proj 5.9%barrel% 10.0% vs 12.0% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.285·.286 over 147 BIP (60d) · proj .285xBABIP .281 vs .344 prior

SLASH.256/.340/.418·proj .257/.324/.448

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1407 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

332

1075

—

wRC+

123

115

◀L

wOBA

350

338

◀L

ISO

229

173

◀◀L

BABIP

263

309

▶R

20.2%

19.3%

▶R

BB%

9.0%

6.8%

◀◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2012

Service 13.326 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$2M
2027	Ext	$32M	+1.8	$13M	-$15M
2028	Ext	$32M	+1.0	$7M	-$19M
2029	Ext	$32M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$23M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$98M		$21M	-$59M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$59M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	19	A+	Frederick Keys	—	260	237	58	12	3	5	22	48	0	8	5	245	309	384	693	139	286	18	8	309	95	-1	-0	—	—	+6	0.4
2011	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	170	145	40	8	2	6	23	25	1	3	1	276	379	483	861	207	296	15	14	379	143	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2012	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	202	191	50	8	3	7	9	38	0	2	0	262	295	445	740	183	293	19	4	321	104	+1	+0	+6	+2	+4	1.4
2012	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	459	402	107	26	5	11	48	70	6	13	4	266	353	438	791	172	297	15	10	351	124	+13	+1	—	—	+10	2.4
2013	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	189	51	3	14	29	113	2	6	7	283	315	432	747	148	322	16	4	325	106	+5	-2	+23	+3	+15	4.5
2014	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	91	14	0	12	20	68	3	2	0	278	326	431	757	153	317	19	6	333	112	+5	+0	+8	+1	+8	2.3
2015	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	181	30	1	35	70	111	4	20	8	286	361	502	863	216	297	16	10	377	141	+35	+1	+8	+3	+15	6.4
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	188	40	1	37	48	120	3	0	3	294	346	533	879	239	309	17	7	381	144	+36	-1	+9	+2	+15	6.3
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	163	33	1	33	50	115	1	9	4	259	314	471	786	213	265	17	7	341	117	+14	+0	-3	+2	+15	2.9
2018	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	188	35	3	37	70	104	2	14	2	297	369	538	907	241	304	15	10	394	153	+45	+2	+8	+8	+15	7.9
2019	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	150	21	2	32	65	128	6	5	3	256	336	462	798	206	274	19	10	352	124	+19	-0	-4	+2	+14	3.2
2020	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	408	163	+19	+0	+3	+1	+6	2.9
2021	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	157	31	2	28	63	102	2	12	3	278	353	489	842	211	290	16	10	365	133	+25	+1	+4	+2	+14	4.7
2022	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	172	37	1	32	63	133	1	9	1	298	368	531	899	234	337	21	10	392	152	+40	+1	+8	+2	+14	6.6
2023	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	140	21	0	30	50	109	2	3	2	258	323	462	785	204	268	18	8	343	118	+13	-0	+10	+2	+13	3.8
2024	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	163	30	0	29	45	124	1	11	2	275	327	472	799	197	302	19	7	350	123	+18	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.7
2025	33	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	169	33	0	27	55	131	3	14	3	275	337	460	797	185	307	19	8	351	123	+19	+2	-3	+2	+15	3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	8195	7424	2069	396	18	369	663	1433	30	113	41	279	340	486	826	207	299	17	8	360	130	+293	+6	+76	+36	+178	60.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	19	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	260	244	49	10	2	4	15	66	0	8	5	201	247	307	554	107	258	25	6	243	51	-15	-0	—	—	+6	-1.0
2011	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	170	156	37	8	2	4	12	33	1	3	1	237	296	391	687	154	267	19	7	304	92	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2012	20	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	202	191	49	8	3	6	9	38	0	2	0	257	290	424	714	168	293	19	4	308	95	-1	+0	+6	+2	+4	1.2
2012	20	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	459	416	95	24	5	8	34	85	6	13	4	228	296	368	664	139	266	19	7	291	83	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2013	21	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	185	49	3	13	29	113	2	6	7	277	309	418	728	141	322	16	4	313	98	-2	-2	+23	+3	+15	3.9
2014	22	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	89	14	0	11	20	68	3	2	0	272	320	416	736	144	317	19	6	316	100	-0	+0	+8	+1	+8	1.8
2015	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	176	29	1	32	70	111	4	20	8	278	354	479	832	201	297	16	10	358	128	+24	+1	+8	+3	+15	5.2
2016	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	182	39	1	33	48	120	3	0	3	284	337	503	840	219	309	17	7	354	125	+21	-1	+9	+2	+15	4.7
2017	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	158	32	1	30	50	115	1	9	4	251	307	448	755	197	265	17	7	321	104	+3	+0	-3	+2	+15	1.8
2018	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	189	36	4	35	70	104	2	14	2	299	371	535	906	236	304	15	10	374	139	+33	+2	+8	+8	+15	6.7
2019	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	151	22	2	31	65	128	6	5	3	257	337	460	797	203	274	19	10	344	119	+15	-0	-4	+2	+14	2.8
2020	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	393	152	+16	+0	+3	+1	+6	2.5
2021	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	158	32	2	27	63	102	2	12	3	280	355	488	842	207	290	16	10	351	124	+18	+1	+4	+2	+14	4.0
2022	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	173	38	1	31	63	133	1	9	1	299	369	529	899	230	337	21	10	378	142	+32	+1	+8	+2	+14	5.9
2023	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	141	22	0	29	50	109	2	3	2	260	324	460	785	201	268	18	8	338	115	+11	-0	+10	+2	+13	3.6
2024	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	164	31	0	28	45	124	1	11	2	277	329	470	799	194	302	19	7	340	116	+13	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.2
2025	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	170	34	0	26	55	131	3	14	3	276	339	459	797	182	307	19	8	344	119	+15	+2	-3	+2	+15	3.1
2011	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	430	400	85	18	4	8	27	99	1	11	6	212	264	338	602	125	261	23	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	430	382	98	20	5	11	45	73	1	11	6	257	336	421	758	165	290	17	10	337	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	661	607	145	32	8	15	43	123	6	15	4	239	296	392	688	153	275	19	7	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	661	593	157	34	8	18	57	108	6	15	4	265	335	440	776	175	296	16	9	342	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	185	49	3	13	29	113	2	6	7	277	309	418	728	141	316	16	4	313	98	-2	-2	+23	+3	+15	3.9
2013	21	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	189	51	3	14	29	113	2	6	7	283	315	432	747	148	322	16	4	325	98	-2	-2	+23	+3	+15	3.9
2014	22	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	89	14	0	11	20	68	3	2	0	272	320	416	736	144	312	19	6	316	100	-0	+0	+8	+1	+8	1.8
2014	22	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	91	14	0	12	20	68	3	2	0	278	326	431	757	153	317	19	6	333	100	-0	+0	+8	+1	+8	1.8
2015	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	176	29	1	32	70	111	4	20	8	278	354	479	832	201	291	16	10	358	128	+24	+1	+8	+3	+15	5.2
2015	23	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	181	30	1	35	70	111	4	20	8	286	361	502	863	216	297	16	10	377	128	+24	+1	+8	+3	+15	5.2
2016	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	182	39	1	33	48	120	3	0	3	284	337	503	840	219	303	17	7	354	125	+21	-1	+9	+2	+15	4.7
2016	24	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	188	40	1	37	48	120	3	0	3	294	346	533	879	239	309	17	7	381	125	+21	-1	+9	+2	+15	4.7
2017	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	158	32	1	30	50	115	1	9	4	251	307	448	755	197	259	17	7	321	104	+3	+0	-3	+2	+15	1.8
2017	25	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	163	33	1	33	50	115	1	9	4	259	314	471	786	213	265	17	7	341	104	+3	+0	-3	+2	+15	1.8
2018	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	189	36	4	35	70	104	2	14	2	299	371	535	906	236	309	15	10	374	139	+33	+2	+8	+8	+15	6.7
2018	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	188	35	3	37	70	104	2	14	2	297	369	538	907	241	304	15	10	394	139	+33	+2	+8	+8	+15	6.7
2019	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	151	22	2	31	65	128	6	5	3	257	337	460	797	203	278	19	10	344	119	+15	-0	-4	+2	+14	2.8
2019	27	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	150	21	2	32	65	128	6	5	3	256	336	462	798	206	274	19	10	352	119	+15	-0	-4	+2	+14	2.8
2020	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	393	152	+16	+0	+3	+1	+6	2.5
2020	28	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	408	152	+16	+0	+3	+1	+6	2.5
2021	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	158	32	2	27	63	102	2	12	3	280	355	488	842	207	294	16	10	351	124	+18	+1	+4	+2	+14	4.0
2021	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	157	31	2	28	63	102	2	12	3	278	353	489	842	211	290	16	10	365	124	+18	+1	+4	+2	+14	4.0
2022	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	173	38	1	31	63	133	1	9	1	299	369	529	899	230	341	21	10	378	142	+32	+1	+8	+2	+14	5.9
2022	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	172	37	1	32	63	133	1	9	1	298	368	531	899	234	337	21	10	392	142	+32	+1	+8	+2	+14	5.9
2023	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	141	22	0	29	50	109	2	3	2	260	324	460	785	201	273	18	8	338	115	+11	-0	+10	+2	+13	3.6
2023	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	140	21	0	30	50	109	2	3	2	258	323	462	785	204	268	18	8	343	115	+11	-0	+10	+2	+13	3.6
2024	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	164	31	0	28	45	124	1	11	2	277	329	470	799	194	306	19	7	340	116	+13	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.2
2024	32	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	163	30	0	29	45	124	1	11	2	275	327	472	799	197	302	19	7	350	116	+13	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.2
2025	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	170	34	0	26	55	131	3	14	3	276	339	459	797	182	311	19	8	344	119	+15	+2	-3	+2	+15	3.1
2025	33	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	169	33	0	27	55	131	3	14	3	275	337	460	797	185	307	19	8	351	119	+15	+2	-3	+2	+15	3.1
2011	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	430	399	85	18	4	8	27	99	1	11	6	213	264	338	602	125	262	23	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	661	607	145	32	8	15	43	123	6	15	4	239	296	392	688	153	274	19	7	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	673	185	49	3	13	29	113	2	6	7	275	309	415	724	140	322	16	4	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	328	89	14	0	11	20	68	3	2	0	271	320	415	735	143	317	19	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	176	29	1	32	70	111	4	20	8	278	354	479	832	201	297	16	10	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	182	39	1	33	48	120	3	0	3	284	337	503	840	219	309	17	7	354	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	634	158	32	1	30	50	115	1	9	4	249	307	445	752	196	265	17	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	631	189	36	4	35	70	104	2	14	2	300	371	536	906	236	304	15	10	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	661	585	151	22	2	31	65	128	6	5	3	258	337	462	799	203	274	19	10	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	254	226	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	301	376	575	951	274	297	15	10	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	640	570	158	32	2	27	63	102	2	12	3	277	355	482	837	205	290	16	10	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	644	575	173	38	1	31	63	133	1	9	1	301	369	532	901	231	337	21	10	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	601	544	141	22	0	29	50	109	2	3	2	259	324	460	784	200	268	18	8	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	643	592	164	31	0	28	45	124	1	11	2	277	329	471	800	194	302	19	7	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	170	34	0	26	55	131	3	14	3	276	339	459	797	182	307	19	8	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	601	544	141	22	0	29	50	109	2	3	2	259	324	460	784	200	268	18	8	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	643	592	164	31	0	28	45	124	1	11	2	277	329	471	800	194	302	19	7	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	170	34	0	26	55	131	3	14	3	276	339	459	797	182	307	19	8	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	34	MLB MLE	SD	—	617	535	119	23	0	25	72	131	1	5	4	222	316	406	721	183	243	21	12	312	97	-2	-1	+0	+2	+13	1.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	SD	—	617	535	118	22	0	26	72	131	1	5	4	221	314	407	722	187	238	21	12	319	97	-2	-1	+0	+2	+13	1.4
YTD	34	MLB RAW	SD	—	617	535	118	22	0	26	72	131	1	5	4	221	314	407	722	187	238	21	12	319	102	+1	-1	+0	+2	+13	1.7
ROS	34	MLB MLE	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		284	20	10	344	119	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	34	MLB CTX	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		281	20	10	342	119	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	34	MLB A+C	SD	—	627	544	119	22	0	26	73	133	1	5	4	219	312	403	715	184	237	21	12	319	98	-2	-1	+0	+2	+14	1.4
TOT	34	MLB MLE	SD	—	627	544	120	23	0	25	73	133	1	5	4	221	314	401	715	180	241	21	12	312	98	-2	-1	+0	+2	+14	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	SD	100%	528	467	119	22	1	21	55	113	1	4	2	255	335	441	776	186	290	21	10	341	117	+11	+0	-6	+2	+11	1.8
2028	36	MLB MLE	SD	100%	465	413	101	18	1	17	48	103	1	2	1	245	325	416	741	172	281	22	10	328	108	+4	+0	-7	+2	+10	1.0
2029	37	MLB MLE	SD	100%	398	354	83	14	1	14	40	91	1	1	1	234	314	398	712	164	271	23	10	313	98	-1	-0	-7	+1	+9	0.2
2027	35	MLB CTX	SD	100%	528	467	118	21	1	21	55	113	1	4	2	253	333	437	770	184	287	21	10	339	117	+11	+0	-6	+2	+11	1.8
2028	36	MLB CTX	SD	100%	465	413	100	17	1	18	48	103	1	2	1	242	323	419	741	177	278	22	10	326	108	+4	+0	-7	+2	+10	1.0
2029	37	MLB CTX	SD	100%	398	354	82	13	1	14	40	91	1	1	1	232	311	393	704	161	268	23	10	312	98	-1	-0	-7	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	9596	8667	2370	447	21	422	807	1742	33	120	45	273	338	476	814	202	296	18	8	356	115	+308	+6	+57	+41	+208	63.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	160	30	1	29	55	118	2	8	3	273	337	475	812	203	294	18	8	356	115	+21	+0	+4	+3	+14	4.3
Career	—	MLE		—	10485	9483	2538	494	31	417	868	1926	40	144	55	268	332	458	790	191	294	18	8	338	115	+308	+6	+57	+41	+208	63.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	158	31	2	26	54	119	2	9	3	269	332	461	793	192	295	18	8	338	115	+21	+0	+4	+3	+14	4.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18 AS×6SS×4 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA	11.8	7,863	259	154	275	358	465	+28	+107	67.9	60.3
/162	664	22	13	+2.4	+9.1	5.7	pk7: 53
#2Evan Longorialast yr '23 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA	12.4	8,206	342	58	264	333	471	+29	+110	61.2	51.8
/162	664	28	5	+2.4	+8.9	5.0	pk7: 42
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 19 projected seasons	16.4	10,867	475	134	271	333	472	+20	+110	65.5	51.4
/162	664	29	8	+1.2	+6.7	4.0	pk7: 37
#3Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	12.5	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.4
/162	664	21	19	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#4Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#5Ryan Zimmermanlast yr '21 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,402 PA	11.1	7,402	284	43	277	341	475	-25	+13	44.4	40.7
/162	664	25	4	-2.2	+1.2	4.0	pk7: 37
#6Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manny Machado (OGILVIE)	34	58→65	51→55	40	50	251/332/440	189	284	27	7	21%	11%	119	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Todd Frazier 2020 · MLB	34	44→52	55→60	42→50	52	235/323/419	184	268	24	6	22%	10%	110	+2.1	235/310/390	155	280	18	6	22%	8%	99	+1.2	241/308/390	149	305	14	3	24%	6%	96	+0.3
✕Herbert Perry Jr. 2004 · MLB	34	51→61	54→55	45	50	260/319/441	180	274	22	6	15%	7%	114	+2.3	242/315/402	160	258	20	7	15%	8%	103	+1.5	221/307/360	140	223	20	0	12%	9%	89	+0.1
●Steve Pearce 2017 · MLB	34	49→56	56→60	39→50	54	257/336/453	196	285	24	4	20%	10%	122	+3.0	250/329/429	179	285	21	3	20%	9%	114	+2.4	239/321/412	173	275	21	0	21%	9%	106	+0.7
✕Brandon Inge 2011 · MLB	34	47→56	51→55	41→45	50	238/318/401	163	291	19	5	24%	9%	104	+1.6	222/292/365	143	281	16	3	26%	8%	86	+0.3	204/271/333	129	259	16	1	27%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Russell Martin 2018 · MLB	35	44→54	54→55	39→50	57	231/336/408	176	275	23	4	24%	12%	112	+2.2	222/339/363	141	273	17	4	24%	13%	104	+1.6	204/338/325	121	252	16	1	24%	14%	93	+0.4
●Casey Blake 2007 · MLB	33	50→56	56→60	44→45	52	262/336/460	197	295	24	7	20%	9%	124	+3.1	269/342/449	180	313	20	5	20%	9%	123	+3.0	270/347/448	177	316	19	3	20%	9%	118	+2.6
✕Juan Uribe 2011 · MLB	32	50→60	56→60	41→50	49	261/316/454	193	281	23	3	17%	7%	115	+2.4	239/299/384	145	275	16	5	19%	7%	93	+0.8	283/331/431	148	332	16	3	19%	6%	110	+1.4
✕Jose Amador 2014 · AAA	34	51→61	50	39→45	46	259/318/410	151	295	19	5	20%	6%	106	+1.8	243/313/375	132	274	16	5	17%	7%	96	+1.0	246/324/372	126	273	15	3	15%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Jorge Cantu 2016 · AAA	34	53→59	56→60	48→40	48	275/334/469	194	299	25	6	18%	7%	126	+3.2	236/294/365	129	286	14	6	22%	7%	86	+0.3	214/274/325	111	268	12	3	24%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Eric Hinske 2012 · MLB	34	48→55	55→60	42→50	52	248/328/437	189	300	23	3	25%	10%	116	+2.5	221/294/365	144	288	15	5	27%	9%	86	+0.3	197/273/313	116	267	9	0	28%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Jhonny Peralta 2016 · MLB	34	55→64	51→55	37→40	51	275/339/436	161	311	18	3	18%	8%	119	+2.7	252/307/393	141	293	16	4	19%	7%	97	+1.1	244/291/373	129	285	13	0	19%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Jason Michaels 2011 · MLB	35	47→55	53→50	43→45	50	243/310/426	183	270	20	5	19%	8%	107	+1.8	220/278/349	129	258	13	6	20%	7%	76	-0.4	189/241/271	83	228	7	2	20%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Jung Ho Kang 2019 · MLB	32	48→58	58→60	44→45	53	254/340/458	204	279	26	8	20%	9%	125	+3.2	231/292/428	197	291	25	7	29%	7%	101	+1.4	201/256/432	230	241	32	0	32%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Travis d'Arnaud 2022 · MLB	33	49→53	53→60	45	48	251/315/427	176	299	22	3	24%	8%	109	+2.0	249/308/437	188	291	23	3	23%	6%	109	+2.0	245/305/438	193	285	25	1	23%	6%	107	+1.1
✕Kevin Pillar 2023 · MLB	34	47→57	55	48→55	45	247/303/436	188	274	24	9	20%	6%	106	+1.8	234/283/399	165	273	20	15	22%	5%	91	+0.6	226/273/387	161	265	19	18	23%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Evan Longoria 2021 · MLB	35	49→58	54→65	45→50	47	256/313/438	183	288	23	4	20%	7%	110	+2.1	255/327/461	206	309	26	3	25%	9%	121	+2.9	247/326/461	214	303	29	1	28%	10%	116	+1.2
✕Eduardo Escobar 2023 · MLB	34	47→57	55→65	42→50	48	246/304/438	192	282	23	2	22%	8%	107	+1.8	237/291/389	152	292	17	6	24%	7%	91	+0.6	223/268/339	116	285	11	4	25%	6%	68	-0.5
●Todd Zeile 2001 · MLB	35	52→56	54→50	41→30	61	266/351/459	193	279	21	5	14%	12%	128	+3.4	262/348/408	146	294	16	3	16%	11%	116	+2.5	257/346/391	134	290	15	1	16%	11%	108	+1.6
✕Charles Johnson 2004 · MLB	33	44→54	56→60	37→30	54	235/316/429	194	267	23	3	22%	10%	109	+2.0	237/336/419	182	286	20	5	23%	12%	114	+2.4	234/348/425	191	289	22	3	25%	14%	118	+1.6
●Saul Soto 2014 · AAA	35	48→58	52→55	43→45	51	247/318/410	163	289	20	5	22%	9%	106	+1.8	251/326/383	132	298	15	4	20%	9%	102	+1.5	258/345/370	112	300	11	2	17%	11%	105	+1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps