Manny Machado — OGILVIE

Manny Machado3B San Diego Padres

Age 34 R/R 6'2" / 218 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 13.326 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION390 act + 260 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 128126vR 122

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .322 / .451

PA260

HR12

K%21

BB%10

BABIP275

ISO202

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 65 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT65

Whiff%

699.0%

xwOBA

790.342

POWER55

Barrel%

7311.6

Avg EV

9092.1

Bat Spd

6773.2

EYE50

Chase%

8225.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.1

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1407 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

332

1075

—

wRC+

126

117

◀L

wOBA

350

338

◀L

ISO

229

173

◀◀L

BABIP

263

309

▶R

20.2%

19.3%

▶R

BB%

9.0%

6.8%

◀◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2012

Service 13.326 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$13M	+1.0	$4M	-$9M
2027	Ext	$32M	+2.5	$19M	-$10M
2028	Ext	$32M	+1.5	$10M	-$15M
2029	Ext	$32M	+0.5	$2M	-$22M
2030	Ext	$32M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	$32M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$172M		$32M	-$98M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$98M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	19	A+	2 teams	—	430	399	88	21	4	7	28	97	1	11	6	221	273	346	619	125	273	23	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A+	2 teams	—	430	382	98	20	5	11	45	73	1	11	6	257	336	421	758	165	290	17	10	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA	2 teams	—	661	606	145	33	9	16	44	128	6	15	4	239	297	403	700	163	277	19	7	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AA	2 teams	—	661	593	157	34	8	18	57	108	6	15	4	265	335	440	776	175	296	16	9	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	183	48	3	13	29	113	2	6	7	274	307	414	720	139	312	16	4	310	96	-4	-2	+23	+3	+20	4.2
2013	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	189	51	3	14	29	113	2	6	7	283	315	432	747	148	322	16	4	325	107	+5	-2	+23	+3	+20	5.1
2014	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	88	13	0	11	20	68	3	2	0	269	317	410	727	141	308	19	6	314	99	-0	+0	+8	+1	+10	2.0
2014	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	91	14	0	12	20	68	3	2	0	278	326	431	757	153	317	19	6	333	113	+5	+0	+8	+1	+10	2.6
2015	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	175	28	1	33	70	111	4	20	8	276	352	480	832	204	288	16	10	358	132	+26	+1	+8	+3	+20	5.9
2015	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	181	30	1	35	70	111	4	20	8	286	361	502	863	216	297	16	10	377	147	+38	+1	+8	+3	+20	7.1
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	181	38	1	34	48	120	3	0	3	283	336	505	840	222	299	17	7	353	128	+22	-1	+9	+2	+20	5.3
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	188	40	1	37	48	120	3	0	3	294	346	533	879	239	309	17	7	381	150	+39	-1	+9	+2	+20	7.0
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	157	31	1	31	50	115	1	9	4	249	305	449	755	200	256	17	7	321	104	+3	+0	-3	+2	+20	2.3
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	163	33	1	33	50	115	1	9	4	259	314	471	786	213	265	17	7	341	119	+15	+0	-3	+2	+20	3.5
2018	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	194	37	3	39	70	104	2	14	2	307	378	560	938	253	314	15	10	384	152	+42	+2	+8	+8	+20	8.1
2018	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	188	35	3	37	70	104	2	14	2	297	369	538	907	241	304	15	10	394	160	+48	+2	+8	+8	+20	8.7
2019	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	154	22	2	34	65	128	6	5	3	262	342	480	822	218	280	19	10	357	131	+23	-0	-4	+2	+19	4.0
2019	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	150	21	2	32	65	128	6	5	3	256	336	462	798	206	274	19	10	352	127	+20	-0	-4	+2	+19	3.8
2020	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	71	13	1	17	26	37	0	6	3	317	388	612	1.000	295	310	15	10	408	171	+20	+0	+3	+1	+7	3.2
2020	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	408	171	+20	+0	+3	+1	+7	3.2
2021	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	162	33	2	30	63	102	2	12	3	287	361	512	873	225	298	16	10	363	136	+26	+1	+4	+2	+18	5.2
2021	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	157	31	2	28	63	102	2	12	3	278	353	489	842	211	290	16	10	365	137	+27	+1	+4	+2	+18	5.4
2022	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	178	39	1	34	63	133	1	9	1	308	377	555	932	247	349	21	10	391	158	+42	+1	+8	+2	+18	7.3
2022	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	172	37	1	32	63	133	1	9	1	298	368	531	899	234	337	21	10	392	158	+43	+1	+8	+2	+18	7.4
2023	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	144	22	0	32	50	109	2	3	2	265	329	483	812	217	275	18	8	351	127	+18	-0	+10	+2	+17	4.7
2023	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	140	21	0	30	50	109	2	3	2	258	323	462	785	204	268	18	8	343	121	+14	-0	+10	+2	+17	4.4
2024	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	169	32	0	31	45	124	1	11	2	285	336	496	832	211	312	19	7	352	128	+20	+1	+1	+2	+18	4.4
2024	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	163	30	0	29	45	124	1	11	2	275	327	472	799	197	302	19	7	350	126	+19	+1	+1	+2	+18	4.3
2025	33	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	175	35	0	29	55	131	3	14	3	285	346	483	829	198	317	19	8	355	130	+23	+2	-3	+2	+19	4.4
2025	33	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	169	33	0	27	55	131	3	14	3	275	337	460	797	185	307	19	8	351	127	+20	+2	-3	+2	+19	4.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	34	MLB	SD	—	390	340	69	16	0	19	44	87	0	2	2	203	294	418	712	215	209	22	11	303	90	-4	-0	+0	+1	+11	0.8
YTD	34	MLB	SD	—	390	340	69	16	0	19	44	87	0	2	2	203	294	418	712	215	209	22	11	312	97	-1	-0	+0	+1	+11	1.1
ROS	34	MLB	SD	100%	260	233	58	11	0	12	25	55	0	3	1	249	322	451	772	202	282	21	10	350	126	+8	+0	-0	+1	+7	1.6
ROS	34	MLB	SD	100%	260	233	58	11	0	12	25	55	0	3	1	249	322	451	772	202	278	21	10	343	120	+6	+0	-0	+1	+7	1.5
FULL	34	MLB	SD	—	650	573	127	27	0	31	69	142	0	5	3	222	305	431	736	209	236	22	11	319	102	+2	-0	+0	+2	+18	2.3
TOT	34	MLB	SD	—	650	573	127	27	0	31	69	142	0	5	3	222	305	431	736	209	236	22	11	322	104	+3	-0	+0	+2	+18	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	35	MLB	SD	100%	528	471	122	23	1	24	51	115	1	4	2	259	333	465	798	206	290	22	10	347	124	+14	+0	-6	+2	+15	2.6
2028	36	MLB	SD	100%	465	417	103	18	1	20	44	105	1	2	1	247	320	439	759	192	280	23	9	333	113	+7	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.6
2029	37	MLB	SD	100%	398	358	84	14	1	16	37	93	0	1	1	235	306	413	720	179	270	23	9	319	102	+1	-0	-7	+1	+11	0.6
2030	38	MLB	SD	100%	327	294	66	11	0	12	30	78	0	0	0	224	296	384	681	160	261	24	9	304	91	-3	+0	-8	+1	+9	-0.1
2031	39	MLB	SD	100%	251	227	48	7	0	9	22	61	0	0	0	211	281	361	642	150	251	24	9	289	80	-6	+0	-9	+1	+7	-0.6
2027	35	MLB	SD	100%	528	471	119	22	1	23	51	115	1	4	2	253	327	450	777	197	285	22	10	341	119	+11	+0	-6	+2	+15	2.3
2028	36	MLB	SD	100%	465	417	101	18	1	19	44	105	1	2	1	242	316	427	743	185	276	23	9	327	109	+4	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.3
2029	37	MLB	SD	100%	398	358	83	14	1	15	37	93	0	1	1	232	304	402	706	170	266	23	9	313	98	-1	-0	-7	+1	+11	0.4
2030	38	MLB	SD	100%	327	294	64	10	0	12	30	78	0	0	0	218	290	374	664	156	257	24	9	299	87	-5	+0	-8	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	39	MLB	SD	100%	251	227	47	7	0	8	22	61	0	0	0	207	277	344	621	137	248	24	9	285	76	-7	+0	-9	+1	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	10424	9424	2541	478	21	458	872	1940	32	123	46	270	334	471	804	201	293	19	8	352	127	+324	+6	+40	+44	+295	72.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	159	30	1	29	54	121	2	8	3	270	334	473	807	202	293	19	8	352	127	+20	+0	+2	+3	+18	4.5
Career	—			—	11313	10238	2745	529	31	484	935	2127	39	147	56	268	332	468	799	200	293	19	8	342	120	+258	+7	+40	+45	+321	68.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	158	30	2	28	54	122	2	8	3	269	332	469	802	201	293	19	8	342	120	+15	+0	+2	+3	+18	3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	19	A+	Frederick Keys	—	260	237	58	12	3	5	22	48	0	8	5	245	309	384	693	139	286	18	8	309	95	-2	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2011	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	170	145	40	8	2	6	23	25	1	3	1	276	379	483	861	207	296	15	14	379	148	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2012	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	202	191	50	8	3	7	9	38	0	2	0	262	295	445	740	183	293	19	4	321	104	+1	+0	+6	+2	+6	1.5
2012	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	459	402	107	26	5	11	48	70	6	13	4	266	353	438	791	172	297	15	10	351	127	+14	+1	—	—	+13	2.8
2013	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	710	667	189	51	3	14	29	113	2	6	7	283	315	432	747	148	322	16	4	325	107	+5	-2	+23	+3	+20	5.1
2014	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	354	327	91	14	0	12	20	68	3	2	0	278	326	431	757	153	317	19	6	333	113	+5	+0	+8	+1	+10	2.6
2015	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	713	633	181	30	1	35	70	111	4	20	8	286	361	502	863	216	297	16	10	377	147	+38	+1	+8	+3	+20	7.1
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	696	640	188	40	1	37	48	120	3	0	3	294	346	533	879	239	309	17	7	381	150	+39	-1	+9	+2	+20	7.0
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	690	630	163	33	1	33	50	115	1	9	4	259	314	471	786	213	265	17	7	341	119	+15	+0	-3	+2	+20	3.5
2018	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	709	632	188	35	3	37	70	104	2	14	2	297	369	538	907	241	304	15	10	394	160	+48	+2	+8	+8	+20	8.7
2019	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	661	587	150	21	2	32	65	128	6	5	3	256	336	462	798	206	274	19	10	352	127	+20	-0	-4	+2	+19	3.8
2020	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	254	224	68	12	1	16	26	37	0	6	3	304	376	580	956	277	297	15	10	408	171	+20	+0	+3	+1	+7	3.2
2021	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	640	564	157	31	2	28	63	102	2	12	3	278	353	489	842	211	290	16	10	365	137	+27	+1	+4	+2	+18	5.4
2022	30	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	644	578	172	37	1	32	63	133	1	9	1	298	368	531	899	234	337	21	10	392	158	+43	+1	+8	+2	+18	7.4
2023	31	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	601	543	140	21	0	30	50	109	2	3	2	258	323	462	785	204	268	18	8	343	121	+14	-0	+10	+2	+17	4.4
2024	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	643	593	163	30	0	29	45	124	1	11	2	275	327	472	799	197	302	19	7	350	126	+19	+1	+1	+2	+18	4.3
2025	33	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	678	615	169	33	0	27	55	131	3	14	3	275	337	460	797	185	307	19	8	351	127	+20	+2	-3	+2	+19	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	8195	7424	2069	396	18	369	663	1433	30	113	41	279	340	486	826	207	299	17	8	360	134	+315	+6	+76	+36	+232	67.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18 AS×6SS×4 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA	16	7,863	259	154	275	358	465	+28	+107	67.8	60.2
	/162	664	22	13	275	358	465	+2.4	+9.1	5.7	pk7: 53
#2Evan Longorialast yr '23 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA	16	8,206	342	58	264	333	471	+29	+110	61.2	51.8
	/162	664	28	5	264	333	471	+2.4	+8.9	4.9	pk7: 42
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 21 projected seasons	21	11,199	498	132	269	330	473	+5	+122	66.0	51.6
	/162	664	30	8	269	330	473	+0.3	+7.2	3.9	pk7: 37
#3Aramis Ramirezlast yr '15 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,647 PA	16	8,647	380	29	285	343	498	+17	+3	61.8	51.5
	/162	664	29	2	285	343	498	+1.3	+0.3	4.7	pk7: 41
#4Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#5Ryan Zimmermanlast yr '21 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,402 PA	16	7,402	284	43	277	341	475	-25	+13	44.3	40.6
	/162	664	25	4	277	341	475	-2.2	+1.2	4.0	pk7: 37
#6Eric Chavezlast yr '14 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,747 PA	14	5,747	247	48	270	344	481	+0	+36	41.1	38.0
	/162	664	29	6	270	344	481	+0.0	+4.2	4.7	pk7: 35

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manny Machado (OGILVIE)	34	58→65	51→55	40	50	222/305/431	209	236	31	5	22%	11%	104	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Steve Pearce 2017 · MLB	34	49→56	57→60	39→50	54	256/335/455	199	282	25	4	20%	10%	125	+3.5	248/327/426	178	282	21	3	20%	9%	115	+2.7	237/319/407	170	272	20	0	21%	9%	104	+0.8
✕Todd Frazier 2020 · MLB	34	43→51	55→60	42→50	52	231/320/413	183	262	24	6	22%	10%	109	+2.4	232/307/386	154	277	18	6	22%	8%	96	+1.5	236/303/383	147	298	14	3	24%	6%	92	+0.3
✕Jung Ho Kang 2019 · MLB	32	48→58	57→60	44→45	53	252/339/450	198	278	25	8	20%	9%	126	+3.5	230/290/423	193	291	24	7	29%	7%	98	+1.6	200/255/425	225	243	31	0	32%	6%	82	+0.2
✕Kole Calhoun 2022 · MLB	34	43→53	59→60	46→50	53	235/320/446	210	265	28	5	24%	10%	117	+2.9	217/284/370	153	273	18	4	27%	7%	82	+0.5	206/272/352	146	260	17	2	27%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Herbert Perry Jr. 2004 · MLB	34	51→61	54→55	45	50	260/319/441	180	274	22	6	15%	7%	115	+2.8	242/315/402	160	258	20	7	15%	8%	103	+1.9	221/307/360	140	223	20	0	12%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Ryan Zimmerman 2019 · MLB	34	51→60	60→65	45	50	270/333/495	224	298	28	4	20%	8%	135	+4.2	259/321/449	190	302	23	4	22%	8%	118	+3.0	250/305/436	186	299	23	0	24%	7%	107	+0.9
●Casey Blake 2007 · MLB	33	50→56	56→60	44→45	52	262/336/460	197	295	24	7	20%	9%	127	+3.6	269/342/449	180	313	20	5	20%	9%	126	+3.5	270/347/448	177	316	19	3	20%	9%	120	+3.2
✕Izzy Alcantara 2007 · AAA	34	49	55→60	40→45	53	253/332/432	179	286	23	8	21%	10%	118	+3.0	241/306/420	179	288	22	8	24%	8%	105	+2.1	226/292/425	199	264	26	2	25%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Eduardo Escobar 2023 · MLB	34	47→57	56→60	43→50	48	246/304/443	197	281	24	2	22%	8%	109	+2.4	237/291/392	155	292	17	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	225/270/344	120	286	12	4	25%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Jesus Valdez 2019 · AAA	34	54→64	58→60	44→45	45	283/325/487	204	300	27	6	16%	5%	130	+3.8	261/298/431	170	284	22	6	17%	5%	104	+2.0	270/304/441	171	287	25	1	16%	4%	105	+1.3
●Jose Valentin 2004 · MLB	34	44→52	61→65	45→50	52	242/313/467	224	258	29	8	20%	9%	120	+3.1	231/310/444	213	258	27	9	22%	10%	112	+2.6	229/311/442	213	255	27	9	22%	10%	106	+1.4
✕Hanley Ramirez 2018 · MLB	34	47→57	57→60	42→60	52	250/323/441	191	274	26	6	20%	9%	117	+2.9	241/315/407	166	278	21	8	21%	9%	105	+2.1	242/304/376	135	270	18	12	18%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Russell Martin 2018 · MLB	35	44→54	54→55	39→50	57	231/335/407	176	274	23	4	24%	12%	114	+2.7	223/340/367	144	274	18	4	24%	13%	106	+2.2	206/339/330	125	253	16	1	24%	14%	93	+0.6
✕Saul Soto 2014 · AAA	35	48→58	55→60	43→45	50	252/320/434	183	293	24	5	23%	9%	114	+2.7	247/320/386	139	296	17	4	21%	9%	102	+1.8	248/333/357	109	292	11	2	18%	11%	98	+1.2
✕George Arias 2006 · AAA	34	47	59→60	49→40	49	254/306/457	204	260	28	6	16%	7%	114	+2.7	241/298/434	193	248	26	6	15%	7%	105	+2.1	228/290/431	203	219	29	1	13%	7%	100	+1.0
●Kyle Seager 2021 · MLB	33	45→55	57→60	47→50	54	241/322/442	201	257	25	6	18%	10%	117	+2.9	231/307/453	222	254	30	6	23%	9%	114	+2.7	217/291/452	235	232	33	3	24%	9%	104	+2.2
✕Ryan Raburn 2014 · MLB	33	47→57	56→60	44→50	47	244/309/441	197	292	23	4	25%	8%	111	+2.5	234/309/404	170	287	19	3	25%	9%	102	+1.8	235/322/408	173	316	19	1	30%	10%	104	+0.7
●Juan Uribe 2011 · MLB	32	51→61	56→60	41→50	49	263/318/457	194	284	23	3	17%	7%	118	+3.0	242/302/391	149	278	16	5	19%	7%	95	+1.4	285/333/438	154	333	17	3	19%	6%	114	+1.9
✕Olmedo Saenz 2005 · MLB	34	51	59→60	46→30	50	266/343/469	203	307	28	6	23%	9%	132	+4.0	261/331/473	212	293	26	3	20%	8%	129	+3.7	255/330/472	216	282	26	0	20%	8%	125	+1.3
✕Charles Johnson 2004 · MLB	33	44→54	56→60	37→30	54	235/316/429	194	267	23	3	22%	10%	111	+2.5	237/336/419	182	286	20	5	23%	12%	116	+2.8	234/348/425	191	289	22	3	25%	14%	120	+1.9