TJ Rumfield
1B Colorado Rockies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 562 | .278/.351/.427 | 16 | 4 | 88 | — | .272/.331/.392 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 587 | .285/.383/.447 | 16 | 5 | 87 | — | .241/.314/.358 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBCOL | 631 | .300/.391/.453 | 16 | 0 | 133 | 2.8 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBCOL | 585 | .264/.352/.422 | 16 | 2 | 109 | 1.3 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 560 | .262/.349/.415 | 15 | 1 | 107 | 1.0 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 29 | MLBCOL | 544 | .258/.346/.407 | 14 | 1 | 104 | 0.8 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 101 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 430 | 263 | 693 | 13 | 288 | 11 | 21 | 341 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 231 | 197 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 45 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 384 | 411 | 795 | 127 | 347 | 19 | 13 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 65 | 55 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 484 | 582 | 1.066 | 182 | 477 | 17 | 14 | 462 | 199 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 350 | 297 | 65 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 75 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 219 | 326 | 438 | 763 | 219 | 227 | 21 | 11 | 335 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 429 | 762 | 143 | 308 | 12 | 6 | 317 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 474 | 421 | 123 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 78 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 292 | 367 | 461 | 828 | 169 | 326 | 16 | 9 | 367 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 34 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 321 | 441 | 357 | 798 | 36 | 375 | 12 | 18 | 374 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 54 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 148 | 204 | 352 | 56 | 156 | 15 | 0 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 499 | 142 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 70 | 108 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 285 | 383 | 447 | 830 | 162 | 329 | 18 | 12 | 368 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 547 | 164 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 453 | 844 | 154 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 378 | 133 | +24 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +14 | 2.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 631 | 547 | 164 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 453 | 844 | 154 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 378 | 142 | +31 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +14 | 3.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 101 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 360 | 232 | 592 | 12 | 264 | 15 | 15 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 231 | 209 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 297 | 344 | 641 | 115 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 350 | 307 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 91 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 195 | 282 | 365 | 647 | 169 | 218 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 429 | 762 | 143 | 247 | 19 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 474 | 434 | 117 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 270 | 327 | 396 | 723 | 127 | 314 | 20 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 34 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 382 | 333 | 716 | 33 | 352 | 15 | 12 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 523 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 241 | 314 | 358 | 672 | 117 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 547 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 378 | 422 | 801 | 137 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 364 | 133 | +24 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 101 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 360 | 232 | 592 | 12 | 265 | 15 | 15 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 101 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 430 | 263 | 693 | 13 | 288 | 11 | 21 | 341 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 268 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 297 | 343 | 640 | 112 | 297 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 296 | 252 | 78 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 56 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 310 | 406 | 448 | 855 | 139 | 376 | 19 | 13 | 381 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 322 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 94 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 196 | 279 | 360 | 639 | 165 | 225 | 26 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 366 | 311 | 69 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 40 | 77 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 326 | 437 | 763 | 215 | 232 | 21 | 11 | 334 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 562 | 514 | 138 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 268 | 327 | 387 | 715 | 119 | 319 | 20 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 562 | 503 | 140 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 90 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 278 | 351 | 427 | 778 | 149 | 310 | 16 | 9 | 347 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 523 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 241 | 314 | 358 | 672 | 117 | 297 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 499 | 142 | 31 | 1 | 16 | 70 | 108 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 285 | 383 | 447 | 830 | 162 | 329 | 18 | 12 | 368 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 547 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 285 | 378 | 422 | 801 | 137 | 316 | 14 | 11 | 364 | 133 | +24 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 547 | 164 | 30 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 453 | 844 | 154 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 378 | 133 | +24 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +14 | 2.8 |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 101 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 360 | 232 | 592 | 12 | 264 | 15 | 15 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 296 | 269 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 297 | 342 | 639 | 112 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 366 | 326 | 63 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 94 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 193 | 279 | 356 | 634 | 163 | 219 | 26 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 562 | 512 | 138 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 270 | 327 | 389 | 716 | 119 | 317 | 20 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 526 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 314 | 356 | 670 | 116 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 544 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 378 | 425 | 803 | 138 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 562 | 512 | 138 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 270 | 327 | 389 | 716 | 119 | 317 | 20 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 587 | 526 | 126 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 314 | 356 | 670 | 116 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 631 | 544 | 156 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 86 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 378 | 425 | 803 | 138 | 331 | 14 | 11 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 598 | 522 | 132 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 62 | 96 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 340 | 393 | 733 | 141 | 280 | 16 | 10 | 329 | 109 | +6 | +0 | +4 | -11 | +13 | 1.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 585 | 511 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 94 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 264 | 352 | 422 | 773 | 157 | 293 | 16 | 10 | 345 | 109 | +6 | +0 | +4 | -10 | +13 | 1.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 98% | 571 | 499 | 125 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 93 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 338 | 387 | 726 | 138 | 279 | 16 | 10 | 326 | 107 | +5 | -0 | +3 | -10 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 98% | 555 | 485 | 120 | 23 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 92 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 246 | 335 | 380 | 715 | 134 | 277 | 17 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +0 | +3 | -10 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 98% | 539 | 471 | 114 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 91 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 331 | 371 | 701 | 128 | 274 | 17 | 10 | 317 | 100 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 98% | 560 | 489 | 129 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 58 | 91 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 349 | 415 | 764 | 154 | 291 | 16 | 10 | 341 | 107 | +5 | -0 | +3 | -10 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 98% | 544 | 475 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 90 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 346 | 407 | 752 | 149 | 289 | 17 | 10 | 337 | 104 | +3 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 98% | 528 | 462 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 89 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 341 | 396 | 737 | 142 | 286 | 17 | 10 | 331 | 100 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -9 | +11 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2263 | 1973 | 533 | 101 | 10 | 58 | 240 | 356 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 270 | 359 | 420 | 779 | 150 | 303 | 16 | 11 | 348 | 101 | +39 | +0 | +8 | -40 | +49 | 5.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 567 | 154 | 29 | 3 | 17 | 69 | 102 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 360 | 423 | 783 | 152 | 304 | 16 | 11 | 348 | 101 | +11 | +0 | +2 | -12 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4793 | 4222 | 1050 | 204 | 10 | 108 | 453 | 882 | 74 | 26 | 13 | 249 | 332 | 378 | 711 | 130 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +45 | +0 | +12 | -51 | +62 | 7.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 15 | 61 | 120 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 250 | 332 | 380 | 713 | 131 | 289 | 18 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +10 | +0 | +3 | -12 | +14 | 1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 587 PAwOBA .363 → .297 (−66)K% 18.4% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.40% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.75% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.04% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 22.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.93% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷0.944 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.033 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.070 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 89, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .363 → .297; ISO .162 → .122; BABIP .329 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 474 PAwOBA .359 → .313 (−45)K% 16.5% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.46% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 24.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .359 → .313; ISO .169 → .126; BABIP .326 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 34 PAwOBA .365 → .326 (−40)K% 11.8% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 12.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 31.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .326; ISO .036 → .036; BABIP .375 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 350 PAwOBA .332 → .284 (−48)K% 21.4% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.14% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.32% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 15.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.66% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .332 → .284; ISO .219 → .177; BABIP .227 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 16 PAwOBA .329 → .264 (−65)K% 12.5% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 16.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 14.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 12.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .329 → .264; ISO .143 → .112; BABIP .308 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 231 PAwOBA .351 → .281 (−70)K% 19.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.015 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.976 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.66% | ÷1.084 | ×0.870 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 7.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.850 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .351 → .281; ISO .127 → .114; BABIP .347 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 101 PAwOBA .337 → .286 (−51)K% 10.9% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.89% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 14.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 14.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.97% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.69% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 1.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .337 → .286; ISO .013 → .013; BABIP .288 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .