Josue De Paula — OGILVIE

Josue De PaulaCF Tulsa Drillers

Age 22 L/L 6'3" / 185 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†126

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .346 / .450

PA32

HR1

K%19

BB%12

BABIP284

ISO179

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$45M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 55 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

900.311

POWER63

Barrel%

7211.5

Avg EV

5189.2

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED41

Sprint

4227.1

DEFENSE41

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%15%▲▲12% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 18%

BB%15%▲▲26% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 11%

ISO.202▲.258 over 31 AB (60d) · proj .191

BABIP.293·.360 over 25 BIP (60d) · proj .291

SLASH.269/.381/.471▲▲proj .262/.347/.453

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$16M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$9M	+3.0	$23M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$17M	+3.4	$27M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$26M	+3.6	$27M	+$10M
Totals		$53M		$94M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	186	65	13	2	5	32	31	3	16	6	349	452	522	974	172	395	14	14	429	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	282	80	15	2	2	46	61	8	14	3	284	396	372	769	89	353	18	14	352	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	230	177	45	6	0	4	50	38	2	13	3	254	424	356	780	102	301	17	22	365	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	251	208	58	11	3	6	34	57	5	14	0	279	391	447	838	168	351	23	14	371	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	19	18	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0		53		53			26	5	37	-97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	426	342	90	16	1	12	81	86	2	32	8	263	407	421	828	158	318	20	19	376	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	42	31	10	3	1	1	11	5	0	1	1	323	500	581	1.081	258	360	12	26	470	218	+6	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.9
2026	21	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	588	501	152	37	2	27	81	87	3	31	10	303	403	547	950	244	321	15	14	414	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	42	31	10	3	1	1	11	5	0	1	1	323	500	581	1.081	258	360	12	26	470	204	+5	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	194	43	9	1	2	24	37	3	16	6	222	317	309	626	88	261	17	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	296	78	13	2	2	34	85	8	14	3	264	355	341	696	78	352	25	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	230	192	44	6	0	3	35	49	2	13	3	229	354	307	661	78	283	21	15	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	251	217	47	9	3	4	26	80	5	14	0	217	315	341	656	124	308	32	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	19	18	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0		53		53			32	5	25	-97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	426	364	82	14	1	10	59	112	2	32	8	225	336	352	688	126	295	26	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	42	31	10	3	1	1	11	5	0	1	1	323	500	581	1.081	258	360	12	26	490	218	+6	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.9
2026	21	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	588	524	142	33	2	23	58	106	3	31	10	271	347	473	820	202	298	18	10	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	194	43	9	1	2	24	37	3	16	6	222	317	309	626	88	261	17	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	186	65	13	2	5	32	31	3	16	6	349	452	522	974	172	395	14	14	429	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	296	78	13	2	2	34	85	8	14	3	264	355	341	696	78	360	25	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	282	80	15	2	2	46	61	8	14	3	284	396	372	769	89	353	18	14	352	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	409	92	15	3	8	61	129	7	27	3	225	335	335	670	110	304	27	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	481	385	103	17	3	10	84	95	7	27	3	268	407	405	812	138	327	20	17	369	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	445	383	82	14	1	10	59	118	2	32	8	214	322	334	656	120	281	27	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	445	360	90	16	1	12	82	91	2	32	8	250	392	400	792	150	302	20	18	362	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	630	555	152	36	3	24	69	111	3	32	11	274	357	479	837	205	303	18	11	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	630	532	162	40	3	28	92	92	3	32	11	305	410	549	959	244	323	15	15	418	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	194	43	9	1	2	24	37	3	16	6	222	317	309	626	88	261	17	11	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	295	78	13	2	2	34	85	8	14	3	264	355	342	697	78	352	25	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	410	92	15	3	8	61	129	7	27	3	224	335	334	670	110	296	27	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	445	381	82	14	1	10	59	118	2	32	8	215	322	336	658	121	282	27	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	630	553	152	36	3	24	69	111	3	32	11	275	357	481	838	206	302	18	11	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	481	410	92	15	3	8	61	129	7	27	3	224	335	334	670	110	296	27	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	445	381	82	14	1	10	59	118	2	32	8	215	322	336	658	121	282	27	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	630	553	152	36	3	24	69	111	3	32	11	275	357	481	838	206	302	18	11	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	10%	648	567	149	33	3	23	72	117	4	23	6	263	349	453	803	191	291	18	11	354	126	+20	+2	-6	+2	+14	1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	10%	32	28	7	2	0	1	4	6	0	1	0	259	346	450	795	191	284	19	12	351	126	+1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	63%	648	567	150	33	3	24	72	117	4	23	6	264	351	458	808	193	292	18	11	356	127	+21	+2	-5	+2	+14	3.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	648	568	151	32	3	25	71	117	4	23	6	267	353	469	822	202	293	18	11	361	131	+24	+2	-4	+2	+14	3.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	83%	648	568	152	32	3	26	71	118	4	23	6	268	354	475	829	207	294	18	11	364	132	+25	+2	-3	+2	+14	4.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAD	86%	648	568	152	32	3	27	71	119	4	23	6	269	354	479	832	210	294	18	11	365	133	+26	+2	-3	+2	+14	4.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAD	85%	648	568	152	32	3	27	71	120	4	22	6	268	353	476	829	208	293	19	11	364	132	+25	+2	-3	+2	+14	4.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAD	84%	641	562	149	31	3	26	70	120	4	19	6	266	351	471	822	206	293	19	11	361	131	+23	+1	-4	+2	+14	3.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAD	82%	629	552	146	31	3	25	68	119	4	16	5	263	348	465	814	202	292	19	11	358	128	+21	+1	-5	+2	+14	3.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAD	81%	616	541	142	30	3	24	67	119	3	12	4	261	345	458	803	197	290	19	11	353	125	+19	+1	-5	+2	+13	3.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	LAD	80%	604	531	137	29	2	23	65	119	3	7	3	257	340	448	788	191	288	20	11	348	121	+15	+0	-6	+2	+13	2.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	LAD	80%	592	521	130	27	2	21	63	119	3	3	3	251	334	435	769	184	284	20	11	340	116	+11	-1	-7	+2	+13	2.0
2038	33	MLB MLE	LAD	80%	547	483	118	24	2	19	57	113	2	2	2	244	327	418	745	174	279	21	10	330	110	+6	-0	-7	+2	+12	1.3
2039	34	MLB MLE	LAD	75%	499	444	104	20	2	16	51	107	1	1	1	235	317	398	715	163	272	21	10	318	102	+1	-0	-7	+2	+11	0.6
2040	35	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	443	395	89	17	1	13	44	99	1	1	1	226	306	376	682	150	265	22	10	305	93	-4	-0	-8	+2	+10	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	63%	406	356	92	19	2	15	45	73	2	15	4	260	347	454	801	194	285	18	11	353	127	+13	+1	-3	+1	+9	2.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	500	438	115	24	2	20	55	90	3	18	5	263	350	466	816	203	287	18	11	359	131	+18	+2	-3	+2	+11	3.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	83%	539	472	125	25	2	23	59	98	3	19	5	265	350	473	823	208	287	18	11	361	132	+21	+2	-3	+2	+12	3.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAD	86%	555	485	129	26	2	24	61	102	4	19	5	265	351	476	827	211	287	18	11	363	133	+22	+2	-3	+2	+12	3.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAD	85%	549	481	128	26	2	24	60	101	3	19	5	264	350	474	823	210	287	18	11	361	132	+21	+2	-3	+2	+12	3.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAD	84%	541	474	124	25	2	23	59	101	3	16	5	262	348	469	817	207	286	19	11	359	131	+20	+1	-3	+2	+12	3.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAD	82%	517	453	119	24	2	22	56	98	3	13	4	260	345	463	808	203	285	19	11	355	128	+17	+1	-4	+2	+11	2.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAD	81%	499	439	113	23	2	20	54	96	3	10	3	257	342	455	797	198	284	19	11	351	125	+15	+1	-4	+2	+11	2.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	LAD	80%	486	429	109	22	2	19	52	96	2	6	3	253	337	446	783	192	281	20	11	345	121	+12	+0	-5	+2	+11	2.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	LAD	80%	474	419	104	21	1	18	50	95	2	2	2	248	331	432	764	185	278	20	11	338	116	+9	-0	-5	+2	+10	1.6
2038	33	MLB CTX	LAD	80%	437	386	93	18	1	16	46	91	2	2	1	241	324	416	740	175	273	21	11	328	110	+5	+0	-6	+2	+9	1.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	LAD	75%	376	333	78	15	1	13	39	81	1	1	1	232	314	396	710	164	267	22	10	316	102	+1	-0	-6	+1	+8	0.4
2040	35	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	314	279	62	11	1	10	31	70	1	1	1	223	303	374	677	151	259	22	10	303	93	-3	-0	-6	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6235	5475	1401	282	23	248	678	1197	32	142	45	256	341	452	793	196	284	19	11	349	119	+177	+10	-53	+24	+135	30.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	145	29	2	26	71	125	3	15	5	254	340	448	788	194	281	19	11	349	119	+18	+1	-6	+3	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	10250	8984	2292	473	45	353	1124	2044	66	307	89	255	342	436	778	181	292	20	11	344	119	+228	+14	-71	+31	+177	38.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	145	30	3	22	71	130	4	19	6	254	341	433	774	179	292	20	11	344	119	+18	+1	-6	+2	+14	3.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Hanley Ramirezlast yr '19 ROYAS×3SS×3 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,125 PA	10.7	7,125	271	281	289	361	486	+22	-34	53.0	49.0
/162	664	25	26	+2.1	-3.2	4.9	pk7: 45
#2Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#3Grady Sizemorelast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,724 PA	7.1	4,724	150	143	265	349	457	+7	+20	32.3	33.1
/162	664	21	20	+1.0	+2.8	4.5	pk7: 34
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	9.4	6,227	238	142	260	340	454	+6	-35	37.4	31.9
/162	664	25	15	+0.7	-3.7	4.0	pk7: 26
#4Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Casey Blakelast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,966 PA	7.5	4,966	165	33	264	337	444	+3	+16	26.5	25.2
/162	664	22	4	+0.4	+2.2	3.5	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josue De Paula (OGILVIE)	22	46→55	52→63	39→41	63	260/347/449	189	291	11	11	18%	11%	126	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→61	54→60	54→55	53	273/345/463	190	316	21	17	20%	10%	128	+3.3	269/344/470	201	314	25	7	22%	10%	129	+3.4	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	51→55	53→60	46→50	47	259/324/431	172	322	20	10	26%	8%	113	+2.3	262/329/447	185	304	24	9	22%	9%	118	+2.7	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→62	53→65	48→50	56	279/347/459	180	297	21	12	14%	9%	127	+3.3	259/309/424	165	282	19	10	16%	6%	105	+1.7	298/336/528	230	297	31	1	12%	5%	140	+4.3
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	55→62	51→60	52→55	45	274/322/446	172	332	16	21	22%	6%	115	+2.4	283/327/467	184	336	21	18	22%	6%	122	+3.0	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
★Corey Seager 2017 · MLB	23	58→62	54→65	46→45	46	290/339/483	193	336	20	5	20%	6%	130	+3.5	286/350/471	185	335	20	4	20%	8%	131	+3.6	281/349/508	228	296	29	2	16%	9%	141	+3.8
●Eric Chavez 2001 · MLB	23	51→53	58→65	44→45	54	268/337/476	207	284	26	4	17%	9%	128	+3.3	274/328/504	230	289	29	7	17%	7%	131	+3.6	271/346/497	226	283	29	7	16%	10%	137	+4.2
●Jason Heyward 2012 · MLB	22	50→59	53→55	50	57	255/346/432	177	292	20	11	20%	11%	120	+2.8	259/337/437	178	299	21	14	20%	10%	119	+2.7	264/342/431	167	302	19	15	19%	10%	120	+2.7
★Gunnar Henderson 2024 · MLB	23	49→56	55→60	55	49	250/326/449	199	320	22	13	28%	10%	117	+2.6	259/334/459	200	307	23	17	23%	9%	123	+3.0	252/331/444	192	295	22	17	22%	9%	119	+3.2
★Adam Dunn 2003 · MLB	23	48→49	59→70	47→50	63	250/373/471	222	303	26	14	25%	15%	139	+4.2	242/361/498	256	285	33	9	27%	14%	141	+4.3	243/362/519	277	281	37	5	27%	15%	147	+5.4
✕Jeremy Hermida 2008 · MLB	24	54→59	52→55	46→50	53	271/349/447	177	324	18	8	22%	10%	125	+3.2	254/323/407	153	311	18	6	23%	9%	107	+1.8	250/317/396	146	313	17	4	25%	8%	101	+1.0
●Brian McCann 2007 · MLB	23	56→62	56→60	44→45	51	291/343/490	199	299	24	4	13%	7%	133	+3.7	281/337/480	199	294	22	4	13%	7%	128	+3.4	278/355/480	202	295	24	5	14%	10%	136	+3.7
●Colby Rasmus 2011 · MLB	24	49→54	55→65	46→50	49	254/319/438	184	302	22	11	24%	9%	112	+2.2	239/304/423	184	289	22	6	24%	8%	103	+1.6	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
★Ryan Zimmerman 2007 · MLB	22	58→59	52→65	42→45	49	288/339/467	179	328	17	8	18%	7%	126	+3.2	275/332/462	187	307	20	5	17%	8%	122	+3.0	289/358/487	198	317	24	3	17%	9%	139	+4.0
●Austin Kearns 2004 · MLB	24	55→64	55→60	47→45	58	280/370/467	186	321	22	9	20%	11%	137	+4.0	256/342/458	202	309	23	6	24%	11%	126	+3.2	258/346/445	187	301	20	4	20%	10%	125	+3.2
●Stephen Drew 2006 · AA	23	51→57	56→55	43→45	50	263/328/463	201	308	23	7	22%	8%	122	+2.9	257/308/420	163	296	16	6	18%	7%	103	+1.6	268/323/446	179	301	15	6	16%	7%	116	+2.6
★Bryce Harper 2015 · MLB	22	53→61	54→65	49→50	52	267/339/447	181	316	21	10	22%	10%	122	+2.9	281/380/518	237	318	30	10	20%	14%	152	+5.1	284/390/537	253	312	32	10	20%	14%	161	+5.7
★Justin Upton 2011 · MLB	23	54→59	54→65	51→55	51	269/343/457	188	340	21	16	26%	10%	126	+3.2	270/344/458	188	317	22	16	21%	9%	126	+3.2	259/337/490	231	323	31	10	29%	10%	132	+3.8
●Evan Longoria 2008 · AAA	22	50→57	55→65	47→50	47	261/325/448	187	306	24	5	23%	7%	118	+2.6	268/337/486	218	311	26	9	22%	8%	130	+3.5	266/348/500	234	289	28	8	19%	10%	138	+4.4
✕Andy LaRoche 2007 · AAA	23	53→57	54→55	45	50	271/333/448	178	304	22	8	19%	8%	120	+2.8	249/326/399	150	278	17	7	17%	10%	106	+1.8	240/324/380	140	265	15	5	15%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	46→48	53→55	45	50	238/315/406	168	271	22	7	21%	8%	104	+1.6	238/301/417	179	290	25	5	26%	7%	101	+1.4	230/285/405	175	287	26	2	29%	6%	94	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps