Josue De Paula — OGILVIE

Josue De PaulaCF Tulsa Drillers

Age 21 L/L 6'3" / 185 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 256 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†114

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .339 / .416

PA256

HR7

SB13

K%20

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO159

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED41

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$21M	+$20M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$23M	+$23M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$25M	+$25M
2030	Arb-1	$9M	+4.3	$25M	+$20M
2031	Arb-2	$15M	+4.5	$25M	+$16M
2032	Arb-3	$23M	+4.5	$23M	+$11M
Totals		$50M		$143M	+$113M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	195	52	11	2	4	23	43	3	16	6	267	353	405	758	138	320	19	10	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	186	65	13	2	5	32	31	3	16	6	349	452	522	974	172	395	14	14	429	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	296	76	12	2	2	34	86	8	14	3	257	349	331	680	74	352	25	10	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	282	80	15	2	2	46	61	8	14	3	284	396	372	769	89	353	18	14	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	481	410	83	14	2	8	60	135	7	27	3	202	314	305	619	102	277	28	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	481	385	103	17	3	10	84	95	7	27	3	268	407	405	812	138	327	20	17	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	445	386	79	15	1	10	56	128	2	32	8	205	309	326	635	122	277	29	13	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	445	360	90	16	1	12	82	91	2	32	8	250	392	400	792	150	302	20	18	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	LAD	—	384	346	97	23	1	14	36	66	1	25	5	280	350	474	824	194	311	17	9	357	131	+14	+3	+0	+1	+11	2.9
YTD	21	AA	LAD	—	384	329	106	27	1	15	53	51	1	25	5	322	418	547	965	225	345	13	14	422	181	+35	+3	+0	+1	+11	5.2
ROS	21	AA	LAD	12%	256	226	58	13	1	7	27	52	1	13	3	257	339	416	755	159	297	20	11	334	114	+4	+1	-2	+1	+7	1.2
ROS	21	MLB	LAD	12%	31	28	6	1	0	1	3	6	0	2	0	214	290	357	647	143	293	19	10	326	107	+0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
FULL	21	AA	LAD	—	415	374	103	24	1	15	39	72	1	27	5	275	345	465	811	190	306	17	9	355	130	+14	+3	-0	+1	+12	3.1
TOT	21	AA	LAD	—	640	572	155	36	2	21	63	118	2	38	8	271	345	451	796	180	308	18	10	348	124	+18	+4	-2	+2	+18	4.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	LAD	54%	581	512	131	28	2	17	61	117	3	24	5	256	339	418	757	162	297	20	10	337	116	+11	+3	-5	+2	+16	2.8
2028	23	MLB	LAD	68%	609	536	140	29	2	21	64	121	4	25	5	261	344	440	785	179	298	20	11	346	123	+16	+3	-5	+2	+17	3.4
2029	24	MLB	LAD	71%	627	552	146	30	2	24	66	124	4	25	5	264	347	457	804	192	299	20	11	354	129	+21	+3	-5	+2	+18	4.0
2030	25	MLB	LAD	72%	638	562	151	31	2	26	67	125	4	25	5	269	351	470	820	201	300	20	11	360	133	+24	+3	-5	+2	+18	4.3
2031	26	MLB	LAD	73%	637	560	151	31	2	27	68	125	4	25	5	270	353	477	830	207	300	20	11	363	136	+26	+3	-5	+2	+18	4.5
2032	27	MLB	LAD	72%	629	552	148	30	2	26	68	124	4	24	5	268	353	471	824	203	300	20	11	363	136	+26	+3	-5	+2	+18	4.5
2033	28	MLB	LAD	71%	619	543	145	29	2	26	67	122	4	22	4	267	352	471	823	204	299	20	11	363	136	+25	+3	-6	+2	+18	4.3
2034	29	MLB	LAD	69%	609	534	143	29	2	25	66	122	4	20	4	268	353	470	823	202	299	20	11	361	134	+24	+2	-6	+2	+17	4.0
2035	30	MLB	LAD	68%	598	524	139	28	2	24	65	121	4	17	3	265	351	464	814	198	298	20	11	358	132	+22	+2	-7	+2	+17	3.7
2036	31	MLB	LAD	68%	587	514	135	27	2	23	64	121	4	14	3	263	349	457	806	195	296	21	11	354	129	+20	+2	-7	+2	+17	3.3
2037	32	MLB	LAD	67%	576	505	129	26	1	22	63	121	3	12	2	255	342	442	783	186	293	21	11	349	125	+16	+2	-8	+2	+16	2.9
2038	33	MLB	LAD	67%	525	460	115	22	1	20	57	113	3	8	2	250	337	433	769	183	289	22	11	342	120	+12	+1	-8	+2	+15	2.1
2039	34	MLB	LAD	63%	478	421	102	19	1	17	51	106	3	5	1	242	328	413	742	171	283	22	11	332	112	+7	+1	-9	+2	+14	1.4
2040	35	MLB	LAD	58%	422	372	87	16	1	14	45	96	2	4	1	234	320	395	715	161	276	23	11	321	104	+2	+0	-9	+2	+12	0.7
2041	36	MLB	LAD	49%	362	319	73	12	1	12	38	86	2	2	0	229	315	386	700	157	270	24	10	310	95	-2	+0	-9	+1	+10	0.1
2042	37	MLB	LAD	40%	297	263	57	9	1	9	31	72	1	1	0	217	302	361	663	144	262	24	10	298	86	-5	+0	-9	+1	+8	-0.5
2043	38	MLB	LAD	26%	228	202	41	6	0	6	23	57	1	1	0	203	288	322	609	119	254	25	10	285	76	-6	+0	-10	+1	+6	-0.8
2027	22	MLB	LAD	54%	312	274	69	15	1	9	33	63	2	13	3	252	337	412	749	161	293	20	11	328	109	+3	+1	-2	+1	+9	1.2
2028	23	MLB	LAD	68%	414	366	94	20	1	14	43	82	2	17	3	257	338	432	770	175	294	20	10	337	116	+8	+2	-3	+1	+12	2.0
2029	24	MLB	LAD	71%	446	393	102	21	1	16	47	88	3	18	4	260	343	440	783	181	295	20	11	345	122	+11	+2	-4	+2	+13	2.4
2030	25	MLB	LAD	72%	462	407	108	22	2	18	49	91	3	18	4	265	349	462	811	197	295	20	11	350	126	+14	+2	-4	+2	+13	2.7
2031	26	MLB	LAD	73%	464	409	109	22	2	19	49	91	3	18	4	267	349	469	819	203	295	20	11	353	129	+15	+2	-4	+2	+13	2.9
2032	27	MLB	LAD	72%	451	396	104	21	1	18	49	89	3	17	3	263	348	457	805	194	295	20	11	354	129	+15	+2	-4	+2	+13	2.8
2033	28	MLB	LAD	71%	440	386	101	20	1	18	48	87	3	16	3	262	348	459	806	197	295	20	11	353	128	+14	+2	-4	+2	+12	2.7
2034	29	MLB	LAD	69%	422	370	96	19	1	17	46	84	3	14	3	259	346	454	800	195	295	20	11	351	127	+13	+2	-4	+2	+12	2.4
2035	30	MLB	LAD	68%	408	357	93	19	1	16	45	83	3	12	2	261	348	454	802	193	294	20	11	349	125	+12	+2	-5	+1	+12	2.2
2036	31	MLB	LAD	68%	397	349	89	18	1	15	43	82	2	10	2	255	340	441	781	186	292	21	11	345	122	+10	+1	-5	+1	+11	1.9
2037	32	MLB	LAD	67%	388	341	87	17	1	15	42	81	2	8	2	255	340	443	783	188	289	21	11	340	118	+8	+1	-5	+1	+11	1.6
2038	33	MLB	LAD	67%	353	310	77	15	1	13	38	76	2	6	1	248	334	429	763	181	285	22	11	333	113	+5	+1	-6	+1	+10	1.2
2039	34	MLB	LAD	63%	300	263	64	12	1	11	32	66	2	3	1	243	330	422	752	179	279	22	11	324	106	+2	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.6
2040	35	MLB	LAD	58%	246	217	51	9	1	8	26	56	1	2	0	235	320	396	716	161	272	23	11	314	98	-1	+0	-5	+1	+7	0.3
2041	36	MLB	LAD	49%	178	156	35	6	0	6	19	42	1	1	0	224	312	378	691	154	266	24	11	302	90	-2	+0	-5	+1	+5	-0.1
2042	37	MLB	LAD	40%	119	105	22	4	0	3	12	29	1	0	0	210	297	333	630	124	259	24	10	290	80	-3	+0	-4	+0	+3	-0.3
2043	38	MLB	LAD	26%	60	54	12	2	0	2	6	15	0	0	0	222	300	370	670	148	251	25	10	278	71	-2	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5891	5181	1319	263	16	219	630	1211	36	175	35	255	339	438	778	184	291	21	11	340	118	+122	+21	-71	+21	+167	26.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	146	29	2	24	70	134	4	19	4	255	341	439	780	184	293	21	11	340	118	+13	+2	-8	+2	+18	2.9
Career	—			—	10767	9444	2381	467	34	370	1164	2317	75	356	73	252	339	426	765	174	295	22	11	339	117	+211	+42	-120	+38	+305	48.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	143	28	2	22	70	140	5	21	4	251	338	423	761	172	294	22	11	339	117	+13	+3	-7	+2	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	223	186	65	13	2	5	32	31	3	16	6	349	452	522	974	172	395	14	14	429	186	+22	+1	—	—	+6	2.9
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	340	282	80	15	2	2	46	61	8	14	3	284	396	372	769	89	353	18	14	352	128	+11	+2	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	19	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	230	177	45	6	0	4	50	38	2	13	3	254	424	356	780	102	301	17	22	365	138	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	251	208	58	11	3	6	34	57	5	14	0	279	391	447	838	168	351	23	14	371	142	+12	+3	—	—	+7	2.2
2025	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	19	18	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0		53		53			26	5	37	-114	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	426	342	90	16	1	12	81	86	2	32	8	263	407	421	828	158	318	20	19	376	146	+22	+3	—	—	+12	3.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Grady Sizemorelast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,724 PA	10	4,724	150	143	265	349	457	+7	+20	32.3	33.1
	/162	664	21	20	265	349	457	+1.0	+2.8	4.5	pk7: 34
#3Vernon Wellslast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,118 PA	13	7,118	269	108	270	319	461	+0	-19	32.9	31.8
	/162	664	25	10	270	319	461	+0.0	-1.8	3.1	pk7: 31
#4Ray Durhamlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,139 PA	9	5,139	132	122	277	354	450	-1	+8	31.6	29.8
#4Ray Durhamlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,139 PA	/162	664	17	16	277	354	450	-0.2	+1.1	4.1	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,898	225	174	260	340	449	+3	-35	35.8	29.0
	/162	664	25	20	260	340	449	+0.4	-4.0	4.0	pk7: 22
#5Steve Finleylast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,059 PA	8	4,059	151	78	267	337	462	-2	-24	20.1	20.6
	/162	664	25	13	267	337	462	-0.4	-3.9	3.3	pk7: 21
#6Craig Biggiolast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 5,068 PA	8	5,068	139	68	266	338	428	-9	-33	20.3	20.2
	/162	664	18	9	266	338	428	-1.2	-4.3	2.7	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josue De Paula (OGILVIE)	21	43→55	51→63	39→41	64	271/345/451	180	308	21	38	18%	10%	124	+4.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→53	46→60	48→50	49	229/305/362	133	299	13	13	27%	9%	89	+0.9	214/286/331	117	295	10	13	29%	9%	72	-0.2	245/312/443	198	315	23	11	28%	8%	108	+1.4
●Gleyber Torres 2018 · AAA	21	49→53	45→60	46→50	44	235/295/364	129	315	11	14	28%	7%	84	+0.6	260/326/451	191	309	25	8	24%	8%	121	+3.2	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
●Joc Pederson 2013 · A	21	50→53	47→70	50→55	45	248/307/389	141	305	15	18	23%	7%	96	+1.5	227/308/395	168	301	21	20	30%	10%	98	+1.6	263/368/491	227	304	29	5	22%	12%	142	+3.3
●Jesse Winker 2016 · AA	22	50→60	46→55	47→45	50	246/316/376	130	304	13	7	23%	9%	96	+1.5	270/339/378	108	323	10	4	18%	9%	106	+2.2	276/373/504	228	297	28	1	17%	11%	150	+3.0
●Eddie Rosario 2013 · A	21	50→56	50→60	48→50	43	253/293/411	158	306	17	12	23%	6%	95	+1.4	244/277/387	143	307	13	10	24%	4%	82	+0.5	280/315/487	207	298	28	7	17%	5%	122	+3.2
●Logan Morrison 2010 · AA	22	53→61	48→65	46→45	50	260/324/405	145	309	14	8	20%	8%	107	+2.2	262/348/439	177	303	16	4	18%	11%	125	+3.5	260/351/452	192	294	18	2	17%	11%	127	+3.0
★Brian McCann 2006 · MLB	22	50→60	49→60	42→45	53	248/314/398	150	271	16	6	16%	8%	102	+1.8	288/348/488	200	301	23	4	13%	8%	139	+4.4	296/359/507	211	305	24	3	12%	8%	141	+4.1
★Troy Tulowitzki 2007 · MLB	22	50→57	47→60	46→50	47	248/308/388	140	293	14	8	20%	7%	96	+1.5	274/343/451	177	312	19	8	18%	9%	127	+3.6	282/358/481	198	314	22	9	17%	10%	135	+4.1
★Hank Blalock 2003 · MLB	22	46→56	46→65	47→45	53	227/313/359	132	287	13	6	25%	11%	91	+1.1	277/340/480	203	309	25	3	19%	9%	134	+4.1	276/340/479	202	307	25	1	19%	8%	129	+4.2
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	53→58	41→45	48→50	54	253/321/356	103	294	8	13	16%	9%	92	+1.2	215/289/317	102	264	9	9	21%	9%	70	-0.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
★Francisco Lindor 2015 · AAA	21	50→60	41→65	51→55	46	243/291/340	97	291	8	20	20%	6%	76	+0.0	273/325/417	144	309	14	16	16%	7%	110	+2.4	275/340/509	235	279	29	18	14%	8%	134	+4.8
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	50→60	45→55	48→55	47	245/294/372	127	273	11	12	15%	6%	85	+0.7	253/296/364	111	293	9	19	16%	5%	84	+0.6	274/349/416	141	313	13	20	16%	8%	116	+2.0
●Esteban Quiroz 2013 · AAA	21	48→58	42→55	49→45	45	232/284/342	110	276	9	9	19%	6%	74	-0.1	241/305/357	116	287	8	8	18%	7%	87	+0.8	295/366/433	138	328	15	7	14%	9%	131	+2.5
●Aaron Hicks 2011 · A	21	47→57	42→55	48→55	51	224/303/333	109	306	8	12	28%	10%	79	+0.3	220/292/355	135	307	11	16	30%	9%	81	+0.4	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
★Justin Upton 2009 · MLB	21	49→59	52→65	47→55	49	242/320/419	176	313	18	9	28%	10%	109	+2.4	274/351/475	201	342	22	16	25%	10%	136	+4.2	264/344/505	242	328	32	10	29%	10%	138	+4.6
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	53→62	47→60	53→55	44	262/305/410	148	319	13	19	22%	6%	100	+1.7	272/318/451	179	328	19	20	22%	6%	117	+2.9	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Andrew Benintendi 2016 · A	22	50→60	50→55	47→50	48	253/309/406	153	285	18	11	18%	7%	102	+1.8	255/320/406	151	290	13	15	16%	8%	105	+2.1	268/340/434	166	315	16	13	19%	9%	119	+3.1
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Jaff Decker 2010 · A	20	51→49	48→55	47→55	56	244/344/393	149	323	15	9	27%	12%	113	+2.6	218/300/401	183	287	23	9	31%	10%	98	+1.6	196/280/384	188	248	24	10	31%	9%	83	+0.4