Gabriel Moreno — OGILVIE

Gabriel MorenoC Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 26 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 3.355 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 122122vR 121

AVG/OBP/SLG.281 / .364 / .405

PA183

HR4

K%16

BB%11

BABIP322

ISO125

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.9%

xwOBA

820.345

POWER45

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

6290.0

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE55

Chase%

9019.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 691 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

197

494

—

wRC+

115

118

—

wOBA

336

340

—

ISO

115

139

▶▶R

BABIP

322

315

—

11.7%

17.6%

◀◀L

BB%

9.1%

10.1%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.355 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+1.8	$14M	+$13M
2027	Arb-2	$12M	+3.8	$28M	+$18M
2028	Arb-3	$18M	+3.8	$26M	+$12M
Totals		$31M		$68M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	135	127	26	3	1	0	4	7	0	5	4	205	229	244	473	39	210	5	3	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	135	125	31	4	1	0	6	5	0	5	4	248	282	296	578	48	250	4	4	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	167	156	42	12	1	3	4	28	4	2	1	269	305	417	722	147	305	17	2	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	167	153	55	17	2	4	7	20	4	2	1	359	402	575	978	216	386	12	4	420	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	341	315	73	14	4	8	14	57	7	7	1	232	280	378	658	146	255	17	4	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	341	307	86	17	5	12	22	38	7	7	1	280	342	485	828	205	282	11	6	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	70	59	22	5	0	1	11	6	0	1	0	373	471	508	980	136	404	9	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	70	59	22	5	0	1	11	6	0	1	0	373	471	508	980	136	404	9	16	438	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	2 teams	—	318	287	95	16	3	17	23	64	4	3	2	331	389	585	974	254	371	20	7	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	2 teams	—	318	272	92	20	2	10	38	46	4	3	2	338	427	537	964	199	373	14	12	420	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	2 teams	—	340	316	98	15	0	4	19	60	4	7	1	310	357	396	753	85	372	18	6	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	2 teams	—	340	307	97	17	0	4	28	53	4	7	1	316	381	410	791	94	371	16	8	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	380	341	95	18	1	7	29	75	3	6	2	279	340	399	739	120	331	20	8	324	106	+2	+0	+12	+7	+11	3.3
2023	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	380	341	97	19	1	7	29	75	3	6	2	284	346	408	753	123	338	20	8	333	113	+5	+0	+12	+7	+11	3.6
2024	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	351	305	79	17	1	5	41	52	2	3	1	259	351	370	721	111	295	15	12	322	105	+2	+0	+10	+6	+10	2.9
2024	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	351	305	81	18	1	5	41	52	2	3	1	266	356	380	737	115	303	15	12	333	113	+5	+0	+10	+6	+10	3.2
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	332	298	84	14	1	10	31	59	1	2	2	282	352	436	788	154	320	18	9	342	120	+7	-0	+11	+6	+9	3.4
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	332	297	87	15	1	11	32	58	1	2	2	293	364	461	825	168	330	17	10	365	137	+14	-0	+11	+6	+9	4.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	ARI	—	275	236	71	14	0	6	32	43	3	4	1	301	391	436	828	136	340	16	12	364	137	+11	+0	+2	+5	+8	2.7
YTD	26	MLB	ARI	—	275	236	71	14	0	6	32	43	3	4	1	301	391	436	828	136	340	16	12	368	140	+12	+0	+2	+5	+8	2.8
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	100%	183	160	45	8	0	4	20	30	1	2	1	281	364	405	769	125	326	16	11	353	128	+6	+0	+3	+3	+5	1.7
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	100%	183	160	45	8	0	4	20	30	1	2	1	281	365	406	771	125	328	16	11	350	126	+5	+0	+3	+3	+5	1.7
FULL	26	MLB	ARI	—	458	396	116	22	0	10	52	73	4	6	2	293	381	424	805	131	333	16	11	358	132	+17	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.4
TOT	26	MLB	ARI	—	458	396	116	22	0	10	52	73	4	6	2	293	380	424	804	131	333	16	11	359	133	+17	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	ARI	100%	409	359	101	18	1	9	44	67	3	5	1	281	365	412	777	131	324	16	11	352	127	+13	+1	+6	+7	+12	3.9
2028	28	MLB	ARI	100%	413	362	102	18	1	9	45	68	3	5	1	282	366	412	777	130	323	16	11	351	126	+12	+1	+5	+7	+12	3.8
2029	29	MLB	ARI	100%	407	357	101	18	1	9	44	68	3	5	1	283	366	415	781	132	322	17	11	349	125	+11	+1	+5	+7	+12	3.6
2030	30	MLB	ARI	100%	402	352	98	17	1	9	44	68	3	4	1	278	363	409	772	131	321	17	11	346	123	+10	+0	+4	+7	+11	3.4
2031	31	MLB	ARI	100%	375	328	91	16	1	8	41	64	3	3	1	277	363	405	768	128	318	17	11	341	119	+8	+0	+3	+7	+11	2.9
2032	32	MLB	ARI	100%	346	302	81	14	0	7	38	61	3	2	1	268	356	384	740	116	315	18	11	335	114	+6	+0	+2	+6	+10	2.4
2033	33	MLB	ARI	100%	308	270	71	12	0	6	33	56	2	2	0	263	348	374	722	111	310	18	11	327	108	+3	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.8
2034	34	MLB	ARI	96%	259	227	57	9	0	4	28	48	2	1	0	251	339	344	682	93	303	19	11	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+5	+7	1.2
2035	35	MLB	ARI	91%	206	181	44	7	0	3	22	40	1	1	0	243	328	331	660	88	295	19	11	306	92	-2	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.5
2027	27	MLB	ARI	100%	409	359	104	19	1	10	44	67	3	5	1	290	372	432	804	142	326	16	11	348	125	+11	+1	+6	+7	+12	3.8
2028	28	MLB	ARI	100%	413	362	104	19	1	10	45	68	3	5	1	287	371	428	799	141	326	16	11	347	124	+11	+1	+5	+7	+12	3.7
2029	29	MLB	ARI	100%	407	357	101	18	1	9	44	68	3	5	1	283	366	415	781	132	325	17	11	346	123	+10	+1	+5	+7	+12	3.5
2030	30	MLB	ARI	100%	402	352	100	18	1	9	44	68	3	4	1	284	368	418	786	134	324	17	11	343	120	+9	+0	+4	+7	+11	3.3
2031	31	MLB	ARI	100%	375	328	91	16	1	8	41	64	3	3	1	277	363	405	768	128	321	17	11	338	117	+7	+0	+3	+7	+11	2.8
2032	32	MLB	ARI	100%	346	302	82	14	0	7	38	61	3	2	1	272	359	387	746	116	317	18	11	332	112	+5	+0	+2	+6	+10	2.3
2033	33	MLB	ARI	100%	308	270	71	12	0	6	33	56	2	2	0	263	348	374	722	111	312	18	11	324	106	+2	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.7
2034	34	MLB	ARI	96%	247	216	55	9	0	4	27	46	2	1	0	255	343	352	695	97	305	19	11	314	99	-0	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.0
2035	35	MLB	ARI	91%	187	164	40	6	0	3	20	36	1	1	0	244	330	335	665	91	298	19	11	304	90	-2	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4390	3862	1072	189	8	92	459	752	30	41	12	278	359	402	761	125	322	17	10	337	116	+80	+3	+60	+84	+124	35.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	159	28	1	14	68	111	4	6	2	278	358	404	762	126	322	17	10	337	116	+12	+0	+9	+12	+18	5.3
Career	—			—	5742	5102	1405	251	17	123	535	978	49	66	21	275	350	404	753	128	317	17	9	330	110	+68	+5	+60	+103	+163	40.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	159	28	2	14	61	111	6	7	2	275	351	403	754	128	317	17	9	330	110	+8	+1	+7	+12	+18	4.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	135	125	31	4	1	0	6	5	0	5	4	248	282	296	578	48	250	4	4	255	54	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2018	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	167	153	55	17	2	4	7	20	4	2	1	359	402	575	978	216	386	12	4	420	180	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2019	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	341	307	86	17	5	12	22	38	7	7	1	280	342	485	828	205	282	11	6	359	133	+13	+1	—	—	+10	2.4
2020	20	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	70	59	22	5	0	1	11	6	0	1	0	373	471	508	980	136	404	9	16	438	193	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2021	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	145	126	47	9	1	8	14	22	3	1	2	373	448	651	1.098	278	398	15	10	469	217	+19	-1	—	—	+4	2.3
2021	21	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	173	146	45	11	1	2	24	24	1	2	0	308	409	438	848	130	352	14	14	378	148	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2022	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	73	69	22	1	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	319	356	377	733	58	350	11	5	332	112	+1	+0	+4	+6	+2	1.4
2022	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	267	238	75	16	0	3	24	45	4	7	1	315	387	420	807	105	377	17	9	364	137	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.0
2023	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	380	341	97	19	1	7	29	75	3	6	2	284	346	408	753	123	338	20	8	333	113	+5	+0	+12	+7	+11	3.6
2024	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	351	305	81	18	1	5	41	52	2	3	1	266	356	380	737	115	303	15	12	333	113	+5	+0	+10	+6	+10	3.2
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	309	277	79	12	1	9	29	53	1	2	2	285	355	433	788	148	323	17	9	350	126	+9	-0	+11	+6	+9	3.5
2025	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	23	20	8	3	0	2	3	5	0	0	0	400	478	850	1.328	450	462	22	13	557	285	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1113	992	279	50	3	22	103	188	6	11	5	281	352	404	757	123	324	17	9	338	116	+21	+0	+37	+25	+32	11.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#2Wilson Ramoslast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,786 PA	12	3,786	136	1	271	318	432	+68	+61	28.0	26.7
	/162	664	24	0	271	318	432	+11.9	+10.7	4.9	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	4,912	102	47	278	355	403	+81	+117	32.5	26.5
	/162	664	14	6	278	355	403	+11.0	+15.8	4.4	pk7: 20
#3Paul Lo Ducalast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,178 PA	9	4,178	77	19	287	338	411	+45	+42	25.5	25.7
	/162	664	12	3	287	338	411	+7.2	+6.7	4.1	pk7: 26
#4Marco Scutarolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,435 PA	11	5,435	76	55	278	342	389	+45	+27	27.4	25.6
	/162	664	9	7	278	342	389	+5.5	+3.3	3.4	pk7: 24
#5Gregg Zaunlast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,146 PA	11	3,146	75	14	256	349	399	+41	+68	24.5	23.0
	/162	664	16	3	256	349	399	+8.7	+14.3	5.2	pk7: 21
#6Francisco Cervellilast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,611 PA	11	2,611	41	17	269	359	383	+47	+73	23.2	21.8
	/162	664	10	4	269	359	383	+11.9	+18.5	5.9	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Moreno (OGILVIE)	26	60	45	50	55	293/380/424	131	333	10	6	16%	11%	133	+4.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Norris 2015 · MLB	26	52→57	49→55	47→50	55	257/340/409	152	307	17	7	21%	11%	115	+2.8	237/303/397	160	294	18	7	25%	8%	97	+1.5	223/284/385	162	276	20	7	26%	7%	82	+0.3
●J.T. Realmuto 2017 · MLB	26	58→65	47→60	50→55	45	286/326/427	141	329	13	13	18%	5%	113	+2.6	284/337/468	184	327	20	9	19%	6%	129	+3.7	278/337/479	201	318	23	7	20%	7%	129	+3.5
●Jonathan India 2023 · MLB	26	51→53	49→50	45→50	51	252/343/402	151	306	16	8	22%	9%	115	+2.8	242/338/384	142	289	15	10	20%	10%	108	+2.3	238/339/373	135	282	14	9	20%	11%	104	+2.0
●Tyler Stephenson 2023 · MLB	26	57	49→55	47→30	49	277/346/424	147	343	16	4	23%	8%	121	+3.2	247/323/403	156	315	18	2	26%	9%	106	+2.2	236/317/396	160	301	19	0	27%	10%	99	+1.3
●Kelly Johnson 2009 · MLB	27	57→58	49→55	49→50	55	277/352/442	165	326	14	10	19%	10%	128	+3.6	255/332/437	182	301	18	12	20%	10%	118	+3.0	243/325/432	190	287	20	13	22%	10%	112	+2.4
●Chris Iannetta 2009 · MLB	26	51→57	54→60	47→45	58	257/364/448	191	305	20	2	22%	12%	135	+4.2	226/341/418	192	260	22	4	22%	13%	119	+3.1	237/357/386	149	305	16	2	25%	15%	113	+1.5
★Xander Bogaerts 2019 · MLB	26	54→64	51→60	53→55	53	271/341/446	175	307	18	11	18%	9%	125	+3.5	283/357/492	209	315	25	8	18%	10%	144	+4.8	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
✕Mark Teahen 2008 · MLB	26	58→60	47→55	55→50	52	278/345/434	156	337	12	12	20%	9%	123	+3.3	266/327/408	142	327	13	8	21%	8%	109	+2.4	262/323/397	135	322	12	6	21%	8%	100	+1.5
●Kurt Suzuki 2010 · MLB	26	55→60	45→60	45	50	267/321/393	126	286	12	6	12%	6%	103	+1.9	249/305/381	132	263	14	5	12%	6%	93	+1.3	269/335/479	210	264	29	0	12%	6%	129	+2.1
●Austin Barnes 2016 · MLB	26	52→55	46→50	52→50	52	257/325/396	138	290	13	12	16%	8%	105	+2.1	249/331/386	137	297	12	15	19%	10%	105	+2.1	233/342/385	152	286	16	8	23%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Aledmys Díaz 2017 · MLB	26	53→58	51→55	43→45	50	265/325/433	168	294	17	7	17%	7%	115	+2.8	253/304/412	159	274	18	7	15%	6%	102	+1.8	252/313/418	165	272	19	3	15%	7%	102	+1.1
●Brendan Donovan 2023 · MLB	26	55→59	43→50	44→50	55	264/355/375	111	314	10	9	18%	10%	113	+2.6	275/351/407	132	308	13	7	14%	9%	119	+3.1	280/351/417	137	307	14	5	13%	8%	118	+2.5
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2012 · MLB	26	55→63	49→55	50	49	273/329/423	150	307	16	14	17%	7%	114	+2.7	256/318/413	157	292	16	11	18%	7%	107	+2.2	271/332/450	180	303	21	3	18%	8%	119	+2.9
●Jhonny Peralta 2008 · MLB	26	54→64	50→55	39→40	51	266/336/426	159	324	18	3	23%	9%	118	+3.0	263/324/421	158	311	17	3	20%	8%	111	+2.5	287/344/457	170	331	18	1	19%	8%	124	+3.1
●Mark Ellis 2003 · MLB	26	53→63	44→50	48→50	58	259/342/384	125	288	11	8	14%	10%	109	+2.4	261/330/393	132	292	11	6	14%	9%	106	+2.2	275/342/426	151	300	16	5	14%	8%	118	+2.7
●Neil Walker 2013 · MLB	27	56→57	48→55	44→45	51	275/337/423	147	320	14	9	19%	8%	117	+2.9	266/337/434	168	298	19	4	17%	8%	121	+3.2	273/340/454	181	300	23	3	17%	8%	122	+2.9
✕Devon Travis 2017 · MLB	26	56→61	48→50	49→50	45	279/320/431	152	325	15	9	19%	6%	112	+2.6	250/290/399	149	286	16	8	18%	5%	92	+1.2	233/271/379	146	260	16	7	17%	4%	76	+0.0
★Michael Young 2005 · MLB	28	60→68	48→55	53→50	48	298/338/450	152	326	15	10	14%	6%	124	+3.4	315/362/470	155	348	15	7	13%	7%	140	+4.5	318/369/461	143	355	13	7	14%	7%	136	+5.1
●Michael Stefanic 2022 · AAA	26	56→62	47→45	43→45	46	278/327/412	134	315	16	7	17%	5%	111	+2.5	275/346/374	99	307	8	7	12%	8%	108	+2.3	272/357/352	80	303	6	7	11%	9%	104	+1.5
●Ronnie Belliard 2002 · MLB	27	53→58	47→50	48→45	58	258/339/413	155	286	12	8	14%	10%	115	+2.8	255/321/385	130	289	10	7	15%	9%	101	+1.8	277/338/423	146	307	13	4	14%	8%	114	+2.6