Martín Prado

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1983-10-27

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	33	A+MIA	25	.273/.360/.318	0	0	44	—	.217/.280/.261
2017	33	MLBMIA	147	.250/.281/.357	2	0	85	0.1
2018	34	A+MIA	31	.250/.323/.286	0	0	45	—	.207/.258/.241
2018	34	MLBMIA	209	.244/.287/.305	1	1	74	0.3
2019	35	MLBMIA	260	.233/.268/.294	2	0	62	-1.2
2020	36	No MLB games played
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2017-2019

Avg EV24

xwOBA23

Speed12

Barrel%10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	162	143	40	7	1	1	17	17	0	3	3	280	356	364	720	84	310	10	10	325	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	297	91	13	3	4	24	48	0	9	6	306	358	411	769	104	348	15	7	340	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	49	42	11	1	1	1	5	7	0	0	0	262	340	405	745	143	294	14	10	321	103	+0	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.1
2006	22	AAA	Richmond Braves	—	257	241	68	12	1	2	12	28	0	2	2	282	316	365	681	83	310	11	5	302	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	191	176	49	6	2	1	14	35	0	2	2	278	332	352	684	74	340	18	7	309	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	62	59	17	3	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	288	323	339	662	51	321	10	5	300	89	-1	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2007	23	AAA	Richmond Braves	—	443	395	125	23	3	4	34	41	4	5	4	316	376	420	797	104	343	9	8	351	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	254	228	73	18	4	2	21	29	1	3	1	320	380	461	841	140	357	11	8	368	135	+11	+0	-4	+1	+6	1.4
2008	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	22	19	5	2	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	263	364	368	732	105	294	9	14	335	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	503	450	138	38	0	11	36	59	2	1	3	307	361	464	825	158	331	12	7	355	126	+15	-1	+1	+2	+11	2.9
2010	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	651	599	184	40	3	15	40	86	3	5	3	307	354	459	813	152	335	13	6	356	125	+20	-0	-1	+2	+14	3.5
2011	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	590	551	143	26	2	13	34	52	1	4	8	260	304	385	689	125	266	9	6	306	93	-5	-2	+2	-7	+13	0.1
2011	27	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	176	300	176	476		250	25	15	240	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	690	617	186	42	6	10	58	69	2	17	4	301	363	438	801	136	322	10	8	351	121	+18	+2	+7	-7	+15	3.5
2013	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	664	609	172	36	2	14	47	53	2	3	5	282	336	417	753	135	288	8	7	334	105	+4	-1	-2	+2	+14	1.7
2014	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	573	536	151	26	4	12	26	80	7	3	1	282	323	412	736	131	310	14	5	326	105	+4	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2015	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	551	500	144	22	2	9	37	68	5	1	0	288	343	394	737	106	313	12	7	327	111	+7	+0	+14	+2	+12	3.5
2016	32	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	658	600	183	37	3	8	49	69	4	2	2	305	361	417	778	112	331	10	7	347	126	+20	-0	-2	+2	+14	3.5
2017	33	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	147	140	35	9	0	2	6	22	0	0	0	250	281	357	638	107	282	15	4	283	85	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2017	33	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	25	22	6	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	0	273	360	318	678	45	353	20	12	316	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	209	197	48	9	0	1	11	35	1	1	1	244	287	305	592	61	292	17	5	270	74	-6	-0	+4	+1	+5	0.3
2018	34	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	31	28	7	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	250	323	286	608	36	269	6	10	284	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	260	245	57	9	0	2	12	41	0	0	0	233	268	294	562	61	268	16	5	253	62	-12	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5861	5373	1542	316	27	100	385	676	28	40	28	287	338	412	750	125	310	12	7	331	110	+72	-3	+10	+0	+127	21.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	162	149	39	7	1	1	11	21	0	3	3	262	312	342	655	81	292	13	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	306	85	11	2	4	15	68	0	9	6	278	312	366	678	88	333	21	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	49	42	11	1	1	1	5	7	0	0	0	262	340	405	745	143	294	14	10	321	103	+0	+0	-4	+2	+1	-0.1
2006	22	AAA MLE	Richmond Braves	—	257	244	68	11	1	2	9	34	0	2	2	279	304	357	661	78	309	13	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	191	180	48	6	2	1	10	43	0	2	2	267	305	339	644	72	336	23	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	62	59	17	3	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	288	323	339	662	51	321	10	5	300	89	-1	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2007	23	AAA MLE	Richmond Braves	—	443	405	130	22	3	4	24	49	4	5	4	321	365	420	785	99	344	11	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	254	228	73	18	4	2	21	29	1	3	1	320	380	461	841	140	357	11	8	368	135	+11	+0	-4	+1	+6	1.4
2008	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	22	20	5	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	250	318	350	668	100	269	9	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	503	451	138	38	0	11	35	59	2	1	3	306	359	463	822	157	331	12	7	354	126	+15	-1	+1	+2	+11	2.9
2010	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	651	601	183	38	3	16	38	86	3	5	3	304	349	458	806	153	335	13	6	353	125	+20	-0	-1	+2	+14	3.5
2011	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	590	552	143	25	2	14	33	52	1	4	8	259	302	388	690	129	266	9	6	306	93	-5	-2	+2	-7	+13	0.1
2011	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	20	18	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	167	250	167	417		231	30	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	690	619	185	40	6	11	56	69	2	17	4	299	359	436	795	137	322	10	8	348	121	+18	+2	+7	-7	+15	3.5
2013	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	664	611	168	33	2	14	45	53	2	3	5	275	327	404	731	129	288	8	7	323	105	+4	-1	-2	+2	+14	1.7
2014	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	573	536	150	26	4	11	26	80	7	3	1	280	322	405	726	125	310	14	5	324	105	+4	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	551	504	148	24	2	9	33	68	5	1	0	294	343	403	746	109	313	12	6	332	111	+7	+0	+14	+2	+12	3.5
2016	32	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	658	604	188	40	3	8	45	69	4	2	2	311	363	427	790	116	331	10	7	354	126	+20	-0	-2	+2	+14	3.5
2017	33	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	147	140	36	10	0	2	6	22	0	0	0	257	288	371	659	114	282	15	4	294	85	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2017	33	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	261	541	43	292	28	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	209	197	50	10	0	1	11	35	1	1	1	254	297	320	616	66	292	17	5	278	74	-6	-0	+4	+1	+5	0.3
2018	34	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	31	29	6	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	207	258	241	499	34	235	10	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	260	245	59	10	0	2	12	41	0	0	0	241	276	306	582	65	268	16	5	260	62	-12	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.2
2005	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	488	454	123	18	3	4	27	89	0	12	9	271	312	350	662	79	324	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	488	440	131	20	4	5	41	65	0	12	9	298	358	395	753	98	335	13	8	335	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	467	127	18	4	4	23	83	0	4	4	272	306	353	659	81	321	17	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	497	459	128	19	4	4	31	70	0	4	4	279	324	364	688	85	320	14	6	306	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	505	464	147	25	3	4	27	55	4	5	4	317	360	409	769	93	350	11	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	505	454	142	26	3	4	37	47	4	5	4	313	370	410	779	97	340	9	7	344	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	276	248	78	20	4	2	23	31	1	3	1	315	375	452	827	137	350	11	8	361	131	+10	+0	-4	+1	+6	1.4
2008	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	276	247	78	20	4	2	24	31	1	3	1	316	379	453	832	138	352	11	9	365	131	+10	+0	-4	+1	+6	1.4
2009	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	503	451	138	38	0	11	35	59	2	1	3	306	359	463	822	157	330	12	7	354	126	+15	-1	+1	+2	+11	2.9
2009	25	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	503	450	138	38	0	11	36	59	2	1	3	307	361	464	825	158	331	12	7	355	126	+15	-1	+1	+2	+11	2.9
2010	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	651	601	183	38	3	16	38	86	3	5	3	304	349	458	806	153	331	13	6	353	125	+20	-0	-1	+2	+14	3.5
2010	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	651	599	184	40	3	15	40	86	3	5	3	307	354	459	813	152	335	13	6	356	125	+20	-0	-1	+2	+14	3.5
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	610	570	146	25	2	14	35	58	1	4	8	256	300	381	681	125	263	10	6	302	90	-7	-2	+2	-7	+13	-0.0
2011	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	610	568	146	26	2	13	37	57	1	4	8	257	304	379	682	121	265	9	6	304	90	-7	-2	+2	-7	+13	-0.0
2012	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	690	619	185	40	6	11	56	69	2	17	4	299	359	436	795	137	318	10	8	348	121	+18	+2	+7	-7	+15	3.5
2012	28	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	690	617	186	42	6	10	58	69	2	17	4	301	363	438	801	136	322	10	8	351	121	+18	+2	+7	-7	+15	3.5
2013	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	664	611	168	33	2	14	45	53	2	3	5	275	327	404	731	129	280	8	7	323	105	+4	-1	-2	+2	+14	1.7
2013	29	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	664	609	172	36	2	14	47	53	2	3	5	282	336	417	753	135	288	8	7	334	105	+4	-1	-2	+2	+14	1.7
2014	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	573	536	150	26	4	11	26	80	7	3	1	280	322	405	726	125	310	14	5	324	105	+4	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2014	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	573	536	151	26	4	12	26	80	7	3	1	282	323	412	736	131	310	14	5	326	105	+4	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.6
2015	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	551	504	148	24	2	9	33	68	5	1	0	294	343	403	746	109	320	12	6	332	111	+7	+0	+14	+2	+12	3.5
2015	31	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	551	500	144	22	2	9	37	68	5	1	0	288	343	394	737	106	313	12	7	327	111	+7	+0	+14	+2	+12	3.5
2016	32	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	658	604	188	40	3	8	45	69	4	2	2	311	363	427	790	116	338	10	7	354	126	+20	-0	-2	+2	+14	3.5
2016	32	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	658	600	183	37	3	8	49	69	4	2	2	305	361	417	778	112	331	10	7	347	126	+20	-0	-2	+2	+14	3.5
2017	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	172	163	41	11	0	2	8	29	0	0	0	252	287	356	642	104	293	17	5	285	79	-4	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2017	33	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	172	162	41	10	0	2	9	27	0	0	0	253	292	352	644	99	291	16	5	288	79	-4	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2018	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	240	226	56	11	0	1	13	38	1	1	1	248	292	310	601	62	294	16	5	272	71	-8	-0	+4	+1	+5	0.2
2018	34	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	240	225	55	10	0	1	14	37	1	1	1	244	292	302	594	58	289	15	6	272	71	-8	-0	+4	+1	+5	0.2
2019	35	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	260	245	59	10	0	2	12	41	0	0	0	241	276	306	582	65	278	16	5	260	62	-12	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.2
2019	35	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	260	245	57	9	0	2	12	41	0	0	0	233	268	294	562	61	268	16	5	253	62	-12	+0	-1	-5	+6	-1.2
2005	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	488	458	123	18	3	4	27	89	0	12	9	269	312	347	659	79	319	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	471	127	18	4	4	23	83	0	4	4	270	306	350	656	81	318	17	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	505	469	147	25	3	4	27	55	4	5	4	313	360	405	765	92	341	11	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	276	250	78	20	4	2	23	31	1	3	1	312	375	448	823	136	350	11	8	361	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	503	461	138	38	0	11	35	59	2	1	3	299	359	453	812	154	331	12	7	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	651	605	183	38	3	16	38	86	3	5	3	302	349	455	803	152	335	13	6	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	610	569	146	25	2	14	35	58	1	4	8	257	300	381	682	125	265	10	6	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	690	627	185	40	6	11	56	69	2	17	4	295	359	431	790	136	322	10	8	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	664	612	168	33	2	14	45	53	2	3	5	275	327	404	730	129	288	8	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	573	535	150	26	4	11	26	80	7	3	1	280	322	406	727	125	310	14	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	551	508	148	24	2	9	33	68	5	1	0	291	343	400	743	108	313	12	6	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	658	604	188	40	3	8	45	69	4	2	2	311	363	427	790	116	331	10	7	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	172	162	41	11	0	2	8	29	0	0	0	253	287	358	645	105	283	17	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	240	224	56	11	0	1	13	38	1	1	1	250	292	312	604	62	285	16	5	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	35	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	260	246	59	10	0	2	12	41	0	0	0	240	276	305	581	65	268	16	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5861	5373	1542	316	27	100	385	676	28	40	28	287	338	412	750	125	310	12	7	331	106	+72	-3	+10	+0	+127	21.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	171	35	3	11	43	75	3	4	3	287	339	411	750	124	310	12	7	331	106	+8	-0	+1	+0	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7338	6763	1937	377	36	113	446	908	32	61	45	286	334	403	736	117	314	12	6	325	106	+72	-3	+10	+0	+127	21.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	171	33	3	10	40	80	3	5	4	285	334	401	735	115	313	12	6	325	106	+8	-0	+1	+0	+14	2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 31 PAwOBA .277 → .234 (−44)K% 6.5% → 9.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.45%	÷1.009	×1.420	—	—	9.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷0.967	×0.750	—	×0.940	7.05%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.018	×0.920	—	×0.940	19.61%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷0.903	×0.960	—	×0.940	3.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.850	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .277 → .234; ISO .036 → .036; BABIP .269 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 25 PAwOBA .309 → .233 (−75)K% 20.0% → 28.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.995	×1.420	—	—	28.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷0.947	×0.750	—	×0.940	8.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.046	×0.920	—	×0.940	24.32%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.094	×0.960	—	×0.940	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.131	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.944	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 126, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .309 → .233; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .353 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAGwinnett Braves · 20 PAwOBA .235 → .194 (−42)K% 25.0% → 30.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	29.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.00%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×0.992	10.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.999	×0.930	—	×0.992	23.10%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.923	×0.830	—	×0.992	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.003	×0.970	—	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.055	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .235 → .194; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAMississippi Braves · 22 PAwOBA .327 → .283 (−44)K% 9.1% → 11.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.09%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	11.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.64%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.998	9.25%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.998	16.20%
Doubles /BIP	11.76%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.998	10.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .283; ISO .105 → .099; BABIP .294 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAARichmond Braves · 443 PAwOBA .343 → .336 (−8)K% 9.3% → 11.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.26%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	11.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.45%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.39%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.89%
Singles /BIP	26.84%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.048	27.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.048	5.93%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×1.048	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	1.13%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	0.99%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .343 → .336; ISO .104 → .099; BABIP .343 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAARichmond Braves · 257 PAwOBA .296 → .285 (−11)K% 10.9% → 13.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.89%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	13.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.67%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.38%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.88%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.042	×1.050	25.32%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.042	×1.050	5.12%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.042	×1.050	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	0.94%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	0.83%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .296 → .285; ISO .083 → .077; BABIP .310 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAMississippi Braves · 191 PAwOBA .302 → .278 (−25)K% 18.3% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.32%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.33%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.027	5.12%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.37%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	28.14%
Doubles /BIP	4.26%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.027	4.18%
Triples /BIP	1.42%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.050	×1.027	1.35%
Home runs /BIP	0.71%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.58%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .302 → .278; ISO .074 → .068; BABIP .340 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 326 PAwOBA .336 → .296 (−41)K% 14.7% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.72%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	20.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.36%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×1.012	4.69%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.51%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.031	×1.012	27.97%
Doubles /BIP	5.22%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.031	×1.012	4.52%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.000	×0.800	×1.031	×1.012	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×1.012	1.46%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .336 → .296; ISO .104 → .089; BABIP .348 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).