Drake Baldwin — OGILVIE

Drake BaldwinC Atlanta Braves

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB BB -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 6.2 · 2026

wRC+†vL 149151vR 143

AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .346 / .479

PA520

HR22

K%18

BB%9

xwOBA.404

Barrel%16.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

57→57

PWR

55↗57

SPD

36→36

FLD

50→50

EYE

52↗62

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+6.2	$50M	+$49M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+5.8	$48M	+$47M
2028	Arb-1	$11M	+5.9	$50M	+$39M
2029	Arb-2	$19M	+5.7	$50M	+$31M
2030	Arb-3	$28M	+5.5	$50M	+$22M
Totals		$59M		$247M	+$188M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	101	88	17	2	0	0	11	30	2	1	0	.193	.297	.216	.513	.023	.293	30	11	.255	53	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2023	22	A+	2 teams	464	416	91	21	1	13	39	126	8	0	0	.219	.298	.368	.666	.149	.281	27	8	.291	81	-10	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	613	546	137	20	1	16	55	132	3	2	2	.251	.323	.379	.702	.128	.297	22	9	.309	94	-4	-0	+0	+11	+17	2.4
2025	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	446	405	111	19	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	.274	.341	.472	.812	.198	.289	15	9	.357	131	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Atlanta Braves	120	107	34	4	0	7	11	23	2	1	0	.318	.392	.551	.943	.234	.351	19	9	.409	171	+10	+0	+1	+2	+3	1.7
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	400	358	103	17	1	18	35	72	4	2	0	.288	.358	.492	.849	.204	.315	18	9	.375	145	+20	+0	+5	+7	+11	4.5
TOT	25	MLB	ATL	520	465	137	21	1	25	46	95	6	3	0	.295	.366	.505	.871	.211	.323	18	9	.383	151	+30	+1	+6	+9	+15	6.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	ATL	520	464	135	22	2	24	46	71	5	3	1	.291	.361	.502	.863	.211	.296	14	9	.377	147	+27	+0	+7	+9	+15	5.9
2028	27	MLB	ATL	520	463	135	22	2	24	47	71	5	3	0	.292	.363	.503	.866	.212	.296	14	9	.377	147	+27	+1	+7	+9	+15	6.0
2029	28	MLB	ATL	520	463	134	21	2	24	47	72	5	2	0	.289	.361	.499	.860	.210	.296	14	9	.376	146	+27	+0	+6	+9	+15	5.8
2030	29	MLB	ATL	518	461	133	21	2	24	47	73	5	1	0	.289	.361	.499	.860	.210	.295	14	9	.374	144	+26	+0	+5	+9	+15	5.6
2031	30	MLB	ATL	506	450	127	20	1	23	46	73	5	0	0	.282	.355	.484	.840	.202	.294	14	9	.371	142	+24	+0	+4	+9	+14	5.3
2032	31	MLB	ATL	476	424	119	19	1	21	44	71	5	0	0	.281	.355	.479	.834	.198	.293	15	9	.367	139	+21	+0	+3	+8	+13	4.7
2033	32	MLB	ATL	444	396	109	17	1	19	41	69	4	0	0	.275	.349	.467	.816	.192	.291	16	9	.362	135	+18	+0	+2	+8	+13	4.1
2034	33	MLB	ATL	402	358	98	15	1	17	37	65	4	0	0	.274	.348	.464	.812	.190	.290	16	9	.356	131	+14	+0	+1	+7	+11	3.4
2035	34	MLB	ATL	348	311	84	13	1	14	31	59	3	0	0	.270	.342	.453	.795	.183	.288	17	9	.349	125	+10	+0	-1	+6	+10	2.6
2036	35	MLB	ATL	291	261	68	10	1	11	26	52	2	0	0	.261	.332	.433	.765	.172	.286	18	9	.341	119	+6	+0	-2	+5	+8	1.8
2037	36	MLB	ATL	232	208	53	8	1	8	20	44	2	0	0	.255	.326	.418	.744	.163	.283	19	9	.331	111	+3	+0	-3	+4	+7	1.1
2038	37	MLB	ATL	174	156	39	6	0	6	15	35	1	0	0	.250	.320	.404	.724	.154	.280	20	9	.320	103	+1	+0	-5	+3	+5	0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6975	6228	1693	273	20	281	625	1183	66	14	3	.272	.345	.457	.802	.186	.294	17	9	.353	128	+220	+2	+34	+125	+198	59.0
/ 162G	—			650	580	157	25	2	26	58	110	6	1	0	.271	.343	.455	.798	.184	.292	17	9	.353	128	+21	+0	+3	+12	+18	5.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	101	81	20	3	0	0	18	22	2	1	0	.247	.396	.284	.680	.037	.339	22	18	.329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	59	53	17	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	.321	.390	.396	.786	.075	.390	19	10	.358	132	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	405	335	87	25	1	14	61	84	8	0	0	.260	.386	.466	.852	.206	.307	21	15	.380	149	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.5
2024	23	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	334	275	82	13	1	12	52	54	2	1	0	.298	.413	.484	.897	.185	.327	16	16	.394	160	+23	+0	—	—	+9	3.3
2024	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	217	193	47	6	0	4	20	41	1	1	1	.244	.318	.337	.655	.093	.285	19	9	.296	85	-4	-0	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	62	53	20	1	1	1	8	9	0	0	1	.377	.459	.491	.950	.113	.432	15	13	.418	178	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	.274	.341	.469	.810	.195	.289	15	9	.358	132	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	.274	.341	.469	.810	.195	.289	15	9	.358	132	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drake Baldwin (OGILVIE)	25	57	55→57	36	62	.287/.356/.494	.207	.296	24	3	14%	9%	145	+4.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Hank Blalock 2006 · MLB	25	53→57	57→65	41→45	51	.274/.336/.472	.198	.303	24	2	19%	8%	130	+3.8	.270/.330/.444	.174	.301	20	4	17%	8%	120	+3.1	.276/.336/.453	.177	.303	19	3	15%	8%	118	+2.0
★Corey Seager 2019 · MLB	25	60→63	54→65	44→45	53	.299/.368/.490	.191	.348	21	4	20%	9%	147	+5.0	.280/.348/.480	.200	.315	22	3	18%	9%	137	+4.3	.285/.367/.517	.232	.308	30	2	18%	11%	140	+3.8
●Austin Riley 2022 · MLB	25	51→58	61→65	38→40	45	.267/.329/.488	.221	.322	30	2	27%	7%	132	+4.0	.269/.339/.489	.220	.320	28	3	24%	8%	136	+4.2	.262/.334/.484	.222	.309	29	2	24%	8%	128	+3.8
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	51→55	59→65	44→45	52	.267/.346/.485	.218	.313	26	4	23%	10%	137	+4.3	.267/.365/.490	.223	.321	28	5	24%	12%	147	+5.0	.268/.372/.484	.216	.322	27	5	24%	13%	141	+3.9
●Eric Chavez 2003 · MLB	25	52→54	62→65	47→45	54	.278/.344/.511	.233	.293	30	7	17%	9%	144	+4.8	.276/.354/.500	.224	.294	28	7	16%	11%	144	+4.8	.273/.356/.488	.215	.292	26	6	16%	11%	133	+4.3
★Prince Fielder 2009 · MLB	25	51→61	65→70	43→45	58	.276/.371/.528	.253	.293	33	4	19%	12%	158	+5.8	.279/.393/.527	.248	.303	31	3	19%	14%	167	+6.3	.277/.403/.519	.241	.299	30	1	18%	16%	146	+5.8
★Aramis Ramirez 2002 · MLB	24	54→59	58→70	42→45	48	.282/.331/.489	.207	.295	26	5	15%	6%	133	+4.0	.268/.320/.461	.193	.282	25	3	15%	6%	121	+3.2	.301/.361/.563	.262	.287	36	1	10%	8%	158	+5.7
★Rafael Devers 2022 · MLB	25	52→58	63→65	40→45	49	.280/.341/.520	.240	.310	31	6	21%	8%	145	+4.9	.276/.347/.510	.234	.309	30	5	21%	9%	145	+4.9	.262/.359/.499	.237	.303	31	3	23%	12%	135	+4.6
●Kevin Kouzmanoff 2007 · MLB	26	57→63	58→60	44→40	45	.295/.341/.503	.207	.331	25	6	19%	5%	141	+4.5	.272/.320/.454	.182	.308	21	3	19%	5%	119	+3.1	.259/.309/.430	.171	.295	20	1	19%	5%	104	+2.0
★Nolan Arenado 2016 · MLB	25	51→56	58→70	39→40	46	.269/.308/.482	.214	.278	26	3	15%	5%	122	+3.3	.278/.341/.522	.244	.288	31	3	16%	9%	145	+4.9	.280/.354/.523	.243	.291	31	2	16%	10%	138	+5.0
★Manny Machado 2017 · MLB	25	54→58	59→65	43→50	51	.286/.344/.495	.210	.305	27	8	17%	8%	140	+4.5	.275/.337/.489	.214	.293	28	8	17%	8%	135	+4.2	.268/.337/.481	.213	.284	28	8	17%	9%	125	+3.9
●Gleyber Torres 2021 · MLB	24	50→54	59→60	46→50	51	.266/.336/.470	.205	.301	27	7	22%	9%	130	+3.8	.260/.328/.420	.160	.303	19	12	20%	9%	113	+2.6	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2023 · MLB	24	54→62	61→65	46→45	56	.288/.361/.514	.226	.301	30	6	16%	10%	151	+5.3	.291/.367/.492	.201	.312	25	5	15%	10%	147	+5.0	.295/.377/.485	.190	.316	22	4	14%	11%	140	+5.1
★Jose Vidro 2001 · MLB	26	61→65	55	43→40	53	.311/.363/.511	.200	.321	21	6	11%	8%	151	+5.3	.311/.370/.488	.177	.325	18	5	10%	8%	147	+5.0	.310/.379/.475	.165	.323	16	3	9%	9%	143	+4.7
●Nick Swisher 2007 · MLB	26	47→55	59→60	38→40	58	.249/.350/.467	.218	.281	27	2	22%	12%	134	+4.1	.246/.359/.452	.206	.284	24	3	21%	14%	134	+4.1	.260/.364/.466	.207	.299	24	1	21%	13%	134	+4.2
★Yordan Alvarez 2023 · MLB	26	52→57	66→70	45	56	.282/.368/.545	.263	.311	34	3	21%	11%	162	+6.0	.294/.389/.557	.263	.315	34	4	18%	12%	173	+6.8	.297/.396/.552	.255	.314	33	3	17%	12%	161	+4.5
★Anthony Rizzo 2017 · MLB	27	54→56	62→65	44→45	58	.286/.384/.531	.245	.302	29	8	16%	11%	164	+6.2	.279/.383/.502	.223	.289	27	7	14%	12%	157	+5.7	.275/.387/.489	.214	.281	26	6	13%	12%	145	+5.3
★Brian McCann 2008 · MLB	24	55→63	55→60	41→45	52	.281/.338/.473	.191	.293	22	3	13%	8%	131	+3.9	.283/.354/.486	.203	.299	23	5	14%	9%	141	+4.6	.281/.365/.485	.204	.298	24	5	14%	11%	139	+4.1
★Richard Hidalgo 2002 · MLB	27	54→60	61→65	44→45	53	.286/.367/.523	.236	.308	28	8	18%	9%	156	+5.6	.269/.347/.484	.215	.301	25	8	19%	9%	137	+4.3	.261/.336/.477	.217	.292	25	7	20%	9%	124	+3.0
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	54→60	54→60	41→30	50	.274/.341/.464	.190	.333	21	2	24%	9%	130	+3.8	.255/.345/.448	.193	.303	22	2	22%	12%	127	+3.6	.238/.339/.423	.185	.281	22	0	23%	13%	112	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)