Drake Baldwin

C Atlanta Braves
Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs613.286/.384/.430172107—.259/.333/.381
202524MLBATL446.274/.341/.4691901293.9
202625MLBATL615.284/.359/.4592531314.9
2027PROJ26MLBATL445.274/.347/.4671921283.3
2028PROJ27MLBATL445.273/.346/.4641921273.2
2029PROJ28MLBATL445.271/.344/.4591911263.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 8.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 9.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$6M2029Arb-2$10M2030Arb-3$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
xwOBA90
Avg EV86
Bat Spd83
Barrel%76
Speed20
Form.266/.324/.443 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .274/.344/.467
CompsGeovany Soto (age 26) · Hank Blalock (age 25) · Matthew LeCroy (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 123128vR 129
AVG/OBP/SLG.274 / .347 / .467
PA445
HR19
K%20
BB%9
BABIP304
ISO188
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +15.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+15BATRUN: -0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +7.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+8POSREP: +9.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +3.60+3.6WAR
0.02.04.03.63.23.02.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$69M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
810.276
POWER
Barrel%
7612.1
Avg EV
8691.6
Bat Spd
8374.8
SPEED
Sprint
2026.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▼▼24% over 119 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%7%▼▼5% over 119 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.177▼.155 over 110 AB (60d) · proj .193
HR/BB5.1%▼3.6% over 83 BBE (60d) · proj 6.2%
BABIP.313▲.400 over 80 BIP (60d) · proj .304
SLASH.266/.324/.443▼proj .274/.344/.467
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 571 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
139
432
—
wRC+
144
129
◀L
wOBA
381
358
◀L
ISO
178
209
▶R
BABIP
330
289
◀L
K%
15.1%
16.4%
◀L
BB%
9.4%
8.3%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+3.6$37M+$36M
2028Arb-1$6M+3.2$28M+$22M
2029Arb-2$10M+3.0$23M+$15M
2030Arb-3$15M+2.8$19M+$9M
Totals $32M $107M +$82M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 AAugusta GreenJackets — 10181 20300 18222 10 247396284680 37339 2218 329 66 — — — — — —
202322 AAMississippi Braves — 5953 17101 6110 00 321390396786 75390 1910 358 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+Rome Braves — 405335 8725114 61848 00 260386466852 206307 2115 380 83 — — — — — —
202423 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 334275 8213112 52542 10 298413484897 185327 1616 394 122 — — — — — —
202423 AAMississippi Braves — 217193 47604 20411 11 244318337655 93285 199 296 65 — — — — — —
202423 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 6253 20111 890 01 377459491950 113432 1513 418 169 — — — — — —
202524 MLBAtlanta Braves — 446405 11118219 38683 00 274341469810 195289 159 358 129 +15 +0 +5 +8 +10 3.9
202625 MLBAtlanta Braves — 615549 15621025 551329 31 284359459818 175332 219 363 131 +22 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 1061954 26739244 9320012 31 280351463815 183313 199 361 131 +39 +0 +7 +19 +23 8.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 10186 19300 13282 10 221337256592 35313 2813 266 66 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 5955 16101 4130 00 291339364703 73369 227 317 101 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLERome Braves — 405361 7620112 351128 00 211295371666 161266 289 291 83 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 334289 811219 38672 10 280368422790 142324 2011 349 122 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 217199 45604 14491 11 226280317597 90272 236 264 65 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 446405 11118219 38683 00 274341469810 195289 159 358 129 +15 +0 +5 +8 +10 3.9
202625 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 615551 15621025 531329 31 283356457813 174332 219 361 131 +22 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.9
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 10186 19300 13282 10 221337256592 35328 2813 266 66 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 10181 20300 18222 10 247396284680 37339 2218 329 66 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 464416 9221113 391258 00 221300370670 149283 278 294 85 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW2 teams — 464388 10426115 67958 00 268387456843 188319 2014 377 85 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 613544 14121114 571293 22 259333379711 119310 219 316 100 — — — — — —
202423 AAA RAW3 teams — 613521 14920217 801043 22 286384430814 144323 1713 362 100 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 446405 11118219 38683 00 274341469810 195289 159 358 129 +15 +0 +5 +8 +10 3.9
202524 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 446405 11118219 38683 00 274341469810 195289 159 358 129 +15 +0 +5 +8 +10 3.9
202625 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 615551 15621025 531329 31 283356457813 174331 219 361 131 +22 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.9
202625 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 615549 15621025 551329 31 284359459818 175332 219 363 131 +22 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.9
202221 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 10185 19300 13282 10 224337259595 35313 2813 266 66 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 464414 9221113 391258 00 222300372672 150279 278 294 85 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 613548 14121114 571293 22 257333376709 119304 219 316 100 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 446402 11118219 38683 00 276341473813 197289 159 358 129 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 615548 15621025 531329 31 285356460815 175332 219 361 131 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AAA MLE3 teams — 613548 14121114 571293 22 257333376709 119304 219 316 100 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 446402 11118219 38683 00 276341473813 197289 159 358 129 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 615548 15621025 531329 31 285356460815 175332 219 361 131 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEATL 100% 559499 13620124 491096 31 274347467814 193304 199 358 128 +19 +0 -1 +10 +12 3.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXATL 100% 445398 10816119 39875 21 274347467814 193304 209 358 128 +15 +0 -1 +8 +10 3.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEATL 100% 445398 10816119 39885 21 273346464810 191304 209 357 127 +15 +0 -1 +8 +10 3.2
202928 MLB MLEATL 100% 445398 10816119 39895 11 271344459803 188303 209 354 126 +14 -0 -1 +8 +10 3.0
203029 MLB MLEATL 100% 445398 10816119 39905 10 269341453794 184301 209 350 123 +12 +0 -2 +8 +10 2.8
203130 MLB MLEATL 100% 445398 10515118 39915 10 265337444781 179299 209 345 120 +10 +0 -3 +8 +10 2.6
203231 MLB MLEATL 100% 426383 9914017 36894 10 260332433765 173296 218 338 115 +8 +0 -3 +8 +9 2.2
203332 MLB MLEATL 100% 407366 9213015 34874 00 254325419743 165291 218 330 109 +5 +0 -4 +7 +9 1.7
203433 MLB MLEATL 100% 381343 8411014 32843 00 247316401717 155285 228 319 102 +1 +0 -5 +7 +8 1.1
203534 MLB MLEATL 96% 309279 668011 25702 00 237305380686 143277 238 306 94 -2 +0 -5 +6 +7 0.5
203635 MLB MLEATL 91% 237214 50608 19562 00 227294358652 131268 248 292 84 -4 +0 -6 +4 +5 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXATL 100% 445398 10816119 39885 21 273346464810 191304 209 357 127 +15 +0 -1 +8 +10 3.2
202928 MLB CTXATL 100% 445398 10816119 39895 11 271344459803 188303 209 354 126 +14 -0 -1 +8 +10 3.0
203029 MLB CTXATL 100% 445398 10816119 39905 10 269341453794 184301 209 350 123 +12 +0 -2 +8 +10 2.8
203130 MLB CTXATL 100% 445398 10515118 39915 10 265337444781 179299 209 345 120 +10 +0 -3 +8 +10 2.6
203231 MLB CTXATL 100% 426383 9914017 36894 10 260332433765 173296 218 338 115 +8 +0 -3 +8 +9 2.2
203332 MLB CTXATL 100% 407366 9213015 34874 00 254325419743 165291 218 330 109 +5 +0 -4 +7 +9 1.7
203433 MLB CTXATL 100% 381343 8411014 32843 00 247316401717 155285 228 319 102 +1 +0 -5 +7 +8 1.1
203534 MLB CTXATL 96% 295267 638010 24672 00 237305380686 143277 238 306 94 -2 +0 -5 +5 +6 0.4
203635 MLB CTXATL 91% 216195 44507 17512 00 227294358652 131268 248 292 84 -4 +0 -5 +4 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 45664100 10781536182 39293647 93 263334436771 173299 209 342 113 +96 +1 -23 +82 +99 25.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 15422126 561337 10 264336438774 175299 209 342 113 +14 +0 -3 +12 +14 3.7
Career— MLE — 62245577 14472159230 541131365 146 259332425757 166299 219 335 113 +111 +1 -25 +90 +109 29.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 15122124 561377 11 259331424756 165300 219 335 113 +14 +0 -3 +12 +14 3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 334 PAwOBA .390 → .349 (−41)K% 16.2% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.17%÷0.958×1.200——20.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.57%÷1.001×0.690—×1.05011.27%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.940—×1.0500.59%
Singles /BIP25.34%÷0.977×0.930×1.024×1.05025.93%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.961×0.830×1.024×1.0505.46%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷1.150×0.970×1.024×1.0500.41%
Home runs /BIP5.43%÷0.968×0.700—×1.0504.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .390 → .349; ISO .185 → .154; BABIP .327 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMississippi Braves · 217 PAwOBA .292 → .264 (−29)K% 18.9% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.89%÷1.031×1.220——22.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.22%÷1.025×0.680—×1.0276.28%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.840—×1.0270.40%
Singles /BIP24.34%÷1.003×0.920×1.002×1.02722.96%
Doubles /BIP3.95%÷0.899×0.910×1.002×1.0274.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.997×0.880×1.002×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷0.906×0.800—×1.0272.39%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .292 → .264; ISO .093 → .090; BABIP .285 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Rome Braves · 405 PAwOBA .370 → .291 (−79)K% 20.7% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.74%÷0.985×1.310——27.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.81%÷1.045×0.600—×1.0128.61%
HBP% /PA1.98%—×0.770—×1.0121.54%
Singles /BIP18.73%÷0.977×0.870×1.013×1.01217.09%
Doubles /BIP9.96%÷0.995×0.780×1.013×1.0128.00%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.087×0.850×1.013×1.0120.32%
Home runs /BIP5.58%÷1.022×0.880—×1.0124.86%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 117, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .370 → .291; ISO .206 → .175; BABIP .307 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAMississippi Braves · 59 PAwOBA .349 → .317 (−32)K% 18.6% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.64%÷1.034×1.220——21.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.17%÷0.943×0.680—×1.0427.64%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP35.71%÷1.016×0.920—×1.04233.70%
Doubles /BIP2.38%÷0.997×0.910—×1.0422.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷0.793×0.800—×1.0422.50%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .349 → .317; ISO .075 → .077; BABIP .390 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 101 PAwOBA .322 → .266 (−57)K% 21.8% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.78%÷1.050×1.360——28.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.82%÷0.998×0.690—×1.01512.51%
HBP% /PA1.98%—×0.780—×1.0151.57%
Singles /BIP28.81%÷0.951×0.920×0.950×1.01526.88%
Doubles /BIP5.08%÷0.931×0.830×0.950×1.0154.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.976×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.127×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .322 → .266; ISO .037 → .031; BABIP .339 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .