Drake Baldwin — OGILVIE

Drake BaldwinC Atlanta Braves

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 133129vR 127

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .337 / .432

PA212

HR9

K%20

BB%9

BABIP285

ISO176

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 57 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT57

Whiff%

904.8%

xwOBA

900.364

POWER57

Barrel%

8112.8

Avg EV

8691.6

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE62

Chase%

9018.3%

SPEED36

Sprint

2226.1

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 571 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

139

432

—

wRC+

150

132

◀L

wOBA

381

358

◀L

ISO

178

209

▶R

BABIP

330

289

◀L

15.1%

16.4%

◀L

BB%

9.4%

8.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.6	$13M	+$12M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$30M	+$29M
2028	Arb-1	$8M	+4.0	$27M	+$21M
2029	Arb-2	$13M	+3.8	$24M	+$15M
2030	Arb-3	$19M	+3.7	$22M	+$10M
Totals		$40M		$116M	+$87M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	101	88	20	3	0	0	11	28	2	1	0	227	327	261	588	34	333	28	11	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	101	81	20	3	0	0	18	22	2	1	0	247	396	284	680	37	339	22	18	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	464	414	92	21	1	12	41	129	8	0	0	222	305	365	669	143	292	28	9	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	464	388	104	26	1	15	67	95	8	0	0	268	387	456	843	188	319	20	14	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	613	547	141	21	1	17	54	134	3	2	2	258	328	393	721	135	306	22	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	613	521	149	20	2	17	80	104	3	2	2	286	384	430	814	144	323	17	13	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	274	341	469	810	195	289	15	9	354	129	+15	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.1
2025	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	274	341	469	810	195	289	15	9	358	132	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	ATL	—	319	279	71	6	0	15	32	71	7	1	1	254	346	437	783	183	289	22	10	344	121	+8	-0	+1	+6	+9	2.4
YTD	25	MLB	ATL	—	319	279	71	6	0	15	32	71	7	1	1	254	346	437	783	183	289	22	10	350	126	+9	-0	+1	+6	+9	2.6
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	100%	212	187	48	6	0	9	20	43	3	1	0	256	337	432	769	176	292	20	9	352	127	+7	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.6
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	100%	213	188	48	6	0	9	20	43	3	1	0	255	336	431	767	176	292	20	9	340	119	+4	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.4
FULL	25	MLB	ATL	—	532	467	119	12	0	24	52	114	10	2	1	255	342	435	777	180	287	21	10	342	120	+12	+0	+1	+10	+15	3.8
TOT	25	MLB	ATL	—	531	466	119	12	0	24	52	114	10	2	1	255	342	435	777	180	287	21	10	347	124	+14	+0	+1	+9	+15	4.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	100%	520	458	121	16	1	23	49	106	8	2	1	264	346	454	800	190	294	20	9	355	129	+17	+0	-1	+9	+15	4.1
2028	27	MLB	ATL	100%	520	457	121	16	1	23	50	106	8	2	1	265	348	455	803	190	294	20	10	355	129	+17	+0	-1	+9	+15	4.1
2029	28	MLB	ATL	100%	520	457	120	16	1	23	50	107	8	2	1	263	346	453	799	190	293	21	10	354	129	+17	+0	-2	+9	+15	4.0
2030	29	MLB	ATL	100%	520	456	120	16	1	23	51	108	8	2	1	263	348	454	802	191	292	21	10	352	127	+16	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.8
2031	30	MLB	ATL	100%	520	456	119	15	1	23	51	109	8	1	1	261	346	450	795	189	291	21	10	349	125	+15	-0	-3	+9	+15	3.6
2032	31	MLB	ATL	100%	504	442	113	14	1	21	49	108	8	1	1	256	341	434	775	179	288	21	10	344	121	+12	-0	-4	+9	+14	3.2
2033	32	MLB	ATL	100%	489	432	108	13	1	20	47	106	7	1	1	250	333	424	757	174	284	22	10	338	117	+9	-0	-5	+9	+14	2.7
2034	33	MLB	ATL	100%	418	369	89	10	0	17	40	93	6	1	0	241	325	407	732	165	280	22	10	330	111	+5	+0	-5	+7	+12	2.0
2035	34	MLB	ATL	96%	343	302	71	8	0	13	33	78	5	0	0	235	321	391	711	156	273	23	10	321	104	+1	+0	-6	+6	+10	1.2
2036	35	MLB	ATL	91%	286	253	58	6	0	11	27	68	4	0	0	229	313	383	697	154	267	24	9	311	96	-1	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.6
2037	36	MLB	ATL	82%	227	201	44	4	0	8	21	55	3	0	0	219	302	358	660	139	263	24	9	301	89	-3	+0	-7	+4	+6	0.1
2038	37	MLB	ATL	73%	169	149	32	3	0	5	16	43	2	0	0	215	299	336	635	121	259	25	9	291	81	-4	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.3
2039	38	MLB	ATL	59%	112	100	21	2	0	3	10	29	1	0	0	210	288	320	608	110	256	26	9	281	73	-3	+0	-8	+2	+3	-0.6
2027	26	MLB	ATL	100%	520	458	121	16	1	23	49	106	8	2	1	264	346	454	800	190	294	20	9	343	121	+12	+0	-1	+9	+15	3.6
2028	27	MLB	ATL	100%	520	457	121	16	1	23	50	106	8	2	1	265	348	455	803	190	294	20	10	343	121	+12	+0	-1	+9	+15	3.6
2029	28	MLB	ATL	100%	520	457	120	16	1	23	50	107	8	2	1	263	346	453	799	190	293	21	10	342	120	+12	+0	-2	+9	+15	3.4
2030	29	MLB	ATL	100%	520	456	120	16	1	23	51	108	8	2	1	263	348	454	802	191	292	21	10	340	119	+11	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.3
2031	30	MLB	ATL	100%	520	456	119	15	1	23	51	109	8	1	1	261	346	450	795	189	291	21	10	337	116	+10	-0	-3	+9	+15	3.1
2032	31	MLB	ATL	100%	504	442	113	14	1	21	49	108	8	1	1	256	341	434	775	179	288	21	10	333	113	+7	-0	-4	+9	+14	2.7
2033	32	MLB	ATL	100%	489	432	108	13	1	20	47	106	7	1	1	250	333	424	757	174	284	22	10	327	108	+5	-0	-5	+9	+14	2.3
2034	33	MLB	ATL	100%	418	369	89	10	0	17	40	93	6	1	0	241	325	407	732	165	280	22	10	320	103	+1	+0	-5	+7	+12	1.6
2035	34	MLB	ATL	96%	328	289	68	7	0	13	31	75	5	0	0	235	320	394	714	159	273	23	9	310	96	-2	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.8
2036	35	MLB	ATL	91%	260	229	52	5	0	10	25	61	4	0	0	227	314	380	694	153	267	23	10	301	88	-3	+0	-6	+5	+7	0.3
2037	36	MLB	ATL	82%	186	164	35	3	0	6	17	45	3	0	0	213	299	341	640	128	263	24	9	291	81	-4	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.1
2038	37	MLB	ATL	73%	123	109	23	2	0	4	11	31	2	0	0	211	295	339	635	128	259	25	9	281	73	-4	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.3
2039	38	MLB	ATL	59%	66	59	12	1	0	2	6	17	1	0	0	203	288	322	610	119	256	26	9	271	66	-3	+0	-5	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5633	4970	1260	158	9	236	535	1183	82	13	7	254	336	431	767	178	286	21	9	331	112	+75	-0	-47	+101	+160	29.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	145	18	1	27	62	137	9	2	1	253	335	429	764	176	286	21	10	331	112	+9	+0	-5	+12	+18	3.4
Career	—			—	6984	6173	1549	208	11	270	658	1518	95	16	9	251	332	419	752	168	289	22	9	334	114	+110	-0	-54	+125	+198	38.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	144	19	1	25	61	141	9	1	1	250	332	417	750	167	288	22	9	334	114	+10	-0	-5	+12	+18	3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	101	81	20	3	0	0	18	22	2	1	0	247	396	284	680	37	339	22	18	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	59	53	17	1	0	1	6	11	0	0	0	321	390	396	786	75	390	19	10	358	132	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	405	335	87	25	1	14	61	84	8	0	0	260	386	466	852	206	307	21	15	380	149	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.5
2024	23	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	334	275	82	13	1	12	52	54	2	1	0	298	413	484	897	185	327	16	16	394	160	+23	+0	—	—	+9	3.3
2024	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	217	193	47	6	0	4	20	41	1	1	1	244	318	337	655	93	285	19	9	296	85	-4	-0	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	62	53	20	1	1	1	8	9	0	0	1	377	459	491	950	113	432	15	13	418	178	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	274	341	469	810	195	289	15	9	358	132	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	446	405	111	18	2	19	38	68	3	0	0	274	341	469	810	195	289	15	9	358	132	+16	+0	+5	+8	+13	4.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1A.J. Pierzynskilast yr '16 AS×3SS×2 career totals — 17 seasons, 7,778 PA	17	7,778	188	15	280	318	420	+116	+81	47.1	38.8
	/162	664	16	1	280	318	420	+9.9	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 31
#2Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	6,259	264	15	257	335	438	+89	+49	42.1	35.0
	/162	664	28	2	257	335	438	+9.4	+5.2	4.5	pk7: 28
#3Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#4Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#5Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#6Wilson Ramoslast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,786 PA	12	3,786	136	1	271	318	432	+68	+61	28.0	26.7
	/162	664	24	0	271	318	432	+11.9	+10.7	4.9	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drake Baldwin (OGILVIE)	25	57	55→57	36	62	255/342/435	180	287	24	2	21%	10%	124	+4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Hank Blalock 2006 · MLB	25	52→57	56→65	42→45	51	271/334/465	193	301	24	2	19%	8%	128	+3.6	271/331/447	176	301	20	4	17%	8%	121	+3.2	276/336/453	177	303	19	3	15%	8%	119	+2.0
●Jhonny Peralta 2006 · MLB	24	55→65	55	37→40	52	276/348/475	199	329	22	2	23%	10%	135	+4.2	267/334/432	165	326	18	3	22%	9%	118	+3.0	287/344/457	170	331	18	1	19%	8%	124	+3.1
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	55→60	56→60	41→30	51	278/347/477	199	335	23	2	24%	9%	135	+4.2	252/344/442	190	300	22	2	22%	12%	125	+3.5	236/337/418	182	280	21	0	23%	13%	111	+1.7
★Brian McCann 2008 · MLB	24	55→63	55→60	41→45	52	282/338/474	193	293	22	3	13%	7%	131	+3.9	282/355/484	202	299	23	5	14%	9%	141	+4.5	281/365/482	202	299	23	5	14%	11%	137	+4.0
★Austin Riley 2022 · MLB	25	53→59	61→65	39→40	46	278/341/500	222	336	30	2	26%	8%	140	+4.5	275/345/506	231	326	30	3	24%	8%	143	+4.7	269/341/501	232	317	30	2	24%	8%	137	+4.4
●Alex Avila 2012 · MLB	25	55→62	54→55	45→40	56	273/360/461	188	335	20	4	24%	12%	137	+4.3	252/347/417	165	333	17	3	27%	13%	120	+3.1	235/338/387	152	322	16	1	29%	13%	106	+1.6
●Jedd Gyorko 2014 · MLB	25	48→53	57→60	42→45	44	255/302/450	195	295	26	5	24%	6%	111	+2.5	241/300/416	175	280	24	3	23%	7%	101	+1.8	257/331/460	203	288	28	4	21%	10%	123	+2.4
●Willy Adames 2022 · MLB	26	52	58→65	43→50	49	263/333/475	212	336	26	6	29%	10%	129	+3.7	245/319/460	215	298	27	9	27%	10%	120	+3.1	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	47→49	56→60	35→40	50	250/323/441	191	280	24	3	21%	8%	117	+2.9	230/314/393	163	269	19	6	22%	9%	101	+1.8	206/298/365	159	231	21	1	21%	9%	83	+0.2
●Jay Bruce 2012 · MLB	25	48→54	58→65	42→50	53	255/334/461	206	295	27	7	23%	10%	127	+3.6	245/319/454	209	295	26	8	25%	9%	118	+3.0	239/307/473	234	261	30	5	22%	9%	113	+2.7
●Miguel Montero 2007 · MLB	24	49→59	52→55	38→40	46	253/309/416	163	280	21	3	19%	6%	105	+2.1	250/315/414	164	281	19	3	18%	8%	106	+2.2	273/358/433	160	327	16	0	20%	10%	120	+2.6
●Ryan Doumit 2006 · MLB	25	52→62	53→55	41→45	43	265/326/442	177	304	21	6	21%	5%	119	+3.1	266/333/446	180	308	19	5	20%	6%	122	+3.3	283/346/468	185	320	19	3	17%	6%	129	+2.2
★Corey Seager 2019 · MLB	25	59→63	54→65	44→45	54	297/368/486	189	345	21	4	20%	10%	147	+5.0	289/356/511	222	321	25	3	18%	9%	148	+5.1	284/360/521	237	297	30	2	16%	10%	145	+4.3
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	44→51	58→65	35→40	40	240/284/437	197	281	27	2	26%	5%	100	+1.7	239/280/450	211	281	29	3	26%	5%	102	+1.9	230/274/429	199	274	27	0	27%	5%	89	+0.5
●Pablo Sandoval 2012 · MLB	25	59→65	57→60	40	52	302/354/507	205	316	24	4	13%	8%	146	+4.9	289/345/460	171	313	19	2	14%	8%	130	+3.8	286/344/440	153	312	17	0	14%	7%	118	+2.8
●Wilson Ramos 2014 · MLB	26	50→60	56→60	39→30	50	266/318/450	184	278	26	3	16%	7%	117	+2.9	260/299/413	153	285	21	2	17%	5%	99	+1.7	288/335/471	183	313	25	0	17%	7%	125	+2.3
●Nick Swisher 2007 · MLB	26	47→55	60	37→40	59	249/352/470	220	281	27	2	22%	13%	136	+4.2	245/359/451	206	282	24	3	21%	14%	134	+4.1	259/363/467	208	297	25	1	21%	13%	136	+4.4
●Wilson Betemit 2008 · MLB	26	49→56	57→60	43→40	52	253/331/451	198	308	24	4	26%	10%	122	+3.3	244/305/422	178	312	20	4	27%	8%	104	+2.0	272/341/444	172	355	18	2	27%	9%	119	+2.0
●Chris Iannetta 2010 · MLB	27	46→56	57→60	43→45	58	242/355/454	211	281	24	2	22%	12%	134	+4.1	221/334/394	173	257	20	5	22%	13%	110	+2.4	237/357/386	149	305	16	2	25%	15%	113	+1.5
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	50→52	59→65	45	53	262/347/482	219	308	27	4	24%	10%	137	+4.3	260/360/479	219	310	28	6	24%	12%	141	+4.6	260/365/476	216	309	28	5	24%	13%	136	+3.6