Jesse Winker — OGILVIE

Jesse WinkerLF New York Mets

Age 32 L/L 6'2" / 206 lbs MLB H +5%HR +3% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 93108vR 121

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .339 / .378

PA303

HR7

SB5

K%22

BB%12

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

40→40

EYE

63↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.7M
Totals		$2M		$2M	-$0.7M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Billings Mustangs	275	245	63	12	2	4	23	72	4	1	2	.257	.331	.371	.702	.114	.347	26	8	.308	94	-2	-1	+0	-3	+8	0.2
2013	19	A	Dayton Dragons	486	437	102	15	5	11	43	93	4	6	1	.233	.308	.366	.674	.133	.272	19	9	.297	85	-8	+1	+0	-5	+14	0.1
2014	20	A+	3 teams	425	370	83	20	0	13	48	115	1	6	3	.224	.315	.384	.699	.159	.282	27	11	.309	95	-3	+0	+0	-5	+12	0.5
2015	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	526	472	124	24	2	12	45	110	6	8	4	.263	.335	.398	.733	.136	.317	21	9	.322	105	+3	+0	+0	-6	+15	1.2
2016	22	AAA	2 teams	463	415	119	18	0	4	39	78	4	0	0	.287	.354	.359	.713	.072	.340	17	8	.324	106	+3	+0	+0	-5	+13	1.2
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	484	434	118	25	0	8	39	80	5	3	5	.272	.339	.385	.724	.113	.313	17	8	.321	104	+2	-1	-1	-5	+14	0.9
2018	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	334	281	82	14	0	6	49	46	2	0	0	.292	.401	.406	.806	.114	.330	14	15	.349	125	+9	+0	-6	-4	+9	1.0
2019	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	384	338	91	17	2	16	38	60	8	0	2	.269	.357	.473	.830	.204	.286	16	10	.359	133	+14	-1	-7	-4	+11	1.3
2020	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	183	149	36	7	0	11	28	46	5	1	0	.242	.379	.510	.889	.268	.269	25	15	.375	145	+9	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.2
2021	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	485	423	120	29	1	22	53	75	9	1	0	.284	.375	.513	.888	.229	.301	15	11	.383	152	+28	+0	-8	-5	+14	3.0
2022	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	547	456	102	15	0	14	84	103	4	0	0	.224	.349	.349	.698	.125	.257	19	15	.315	99	-0	+0	-9	-6	+15	0.0
2023	29	MLB	3 teams	305	257	56	9	0	5	43	70	4	0	3	.218	.339	.311	.650	.093	.279	23	14	.297	85	-5	-1	-0	-3	+9	-0.1
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	508	430	111	23	0	14	63	106	10	14	4	.258	.366	.409	.775	.151	.310	21	12	.336	115	+9	+1	-7	-5	+14	1.2
2025	31	MLB	New York Mets	81	70	16	5	2	1	9	21	0	1	0	.229	.316	.400	.716	.171	.300	26	11	.298	86	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	NYM	303	258	61	13	1	7	37	66	5	5	2	.236	.343	.376	.719	.140	.286	22	12	.327	108	+3	+0	-4	-3	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	NYM	273	234	54	11	1	6	33	61	4	4	1	.231	.336	.363	.699	.132	.285	22	12	.321	104	+1	+0	-8	-3	+8	-0.1
2028	34	MLB	NYM	230	197	45	9	1	5	28	54	3	2	1	.228	.333	.360	.694	.132	.283	23	12	.314	99	-0	+0	-8	-2	+7	-0.4
2029	35	MLB	NYM	180	154	35	7	1	4	21	44	3	1	0	.227	.331	.364	.695	.136	.280	24	12	.306	93	-2	+0	-8	-2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6472	5620	1418	273	18	163	723	1300	81	53	28	.252	.346	.394	.740	.142	.299	20	11	.327	108	+61	-1	-66	-69	+183	11.0
/ 162G	—			650	564	142	27	2	16	73	131	8	5	3	.252	.346	.392	.738	.140	.299	20	11	.327	108	+6	-0	-7	-7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Billings Mustangs	275	228	77	16	3	5	40	50	4	1	2	.338	.445	.500	.945	.162	.414	18	15	.417	177	+24	-1	—	—	+8	3.2
2013	19	A	Dayton Dragons	486	417	117	18	5	16	63	75	4	6	1	.281	.380	.463	.843	.182	.308	15	13	.374	145	+25	+1	—	—	+14	4.0
2014	20	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	92	77	16	5	0	2	14	22	0	0	0	.208	.330	.351	.680	.143	.259	24	15	.310	95	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2014	20	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	249	205	65	15	0	13	40	46	1	5	1	.317	.431	.580	1.011	.263	.349	18	16	.435	191	+26	+1	—	—	+7	3.4
2014	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	84	68	23	4	1	3	14	17	0	1	2	.338	.451	.559	1.010	.221	.400	20	17	.433	189	+8	-1	—	—	+2	1.0
2015	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	526	443	125	24	2	13	74	83	6	8	4	.282	.392	.433	.825	.151	.320	16	14	.371	142	+25	+0	—	—	+15	4.1
2016	22	AAA	Louisville Bats	448	380	115	22	0	3	59	59	4	0	0	.303	.402	.384	.786	.082	.347	13	13	.357	132	+16	+0	—	—	+13	2.9
2016	22	ROK	AZL Reds	15	13	6	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	.462	.533	.923	1.456	.462	.571	27	13	.612	326	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2017	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	137	121	36	7	0	7	15	24	0	1	1	.298	.375	.529	.904	.231	.322	18	11	.394	159	+9	-0	-1	-5	+4	0.7
2017	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	347	299	94	22	0	2	38	46	5	2	4	.314	.401	.408	.809	.094	.359	13	11	.363	136	+14	-1	—	—	+10	2.3
2018	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	334	281	84	16	0	7	49	46	2	0	0	.299	.407	.431	.837	.132	.336	14	15	.377	147	+18	+0	-6	-4	+9	1.8
2019	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	384	338	91	17	2	16	38	60	8	0	2	.269	.357	.473	.830	.204	.286	16	10	.368	140	+17	-1	-7	-4	+11	1.6
2020	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	183	149	38	7	0	12	28	46	5	1	0	.255	.390	.544	.934	.289	.283	25	15	.406	169	+14	+0	-1	-2	+5	1.7
2021	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	485	423	129	32	1	24	53	75	9	1	0	.305	.394	.556	.949	.251	.324	15	11	.415	176	+42	+0	-8	-5	+14	4.3
2022	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	547	456	100	15	0	14	84	103	4	0	0	.219	.346	.344	.690	.125	.251	19	15	.318	102	+1	+0	-9	-6	+15	0.2
2023	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	197	166	33	5	0	1	26	51	4	0	0	.199	.321	.247	.568	.048	.278	26	13	.274	68	-7	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.5
2023	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	93	70	20	3	0	4	23	13	0	0	3	.286	.462	.500	.962	.214	.302	14	25	.430	187	+9	-1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	29	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	15	13	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	.385	.467	.462	.928	.077	.455	13	13	.420	180	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	30	MLB	New York Mets	508	430	109	23	0	14	63	106	10	14	4	.253	.362	.405	.766	.151	.304	21	12	.345	122	+13	+1	-7	-5	+14	1.6
2025	31	MLB	New York Mets	81	70	16	5	2	1	9	21	0	1	0	.229	.316	.400	.716	.171	.300	26	11	.312	97	-0	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2856	2434	636	127	5	96	365	532	42	18	7	.261	.367	.436	.803	.175	.297	19	13	.359	133	+106	+1	-39	-35	+81	11.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesse Winker (OGILVIE)	32	50	45	40	60	.235/.339/.378	.143	.286	7	5	22%	12%	108	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Gamel 2023 · MLB	31	49→59	47→50	42→50	54	.239/.329/.382	.143	.305	14	6	25%	11%	104	+2.0	.237/.328/.387	.150	.315	16	7	27%	11%	105	+2.1	.230/.327/.384	.153	.318	16	6	30%	12%	100	+0.8
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2005 · MLB	32	55→56	52→55	43→50	52	.274/.339/.456	.182	.318	18	8	20%	9%	126	+3.5	.251/.304/.409	.158	.297	16	6	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.243/.288/.393	.150	.289	14	4	21%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Yonder Alonso 2018 · MLB	31	52→57	51→55	42→45	57	.263/.343/.426	.164	.294	18	4	18%	11%	121	+3.2	.240/.319/.408	.168	.277	21	3	21%	10%	107	+2.2	.225/.306/.379	.154	.259	20	0	21%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Mike Kinkade 2005 · MLB	32	50→60	50	42→45	49	.252/.353/.411	.160	.293	17	8	20%	7%	123	+3.3	.261/.332/.400	.139	.301	13	8	17%	5%	110	+2.4	.273/.341/.408	.135	.316	12	7	17%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Daniel Descalso 2019 · MLB	32	48→54	51→50	49→45	59	.240/.341/.410	.170	.294	17	5	23%	13%	116	+2.8	.204/.303/.343	.139	.274	14	6	29%	12%	83	+0.6	.151/.255/.234	.083	.207	9	5	30%	12%	33	-1.1
✕Nick Martini 2023 · MLB	33	48→58	47→55	46→45	48	.237/.318/.372	.135	.301	15	7	25%	8%	97	+1.5	.231/.312/.396	.165	.282	19	3	24%	9%	101	+1.8	.218/.306/.374	.155	.263	17	0	23%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Shane Spencer 2004 · MLB	32	50	48→50	44→45	52	.249/.323/.394	.145	.290	16	4	20%	9%	104	+2.0	.254/.321/.395	.141	.300	15	10	20%	8%	103	+1.9	.275/.328/.402	.127	.324	12	18	18%	6%	106	+0.7
✕David Murphy 2014 · MLB	32	52→60	49→55	43→50	55	.259/.324/.413	.154	.277	16	9	14%	9%	109	+2.4	.258/.313/.398	.140	.282	14	4	14%	7%	101	+1.8	.267/.318/.393	.126	.292	12	1	13%	7%	97	+1.1
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	51→60	36→45	50	.237/.314/.402	.165	.272	18	6	20%	8%	103	+1.9	.233/.315/.424	.191	.266	23	6	22%	8%	109	+2.4	.228/.313/.423	.195	.258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
●Matt Joyce 2016 · MLB	31	46→56	48→60	38→50	56	.230/.323/.377	.147	.275	15	5	22%	11%	100	+1.7	.234/.342/.420	.186	.275	22	4	22%	14%	119	+3.1	.231/.347/.434	.202	.261	25	3	21%	15%	118	+1.9
✕Eric Hosmer 2022 · MLB	32	53→63	49→55	42→50	48	.266/.324/.414	.147	.311	17	6	20%	7%	110	+2.4	.258/.322/.383	.125	.299	13	5	18%	8%	100	+1.7	.257/.320/.365	.108	.299	11	0	17%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Ryan Spilborghs 2012 · MLB	32	51→61	46→50	43→50	51	.248/.319/.382	.134	.300	13	9	21%	9%	99	+1.7	.250/.311/.368	.118	.319	11	8	24%	7%	92	+1.2	.255/.314/.363	.107	.332	9	7	24%	6%	92	+1.0
✕Jason Michaels 2007 · MLB	31	56→55	45→50	43→45	55	.272/.347/.398	.126	.320	11	8	18%	10%	115	+2.7	.253/.319/.388	.135	.298	13	7	19%	8%	101	+1.8	.240/.309/.382	.142	.283	15	5	20%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Daniel Nava 2015 · MLB	32	55→61	44→50	42→45	53	.266/.349/.386	.120	.319	11	5	19%	9%	113	+2.6	.251/.333/.349	.098	.310	9	6	20%	9%	97	+1.5	.249/.341/.329	.080	.310	6	4	20%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Clint Robinson 2017 · MLB	32	50→58	47→55	47→40	53	.247/.321/.383	.136	.284	15	2	19%	9%	100	+1.7	.219/.279/.360	.141	.274	17	3	26%	7%	77	+0.1	.198/.252/.341	.143	.253	18	0	29%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Robert Fick 2006 · MLB	32	51→54	46→55	43→40	57	.250/.324/.383	.133	.266	14	3	12%	10%	102	+1.8	.246/.316/.349	.103	.285	10	6	17%	9%	89	+1.0	.244/.312/.314	.071	.292	7	4	18%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Chris Coghlan 2018 · MLB	33	47→57	48→50	48→55	56	.233/.322/.383	.150	.278	14	8	21%	11%	102	+1.8	.216/.293/.342	.126	.263	12	6	22%	9%	79	+0.3	.189/.263/.303	.113	.228	11	3	21%	8%	51	-0.7
●Seth Smith 2015 · MLB	32	52→56	49→60	43→50	57	.255/.345/.415	.160	.302	14	3	20%	11%	118	+3.0	.253/.341/.429	.176	.299	18	2	20%	11%	121	+3.2	.250/.338/.431	.181	.294	20	1	21%	10%	113	+1.8
✕Rafael Ortega 2023 · MLB	32	49→54	49→55	48→55	54	.245/.324/.392	.147	.288	16	18	21%	10%	105	+2.1	.225/.314/.362	.137	.275	14	21	22%	11%	92	+1.2	.212/.311/.341	.129	.261	14	26	23%	12%	84	+0.4
✕Jon Weber 2010 · AAA	32	49→54	48→50	42→50	46	.245/.300/.393	.148	.299	14	8	23%	7%	94	+1.3	.233/.289/.349	.116	.290	9	9	22%	7%	78	+0.2	.226/.280/.298	.072	.280	2	10	19%	7%	56	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)