Mike Sirota

RF Tulsa Drillers
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 188 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#138ETA2028MLB%6%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522A+/A2 orgs270.333/.459/.616135130—.265/.365/.469
202623AA/A+LAD492.306/.460/.5261713125—.257/.381/.430
2027PROJ6% MLB24MLBLAD13.234/.353/.403001180.0
2028PROJ45% MLB25MLBLAD190.236/.353/.410641200.7
2029PROJ63% MLB26MLBLAD277.237/.352/.413961201.1
Next 3 projected WAR 1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%99
BB%97
wOBA96
wRC+95
ISO72
K%61
Career WAR0.2 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 9% · didn't stick 54%
CompsElijah Dukes (age 24) · Jonathan India (age 25) · Rickie Weeks Jr. (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†118
AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .353 / .403
PA13
HR0
K%23
BB%15
BABIP301
ISO91
MLB%6%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+5BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.00.81.60.10.71.11.11.00.90.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$28M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$3M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$8M+$7M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$7M+$6M
2031Arb-1$4M+1.0$6M+$4M
2032Arb-2$5M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$6M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $27M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 A+Great Lakes Loons — 155117 37816 33341 44 3164705561.026 239383 2221 439 135 — — — — — —
202522 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 11599 35827 15251 11 3544436871.130 333418 2213 483 124 — — — — — —
202623 AATulsa Drillers — 333259 7716210 65758 50 297452490942 193383 2320 421 120 — — — — — —
202623 A+Great Lakes Loons — 159123 401117 32364 81 3254786021.080 276412 2320 469 137 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 155127 34715 23441 44 268384457841 189336 2815 367 135 — — — — — —
202522 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 115103 27615 11341 11 262339485825 223346 3010 352 124 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 333277 701428 47928 50 253377404781 152340 2814 345 120 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 159132 35916 23464 81 265390485875 220358 2914 370 137 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 270230 6113210 34792 55 265365470834 204352 2913 361 130 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 270216 7216313 48592 55 3334596161.074 282399 2218 458 130 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 492410 10523314 6913712 131 256379429808 173350 2814 353 125 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 492382 11727317 9711112 131 306460526986 220392 2320 436 125 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 270232 6113210 34792 55 263365466830 203340 2913 361 130 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 492408 10523314 6913712 131 257379431810 174346 2814 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 270232 6113210 34792 55 263365466830 203340 2913 361 130 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 492408 10523314 6913712 131 257379431810 174346 2814 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAD 6% 380319 7616211 521026 72 238356407763 170308 2714 343 118 +8 +1 +1 -4 +8 1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAD 6% 1311 3100 230 00 234353403756 169301 2315 340 118 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAD 45% 421354 8417213 571117 92 240356414770 174307 2614 345 120 +10 +1 +1 -5 +9 1.7
202926 MLB MLELAD 63% 438370 8818214 581157 92 241355416771 176306 2613 345 120 +10 +1 +1 -5 +9 1.7
203027 MLB MLELAD 69% 443375 8918214 581167 102 240352413766 174305 2613 343 118 +10 +1 +1 -5 +10 1.7
203128 MLB MLELAD 73% 443376 8918214 571167 92 238349409757 170304 2613 339 116 +8 +1 +0 -5 +10 1.5
203229 MLB MLELAD 72% 437373 8818213 551156 82 236345402747 166302 2613 335 113 +7 +1 -1 -5 +9 1.2
203330 MLB MLELAD 72% 430367 8617213 541146 72 233341395736 161300 2713 331 110 +5 +1 -1 -5 +9 0.9
203431 MLB MLELAD 72% 419358 8317212 521136 63 229337385721 155297 2712 325 106 +3 +0 -2 -4 +9 0.6
203532 MLB MLELAD 72% 409351 7916211 501125 54 224331372702 148293 2712 318 101 +1 -1 -3 -4 +9 0.2
203633 MLB MLELAD 72% 326279 611218 40914 36 217323356679 139288 2812 309 95 -2 -2 -4 -3 +7 -0.4
203734 MLB MLELAD 67% 201173 37715 24582 29 209314337651 128281 2912 298 88 -3 -3 -5 -2 +4 -0.9
202825 MLB CTXLAD 45% 190159 37716 26503 41 236353410763 174300 2614 343 120 +4 +0 +0 -2 +4 0.7
202926 MLB CTXLAD 63% 277234 551119 37734 61 237352413765 176299 2613 343 120 +7 +1 +1 -3 +6 1.1
203027 MLB CTXLAD 69% 307259 6112110 40805 72 236349410759 174298 2613 340 118 +7 +1 +1 -3 +7 1.1
203128 MLB CTXLAD 73% 321272 6312110 41845 62 235346405751 170297 2613 337 116 +6 +0 +0 -3 +7 1.0
203229 MLB CTXLAD 72% 316268 6212110 40835 62 233342399741 166295 2613 333 113 +5 +0 -0 -3 +7 0.9
203330 MLB CTXLAD 72% 310264 6112110 39824 52 230338391729 161293 2613 328 110 +4 +0 -1 -3 +7 0.7
203431 MLB CTXLAD 72% 302257 581119 38814 42 226334381715 155290 2713 323 106 +2 +0 -1 -3 +7 0.4
203532 MLB CTXLAD 72% 294252 561118 36814 33 221328369696 148287 2812 315 101 +0 -1 -2 -3 +6 0.1
203633 MLB CTXLAD 72% 234201 43816 28663 24 214320353673 139282 2812 306 95 -1 -1 -3 -3 +5 -0.3
203734 MLB CTXLAD 67% 135116 23403 16392 16 206311334645 128275 2912 295 88 -2 -2 -3 -1 +3 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 26862282 519100981 34171939 4425 227338386723 158293 2713 328 113 +32 -1 -9 -29 +58 5.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650552 12624220 831749 116 228339388726 159293 2713 328 113 +8 -0 -2 -7 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 49394191 99220324147 637133375 9041 237348402749 165309 2713 336 113 +54 +0 -12 -45 +91 9.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650552 13027319 8417510 125 236347399745 163307 2713 336 113 +8 +0 -2 -7 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 333 PAwOBA .412 → .345 (−68)K% 22.5% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.52%÷1.000×1.220——27.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.52%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02714.03%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.870—×1.0272.15%
Singles /BIP26.63%÷1.000×0.920×0.969×1.02724.39%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷1.000×0.840×0.969×1.0277.27%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.000×0.940×0.969×1.0271.02%
Home runs /BIP5.43%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0274.47%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .412 → .345; ISO .193 → .164; BABIP .383 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 159 PAwOBA .457 → .370 (−88)K% 22.6% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.64%÷1.000×1.270——28.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.13%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99814.26%
HBP% /PA2.52%—×0.790—×0.9981.98%
Singles /BIP24.14%÷1.000×0.920×1.003×0.99822.24%
Doubles /BIP12.64%÷1.000×0.810×1.003×0.99810.26%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.000×0.850×1.003×0.9980.98%
Home runs /BIP8.05%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9986.42%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .457 → .370; ISO .276 → .224; BABIP .412 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 155 PAwOBA .440 → .367 (−73)K% 21.9% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.94%÷0.980×1.270——28.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.29%÷1.023×0.710—×1.01214.96%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.790—×1.0120.52%
Singles /BIP26.51%÷1.000×0.920×0.972×1.01224.01%
Doubles /BIP9.64%÷0.927×0.810×0.972×1.0128.29%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.150×0.850×0.972×1.0120.88%
Home runs /BIP7.23%÷0.992×0.800—×1.0125.90%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .440 → .367; ISO .239 → .206; BABIP .383 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 115 PAwOBA .470 → .352 (−118)K% 21.7% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.987×1.360——29.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷0.981×0.690——9.17%
HBP% /PA0.87%—×0.780——0.68%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.004×0.920×0.976—21.74%
Doubles /BIP10.81%÷1.054×0.830×0.976—8.30%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.150×0.910×0.976—2.09%
Home runs /BIP9.46%÷1.055×0.800——7.17%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .470 → .352; ISO .333 → .238; BABIP .418 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).