Mike Sirota — OGILVIE

Mike SirotaCF Tulsa Drillers

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 188 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION358 act + 238 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†132

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .359 / .424

PA238

HR8

SB6

K%27

BB%13

BABIP316

ISO179

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$30M	+$29M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.2	$29M	+$28M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.3	$27M	+$27M
2030	Arb-1	$9M	+4.3	$25M	+$20M
2031	Arb-2	$14M	+4.1	$22M	+$14M
2032	Arb-3	$20M	+3.9	$20M	+$9M
Totals		$45M		$154M	+$127M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	270	230	60	13	2	11	34	82	2	5	5	261	361	478	839	217	348	30	13	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	270	216	72	16	3	13	48	59	2	5	5	333	459	616	1.074	282	399	22	18	458	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	LAD	—	358	298	77	17	2	12	52	104	8	11	1	258	383	450	832	191	357	29	15	361	134	+14	+2	+0	+1	+10	2.8
YTD	23	AA	LAD	—	358	276	88	21	2	14	74	79	8	11	1	319	475	562	1.036	243	404	22	21	455	207	+43	+2	+0	+1	+10	5.7
ROS	23	AA	LAD	6%	238	200	49	10	1	8	32	64	4	6	1	244	359	424	783	179	323	27	13	358	132	+9	+1	-0	+1	+7	1.7
ROS	23	MLB	LAD	6%	14	12	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	357	333	690	83	318	29	14	341	119	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	23	AA	LAD	—	372	310	80	18	2	12	54	108	8	11	1	258	382	445	827	187	358	29	15	360	134	+14	+2	-0	+1	+11	2.8
TOT	23	AA	LAD	—	596	498	126	27	3	20	84	168	12	17	2	253	373	439	812	186	340	28	14	359	133	+22	+3	-0	+2	+17	4.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAD	48%	581	490	123	25	3	20	78	156	8	13	3	251	363	437	800	186	322	27	13	357	131	+20	+1	-1	+2	+16	4.0
2028	25	MLB	LAD	67%	609	516	130	26	3	22	80	161	8	14	3	252	361	442	803	190	320	26	13	356	131	+21	+2	-1	+2	+17	4.2
2029	26	MLB	LAD	76%	627	532	133	27	3	22	81	164	9	15	3	250	359	436	795	186	318	26	13	356	130	+21	+2	-1	+2	+18	4.3
2030	27	MLB	LAD	78%	632	536	135	27	3	23	82	165	9	15	3	252	360	442	803	190	317	26	13	355	130	+21	+2	-1	+2	+18	4.3
2031	28	MLB	LAD	80%	626	531	133	27	3	22	82	165	8	14	3	250	359	437	796	186	317	26	13	354	129	+21	+2	-2	+2	+18	4.1
2032	29	MLB	LAD	78%	618	524	131	26	3	22	81	164	8	14	3	250	359	437	796	187	316	27	13	352	128	+19	+2	-2	+2	+18	3.9
2033	30	MLB	LAD	77%	609	516	128	26	3	21	80	163	8	13	3	248	358	432	790	184	315	27	13	350	126	+18	+1	-3	+2	+17	3.6
2034	31	MLB	LAD	77%	599	508	123	25	2	20	78	162	8	12	3	242	352	417	769	175	313	27	13	346	123	+15	+1	-4	+2	+17	3.3
2035	32	MLB	LAD	77%	588	498	119	24	2	19	77	161	8	12	3	239	350	410	760	171	310	27	13	340	119	+12	+1	-4	+2	+17	2.9
2036	33	MLB	LAD	77%	508	431	101	20	2	16	66	142	6	9	2	234	344	401	745	167	305	28	13	334	113	+8	+1	-5	+2	+14	2.0
2037	34	MLB	LAD	72%	429	365	82	15	2	13	56	123	5	7	2	225	336	384	719	159	299	29	13	325	107	+3	+1	-5	+2	+12	1.2
2038	35	MLB	LAD	68%	363	309	67	12	1	10	47	107	4	6	1	217	328	359	687	142	292	29	13	315	99	-0	+1	-6	+1	+10	0.6
2039	36	MLB	LAD	59%	222	189	40	7	1	6	28	67	3	3	1	212	323	354	677	143	285	30	13	304	91	-2	+0	-7	+1	+6	-0.2
2040	37	MLB	LAD	50%	160	137	27	4	1	4	20	49	2	2	1	197	308	328	637	131	277	31	12	292	82	-3	+0	-7	+1	+5	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	LAD	48%	277	234	57	12	1	9	37	74	4	6	1	244	356	419	775	175	317	27	13	342	120	+6	+1	-0	+1	+8	1.6
2028	25	MLB	LAD	67%	409	346	85	17	2	14	54	108	6	9	2	246	357	428	785	182	315	26	13	342	120	+9	+1	-1	+1	+12	2.3
2029	26	MLB	LAD	76%	479	407	101	20	2	17	62	125	7	11	3	248	357	432	790	184	313	26	13	341	119	+10	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.7
2030	27	MLB	LAD	78%	496	422	104	21	2	17	64	130	7	12	3	246	355	427	782	180	313	26	13	340	119	+10	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.7
2031	28	MLB	LAD	80%	498	423	104	21	2	17	65	131	7	12	3	246	356	426	781	180	312	26	13	340	118	+10	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.7
2032	29	MLB	LAD	78%	484	411	100	20	2	16	63	128	7	11	2	243	353	418	772	175	312	26	13	338	117	+9	+1	-2	+2	+14	2.5
2033	30	MLB	LAD	77%	472	401	98	20	2	16	62	126	6	10	2	244	354	424	778	180	311	27	13	336	115	+8	+1	-2	+2	+13	2.2
2034	31	MLB	LAD	77%	461	392	94	19	2	15	60	125	6	10	2	240	349	413	763	173	309	27	13	332	112	+6	+1	-3	+2	+13	2.0
2035	32	MLB	LAD	77%	451	383	90	18	2	14	59	124	6	9	2	235	346	402	748	167	305	27	13	327	108	+4	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.7
2036	33	MLB	LAD	77%	389	330	76	15	1	12	51	109	5	7	2	230	342	391	733	161	301	28	13	320	103	+1	+1	-4	+1	+11	1.1
2037	34	MLB	LAD	72%	309	262	58	11	1	9	40	88	4	5	1	221	333	374	707	153	295	28	13	312	97	-1	+1	-4	+1	+9	0.6
2038	35	MLB	LAD	68%	245	208	45	8	1	7	32	72	3	4	1	216	329	365	695	149	288	29	13	302	89	-3	+0	-4	+1	+7	0.1
2039	36	MLB	LAD	59%	130	110	22	4	0	3	17	39	2	2	0	200	318	318	636	118	281	30	13	292	81	-3	+0	-4	+0	+4	-0.2
2040	37	MLB	LAD	50%	79	68	13	2	0	2	10	24	1	1	0	191	304	309	613	118	274	30	13	280	73	-2	+0	-4	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5193	4409	1050	209	20	168	678	1407	71	109	24	238	349	409	758	171	309	27	13	331	111	+66	+12	-32	+19	+147	21.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	132	26	3	21	85	176	9	14	3	239	350	411	762	172	310	27	13	331	111	+8	+2	-4	+2	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	7679	6512	1581	314	35	259	1002	2095	100	160	40	243	352	421	773	178	315	27	13	345	122	+193	+16	-48	+27	+218	41.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	551	134	27	3	22	85	177	8	14	3	243	352	423	775	180	315	27	13	345	122	+16	+2	-4	+2	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	155	117	37	8	1	6	33	34	1	4	4	316	470	556	1.026	239	383	22	21	439	194	+16	-1	—	—	+4	2.0
2025	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	115	99	35	8	2	7	15	25	1	1	1	354	443	687	1.130	333	418	22	13	483	228	+17	-0	—	—	+3	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Mike Cameronlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA	12	6,303	234	209	251	339	451	-1	+38	40.1	36.5
	/162	664	25	22	251	339	451	-0.1	+4.0	4.2	pk7: 33
#3Grady Sizemorelast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,724 PA	10	4,724	150	143	265	349	457	+7	+20	32.3	33.1
	/162	664	21	20	265	349	457	+1.0	+2.8	4.5	pk7: 34
#4Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	11	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.6	26.7
	/162	664	15	11	263	343	400	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,200	174	109	244	349	421	+2	+1	29.7	25.7
	/162	664	22	14	244	349	421	+0.3	+0.1	3.8	pk7: 22
#5Casey Blakelast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,966 PA	9	4,966	165	33	264	337	444	+3	+16	26.4	25.2
	/162	664	22	4	264	337	444	+0.4	+2.2	3.5	pk7: 24
#6Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mike Sirota (OGILVIE)	23	41→49	50→54	59	61	253/373/439	186	340	20	17	28%	14%	133	+4.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	53→55	59→55	50	246/338/432	185	302	20	19	24%	9%	121	+3.2	251/353/417	166	310	16	23	23%	11%	123	+3.3	259/353/453	194	315	22	11	24%	10%	129	+4.0
●Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→60	53→60	54→55	54	270/345/452	182	315	19	17	21%	10%	128	+3.6	266/346/459	193	314	23	7	22%	11%	131	+3.9	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	47→52	53→55	47→50	54	241/323/415	174	271	20	12	20%	10%	110	+2.4	244/342/414	170	292	17	14	21%	12%	118	+3.0	247/350/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	117	+2.2
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	49→55	53→50	56	249/342/406	157	304	16	13	22%	12%	115	+2.8	264/341/430	166	323	18	7	23%	10%	121	+3.2	266/345/430	165	323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
●Derek Norris 2012 · AA	23	38→48	55	47→50	52	202/308/386	184	272	23	10	33%	12%	98	+1.6	232/313/396	164	290	19	10	26%	10%	101	+1.8	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
●Bo Bichette 2021 · MLB	23	53→62	53→60	52→55	44	266/312/449	183	319	19	20	23%	6%	114	+2.7	290/332/471	181	341	22	15	21%	6%	128	+3.7	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Jedd Gyorko 2012 · AA	23	49→53	54→60	48→45	42	253/298/433	180	313	22	7	27%	6%	105	+2.1	248/297/427	179	295	23	5	24%	6%	102	+1.9	257/331/460	203	288	28	4	21%	10%	123	+2.4
★Carlos Quentin 2006 · AAA	23	49→52	51→65	52→45	53	247/346/411	163	274	18	9	17%	9%	119	+3.1	250/348/439	189	274	19	7	17%	8%	128	+3.6	257/357/499	242	252	32	5	14%	10%	143	+4.0
●Gaby Sanchez 2007 · A	23	47→56	55	49→45	56	244/331/430	186	257	22	9	16%	10%	118	+3.0	250/320/402	152	286	15	8	18%	8%	105	+2.1	267/343/435	168	290	19	4	15%	9%	119	+2.9
★Hunter Pence 2007 · AA	24	49→59	58→60	52→50	45	259/308/466	207	303	26	11	24%	6%	117	+2.9	279/327/477	198	323	22	12	20%	7%	128	+3.6	287/348/479	192	326	23	10	19%	8%	132	+4.5
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
●James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→53	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	117	+2.9	251/318/428	177	293	21	4	21%	8%	111	+2.5	247/313/432	185	281	24	2	21%	8%	108	+1.5
★Justin Upton 2011 · MLB	23	55→59	54→65	52→55	52	272/351/463	190	346	21	16	26%	11%	133	+4.0	274/354/464	190	325	22	16	21%	10%	135	+4.2	264/344/505	242	328	32	10	29%	10%	138	+4.6
●Travis Shaw 2013 · AA	23	43→53	51→60	49→45	46	219/292/386	167	284	18	9	29%	8%	90	+1.0	221/288/372	151	280	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.6	251/334/473	222	282	28	7	22%	11%	123	+3.2
✕Zack Shannon 2019 · A	23	48	54→60	48→40	44	247/308/431	184	312	22	3	28%	7%	108	+2.3	217/275/363	146	305	17	5	33%	7%	76	+0.1	194/252/340	146	269	19	3	34%	6%	58	-0.7
●Gleyber Torres 2021 · MLB	24	50→53	58→60	46→50	52	262/334/461	199	295	27	6	21%	9%	127	+3.6	256/324/408	152	299	18	12	20%	9%	108	+2.3	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49	52→65	49→30	45	253/301/419	166	290	21	9	21%	6%	102	+1.8	210/268/386	176	272	22	3	31%	5%	80	+0.4	235/308/481	246	299	35	0	33%	8%	120	+2.4
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→53	52→55	51→50	44	256/304/419	164	299	20	9	22%	6%	103	+1.9	229/306/389	160	271	17	12	22%	9%	96	+1.5	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
★Alex Gordon 2007 · AA	23	52→62	58→55	53→50	48	268/343/477	209	326	26	16	26%	8%	134	+4.1	253/330/425	172	309	18	13	23%	9%	115	+2.8	294/364/474	180	350	17	11	20%	9%	136	+5.0
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	49→55	50→60	56→55	48	239/320/405	166	335	17	15	32%	10%	105	+2.1	256/333/456	200	316	22	16	25%	10%	124	+3.4	260/338/463	204	308	23	18	23%	10%	124	+3.8