Mike Sirota — OGILVIE

Mike SirotaRF Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 188 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†118

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .353 / .404

PA19

HR1

K%26

BB%16

BABIP301

ISO250

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.3	$8M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$6M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$37M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	155	117	37	8	1	6	33	34	1	4	4	316	470	556	1.026	239	383	22	21	439	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	115	99	35	8	2	7	15	25	1	1	1	354	443	687	1.130	333	418	22	13	483	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	333	259	77	16	2	10	65	75	8	5	0	297	452	490	942	193	383	23	20	421	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	159	123	40	11	1	7	32	36	4	8	1	325	478	602	1.080	276	412	23	20	469	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	155	127	34	7	1	5	23	44	1	4	4	268	384	457	841	189	336	28	15	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	115	103	27	6	1	5	11	34	1	1	1	262	339	485	825	223	346	30	10	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	333	277	70	14	2	8	47	92	8	5	0	253	377	404	781	152	340	28	14	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	159	132	35	9	1	6	23	46	4	8	1	265	390	485	875	220	358	29	14	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	270	230	61	13	2	10	34	79	2	5	5	265	365	470	834	204	352	29	13	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	270	216	72	16	3	13	48	59	2	5	5	333	459	616	1.074	282	399	22	18	458	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	410	105	23	3	14	69	137	12	13	1	256	379	429	808	173	350	28	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	492	382	117	27	3	17	97	111	12	13	1	306	460	526	986	220	392	23	20	436	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	270	232	61	13	2	10	34	79	2	5	5	263	365	466	830	203	340	29	13	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	408	105	23	3	14	69	137	12	13	1	257	379	431	810	174	346	28	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	270	232	61	13	2	10	34	79	2	5	5	263	365	466	830	203	340	29	13	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	408	105	23	3	14	69	137	12	13	1	257	379	431	810	174	346	28	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	6%	380	319	76	16	2	11	52	102	6	7	2	238	356	407	763	170	308	27	14	343	118	+8	+1	+1	-4	+8	1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAD	6%	19	16	4	1	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	234	353	404	757	170	301	26	16	340	118	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	500	421	102	21	3	16	67	132	8	10	3	240	356	412	768	172	309	26	13	344	119	+11	+1	+1	-5	+11	1.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	67%	514	433	104	21	3	16	68	134	8	11	3	241	354	416	770	175	307	26	13	345	119	+12	+1	+1	-6	+11	2.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	74%	518	438	105	21	3	16	67	135	8	11	3	241	351	413	764	172	306	26	13	342	118	+11	+1	+1	-6	+11	1.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	518	439	104	21	2	16	66	136	8	10	3	239	349	408	757	169	305	26	13	339	116	+10	+1	+0	-6	+11	1.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	513	436	103	21	2	16	65	136	7	9	3	236	346	402	748	165	303	27	13	336	113	+8	+1	-0	-5	+11	1.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	507	431	100	20	2	15	64	136	7	9	3	233	342	394	737	161	302	27	13	331	110	+6	+1	-1	-5	+11	1.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	LAD	77%	499	426	98	20	2	14	63	136	7	7	3	229	338	384	722	155	299	27	13	326	107	+4	+0	-2	-5	+11	0.8
2035	32	MLB MLE	LAD	76%	491	421	94	19	2	13	61	136	6	6	5	224	332	371	703	147	295	28	12	318	102	+1	-1	-2	-5	+11	0.3
2036	33	MLB MLE	LAD	76%	424	364	79	15	2	11	52	120	5	4	8	217	325	356	680	138	290	28	12	309	95	-2	-2	-3	-5	+9	-0.3
2037	34	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	311	266	56	11	1	7	38	90	4	3	15	209	315	337	652	128	283	29	12	298	88	-4	-5	-4	-3	+7	-1.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	239	201	47	9	1	8	32	63	4	5	1	236	353	409	761	172	301	26	13	342	119	+5	+1	+0	-3	+5	0.9
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	67%	346	293	70	14	1	12	45	90	5	7	2	238	351	413	763	175	300	26	13	342	119	+8	+1	+1	-4	+7	1.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	74%	382	324	78	15	2	13	49	100	6	8	2	237	348	410	758	173	299	26	13	340	118	+8	+1	+1	-4	+8	1.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	399	339	81	16	2	13	51	105	6	8	2	235	345	405	750	169	298	26	13	337	116	+7	+1	+0	-4	+9	1.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	394	335	78	15	2	12	50	104	6	7	2	233	343	399	741	166	296	26	13	333	113	+6	+1	-0	-4	+9	1.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	388	331	76	15	1	12	49	104	5	7	2	230	339	391	730	161	295	27	13	329	110	+5	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.9
2034	31	MLB CTX	LAD	77%	382	326	73	14	1	11	48	104	5	5	3	226	335	381	716	155	292	27	13	323	107	+3	-0	-1	-4	+8	0.6
2035	32	MLB CTX	LAD	76%	375	320	71	14	1	10	47	104	5	4	4	221	329	368	697	147	288	28	13	316	102	+1	-1	-2	-4	+8	0.2
2036	33	MLB CTX	LAD	76%	324	277	59	11	1	8	40	91	4	3	6	214	322	352	674	138	283	28	12	307	95	-2	-2	-3	-3	+7	-0.3
2037	34	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	224	192	39	7	1	5	27	65	3	2	11	206	313	334	646	128	277	29	12	296	88	-3	-4	-3	-2	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3453	2938	672	130	13	104	438	930	49	56	35	229	338	388	726	159	296	27	13	327	113	+39	-3	-8	-37	+75	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	553	126	24	2	20	82	175	9	11	7	228	336	387	723	159	294	27	13	327	113	+7	-1	-1	-7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5877	4983	1175	239	29	174	758	1593	87	104	57	236	347	400	747	164	308	27	13	335	113	+64	-3	-9	-55	+111	10.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	551	129	26	3	19	84	176	10	12	6	234	346	396	742	162	306	27	13	335	113	+8	-0	-1	-7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#4Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	4.0	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
/162	664	28	5	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,472	101	58	233	339	393	+4	+4	14.1	13.3
/162	664	19	11	+0.8	+0.8	2.7	pk7: 13
#5Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#6Mark Bellhornlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,181 PA	3.3	2,181	63	21	233	345	404	+2	+5	10.3	10.3
/162	664	19	6	+0.6	+1.5	3.1	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mike Sirota (OGILVIE)	24	45→51	51→55	58	59	236/353/404	168	308	10	6	27%	14%	118	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	48→54	53→55	48→50	55	248/331/424	176	279	20	12	19%	10%	114	+2.3	245/342/416	171	293	17	14	21%	12%	116	+2.5	247/348/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	118	+2.0
●Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→54	50	49→50	53	252/351/414	163	314	17	11	24%	10%	119	+2.7	248/341/395	147	300	16	11	21%	10%	111	+2.1	238/339/373	135	284	14	9	20%	11%	105	+1.7
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	54→55	59→55	49	249/340/438	188	306	20	19	24%	9%	120	+2.8	251/351/417	166	310	16	23	23%	10%	120	+2.8	256/348/440	184	314	21	11	24%	10%	125	+3.4
●Miguel Vargas 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	49→55	52→50	53	240/320/398	158	282	16	12	21%	10%	103	+1.6	226/321/395	169	261	18	12	20%	11%	103	+1.6	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
●Mark Teahen 2007 · MLB	25	55→59	51→55	57→50	51	271/336/452	181	319	17	10	20%	9%	121	+2.9	269/326/417	148	329	13	9	21%	7%	109	+2.0	266/320/400	134	326	11	8	21%	7%	104	+1.6
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	52→55	47→45	53	247/331/420	173	289	20	7	22%	10%	113	+2.3	227/323/375	148	273	17	5	22%	10%	101	+1.4	212/315/343	131	259	15	4	23%	10%	91	+0.5
●Edouard Julien 2023 · AA	24	51→55	49→50	52→50	55	236/346/388	153	353	17	18	34%	14%	112	+2.2	236/340/381	145	349	16	10	33%	13%	107	+1.9	230/336/367	137	339	15	8	33%	13%	102	+1.3
✕Jordan Westburg 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	50→60	50	45	233/304/391	158	314	16	11	30%	8%	97	+1.1	248/305/429	181	306	21	9	25%	6%	105	+1.7	254/308/447	193	302	23	7	24%	6%	110	+1.6
●Iván Herrera 2024 · MLB	24	52→59	46→50	49→50	55	247/346/382	135	323	12	10	25%	12%	109	+2.0	267/357/418	151	323	17	11	21%	10%	122	+2.9	263/357/416	152	307	19	10	20%	10%	123	+2.6
★Aaron Rowand 2002 · MLB	24	53→60	49→55	52→50	54	263/348/412	149	306	17	16	20%	10%	118	+2.6	267/317/429	162	296	18	8	16%	5%	109	+2.0	278/339/445	167	328	18	4	20%	6%	123	+3.0
●Eric Hinske 2004 · MLB	26	51→55	53→60	53→50	56	257/338/448	192	301	18	13	21%	11%	122	+2.9	253/323/416	163	300	17	10	20%	9%	109	+2.0	253/323/412	159	299	17	9	21%	9%	109	+1.6
●Adam Jones 2010 · MLB	24	53→56	51→60	50	45	267/319/432	165	313	18	11	21%	6%	111	+2.1	274/318/442	168	312	20	11	19%	5%	113	+2.3	276/313/466	190	309	25	11	19%	4%	119	+3.1
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2024 · AAA	24	50→60	49→50	48→45	53	240/336/385	144	329	17	5	30%	12%	107	+1.8	235/336/385	150	323	16	7	29%	12%	107	+1.9	224/333/374	150	303	16	8	29%	12%	102	+1.0
●Andy Pages 2024 · AA	23	42→52	54→60	47→50	47	218/307/400	182	287	21	9	30%	9%	100	+1.3	260/319/438	178	314	21	10	23%	7%	112	+2.2	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	48→58	49→55	52→55	40	238/298/386	147	316	16	14	29%	6%	93	+0.8	252/298/399	147	303	18	13	23%	5%	96	+1.0	275/326/436	161	316	20	19	19%	5%	115	+2.3
●Zach Neto 2024 · MLB	23	49→48	51→60	50→55	44	248/325/414	166	303	19	12	24%	6%	110	+2.1	249/318/442	193	305	23	23	26%	7%	114	+2.3	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
●Gleyber Torres 2022 · MLB	25	52→55	48→60	46→50	53	257/329/400	143	302	16	12	20%	10%	107	+1.9	258/324/414	156	299	18	11	19%	9%	109	+2.0	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Kelly Johnson 2006 · MLB	24	50→58	52→55	53→50	56	254/337/433	179	291	19	10	20%	11%	118	+2.6	270/350/443	173	318	16	10	19%	11%	124	+3.1	264/337/440	177	307	17	11	19%	10%	120	+2.6
★Marcus Semien 2015 · MLB	24	47→55	50→65	52→50	51	237/311/397	160	285	17	12	23%	9%	100	+1.3	247/309/419	172	292	20	12	22%	8%	104	+1.6	269/346/515	247	282	31	10	17%	10%	141	+4.1
★Gunnar Henderson 2024 · MLB	23	49→56	55→60	55	49	250/326/449	199	320	22	13	28%	10%	117	+2.6	259/334/459	200	307	23	17	23%	9%	123	+3.0	252/331/444	192	295	22	17	22%	9%	119	+3.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps